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YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF (ULTY)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
26.32 USD -0.48 (-1.791%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 26.42 +0.10 (0.380%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:50 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:49 a.m. EDT

The headline yield of 41% is a mathematical illusion born entirely of capital destruction. The fund has lost nearly half its value in just one year, and the recent price action shows no sign of stabilization, hovering near multi-year lows. The distribution history reveals a dangerous pattern: the fund is paying out massive checks (often exceeding $1 per share) while the underlying asset value evaporates, effectively returning principal to shareholders rather than generating income. This is not a high-yield investment; it is a slow-motion liquidation event disguised as a dividend aristocrat. The options market confirms this grim outlook, with heavy betting on a further plunge to single-digit prices. Investors chasing this yield are likely to see their remaining capital wiped out before the first meaningful distribution arrives.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.054716
MSTL0.059109
AutoARIMA0.061484
AutoETS0.064348

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 58%
H-stat 4.96
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.936
Excess Kurtosis -0.11
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 33.73

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:49 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a catastrophic collapse, evidenced by massive open interest walls in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes $4-$6) with inflated implied volatility compared to the money market. Conversely, call activity is negligible and concentrated in very low strikes, indicating zero speculative demand for upside recovery. The skew suggests a 'gamma squeeze' fear where traders are buying cheap insurance against a drop to pennies while ignoring the cost of holding the asset.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.16% 73.19%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-26 0.308 1.162264
2026-08-19 0.320 1.207547
2026-08-12 0.318 1.170409
2026-08-05 0.308 1.150542
2026-07-29 0.310 1.221916
2026-07-22 0.318 1.165689
2026-07-15 0.330 1.170628
2026-07-08 0.338 1.200284
2026-07-01 0.341 1.178300
2026-06-24 0.382 1.310913
2026-06-17 0.390 1.302170
2026-06-10 0.349 1.209286
2026-06-03 0.396 1.271676
2026-05-27 0.395 1.264809
2026-05-20 0.395 1.284971
2026-05-13 0.405 1.268797
2026-05-06 0.400 1.252348
2026-04-29 0.403 1.312276
2026-04-22 0.437 1.360523
2026-04-15 0.397 1.261118
2026-04-08 0.420 1.359223
2026-04-01 0.372 1.220072
2026-03-25 0.432 1.364067
2026-03-18 0.407 1.274663
2026-03-11 0.416 1.274900
2026-03-04 0.480 1.416347
2026-02-25 0.475 1.332772
2026-02-18 0.436 1.267074
2026-02-11 0.451 1.293746
2026-02-04 0.454 1.313277
2026-01-28 0.502 1.351279
2026-01-21 0.505 1.369306
2026-01-14 0.519 1.381789
2026-01-07 0.471 1.245702
2025-12-31 0.487 1.304581
2025-12-24 0.571 1.470891
2025-12-17 0.492 1.321870
2025-12-10 0.546 1.361257
2025-12-03 0.588 1.475163
2025-11-26 0.590 1.475000
2025-11-19 0.640 1.592040
2025-11-12 0.630 1.438356
2025-11-05 0.790 1.680851
2025-10-29 0.850 1.713710
2025-10-22 0.900 1.825558
2025-10-15 0.910 1.704120
2025-10-09 0.900 1.648352
2025-10-02 0.910 1.663620
2025-09-25 0.920 1.691176
2025-09-18 0.930 1.654804
2025-09-11 0.930 1.687840
2025-09-04 0.900 1.642336
2025-08-28 0.950 1.652174
2025-08-21 1.000 1.785714
2025-08-14 1.010 1.697479
2025-08-07 1.000 1.655629
2025-07-31 1.010 1.644951
2025-07-24 1.030 1.645367
2025-07-17 1.040 1.625000
2025-07-10 0.960 1.540931
2025-07-03 0.950 1.512739
2025-06-26 0.920 1.467305
2025-06-20 0.880 1.419355
2025-06-12 0.950 1.534733
2025-06-05 0.950 1.572848
2025-05-29 0.950 1.549755
2025-05-22 0.980 1.606557
2025-05-15 1.060 1.726384
2025-05-08 1.180 1.960133
2025-05-01 0.940 1.604096
2025-04-24 0.840 1.445783
2025-04-17 0.850 1.509769
2025-04-10 0.820 1.472172
2025-04-03 0.920 1.597222
2025-03-27 0.990 1.563981
2025-03-20 0.980 1.500766
2025-03-13 1.030 1.650641
2025-03-06 4.650 6.848306
2025-02-06 5.370 6.572828
2025-01-08 5.720 6.721504
2024-12-12 7.090 7.591006
2024-11-14 8.310 8.558188
2024-10-17 8.270 8.395939
2024-09-19 9.830 9.379771
2024-08-15 7.800 7.103825
2024-07-17 9.950 7.713178
2024-06-14 11.340 8.271334
2024-05-15 12.780 8.606061
2024-04-17 14.170 9.452969
2024-03-14 10.650 5.966387
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 41.24

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 205.5
All Time Low 11.19
Ask 26.41
Ask Size 100
Average Daily Volume10 Day 414,180
Average Daily Volume3 Month 501,254
Average Volume 501,254
Average Volume10Days 414,180
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 26.4
Bid Size 700
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 26.855
Day Low 26.32
Dividend Yield 41.24
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.78020006
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 27.693
Fifty Day Average Change -1.3730011
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.049579356
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -52.397873
Fifty Two Week High 56.9
Fifty Two Week High Change -30.580002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5374341
Fifty Two Week Low 25.31
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.0100002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.039905187
Fifty Two Week Range 25.31 - 56.9
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,709,217,000,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change -0.48
Fullday Change Percent -1.79104
Fullday Price 26.42
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,709,078,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks current income while providing direct and/or indirect exposure to the share price of select U.S. listed securities, subject to a limit on potential investment gains. It uses both traditional and synthetic covered call strategies that are designed to produce higher income levels when the underlying securities experience more volatility. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1869805004
Nav Price 26.4997
Net Assets 741,029,120.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.3
Open 26.72
Post Market Change 0.10000038
Post Market Change Percent 0.37994066
Post Market Price 26.42
Post Market Time 1,787,961,010
Previous Close 26.8
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.48
Regular Market Change Percent -1.79104
Regular Market Day High 26.855
Regular Market Day Low 26.32
Regular Market Day Range 26.32 - 26.855
Regular Market Open 26.72
Regular Market Previous Close 26.8
Regular Market Price 26.32
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 527,651
Short Name YieldMax Ultra Option Income St
Source Interval 15
Symbol ULTY
Total Assets 741,029,120
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 33.734936
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -2.237
Trailing Three Month Returns -2.237
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 33.02805
Two Hundred Day Average Change -6.70805
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.2031016
Type Disp ETF
Volume 527,651
Yield 0.4124
Ytd Return 2.38707