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Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)

Industrials | Railroads | Omaha, United States | NYSE
288.71 USD +2.28 (0.796%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★★★☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:58 a.m. EDT

Union Pacific presents a compelling long-term investment case anchored by exceptional capital efficiency and sustained revenue expansion. With a return on equity nearing 40% and a forward P/E under 20, the business quality justifies the premium valuation despite a single year of price underperformance. The recent earnings beat and analyst upgrades reinforce this structural strength. Short-term traders face resistance near the 50-day average, yet the dividend track record offers a steady income floor. Options flow suggests a bullish bias for the year-end, aligning with the fundamental thesis of a resilient infrastructure play.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.026734
AutoETS0.026735
MSTL0.027739
AutoTheta0.040355

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 8.26
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.823
Excess Kurtosis -0.12
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-30
Debt to Equity Ratio 150.772
Revenue per Share 42.861
Market Cap 171,515,543,552
Trailing P/E 23.40
Forward P/E 20.28
Beta 0.95
Profit Margins 28.85%
Website https://www.up.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 1:58 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for upside potential with heavy call open interest at the 325 strike for year-end expiration, while maintaining defensive put positions around the 250-275 range. Implied volatility remains moderate at the money, though deep in-the-money strikes show elevated pricing for tail risk protection.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.47% 2.10% 2.20% 2.24%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-31 1.420000 0.472279
2026-05-29 1.380000 0.525434
2026-02-27 1.380000 0.520794
2025-12-05 1.380000 0.586460
2025-08-29 1.380000 0.617256
2025-05-30 1.340000 0.604529
2025-02-28 1.340000 0.543192
2024-12-09 1.340000 0.573778
2024-08-30 1.340000 0.523254
2024-05-31 1.300000 0.558371
2024-02-28 1.300000 0.511831
2023-12-07 1.300000 0.561579
2023-08-30 1.300000 0.583247
2023-05-30 1.300000 0.669413
2023-02-27 1.300000 0.612716
2022-12-16 1.300000 0.618429
2022-08-30 1.300000 0.577162
2022-05-27 1.300000 0.584270
2022-02-25 1.180000 0.478877
2021-12-17 1.180000 0.486217
2021-08-30 1.070000 0.488406
2021-05-27 1.070000 0.477892
2021-02-25 0.970000 0.464849
2020-11-27 0.970000 0.471698
2020-08-28 0.970000 0.497104
2020-05-28 0.970000 0.568882
2020-02-27 0.970000 0.607693
2019-11-27 0.970000 0.547435
2019-08-29 0.970000 0.599765
2019-05-30 0.880000 0.519235
2019-02-27 0.880000 0.520525
2018-11-29 0.800000 0.531632
2018-08-30 0.800000 0.534331
2018-05-30 0.730000 0.499521
2018-02-27 0.730000 0.545835
2017-11-29 0.665000 0.540914
2017-08-29 0.605000 0.576355
2017-05-26 0.605000 0.547165
2017-02-24 0.605000 0.561537
2016-11-28 0.605000 0.600854
2016-08-29 0.550000 0.572559
2016-05-26 0.550000 0.667962
2016-02-25 0.550000 0.693394
2015-11-25 0.550000 0.649888
2015-08-27 0.550000 0.637459
2015-05-27 0.550000 0.535958
2015-02-25 0.550000 0.449273
2014-11-28 0.500000 0.428192
2014-08-27 0.500000 0.474834
2014-06-12 0.455000 0.451972
2014-02-26 0.455000 0.513515
2013-11-29 0.395000 0.487534
2013-08-28 0.395000 0.512987
2013-05-29 0.345000 0.441939
2013-02-26 0.345000 0.515156
2012-11-28 0.345000 0.561935
2012-08-29 0.300000 0.488679
2012-05-29 0.300000 0.532907
2012-02-27 0.300000 0.532198
2011-11-28 0.300000 0.608952
2011-08-29 0.237500 0.522897
2011-05-26 0.237500 0.460093
2011-02-24 0.190000 0.405506
2010-11-26 0.190000 0.421754
2010-08-27 0.165000 0.447822
2010-05-26 0.165000 0.470622
2010-02-24 0.135000 0.403708
2009-11-25 0.135000 0.418605
2009-08-27 0.135000 0.445839
2009-05-27 0.135000 0.595895
2009-02-25 0.135000 0.696954
2008-11-26 0.135000 0.532125
2008-08-27 0.135000 0.328587
2008-06-04 0.110000 0.276243
2008-03-10 0.110000 0.370464
2007-11-27 0.110000 0.353669
2007-08-28 0.087500 0.327654
2007-05-25 0.087500 0.296711
2007-02-26 0.087500 0.344082
2006-11-28 0.075000 0.335046
2006-08-29 0.075000 0.374579
2006-05-26 0.075000 0.323764
2006-03-06 0.075000 0.339443
2005-12-12 0.075000 0.397298
2005-09-12 0.075000 0.441826
2005-06-06 0.075000 0.454545
2005-03-07 0.075000 0.454339
2004-12-06 0.075000 0.473560
2004-09-03 0.075000 0.524109
2004-06-07 0.075000 0.499833
2004-03-08 0.075000 0.485123
2003-12-08 0.075000 0.459137
2003-09-08 0.057500 0.378227
2003-06-09 0.057500 0.381426
2003-03-10 0.057500 0.436102
2002-12-09 0.057500 0.387401
2002-09-09 0.050000 0.336587
2002-06-10 0.050000 0.317007
2002-03-11 0.050000 0.323520
2001-12-10 0.050000 0.362188
2001-09-10 0.050000 0.382775
2001-06-11 0.050000 0.359002
2001-03-12 0.050000 0.356189
2000-12-11 0.050000 0.426667
2000-09-11 0.050000 0.523732
2000-06-12 0.050000 0.469208
2000-03-13 0.050000 0.567376
1999-12-06 0.050000 0.427236
1999-09-03 0.050000 0.410256
1999-06-07 0.050000 0.335079
1999-03-08 0.050000 0.411840
1998-12-07 0.050000 0.410783
1998-09-04 0.050000 0.501567
1998-06-08 0.050000 0.431267
1998-03-09 0.050000 0.398010
1997-12-08 0.107500 0.683217
1997-09-08 0.107500 0.682540
1997-06-09 0.107500 0.634686
1997-03-10 0.107500 0.697769
1996-12-16 0.107500 0.756044
1996-09-06 0.072283 0.605634
1996-06-10 0.072283 0.608850
1996-03-11 0.072283 0.624319
1995-12-20 0.072283 0.661538
1995-09-11 0.072283 0.633517
1995-06-12 0.072283 0.822967
1995-03-09 0.072283 0.857855
1994-12-08 0.072283 0.955556
1994-09-08 0.072283 0.751092
1994-06-09 0.067240 0.692641
1994-03-10 0.067240 0.688172
1993-12-02 0.067240 0.647773
1993-09-01 0.067240 0.615385
1993-06-03 0.062197 0.607803
1993-03-04 0.062197 0.617954
1992-12-03 0.062197 0.627119
1992-09-02 0.062197 0.713253
1992-06-04 0.057154 0.632558
1992-03-05 0.057154 0.719577
1991-11-27 0.014289 0.189951
1991-09-10 0.057154 0.774929
1991-06-06 0.052531 0.696375
1991-03-07 0.052531 0.807751
1990-12-06 0.052531 0.910743
1990-08-29 0.048749 0.809773
1990-06-07 0.048749 0.786441
1990-03-01 0.048749 0.764415
1989-12-07 0.048749 0.794521
1989-09-07 0.046228 0.705136
1989-06-05 0.046228 0.759939
1989-03-02 0.046228 0.814824
1988-11-23 0.046228 0.892505
1988-09-08 0.046228 0.979966
1988-06-02 0.042025 0.756144
1988-02-23 0.042025 0.849257
1987-11-25 0.042025 0.947867
1987-09-02 0.042025 0.647249
1987-08-06 0.016810 0.240240
1987-06-04 0.042025 0.681431
1987-03-05 0.042025 0.662252
1986-11-26 0.042025 0.792079
1986-09-04 0.037823 0.727282
1986-06-05 0.037823 0.835278
1986-03-06 0.037823 0.882365
1985-11-27 0.037823 0.891101
1985-09-05 0.037823 0.932655
1985-06-06 0.037823 0.909103
1985-03-07 0.037823 0.937512
1984-12-06 0.037823 1.165064
1984-09-06 0.037823 1.142872
1984-05-03 0.037823 0.937512
1984-03-01 0.037823 0.967755
1983-11-23 0.037823 0.900012
1983-08-31 0.037823 0.798237
1983-06-02 0.037823 0.803582
1983-03-03 0.037823 0.927847
1982-11-24 0.037823 1.077858
1982-09-01 0.037823 1.184226
1982-06-03 0.037823 1.224506
1982-03-04 0.037823 1.323547
1981-11-25 0.037823 0.818193
1981-06-04 0.033620 0.761905
1981-03-05 0.033620 0.571429
1980-11-26 0.033620 0.437158
1980-09-04 0.029418 0.719807
1980-06-05 0.029418 0.795468
1980-03-06 0.029418 0.770302
Additional Data
dividendYield 1.97
exDividendDate 2026-08-31
trailingAnnualDividendRate 5.52
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.019271724
lastDividendValue 1.42
lastDividendDate 2026-08-31
dividendDate 2026-09-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.27725184
Address1 1,400 Douglas Street
All Time High 315.99
All Time Low 2.458463
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,146,040
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,626,453
Average Volume 2,626,453
Average Volume10Days 2,146,040
Beta 0.954
Bid 265.1
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 1
Book Value 34.806
City Omaha
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 288.71
Current Ratio 0.986
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 290.52
Day Low 286.575
Debt To Equity 150.772
Display Name Union Pacific
Dividend Date 1,790,726,400
Dividend Yield 1.97
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,792,699,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,792,699,200
Earnings Growth 0.066
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.062
Earnings Timestamp 1,792,672,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,672,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,672,200
Ebitda 12,883,999,744
Ebitda Margins 0.50703996
Enterprise To Ebitda 15.567
Enterprise To Revenue 7.893
Enterprise Value 200,570,535,936
Eps Current Year 13.0924
Eps Forward 14.23702
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 12.34
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,134,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 287.878
Fifty Day Average Change 0.83200073
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0028901158
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 27.725183
Fifty Two Week High 315.99
Fifty Two Week High Change -27.279999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.086331844
Fifty Two Week Low 215.53
Fifty Two Week Low Change 73.17999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.33953506
Fifty Two Week Range 215.53 - 315.99
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 315,671,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.19
Float Shares 592,726,947
Forward Eps 14.23702
Forward P E 20.278822
Free Cashflow 4,720,750,080
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 28,716
Fullday Change 0.1499939
Fullday Change Percent 0.051953137
Fullday Price 288.86
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.56285
Gross Profits 14,302,000,128
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00071000005
Held Percent Institutions 0.91468
Implied Shares Outstanding 594,075,498
Industry Railroads
Industry Disp Railroads
Industry Key railroads
Ir Website http://www.up.com/investors/index.shtml
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,788,134,400
Last Dividend Value 1.42
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,402,272,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates in the railroad business in the United States. It offers transportation services for grain and grain products, fertilizers, food and refrigerated products, and coal and renewables to grain processors, animal feeders, and ethanol and renewable biofuel producers; and construction products, industrial chemicals, plastics, forest products, specialized products, metals and ores, petroleum, liquid petroleum gases, soda ash, and sand, as well as finished automobiles, automotive parts, and merchandise in intermodal containers. The company was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.
Long Name Union Pacific Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 171,515,543,552
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_310078
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 7,329,999,872
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 163,020,257,406
Number Of Analyst Opinions 24
Open 290.0
Operating Cashflow 10,263,000,064
Operating Margins 0.40982
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.4473
Peg Ratio 2.84
Phone 402 544 5000
Pre Market Change 0.1499939
Pre Market Change Percent 0.051953137
Pre Market Price 288.86
Pre Market Time 1,792,155,556
Previous Close 286.43
Price Eps Current Year 22.051725
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 8.294834
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.7499228
Profit Margins 0.28847
Quick Ratio 0.756
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.72
Region US
Regular Market Change 2.28
Regular Market Change Percent 0.796006
Regular Market Day High 290.52
Regular Market Day Low 286.575
Regular Market Day Range 286.575 - 290.52
Regular Market Open 290.0
Regular Market Previous Close 286.43
Regular Market Price 288.71
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,403
Regular Market Volume 3,368,379
Return On Assets 0.09274
Return On Equity 0.39696
Revenue Growth 0.115
Revenue Per Share 42.861
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 594,075,498
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0467
Shares Short 27,763,071
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 27,740,373
Short Name Union Pacific Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.051999997
Short Ratio 11.07
Source Interval 15
State NE
Symbol UNP
Target High Price 375.0
Target Low Price 245.0
Target Mean Price 327.625
Target Median Price 334.0
Total Cash 2,114,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.558
Total Debt 31,168,999,424
Total Revenue 25,410,000,896
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 5.52
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.019271724
Trailing Eps 12.34
Trailing P E 23.39627
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.7237
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 266.8217
Two Hundred Day Average Change 21.888306
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.082033455
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,368,379
Website https://www.up.com
Zip 68,179