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Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF - December (UDEC)

Defined Outcome | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
42.95 USD -0.21 (-0.481%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 3:55 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:09 a.m. EDT

The short-term outlook is cautiously constructive, driven by a high-confidence statistical model predicting a 1.25% move over the next 45 days alongside a price trend that has climbed above both its 50-day and 200-day averages. However, the long-term investment case remains neutral because this is a leveraged buffer ETF designed for short-duration holding; it lacks the enduring business fundamentals required for a multi-year buy recommendation. Furthermore, there is no dividend income to offset the decay inherent in holding leveraged products over extended periods.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.009272
MSTL0.010009
AutoTheta0.013755
AutoETS0.019137

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 67%
H-stat 0.49
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 3.71
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 24.28

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 43.24
All Time Low 23.05
Ask 46.11
Ask Size 1,300
Average Daily Volume10 Day 26,260
Average Daily Volume3 Month 12,546
Average Volume 12,546
Average Volume10Days 26,260
Beta3 Year 0.52
Bid 40.59
Bid Size 300
Category Defined Outcome
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 43.2
Day Low 42.9
Display Name U.S. Eq Ultra Buffer ETF
Dividend Yield 0.0
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.7692322
Esg Populated 0
Exchange BTS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 42.73732
Fifty Day Average Change 0.21268082
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.004976466
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 11.269426
Fifty Two Week High 43.24
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.29000092
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.006706774
Fifty Two Week Low 38.01
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.9400024
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.12996587
Fifty Two Week Range 38.01 - 43.24
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,575,297,000,000
Five Year Average Return 0.075987905
Full Exchange Name Cboe US
Fullday Change -0.207798
Fullday Change Percent -0.48170748
Fullday Price 42.95
Fund Family Innovator ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,574,985,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund invests under normal circumstances, at least 80% of its net assets (plus any borrowings for investment purposes) in investments that provide exposure to the SPDR ® S&P 500 ® ETF Trust (the “Underlying ETF”). Although guaranteed for settlement by the OCC, FLEX Options are still subject to counterparty risk with the OCC and may be less liquid than more traditional exchange-traded option contracts. It is non-diversified.
Long Name Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF - December
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_640526996
Nav Price 42.9792
Net Assets 241,803,472.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.79
Open 43.1656
Phone (215) 979-3750
Previous Close 43.1578
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.207798
Regular Market Change Percent -0.481484
Regular Market Day High 43.2
Regular Market Day Low 42.9
Regular Market Day Range 42.9 - 43.2
Regular Market Open 43.1656
Regular Market Previous Close 43.1578
Regular Market Price 42.95
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,548
Regular Market Volume 8,565
Short Name Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buf
Source Interval 15
Symbol UDEC
Three Year Average Return 0.12769261
Total Assets 241,803,472
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 24.276068
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 2.59895
Trailing Three Month Returns 2.59895
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 41.114296
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.8357048
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.04464882
Type Disp ETF
Volume 8,565
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return 8.02275