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ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL)

Trading--Leveraged Commodities | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
45.54 USD -0.36 (-0.783%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 9:31 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 11:15 a.m. EDT

The 2x leveraged structure of this gold ETF creates a dangerous divergence between its spectacular long-term history and its current reality. While the nine-year trajectory shows a staggering 391% gain driven by a massive 107% surge last year, the recent price action tells a different story. The asset is currently trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day averages, indicating that the recent rally has stalled and the short-term trend is now bearish. With zero dividends and a recent price drop below the 50-day moving average, the immediate outlook is weak. The options market confirms this hesitation; traders are buying protection near current prices while dreaming of a parabolic move higher, but they aren't betting on a steady climb. For a leveraged product, being below key moving averages after such a violent run-up is a warning sign of mean reversion. Until the price reclaims its 50-day average, the momentum is broken.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.103703
AutoARIMA0.106086
AutoETS0.109189
AutoTheta0.170630

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 0.35
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.881
Excess Kurtosis -0.35

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 11:15 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a clear directional bet. Call Open Interest builds heavily at distant strikes (60, 100, 115) suggesting a desire for massive upside moves, while Put Open Interest concentrates tightly around the money (45-48) acting as a floor. The massive IV spikes at extreme strikes indicate fear of a gap-up or gap-down event, but the lack of directional volume imbalance suggests the market is hedging against range expansion rather than committing to a specific trend.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 90.4
All Time Low 5.715
Ask 45.7
Ask Size 3,600
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,530,240
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,754,060
Average Volume 2,754,060
Average Volume10Days 2,530,240
Beta3 Year 0.58
Bid 45.69
Bid Size 600
Category Trading--Leveraged Commodities
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 45.6
Day Low 45.5407
Dividend Yield 0.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 50.0564
Fifty Day Average Change -4.5157013
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.09021226
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -16.11842
Fifty Two Week High 90.4
Fifty Two Week High Change -44.859303
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.49623123
Fifty Two Week Low 42.42
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.1207008
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.073566735
Fifty Two Week Range 42.42 - 90.4
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,228,314,600,000
Five Year Average Return 0.24957491
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change -0.35930252
Fullday Change Percent -0.7827941
Fullday Price 45.5407
Fund Family ProShares
Fund Inception Date 1,228,089,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund seeks to meet its investment objective by investing, under normal market conditions, in any one of, or combinations of, Financial Instruments (including swap agreements, futures contracts, forward contracts and option contracts) based on the benchmark. The types and mix of Financial Instruments in which the fund invests may vary daily at the discretion of the Sponsor. It will not invest directly in any commodity.
Long Name ProShares Ultra Gold
Market us_market
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_51310772
Nav Price 44.006
Net Assets 765,470,980.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.19
Open 45.49
Phone 240-497-6400
Previous Close 45.9
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.35930252
Regular Market Change Percent -0.7827941
Regular Market Day High 45.6
Regular Market Day Low 45.5407
Regular Market Day Range 45.5407 - 45.6
Regular Market Open 45.49
Regular Market Previous Close 45.9
Regular Market Price 45.5407
Regular Market Time 1,792,157,487
Regular Market Volume 138,231
Short Name ProShares Ultra Gold
Source Interval 15
Symbol UGL
Three Year Average Return 0.4587556
Total Assets 765,470,976
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 3.7481
Trailing Three Month Returns 3.7481
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 57.16495
Two Hundred Day Average Change -11.624252
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.20334579
Type Disp ETF
Volume 138,231
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return -18.24687