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YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF (ULTY)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
28.34 USD -0.31 (-1.082%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 28.30 -0.04 (-0.036%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:57 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:34 a.m. EDT

The long-term rating is a severe 1 star because the business model has fundamentally failed; the share price has collapsed 55% in a single year, and the weekly distributions have cratered by 80%, signaling that the underlying option strategies are no longer generating income. The short-term rating remains low at 2 stars due to the overwhelming options flow showing a 'naked put' strategy where investors are betting on total erasure rather than a bounce. While the headline dividend yield appears astronomical at 36%, this is a mathematical illusion created by the plummeting share price; the recent distribution history shows payouts shrinking rapidly, meaning the yield is not sustainable and will vanish as the price continues to fall. The options market is screaming 'zero,' with billions of dollars in implied value placed on deep out-of-the-money puts, suggesting that any attempt to hold for income is a gamble on a miracle reversal that the market has already priced as impossible.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.024609
AutoARIMA0.030144
AutoETS0.030255
MSTL0.030794

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 51%
H-stat 4.57
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.187
Excess Kurtosis -0.81
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 39.13

As of July 11, 2026, 4:34 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a catastrophic collapse, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts expiring in late 2027 and 2028 (strikes at $4-$6), which represent a 95%+ probability of total loss. Conversely, call activity is negligible and concentrated in strikes far above the current price ($30-$60), indicating a lack of belief in any recovery. The implied volatility skew is extreme, with deep puts trading at premiums hundreds of times higher than at-the-money contracts, confirming that the market views this as a binary event where the asset likely goes to zero.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.20% 75.00%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-08 0.338 1.200284
2026-07-01 0.341 1.178300
2026-06-24 0.382 1.310913
2026-06-17 0.390 1.302170
2026-06-10 0.349 1.209286
2026-06-03 0.396 1.271676
2026-05-27 0.395 1.264809
2026-05-20 0.395 1.284971
2026-05-13 0.405 1.268797
2026-05-06 0.400 1.252348
2026-04-29 0.403 1.312276
2026-04-22 0.437 1.360523
2026-04-15 0.397 1.261118
2026-04-08 0.420 1.359223
2026-04-01 0.372 1.220072
2026-03-25 0.432 1.364067
2026-03-18 0.407 1.274663
2026-03-11 0.416 1.274900
2026-03-04 0.480 1.416347
2026-02-25 0.475 1.332772
2026-02-18 0.436 1.267074
2026-02-11 0.451 1.293746
2026-02-04 0.454 1.313277
2026-01-28 0.502 1.351279
2026-01-21 0.505 1.369306
2026-01-14 0.519 1.381789
2026-01-07 0.471 1.245702
2025-12-31 0.487 1.304581
2025-12-24 0.571 1.470891
2025-12-17 0.492 1.321870
2025-12-10 0.546 1.361257
2025-12-03 0.588 1.475163
2025-11-26 0.590 1.475000
2025-11-19 0.640 1.592040
2025-11-12 0.630 1.438356
2025-11-05 0.790 1.680851
2025-10-29 0.850 1.713710
2025-10-22 0.900 1.825558
2025-10-15 0.910 1.704120
2025-10-09 0.900 1.648352
2025-10-02 0.910 1.663620
2025-09-25 0.920 1.691176
2025-09-18 0.930 1.654804
2025-09-11 0.930 1.687840
2025-09-04 0.900 1.642336
2025-08-28 0.950 1.652174
2025-08-21 1.000 1.785714
2025-08-14 1.010 1.697479
2025-08-07 1.000 1.655629
2025-07-31 1.010 1.644951
2025-07-24 1.030 1.645367
2025-07-17 1.040 1.625000
2025-07-10 0.960 1.540931
2025-07-03 0.950 1.512739
2025-06-26 0.920 1.467305
2025-06-20 0.880 1.419355
2025-06-12 0.950 1.534733
2025-06-05 0.950 1.572848
2025-05-29 0.950 1.549755
2025-05-22 0.980 1.606557
2025-05-15 1.060 1.726384
2025-05-08 1.180 1.960133
2025-05-01 0.940 1.604096
2025-04-24 0.840 1.445783
2025-04-17 0.850 1.509769
2025-04-10 0.820 1.472172
2025-04-03 0.920 1.597222
2025-03-27 0.990 1.563981
2025-03-20 0.980 1.500766
2025-03-13 1.030 1.650641
2025-03-06 4.650 6.848306
2025-02-06 5.370 6.572828
2025-01-08 5.720 6.721504
2024-12-12 7.090 7.591006
2024-11-14 8.310 8.558188
2024-10-17 8.270 8.395939
2024-09-19 9.830 9.379771
2024-08-15 7.800 7.103825
2024-07-17 9.950 7.713178
2024-06-14 11.340 8.271334
2024-05-15 12.780 8.606061
2024-04-17 14.170 9.452969
2024-03-14 10.650 5.966387
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 36.36

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 205.5
All Time Low 11.19
Ask 28.34
Ask Size 1,000
Average Daily Volume10 Day 423,560
Average Daily Volume3 Month 612,572
Average Volume 612,572
Average Volume10Days 423,560
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 28.33
Bid Size 500
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 28.5401
Day Low 28.2564
Dividend Yield 36.36
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.7241693
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 30.5502
Fifty Day Average Change -2.2101994
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.07234648
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -54.451515
Fifty Two Week High 64.6
Fifty Two Week High Change -36.26
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5613003
Fifty Two Week Low 27.73
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.6100006
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.021997858
Fifty Two Week Range 27.73 - 64.6
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,709,217,000,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,709,078,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks current income while providing direct and/or indirect exposure to the share price of select U.S. listed securities, subject to a limit on potential investment gains. It uses both traditional and synthetic covered call strategies that are designed to produce higher income levels when the underlying securities experience more volatility. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1869805004
Nav Price 28.7026
Net Assets 895,918,210.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.3
Open 28.36
Post Market Change -0.035900116
Post Market Change Percent -0.12667648
Post Market Price 28.3041
Post Market Time 1,783,987,070
Previous Close 28.65
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.309999
Regular Market Change Percent -1.08202
Regular Market Day High 28.5401
Regular Market Day Low 28.2564
Regular Market Day Range 28.2564 - 28.5401
Regular Market Open 28.36
Regular Market Previous Close 28.65
Regular Market Price 28.34
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 383,288
Short Name YieldMax Ultra Option Income St
Source Interval 15
Symbol ULTY
Total Assets 895,918,208
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 39.134495
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 13.71365
Trailing Three Month Returns 13.71365
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 37.2908
Two Hundred Day Average Change -8.950798
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.240027
Type Disp ETF
Volume 383,288
Yield 0.36360002
Ytd Return 9.18347