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United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI)

Consumer Defensive | Food Distribution | Providence, United States | NYSE
48.98 USD +0.11 (0.225%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4:02 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 7 a.m. EDT

The investment case for United Natural Foods is currently broken by a severe deterioration in both fundamentals and market sentiment. The company is trading at a loss with negative revenue growth (-4.2%), a crumbling return on equity, and a balance sheet weighed down by debt. While the stock has recently rallied nearly 90% year-over-year, this appears to be a speculative re-rating rather than a recovery of business quality, especially given the persistent losses. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts for 2027, betting on a failure to sustain the recent gains. With no dividend to provide income and a weak statistical forecast, the risk/reward profile is skewed heavily against the buyer.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.033405
AutoTheta0.046100
MSTL0.077883
AutoARIMA0.079172

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 7.61
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.178
Excess Kurtosis 0.03
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Debt to Equity Ratio 197.248
Revenue per Share 513.89
Market Cap 2,964,227,328
Forward P/E 15.24
Beta 0.84
Profit Margins -0.12%
Website https://www.unfi.com

As of July 11, 2026, 7 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 15, 25, 30) expiring in late 2027, suggesting a belief in a potential collapse or prolonged stagnation. Conversely, call activity is concentrated in far-out strikes (70+) with low volume, indicating a lack of serious bullish conviction for a significant rally in the near term. Implied volatility remains elevated for downside strikes relative to the money, reflecting fear rather than greed.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.0568182
Address1 15 Park Row West
Address2 Suite 302
All Time High 83.91
All Time Low 3.5
Ask 51.0
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 2.4 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 716,490
Average Daily Volume3 Month 660,811
Average Volume 660,811
Average Volume10Days 716,490
Beta 0.837
Bid 49.01
Bid Size 400
Board Risk 1
Book Value 26.326
City Providence
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 48.98
Current Ratio 1.328
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 49.74
Day Low 48.0515
Debt To Equity 197.248
Display Name United Natural Foods
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,781,008,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,781,008,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,781,008,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,781,008,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,781,008,200
Ebitda 575,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.01843
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.567
Enterprise To Revenue 0.195
Enterprise Value 6,076,227,584
Eps Current Year 2.564
Eps Forward 3.2139
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.66
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 50.1818
Fifty Day Average Change -1.2018013
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.023948947
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 105.68182
Fifty Two Week High 57.02
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.040001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.14100318
Fifty Two Week Low 23.36
Fifty Two Week Low Change 25.619999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.0967464
Fifty Two Week Range 23.36 - 57.02
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 846,858,600,000
Float Shares 59,363,830
Forward Eps 3.2139
Forward P E 15.24005
Free Cashflow 482,500,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 25,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.13494
Gross Profits 4,211,000,064
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01894
Held Percent Institutions 1.00234
Implied Shares Outstanding 60,519,140
Industry Food Distribution
Industry Disp Food Distribution
Industry Key food-distribution
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=93228&p=irol-IRHome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,754,092,800
Last Split Date 1,082,419,200
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary United Natural Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of natural, organic, specialty, produce, and conventional grocery and non-food products in the United States and Canada. It operates in three segments: Natural, Wholesale, and Retail. The company distributes grocery and general merchandise, perishables, frozen food, wellness and personal care items, bulk and foodservice, home, health and beauty care, pharmacy, pet food, produce, meat, dairy, and organic/non-GMO products under the ESSENTIAL EVERYDAY, SHOPPERS VALUE, WILD HARVEST, Field Day, STONE RIDGE CREAMERY, EQUALINE, CULINARY CIRCLE, and WOODSTOCK brands. It also engages in the manufacture of natural and organic snack food; importing, roasting, packaging, and distributing of nuts, dried fruit, seeds, trail mixes, granola, natural and organic snack items, and confections under the Woodstock Farms Manufacturing brand; and operation of grocery and liquor stores under the Cub Foods and Shoppers brands. In addition, the company provides shelf and planogram management, retail store support, pricing strategy, shelf tags, electronic payments and coupon processing, store layout and design, equipment sourcing and procurement, point-of-sale hardware and software, network and data hosting solutions, consumer convenience services, automation tools, sustainability services, and administrative back-office solutions; consumer and trade marketing programs; and programs to support suppliers in understanding its markets. Further, it offers web and digital marketing services, such as websites, digital coupon and loyalty programs, mobile applications, e-commerce, and circular programs; and various supply chain, digital, and professional services. It serves grocery chains, retailers, and wholesale customers. United Natural Foods, Inc. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island.
Long Name United Natural Foods, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,964,227,328
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_365303
Most Recent Quarter 1,777,680,000
Net Income To Common -38,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,785,628,800
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,964,227,477
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 48.9
Operating Cashflow 503,000,000
Operating Margins 0.01101
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.09
Phone 401 528 8634
Pre Market Change 0.0399971
Pre Market Change Percent 0.081676744
Pre Market Price 49.01
Pre Market Time 1,784,028,667
Previous Close 48.87
Price Eps Current Year 19.102964
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.8605181
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.09498902
Profit Margins -0.00122
Quick Ratio 0.416
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.4
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.110001
Regular Market Change Percent 0.225088
Regular Market Day High 49.74
Regular Market Day Low 48.0515
Regular Market Day Range 48.0515 - 49.74
Regular Market Open 48.9
Regular Market Previous Close 48.87
Regular Market Price 48.98
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,970
Regular Market Volume 454,019
Return On Assets 0.022880001
Return On Equity -0.02296
Revenue Growth -0.042
Revenue Per Share 513.89
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 60,519,140
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0403
Shares Short 2,440,083
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,772,170
Short Name United Natural Foods, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.056700002
Short Ratio 2.76
Source Interval 15
State RI
Symbol UNFI
Target High Price 56.0
Target Low Price 43.0
Target Mean Price 49.375
Target Median Price 47.5
Total Cash 43,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.711
Total Debt 3,153,999,872
Total Revenue 31,206,000,640
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.66
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 41.52735
Two Hundred Day Average Change 7.452648
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.17946361
Type Disp Equity
Volume 454,019
Website https://www.unfi.com
Zip 2,903