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Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC)

Industrials | Airlines | Denver, United States | NasdaqGS
5.84 USD -0.07 (-1.184%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 5.91 +0.07 (1.199%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:55 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:31 a.m. EDT

Frontier Group Holdings presents a classic value trap scenario where the balance sheet is crumbling under the weight of debt while the business fails to generate cash. The company is drowning in liabilities, with a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 3,800% and negative free cash flow, meaning it is burning through capital reserves rather than generating them. Despite a recent price rebound, the underlying fundamentals remain dire, with negative operating margins and a return on equity that is deeply distressed. The market has correctly priced this as a speculative gamble; the heavy options positioning on the downside confirms that smart money is betting on further deterioration or a liquidity event, not a sustainable turnaround. There is no dividend to provide income, and the path to profitability remains obscured by structural inefficiencies.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.127237
AutoARIMA0.132827
AutoETS0.132835
AutoTheta0.135163

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 0.62
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.524
Excess Kurtosis -0.81
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 3854.412
Revenue per Share 18.142
Market Cap 1,344,460,160
Forward P/E 15.00
Beta 2.60
Profit Margins -9.29%
Website https://www.flyfrontier.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:31 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts expiring in late 2026 and early 2027. This 'naked put' positioning suggests a belief that the stock could trade significantly lower, potentially below $3. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money or slightly out-of-the-money, indicating a hedge against a modest bounce rather than a conviction bet on a major rally. Implied volatility is elevated, reflecting uncertainty about whether the recent recovery can sustain itself.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.04099822
Address1 4,545 Airport Way
All Time High 22.7
All Time Low 2.79
Ask 5.87
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 3.3 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,449,130
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,844,536
Average Volume 3,844,536
Average Volume10Days 2,449,130
Beta 2.6
Bid 4.23
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 8
Book Value 0.966
City Denver
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 5.84
Current Ratio 0.583
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 6.03
Day Low 5.84
Debt To Equity 3,854.412
Display Name Frontier
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,337,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,337,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,328,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda -473,000,000
Ebitda Margins -0.11387
Enterprise To Ebitda -11.906
Enterprise To Revenue 1.356
Enterprise Value 5,631,460,352
Eps Current Year -0.31623
Eps Forward 0.38939
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.66
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 6.7857
Fifty Day Average Change -0.9456997
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.13936657
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 4.099822
Fifty Two Week High 8.405
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.5649996
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.30517545
Fifty Two Week Low 3.02
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.8200002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.9337749
Fifty Two Week Range 3.02 - 8.405
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,617,283,800,000
Float Shares 70,298,688
Forward Eps 0.38939
Forward P E 14.997818
Free Cashflow -78,250,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 8,352
Fullday Change -0.0699997
Fullday Change Percent -1.18443
Fullday Price 5.91
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.0055400003
Gross Profits 23,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.43344003
Held Percent Institutions 0.59617
Implied Shares Outstanding 230,215,771
Industry Airlines
Industry Disp Airlines
Industry Key airlines
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-04-01
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., provides low-fare passenger airline services to leisure travelers in the United States and Latin America. The company sells its products through direct distribution channels, such as websites, mobile apps, and contact centers. As of December 31, 2025, it had a fleet of 176 Airbus single-aisle aircraft. Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Long Name Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,344,460,160
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_335578
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -386,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,361,726,285
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 5.93
Operating Cashflow -115,000,000
Operating Margins -0.092259996
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 720 374 4550
Post Market Change 0.069999695
Post Market Change Percent 1.1986248
Post Market Price 5.91
Post Market Time 1,787,961,320
Previous Close 5.91
Price Eps Current Year -18.467571
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 6.045549
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.32365435
Profit Margins -0.09292
Quick Ratio 0.517
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.25
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0699997
Regular Market Change Percent -1.18443
Regular Market Day High 6.03
Regular Market Day Low 5.84
Regular Market Day Range 5.84 - 6.03
Regular Market Open 5.93
Regular Market Previous Close 5.91
Regular Market Price 5.84
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 1,801,065
Return On Assets -0.05248
Return On Equity -1.20249
Revenue Growth 0.377
Revenue Per Share 18.142
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 230,215,771
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1008
Shares Short 23,208,255
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 23,746,229
Short Name Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.39540002
Short Ratio 5.95
Source Interval 15
State CO
Symbol ULCC
Target High Price 9.0
Target Low Price 4.0
Target Mean Price 6.77778
Target Median Price 7.0
Total Cash 955,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 4.148
Total Debt 5,241,999,872
Total Revenue 4,153,999,872
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.66
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 5.207175
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.6328254
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.121529505
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,801,065
Website https://www.flyfrontier.com
Zip 80,239