YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF (ULTY)Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
28.34 USD
-0.31
(-1.082%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 28.30 -0.04 (-0.036%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:57 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:34 a.m. EDT
The long-term rating is a severe 1 star because the business model has fundamentally failed; the share price has collapsed 55% in a single year, and the weekly distributions have cratered by 80%, signaling that the underlying option strategies are no longer generating income. The short-term rating remains low at 2 stars due to the overwhelming options flow showing a 'naked put' strategy where investors are betting on total erasure rather than a bounce. While the headline dividend yield appears astronomical at 36%, this is a mathematical illusion created by the plummeting share price; the recent distribution history shows payouts shrinking rapidly, meaning the yield is not sustainable and will vanish as the price continues to fall. The options market is screaming 'zero,' with billions of dollars in implied value placed on deep out-of-the-money puts, suggesting that any attempt to hold for income is a gamble on a miracle reversal that the market has already priced as impossible. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.024609 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.030144 |
| AutoETS | 0.030255 |
| MSTL | 0.030794 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 51% |
| H-stat | 4.57 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.187 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.81 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 39.13 |
As of July 11, 2026, 4:34 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a catastrophic collapse, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts expiring in late 2027 and 2028 (strikes at $4-$6), which represent a 95%+ probability of total loss. Conversely, call activity is negligible and concentrated in strikes far above the current price ($30-$60), indicating a lack of belief in any recovery. The implied volatility skew is extreme, with deep puts trading at premiums hundreds of times higher than at-the-money contracts, confirming that the market views this as a binary event where the asset likely goes to zero.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.20% | 75.00% | — | — |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | 0.338 | 1.200284 |
| 2026-07-01 | 0.341 | 1.178300 |
| 2026-06-24 | 0.382 | 1.310913 |
| 2026-06-17 | 0.390 | 1.302170 |
| 2026-06-10 | 0.349 | 1.209286 |
| 2026-06-03 | 0.396 | 1.271676 |
| 2026-05-27 | 0.395 | 1.264809 |
| 2026-05-20 | 0.395 | 1.284971 |
| 2026-05-13 | 0.405 | 1.268797 |
| 2026-05-06 | 0.400 | 1.252348 |
| 2026-04-29 | 0.403 | 1.312276 |
| 2026-04-22 | 0.437 | 1.360523 |
| 2026-04-15 | 0.397 | 1.261118 |
| 2026-04-08 | 0.420 | 1.359223 |
| 2026-04-01 | 0.372 | 1.220072 |
| 2026-03-25 | 0.432 | 1.364067 |
| 2026-03-18 | 0.407 | 1.274663 |
| 2026-03-11 | 0.416 | 1.274900 |
| 2026-03-04 | 0.480 | 1.416347 |
| 2026-02-25 | 0.475 | 1.332772 |
| 2026-02-18 | 0.436 | 1.267074 |
| 2026-02-11 | 0.451 | 1.293746 |
| 2026-02-04 | 0.454 | 1.313277 |
| 2026-01-28 | 0.502 | 1.351279 |
| 2026-01-21 | 0.505 | 1.369306 |
| 2026-01-14 | 0.519 | 1.381789 |
| 2026-01-07 | 0.471 | 1.245702 |
| 2025-12-31 | 0.487 | 1.304581 |
| 2025-12-24 | 0.571 | 1.470891 |
| 2025-12-17 | 0.492 | 1.321870 |
| 2025-12-10 | 0.546 | 1.361257 |
| 2025-12-03 | 0.588 | 1.475163 |
| 2025-11-26 | 0.590 | 1.475000 |
| 2025-11-19 | 0.640 | 1.592040 |
| 2025-11-12 | 0.630 | 1.438356 |
| 2025-11-05 | 0.790 | 1.680851 |
| 2025-10-29 | 0.850 | 1.713710 |
| 2025-10-22 | 0.900 | 1.825558 |
| 2025-10-15 | 0.910 | 1.704120 |
| 2025-10-09 | 0.900 | 1.648352 |
| 2025-10-02 | 0.910 | 1.663620 |
| 2025-09-25 | 0.920 | 1.691176 |
| 2025-09-18 | 0.930 | 1.654804 |
| 2025-09-11 | 0.930 | 1.687840 |
| 2025-09-04 | 0.900 | 1.642336 |
| 2025-08-28 | 0.950 | 1.652174 |
| 2025-08-21 | 1.000 | 1.785714 |
| 2025-08-14 | 1.010 | 1.697479 |
| 2025-08-07 | 1.000 | 1.655629 |
| 2025-07-31 | 1.010 | 1.644951 |
| 2025-07-24 | 1.030 | 1.645367 |
| 2025-07-17 | 1.040 | 1.625000 |
| 2025-07-10 | 0.960 | 1.540931 |
| 2025-07-03 | 0.950 | 1.512739 |
| 2025-06-26 | 0.920 | 1.467305 |
| 2025-06-20 | 0.880 | 1.419355 |
| 2025-06-12 | 0.950 | 1.534733 |
| 2025-06-05 | 0.950 | 1.572848 |
| 2025-05-29 | 0.950 | 1.549755 |
| 2025-05-22 | 0.980 | 1.606557 |
| 2025-05-15 | 1.060 | 1.726384 |
| 2025-05-08 | 1.180 | 1.960133 |
| 2025-05-01 | 0.940 | 1.604096 |
| 2025-04-24 | 0.840 | 1.445783 |
| 2025-04-17 | 0.850 | 1.509769 |
| 2025-04-10 | 0.820 | 1.472172 |
| 2025-04-03 | 0.920 | 1.597222 |
| 2025-03-27 | 0.990 | 1.563981 |
| 2025-03-20 | 0.980 | 1.500766 |
| 2025-03-13 | 1.030 | 1.650641 |
| 2025-03-06 | 4.650 | 6.848306 |
| 2025-02-06 | 5.370 | 6.572828 |
| 2025-01-08 | 5.720 | 6.721504 |
| 2024-12-12 | 7.090 | 7.591006 |
| 2024-11-14 | 8.310 | 8.558188 |
| 2024-10-17 | 8.270 | 8.395939 |
| 2024-09-19 | 9.830 | 9.379771 |
| 2024-08-15 | 7.800 | 7.103825 |
| 2024-07-17 | 9.950 | 7.713178 |
| 2024-06-14 | 11.340 | 8.271334 |
| 2024-05-15 | 12.780 | 8.606061 |
| 2024-04-17 | 14.170 | 9.452969 |
| 2024-03-14 | 10.650 | 5.966387 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 205.5 |
| All Time Low | 11.19 |
| Ask | 28.34 |
| Ask Size | 1,000 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 423,560 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 612,572 |
| Average Volume | 612,572 |
| Average Volume10Days | 423,560 |
| Beta3 Year | 0.0 |
| Bid | 28.33 |
| Bid Size | 500 |
| Category | Derivative Income |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 28.5401 |
| Day Low | 28.2564 |
| Dividend Yield | 36.36 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.7241693 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | PCX |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 30.5502 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -2.2101994 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.07234648 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -54.451515 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 64.6 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -36.26 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.5613003 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 27.73 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.6100006 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.021997858 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 27.73 - 64.6 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,709,217,000,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSEArca |
| Fund Family | YieldMax ETFs |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,709,078,400 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | The fund is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks current income while providing direct and/or indirect exposure to the share price of select U.S. listed securities, subject to a limit on potential investment gains. It uses both traditional and synthetic covered call strategies that are designed to produce higher income levels when the underlying securities experience more volatility. The fund is non-diversified. |
| Long Name | YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1869805004 |
| Nav Price | 28.7026 |
| Net Assets | 895,918,210.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 1.3 |
| Open | 28.36 |
| Post Market Change | -0.035900116 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.12667648 |
| Post Market Price | 28.3041 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,987,070 |
| Previous Close | 28.65 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.309999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.08202 |
| Regular Market Day High | 28.5401 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 28.2564 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 28.2564 - 28.5401 |
| Regular Market Open | 28.36 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 28.65 |
| Regular Market Price | 28.34 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 383,288 |
| Short Name | YieldMax Ultra Option Income St |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | ULTY |
| Total Assets | 895,918,208 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing P E | 39.134495 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | 13.71365 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | 13.71365 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 37.2908 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -8.950798 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.240027 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 383,288 |
| Yield | 0.36360002 |
| Ytd Return | 9.18347 |