Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC)Industrials | Airlines | Denver, United States | NasdaqGS
6.57 USD
-0.37
(-5.331%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 6.60 +0.03 (0.452%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:37 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:33 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Frontier Group Holdings is effectively broken by a catastrophic multi-year decline. The stock has lost over 73% of its value since 2021, with four consecutive years of negative annual returns, signaling a deep structural deterioration in the business rather than a temporary market dislocation. Fundamentally, the company is hemorrhaging cash with negative operating margins, negative free cash flow, and a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 2,300%. The balance sheet is fragile, with a current ratio below 0.5, making it highly susceptible to liquidity stress in a downturn. While the forward P/E looks cheap, it is based on a tiny expected EPS of $0.33, reflecting the market's expectation of continued struggles. There is no dividend to provide income, and the recent price action shows volatility without a clear upward trend. Options data confirms this pessimism, with traders buying heavy insurance against further drops. Despite a cautious analyst upgrade, the underlying fundamentals and the relentless downward price trajectory make this a dangerous hold. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.192808 |
| AutoETS | 0.192811 |
| MSTL | 0.196343 |
| AutoTheta | 0.197138 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 33% |
| H-stat | 5.06 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.349 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.05 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 2363.964 |
| Revenue per Share | 16.656 |
| Market Cap | 1,509,715,968 |
| Forward P/E | 19.72 |
| Beta | 2.57 |
| Profit Margins | -9.62% |
| Website | https://www.flyfrontier.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 4:33 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in October 2026 and January 2027, particularly at strikes significantly below the current price. This 'bear put' positioning suggests a high probability of further decline rather than a rebound. Conversely, call activity is sparse and concentrated near the money or slightly out-of-the-money, indicating a lack of speculative capital betting on a recovery.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.67228913 |
| Address1 | 4,545 Airport Way |
| All Time High | 22.7 |
| All Time Low | 2.79 |
| Ask | 8.37 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 3.3 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 3,839,960 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 5,398,550 |
| Average Volume | 5,398,550 |
| Average Volume10Days | 3,839,960 |
| Beta | 2.566 |
| Bid | 4.96 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 8 |
| Book Value | 0.966 |
| City | Denver |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 6 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 6.57 |
| Current Ratio | 0.491 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 6.925 |
| Day Low | 6.46 |
| Debt To Equity | 2,363.964 |
| Display Name | Frontier |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,777,993,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,777,993,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,777,984,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,933,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,933,000 |
| Ebitda | -583,000,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.15326001 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -10.267 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.574 |
| Enterprise Value | 5,985,715,712 |
| Eps Current Year | -0.77113 |
| Eps Forward | 0.33317 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -1.59 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 5.9501 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.6199002 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.10418316 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 67.22891 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 8.405 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -1.8349996 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.21832238 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 3.02 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 3.5500002 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.1754968 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 3.02 - 8.405 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,617,283,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 57,741,464 |
| Forward Eps | 0.33317 |
| Forward P E | 19.719664 |
| Free Cashflow | -245,124,992 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 8,198 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | -0.019450001 |
| Gross Profits | -74,000,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.48584998 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.55078 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 229,789,335 |
| Industry | Airlines |
| Industry Disp | Airlines |
| Industry Key | airlines |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-04-01 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., provides low-fare passenger airline services to leisure travelers in the United States and Latin America. The company sells its products through direct distribution channels, such as websites, mobile apps, and contact centers. As of December 31, 2025, it had a fleet of 176 Airbus single-aisle aircraft. Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. |
| Long Name | Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,509,715,968 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_335578 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -366,000,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,594,737,984 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 9 |
| Open | 6.73 |
| Operating Cashflow | -399,000,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.33266 |
| Overall Risk | 7 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 720 374 4550 |
| Post Market Change | 0.029699802 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.4520518 |
| Post Market Price | 6.5997 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,985,863 |
| Previous Close | 6.94 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -8.519964 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 6.8012424 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.39687592 |
| Profit Margins | -0.09621 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.424 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 3.25 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.37 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -5.33141 |
| Regular Market Day High | 6.925 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 6.46 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 6.46 - 6.925 |
| Regular Market Open | 6.73 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 6.94 |
| Regular Market Price | 6.57 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 6,123,743 |
| Return On Assets | -0.06288 |
| Return On Equity | -0.92424005 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.088 |
| Revenue Per Share | 16.656 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 229,789,335 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.103 |
| Shares Short | 23,658,419 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 23,317,162 |
| Short Name | Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.406 |
| Short Ratio | 5.35 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CO |
| Symbol | ULCC |
| Target High Price | 9.0 |
| Target Low Price | 4.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 6.66667 |
| Target Median Price | 7.0 |
| Total Cash | 772,000,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 3.36 |
| Total Debt | 5,248,000,000 |
| Total Revenue | 3,804,000,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -1.59 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 4.8185 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 1.7515001 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.36349487 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 6,123,743 |
| Website | https://www.flyfrontier.com |
| Zip | 80,239 |