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ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL)

Trading--Leveraged Commodities | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
43.38 USD -2.38 (-5.201%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:24 a.m. EDT

The 2x leveraged nature of this instrument creates a dangerous feedback loop that is currently punishing the holder. Despite a strong multi-year price trajectory driven by the underlying gold rally, the recent 14-day price action shows significant volatility and a failure to recover from intraweek lows, leaving the fund significantly underwater against its moving averages. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts while offering very little premium for upside moves. This asymmetry suggests that while the long-term thesis on gold may remain intact, the specific vehicle of 2x leverage is currently a liability due to compounding drag and high volatility. Without a dividend to offset decay, holding this position requires a belief in an immediate, violent reversal of the underlying asset, which the current options flow does not support.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.062825
MSTL0.115041
AutoARIMA0.126610
AutoETS0.126615

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 14.81
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.133
Excess Kurtosis -0.36

As of July 11, 2026, 4:24 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (3.6k contracts at $51 strike for July expiry) compared to negligible call volume. While there is some speculative call activity at distant strikes ($65-$70), the overwhelming capital allocation is defensive, suggesting a fear of a sharp correction in the leveraged gold ETF.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 90.4
All Time Low 5.715
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 200
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,637,040
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,251,921
Average Volume 2,251,921
Average Volume10Days 1,637,040
Beta3 Year 0.57
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 1,900
Category Trading--Leveraged Commodities
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 44.75
Day Low 43.03
Dividend Yield 0.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 52.6206
Fifty Day Average Change -9.240601
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.17560804
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 29.375172
Fifty Two Week High 90.4
Fifty Two Week High Change -47.02
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5201327
Fifty Two Week Low 33.54
Fifty Two Week Low Change 9.84
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.29338104
Fifty Two Week Range 33.54 - 90.4
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,228,314,600,000
Five Year Average Return 0.23799449
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family ProShares
Fund Inception Date 1,228,089,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund seeks to meet its investment objective by investing, under normal market conditions, in any one of, or combinations of, Financial Instruments (including swap agreements, futures contracts, forward contracts and option contracts) based on the benchmark. The types and mix of Financial Instruments in which the fund invests may vary daily at the discretion of the Sponsor. It will not invest directly in any commodity.
Long Name ProShares Ultra Gold
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_51310772
Nav Price 45.685
Net Assets 638,707,840.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.19
Open 44.73
Phone 240-497-6400
Pre Market Change 0.43999863
Pre Market Change Percent 1.0142891
Pre Market Price 43.82
Pre Market Time 1,784,022,809
Previous Close 45.76
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.38
Regular Market Change Percent -5.20104
Regular Market Day High 44.75
Regular Market Day Low 43.03
Regular Market Day Range 43.03 - 44.75
Regular Market Open 44.73
Regular Market Previous Close 45.76
Regular Market Price 43.38
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 1,949,445
Short Name ProShares Ultra Gold
Source Interval 15
Symbol UGL
Three Year Average Return 0.42058048
Total Assets 638,707,840
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -27.27228
Trailing Three Month Returns -27.27228
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 58.168
Two Hundred Day Average Change -14.787998
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.2542291
Type Disp ETF
Volume 1,949,445
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return -21.20036