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Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC)

Technology | Computer Hardware | Orlando, United States | NYSE American
17.22 USD -1.59 (-8.453%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 17.16 -0.06 (-0.060%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:35 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is driven by explosive momentum rather than traditional value metrics. The stock has surged nearly 736% in the last year, fueled by government funding buzz and a strategic partnership with Lantronix, pushing it into major Russell indices. While the fundamentals are currently broken—showing negative earnings, negative free cash flow, and a forward P/E that doesn't exist—the market is ignoring these risks entirely in favor of the growth narrative. The options chain confirms this mania, with traders stacking calls at $25 and $30, betting on a continuation of the trend. However, the statistical forecasting model flags the price action as highly noisy and unreliable for precise timing, warning that the current trajectory is built on volatility rather than stability. For the short term, the momentum is undeniable, but investors should be wary of the extreme beta (14.78) and the fact that the company is burning cash while relying on external capital.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.312622
AutoARIMA0.315948
AutoTheta0.324533
AutoETS0.324646

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 24%
H-stat 33.99
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.184
Excess Kurtosis -1.32
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 1.003
Revenue per Share 0.512
Market Cap 823,011,328
Forward P/E -86.10
Beta 14.79
Profit Margins -32.72%
Website https://www.unusualmachines.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:35 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a continued rally, evidenced by massive open interest walls at $20, $25, and $30 strikes across near-term expirations. Call volume significantly outpaces put volume, with notable new flow into $25 and $25.50 calls suggesting a belief in a move toward the $30-$35 range. However, there is a distinct 'pin risk' cluster at the $20 strike where both heavy call and put open interest converge, indicating a potential battle zone for the immediate future. Implied volatility remains elevated relative to historical norms, pricing in significant uncertainty despite the bullish directional bias.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.62155175
Address1 5,728 Major Blvd.
Address2 Suite 250
All Time High 34.36
All Time Low 0.98
Ask 17.2
Ask Size 200
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,980,050
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,079,072
Average Volume 6,079,072
Average Volume10Days 4,980,050
Beta 14.785
Bid 17.04
Bid Size 600
Book Value 6.939
City Orlando
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 17.22
Current Ratio 128.227
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 18.82
Day Low 16.85
Debt To Equity 1.003
Display Name Unusual Machines
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,790,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,790,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,788,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,392,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,392,000
Ebitda -28,957,748
Ebitda Margins -1.67844
Enterprise To Ebitda -18.743
Enterprise To Revenue 31.458
Enterprise Value 542,742,528
Eps Current Year -0.35
Eps Forward -0.2
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.32
Esg Populated 0
Exchange ASE
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 20.4536
Fifty Day Average Change -3.2336006
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.15809445
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 62.155174
Fifty Two Week High 34.36
Fifty Two Week High Change -17.140001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4988359
Fifty Two Week Low 7.245
Fifty Two Week Low Change 9.974999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.3768115
Fifty Two Week Range 7.245 - 34.36
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,707,921,000,000
Float Shares 44,789,597
Forward Eps -0.2
Forward P E -86.1
Free Cashflow -31,673,392
Full Exchange Name NYSE American
Full Time Employees 141
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.35149
Gross Profits 6,064,147
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.063379996
Held Percent Institutions 0.58053
Implied Shares Outstanding 47,793,923
Industry Computer Hardware
Industry Disp Computer Hardware
Industry Key computer-hardware
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Unusual Machines, Inc. engages in the commercial drone industry. The company offers small drones and essential components. It distributes their products through B2B sale, e-commerce site, and retail channel. The company has a strategic collaboration with Lantronix Inc. for the development of autonomous drone components integrating edge AI compute with flight control systems. The company was formerly known as AerocarveUS Corporation and changed its name to Unusual Machines, Inc. in July 2022. Unusual Machines, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
Long Name Unusual Machines, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 823,011,328
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1816580458
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -5,644,344
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 899,003,691
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 18.51
Operating Cashflow -37,396,980
Operating Margins -0.89663005
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 720 383 8983
Post Market Change -0.059999466
Post Market Change Percent -0.34842896
Post Market Price 17.16
Post Market Time 1,783,987,188
Previous Close 18.81
Price Eps Current Year -49.2
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.4816256
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 47.70319
Profit Margins -0.32716
Quick Ratio 116.831
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.59
Regular Market Change Percent -8.45295
Regular Market Day High 18.82
Regular Market Day Low 16.85
Regular Market Day Range 16.85 - 18.82
Regular Market Open 18.51
Regular Market Previous Close 18.81
Regular Market Price 17.22
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 4,175,678
Return On Assets -0.10205
Return On Equity -0.032479998
Revenue Growth 2.964
Revenue Per Share 0.512
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Shares Outstanding 47,793,923
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1586
Shares Short 7,578,805
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 6,917,457
Short Name Unusual Machines, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.16510001
Short Ratio 1.17
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol UMAC
Target High Price 42.0
Target Low Price 25.0
Target Mean Price 33.66667
Target Median Price 35.0
Total Cash 283,596,672
Total Cash Per Share 5.934
Total Debt 3,327,827
Total Revenue 17,252,752
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.32
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 15.2836
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.9363995
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.12669787
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,175,678
Website https://www.unusualmachines.com
Zip 32,811