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United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG)

Commodities Focused | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
10.95 USD +0.10 (0.922%) ⇧ (April 21, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:31 a.m. EDT

With the 5-Year NAV dropping 27.6%, depleted underlying commodity, and 14-day close sitting down 8% from the high last week ($11.68 -> $10.78), UNG is showing the classic signs of a commodity ETF hitting a cap cycle. The animal spirits are out, but the fundamental fundamentals are in—together, this suggests a grind lower over the multi-year horizon. The current setup feels like a 'value trap' waiting for a reversal.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.053770
AutoETS0.060720
AutoARIMA0.060726
MSTL0.062341

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 64%
H-stat 0.21
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.012
Excess Kurtosis 0.54
Attribute Value
Market Cap 132,326,368

As of April 19, 2026, 12:31 a.m. EDT: Options activity indicates a defensive, non-directional positioning with heavy implied volatity (IV) at both extremes (deep OTM puts at 5.0/6.0 and deep OTM calls at 17.5/20.00). The ATM IV is elevated (40-55%) compared to deep OTM strikes, creating a 'strangle-like' environment where market participants expect volatility but lack a specific price bias. Call volume is present but muted relative to the massive open interest concentration around the $11.00-$13.00 range (supports/walls), while put open interest is significantly lower (0.32-0.56% vs call 0.79-0.93%). This spec positioning suggests traders are buying protection for a downside move to test levels but are less aggressive on call-side speculation, consistent with the model's negative directional forecast.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 8,177.92
All Time Low 9.95
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 37,100
Average Daily Volume10 Day 7,374,070
Average Daily Volume3 Month 13,661,600
Average Volume 13,661,600
Average Volume10Days 7,374,070
Beta3 Year 2.41
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 9,100
Book Value 12.197
Category Commodities Focused
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 10.99
Day Low 10.79
Dividend Yield 0.0
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.208
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 11.7862
Fifty Day Average Change -0.83619976
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.070947364
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -30.387794
Fifty Two Week High 19.11
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.160001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4270016
Fifty Two Week Low 9.95
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.10050251
Fifty Two Week Range 9.95 - 19.11
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,176,903,000,000
Five Year Average Return -0.23028989
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family USCF Investments
Fund Inception Date 1,176,854,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund invests primarily in futures contracts for natural gas that are traded on the NYMEX, ICE Futures Europe and ICE Futures U.S. (together, “ICE Futures”) or other U.S. and foreign exchanges. The Benchmark Futures Contract is the futures contract on natural gas as traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange that is the near month contract to expire, except when the near month contract is within two weeks of expiration.
Long Name United States Natural Gas Fund, LP
Market us_market
Market Cap 132,326,368
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_33939205
Nav Price 10.87
Net Assets 450,859,744.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.24
Open 10.84
Pre Market Change 0.07999992
Pre Market Change Percent 0.7305929
Pre Market Price 11.03
Pre Market Time 1,776,847,952
Previous Close 10.85
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.89776176
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0999994
Regular Market Change Percent 0.921654
Regular Market Day High 10.99
Regular Market Day Low 10.79
Regular Market Day Range 10.79 - 10.99
Regular Market Open 10.84
Regular Market Previous Close 10.85
Regular Market Price 10.95
Regular Market Time 1,776,801,600
Regular Market Volume 4,741,161
Shares Outstanding 12,084,600
Short Name United States Natural Gas Fund
Source Interval 15
Symbol UNG
Three Year Average Return -0.2716432
Total Assets 450,859,744
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -4.09937
Trailing Three Month Returns -4.09937
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.8971
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.9471006
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.15097196
Type Disp ETF
Volume 4,741,161
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return -4.09937