| Indicators | Browse All

Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF - March (UMAR)

Defined Outcome | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
42.34 USD -0.08 (-0.178%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 3:43 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:42 a.m. EDT

This instrument is a leveraged buffer ETF designed for short-term trading, making it unsuitable for long-term holding. The price history shows a strong five-year upward trend with four out of five years delivering positive returns, yet the lack of dividends and the inherent structure of the product mean it offers no income and carries significant decay risks over extended periods. In the near term, the asset is showing signs of consolidation near its yearly highs, trading slightly above its 50-day moving average, which suggests a modest bullish bias for the coming weeks. However, the statistical forecast model indicates a slight upward drift with high confidence, which aligns with the technical setup but should not be mistaken for a fundamental buy signal. Investors should view this strictly as a tactical vehicle for capturing short-term market moves rather than a core portfolio holding.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.004203
AutoETS0.004939
AutoARIMA0.005169
AutoTheta0.008960

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 75%
H-stat 1.28
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.475
Excess Kurtosis -0.67
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 26.60

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 42.49
All Time Low 23.15
Ask 66.07
Ask Size 600
Average Daily Volume10 Day 12,070
Average Daily Volume3 Month 40,070
Average Volume 40,070
Average Volume10Days 12,070
Beta3 Year 0.44
Bid 42.29
Bid Size 100
Category Defined Outcome
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 42.41
Day Low 42.3446
Dividend Yield 0.0
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.591803
Esg Populated 0
Exchange BTS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 41.99676
Fifty Day Average Change 0.34783936
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.008282528
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 12.154365
Fifty Two Week High 42.49
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.145401
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.003422005
Fifty Two Week Low 37.64
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.7046013
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.12498941
Fifty Two Week Range 37.64 - 42.49
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,583,159,400,000
Five Year Average Return 0.077351496
Full Exchange Name Cboe US
Fund Family Innovator ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,582,848,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80% of its net assets (plus any borrowings for investment purposes) in investments that provide exposure to the SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust (the “Underlying ETF”). Although guaranteed for settlement by the OCC, FLEX Options are still subject to counterparty risk with the OCC and may be less liquid than more traditional exchange-traded option contracts. It is non-diversified.
Long Name Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF - March
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_650891201
Nav Price 42.4929
Net Assets 203,073,696.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.79
Open 42.36
Phone (215) 979-3750
Previous Close 42.42
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0753975
Regular Market Change Percent -0.17774
Regular Market Day High 42.41
Regular Market Day Low 42.3446
Regular Market Day Range 42.3446 - 42.41
Regular Market Open 42.36
Regular Market Previous Close 42.42
Regular Market Price 42.3446
Regular Market Time 1,783,971,812
Regular Market Volume 1,561
Short Name Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buf
Source Interval 15
Symbol UMAR
Three Year Average Return 0.1193004
Total Assets 203,073,696
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 26.60166
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 6.90443
Trailing Three Month Returns 6.90443
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 40.407017
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.9375839
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.04795167
Type Disp ETF
Volume 1,561
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return 5.89404