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Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF - December (UDEC)

Defined Outcome | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
41.87 USD -0.10 (-0.234%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 3:14 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★⯪Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:54 a.m. EDT

The short-term outlook is compelling due to strong relative strength and positive momentum. Over the last two months, the price has climbed nearly 5% against a backdrop where the 200-day average sits significantly lower, indicating the asset has outperformed its longer-term trend. This upward drift is reinforced by institutional buying activity noted in recent filings and a high-confidence statistical model predicting a continued slight uptick over the next 45 days. However, the long-term investment case remains neutral because this is a leveraged buffer product designed for specific tactical windows rather than permanent holding. The five-year history shows a solid cumulative gain of roughly 37%, but the nature of the instrument prevents it from being rated as a 'buy-and-hold' compounder like a traditional equity. Finally, there is no dividend component to consider, as these structured ETFs typically do not distribute income.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_79_126 ✓0.007929
MSTL_1260.008480
MSTL_790.015700
MSTL0.017415
AutoARIMA0.019287
AutoTheta0.021845
AutoETS0.026990

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_79_126

Forecast Reliability
Score 75%
H-stat 0.20
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.594
Excess Kurtosis -0.62
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 26.85

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 41.97
All Time Low 23.05
Ask 41.89
Ask Size 500
Average Daily Volume10 Day 8,540
Average Daily Volume3 Month 37,747
Average Volume 37,747
Average Volume10Days 8,540
Beta3 Year 0.55
Bid 20.94
Bid Size 400
Category Defined Outcome
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 41.89
Day Low 41.8476
Dividend Yield 0.0
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.5596491
Esg Populated 0
Exchange BTS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 41.43264
Fifty Day Average Change 0.4390602
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0105969645
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 14.546943
Fifty Two Week High 41.97
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.098300934
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.0023421713
Fifty Two Week Low 36.34
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.5317
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.1522207
Fifty Two Week Range 36.34 - 41.97
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,575,297,000,000
Five Year Average Return 0.0722862
Full Exchange Name Cboe US
Fund Family Innovator ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,574,985,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund invests under normal circumstances, at least 80% of its net assets (plus any borrowings for investment purposes) in investments that provide exposure to the SPDR ® S&P 500 ® ETF Trust (the “Underlying ETF”). Although guaranteed for settlement by the OCC, FLEX Options are still subject to counterparty risk with the OCC and may be less liquid than more traditional exchange-traded option contracts. It is non-diversified.
Long Name Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF - December
Market us_market
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_640526996
Nav Price 41.9029
Net Assets 247,149,616.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.79
Open 41.89
Phone (215) 979-3750
Previous Close 41.9698
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0980988
Regular Market Change Percent -0.233737
Regular Market Day High 41.89
Regular Market Day Low 41.8476
Regular Market Day Range 41.8476 - 41.89
Regular Market Open 41.89
Regular Market Previous Close 41.9698
Regular Market Price 41.8717
Regular Market Time 1,783,970,086
Regular Market Volume 1,403
Short Name Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buf
Source Interval 15
Symbol UDEC
Three Year Average Return 0.117951296
Total Assets 247,149,616
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 26.846872
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 7.35859
Trailing Three Month Returns 7.35859
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 39.87517
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.9965286
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.050069466
Type Disp ETF
Volume 1,403
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return 5.28641