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Defiance Space and Connective Tech ETF (UFOX)

Technology | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
86.24 USD -2.76 (-3.101%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:13 a.m. EDT

The Defiance Space and Connective Tech ETF presents a compelling case for a tactical swing trade driven by sector momentum, though it lacks the deep value cushion of traditional large-cap tech. Fundamentally, the business quality is strong, evidenced by a robust 115% cumulative gain over the last six years and a streak of five consecutive positive annual returns. However, the valuation is stretched, trading at a P/E of roughly 32x, which leaves little room for error if growth slows. The recent price action shows some weakness, dipping below the 50-day moving average, yet the technical structure remains intact with the 200-day line acting as a solid floor. Crucially, the options market is screaming 'upside,' with traders positioning for a breakout above $100 in the coming months while ignoring downside risks entirely. This divergence between a moderately valued, high-growth ETF and an aggressively bullish options flow creates a favorable setup for a near-term rally, provided the broader space sector continues to rally.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.067139
AutoARIMA0.076338
MSTL0.101525
AutoETS0.101925

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 0.52
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.497
Excess Kurtosis -0.84
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 31.54

As of July 11, 2026, 5:13 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish, with open interest heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money calls (90%+ OTM concentration) and virtually zero put volume. The massive buildup in August and November call strikes suggests a bet on significant upside volatility rather than a defensive hedge.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.12% 0.54% 0.84% 1.13%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-24 0.111 0.124878
2026-03-25 0.096 0.134363
2025-12-29 0.101 0.156883
2025-09-24 0.074 0.119297
2025-06-25 0.102 0.197598
2025-03-26 0.077 0.173073
2024-12-27 0.092 0.189495
2024-09-25 0.093 0.216279
2024-06-26 0.109 0.263935
2024-03-20 0.083 0.213918
2023-12-27 0.121 0.335552
2023-09-20 0.126 0.400636
2023-06-21 0.167 0.513057
2023-03-22 0.086 0.274585
2022-12-28 0.130 0.446122
2022-09-21 0.103 0.338816
2022-06-22 0.163 0.513548
2022-03-23 0.092 0.248716
2021-12-29 0.227 0.540476
2021-09-22 0.087 0.233494
2021-06-23 0.117 0.315875
2021-03-24 0.058 0.169839
2020-12-29 0.100 0.301023
2020-09-22 0.082 0.290163
2020-06-23 0.099 0.363837
2020-03-24 0.053 0.254685
2019-12-26 0.062 0.236190
2019-09-17 0.074 0.295174
2019-06-24 0.061 0.255765
Additional Data
dividendYield 0.4

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 106.59
All Time Low 18.66
Ask 93.7
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 36,340
Average Daily Volume3 Month 47,554
Average Volume 47,554
Average Volume10Days 36,340
Beta3 Year 1.58
Bid 79.64
Bid Size 2
Category Technology
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 87.97
Day Low 85.868
Dividend Yield 0.4
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.734226
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 93.31598
Fifty Day Average Change -7.0760803
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.075829245
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 69.232086
Fifty Two Week High 106.59
Fifty Two Week High Change -20.350098
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.1909194
Fifty Two Week Low 52.003
Fifty Two Week Low Change 34.2369
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.65836394
Fifty Two Week Range 52.003 - 106.59
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,551,796,200,000
Five Year Average Return 0.1933375
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fund Family Defiance ETFs LLC
Fund Inception Date 1,551,657,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary TThe index is a thematic index that tracks the performance of Connective Technology Companies and Space Companies, each defined below, as determined by MarketVector Indexes Gmb (“MarketVector” or the “index provider”). Under normal circumstances, at least 80% of the fund’s net assets (plus borrowings for investment purposes) will be invested in Connective Technology Companies and Space Companies.
Long Name Defiance Space and Connective Tech ETF
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_597556700
Nav Price 89.0232
Net Assets 1,011,991,550.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.3
Open 87.63
Phone (414) 765-5586
Pre Market Change -0.25
Pre Market Change Percent -0.28985506
Pre Market Price 86.0
Pre Market Time 1,784,016,929
Previous Close 89.0
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.7601013
Regular Market Change Percent -3.1012375
Regular Market Day High 87.97
Regular Market Day Low 85.868
Regular Market Day Range 85.868 - 87.97
Regular Market Open 87.63
Regular Market Previous Close 89.0
Regular Market Price 86.2399
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 28,206
Short Name Defiance Connective Technologie
Source Interval 15
Symbol UFOX
Three Year Average Return 0.3691631
Total Assets 1,011,991,552
Tradeable 0
Trailing P E 31.540882
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 39.52714
Trailing Three Month Returns 39.52714
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 73.6624
Two Hundred Day Average Change 12.577499
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.17074518
Type Disp ETF
Volume 28,206
Yield 0.004
Ytd Return 49.26251