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United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS)

Financial Services | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Cedar Rapids, United States | NasdaqGS
40.38 USD +1.04 (2.644%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 40.41 +0.03 (0.069%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 5:48 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ★★★★☆
Hot Take | April 11, 2026, 4:26 p.m. EDT

UFCS presents a mixed opportunity. The stock has shown moderate volatility in the short term, with recent price movements hovering around the 39.14 mark. The dividend yield is attractive at 2.04%, and the consistent dividend payouts suggest reliability. However, the stock's fundamentals are modest, with a low P/E ratio and high debt-to-equity ratio. While the stock may offer a buying opportunity for short-term traders, long-term investors should be cautious due to the company's financial leverage and limited growth prospects.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.075454
AutoARIMA0.079695
AutoETS0.085683
MSTL0.087493

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 68%
H-stat 1.44
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.678
Excess Kurtosis -0.64
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-02-23
Last Dividend Date 2025-12-04
Debt to Equity Ratio 16.932
Revenue per Share 54.432
Market Cap 1,034,304,640
Trailing P/E 9.01
Forward P/E 10.83
Beta 0.41
Profit Margins 8.53%
Website https://www.ufginsurance.com

As of April 11, 2026, 4:26 p.m. EDT: Options activity shows mixed signals. For near-term expirations, there is limited volume and open interest, with a focus on ATM strikes. The higher IV on puts suggests some bearish sentiment, but the overall volume is low. For longer-dated options, there is a notable increase in OTM calls, especially at the 55.0 strike, indicating potential bullish speculation. However, the lack of significant put activity suggests limited bearish positioning.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.46% 1.55% 2.47% 2.46%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-12-05 0.160000 0.458190
2025-08-29 0.160000 0.522819
2025-06-06 0.160000 0.569050
2025-03-07 0.160000 0.581106
2024-11-29 0.160000 0.533959
2024-08-30 0.160000 0.802469
2024-05-31 0.160000 0.744047
2024-03-07 0.160000 0.745067
2023-11-30 0.160000 0.803806
2023-08-31 0.160000 0.855946
2023-06-01 0.160000 0.787881
2023-03-09 0.160000 0.636505
2022-12-01 0.160000 0.593197
2022-09-01 0.160000 0.593672
2022-06-02 0.160000 0.534959
2022-03-03 0.150000 0.586397
2021-12-02 0.150000 0.736186
2021-09-02 0.150000 0.652723
2021-06-03 0.150000 0.541055
2021-03-04 0.150000 0.534053
2020-12-03 0.150000 0.740317
2020-09-03 0.330000 1.574639
2020-06-04 0.330000 1.308937
2020-03-05 0.330000 1.014417
2019-11-27 0.330000 0.886233
2019-08-29 0.330000 0.860620
2019-05-30 0.330000 0.849174
2019-02-28 0.310000 0.762949
2018-11-29 0.310000 0.711667
2018-08-30 0.310000 0.754789
2018-08-02 3.000000 6.326392
2018-05-31 0.310000 0.742804
2018-03-06 0.280000 0.791319
2017-11-30 0.280000 0.757785
2017-08-30 0.280000 0.880094
2017-05-30 0.280000 0.860541
2017-02-27 0.250000 0.787126
2016-11-29 0.250000 0.727508
2016-08-30 0.250000 0.776367
2016-05-27 0.250000 0.813901
2016-02-26 0.220000 0.729388
2015-11-27 0.220000 0.759821
2015-08-28 0.220000 0.908043
2015-05-28 0.220000 0.988405
2015-02-26 0.200000 0.962016
2014-11-26 0.200000 0.979260
2014-08-28 0.200000 0.958014
2014-05-29 0.200000 1.022838
2014-02-27 0.180000 0.893411
2013-11-27 0.180000 0.883378
2013-08-29 0.180000 0.882118
2013-05-29 0.180000 0.938740
2013-02-27 0.150000 0.903471
2012-12-12 0.150000 1.028529
2012-08-29 0.150000 0.985646
2012-05-30 0.150000 1.067418
2012-02-28 0.150000 1.083765
2011-12-13 0.150000 1.181161
2011-08-30 0.150000 1.297426
2011-05-27 0.150000 1.229147
2011-02-25 0.150000 1.137141
2010-12-13 0.150000 1.051345
2010-08-30 0.150000 1.184756
2010-05-27 0.150000 1.080697
2010-02-25 0.150000 1.365633
2009-12-11 0.150000 1.361022
2009-08-28 0.150000 1.195667
2009-05-28 0.150000 1.443560
2009-02-26 0.150000 1.417850
2008-12-11 0.150000 1.138179
2008-08-28 0.150000 0.839644
2008-05-29 0.150000 0.705284
2008-02-28 0.150000 0.716289
2007-12-12 0.150000 0.818830
2007-08-29 0.135000 0.599439
2007-05-30 0.135000 0.586311
2007-02-27 0.135000 0.670203
2006-12-13 0.135000 0.651280
2006-08-30 0.120000 0.742507
2006-05-30 0.120000 0.666470
2006-02-27 0.120000 0.575347
2005-12-13 0.120000 0.495371
2005-08-30 0.120000 0.515833
2005-05-27 0.120000 0.542435
2005-02-25 0.120000 0.704063
2004-12-16 0.240000 1.257456
2004-08-30 0.100000 0.602410
2004-05-27 0.100000 0.653641
2004-02-26 0.100000 0.836422
2003-12-11 0.100000 0.901464
2003-08-27 0.094000 0.859546
2003-05-29 0.094000 1.093928
2003-02-27 0.094000 1.144371
2002-12-11 0.094000 1.056854
2002-08-29 0.090000 0.974574
2002-05-29 0.090000 0.993002
2002-02-27 0.090000 1.132216
2001-12-12 0.090000 1.218086
2001-08-29 0.090000 1.245723
2001-05-30 0.090000 1.086165
2001-02-27 0.090000 1.686136
2000-12-13 0.090000 1.929381
2000-08-30 0.090000 1.871237
2000-05-30 0.090000 2.052354
2000-02-28 0.085000 1.779404
1999-12-13 0.085000 1.653684
1999-08-30 0.085000 1.495673
1999-05-27 0.085000 1.346198
1998-12-11 0.085000 0.970609
1998-08-28 0.085000 1.043772
1998-05-28 0.085000 0.896548
1998-03-02 0.080000 0.787702
1997-12-11 0.080000 0.738482
1997-08-29 0.080000 0.875831
1997-05-28 0.075000 0.881753
1997-03-03 0.075000 0.923940
1996-12-18 0.075000 0.970331
1996-08-29 0.075000 0.946093
1996-05-30 0.075000 0.913348
1996-02-28 0.075000 0.965018
1995-12-14 0.075000 1.150179
1995-08-30 0.066667 1.299455
1995-05-25 0.066667 1.613051
1995-02-24 0.066667 1.553706
1994-12-09 0.066667 1.555990
1994-08-26 0.060000 1.516308
1994-05-25 0.060000 1.586090
1994-02-23 0.060000 1.662048
1993-12-09 0.060000 1.696714
1993-08-26 0.055556 1.530422
1993-02-23 0.055556 1.418502
1992-08-26 0.055556 1.472085
1992-05-26 0.055556 1.536274
1992-02-25 0.048889 1.588737
1991-12-10 0.048889 1.750514
1990-12-11 0.048889 2.300146
1990-02-23 0.044444 2.348628
1989-12-11 0.044444 2.262123
1989-08-28 0.044444 2.248603
1989-05-25 0.044444 2.435274
1989-02-23 0.040000 2.231594
1988-12-06 0.040000 2.388576
1988-08-26 0.040000 2.666253
1988-05-25 0.040000 2.747058
1988-02-24 0.035556 2.568727
1987-12-04 0.035556 2.763605
1987-08-26 0.035556 2.006837
1987-05-29 0.035556 2.290409
1987-02-24 0.029630 1.699440
1986-12-09 0.029630 1.751170
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.8
dividendYield 1.98
exDividendDate 2026-02-24
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.64
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.016268428
lastDividendValue 0.16
lastDividendDate 2025-12-05
dividendDate 2026-03-10

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.5117934
Address1 118 Second Avenue SE
All Time High 61.56
All Time Low 1.432099
Ask 50.59
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 96,460
Average Daily Volume3 Month 119,022
Average Volume 119,022
Average Volume10Days 96,460
Beta 0.408
Bid 29.22
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 1
Book Value 36.877
City Cedar Rapids
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 40.38
Current Ratio 0.681
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 40.79
Day Low 39.37
Debt To Equity 16.932
Display Name United Fire
Dividend Date 1,773,100,800
Dividend Rate 0.8
Dividend Yield 1.98
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,770,822,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,770,822,000
Earnings Growth 0.2
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.22
Earnings Timestamp 1,770,757,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,011,200
Ebitda 169,972,992
Ebitda Margins 0.122600004
Enterprise To Ebitda 6.081
Enterprise To Revenue 0.746
Enterprise Value 1,033,603,392
Eps Current Year 3.585
Eps Forward 3.73
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.48
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,771,891,200
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 37.954
Fifty Day Average Change 2.4260025
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.06391955
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 51.179337
Fifty Two Week High 40.79
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.40999985
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.01005148
Fifty Two Week Low 25.79
Fifty Two Week Low Change 14.59
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5657231
Fifty Two Week Range 25.79 - 40.79
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,237,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.5
Float Shares 22,082,955
Forward Eps 3.73
Forward P E 10.825738
Free Cashflow -1,115,687,936
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 846
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.114829995
Gross Profits 159,203,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.17433001
Held Percent Institutions 0.67813003
Implied Shares Outstanding 25,614,281
Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty
Industry Disp Insurance - Property & Casualty
Industry Key insurance-property-casualty
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,764,892,800
Last Dividend Value 0.16
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,103,155,200
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary United Fire Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in writing property and casualty insurance in the United States. It provides property and casualty insurance, and surety bonds; and fire and allied lines, other liability, automobile, workers' compensation, and surety to small business owners and middle market businesses operating in industries, such as construction, services, retail trade, financial, and manufacturing. The company also offers marine specialty, professional liability, and earthquake coverages; specialty and surplus lines coverage; and reinsurance coverage for property and casualty insurance. It sells its products through a network of independent agencies. United Fire Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Cedar Rapids, Iowa.
Long Name United Fire Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,034,304,640
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_310192
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 118,191,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,034,304,666
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 39.4
Operating Cashflow 269,743,008
Operating Margins 0.14047
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.1429
Peg Ratio 1.41
Phone 319 399 5700
Post Market Change 0.027797699
Post Market Change Percent 0.068840265
Post Market Price 40.4078
Post Market Time 1,776,462,489
Previous Close 39.34
Price Eps Current Year 11.263598
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.0949916
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.74602973
Profit Margins 0.08525
Quick Ratio 0.473
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.04
Regular Market Change Percent 2.64362
Regular Market Day High 40.79
Regular Market Day Low 39.37
Regular Market Day Range 39.37 - 40.79
Regular Market Open 39.4
Regular Market Previous Close 39.34
Regular Market Price 40.38
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,000
Regular Market Volume 93,230
Return On Assets 0.02715
Return On Equity 0.13722
Revenue Growth 0.098
Revenue Per Share 54.432
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 25,614,281
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0114
Shares Short 292,428
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 255,559
Short Name United Fire Group, Inc
Short Percent Of Float 0.0163
Short Ratio 2.84
Source Interval 15
State IA
Symbol UFCS
Target High Price 41.0
Target Low Price 40.0
Target Mean Price 40.5
Target Median Price 40.5
Total Cash 156,332,000
Total Cash Per Share 6.125
Total Debt 159,355,008
Total Revenue 1,386,412,032
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.64
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.016268428
Trailing Eps 4.48
Trailing P E 9.013393
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 33.8101
Two Hundred Day Average Change 6.5699005
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.19431768
Type Disp Equity
Volume 93,230
Website https://www.ufginsurance.com
Zip 52,401