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UBS Group AG (UBS)

Financial Services | Banks - Diversified | Zurich, Switzerland | NYSE
54.90 USD +0.54 (0.993%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 54.90

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:33 a.m. EDT

UBS presents a compelling dichotomy: a fundamentally superior business trading at a discount, weighed down by short-term speculative hedging. The long-term case is strong; the company has delivered nearly double-digit growth over the last decade, boasting robust revenue expansion (+14.6%), healthy operating margins (~31%), and a clean balance sheet with a payout ratio well under 40%. This suggests the current price is a value opportunity rather than a value trap. However, the short-term outlook is clouded by 'smart money' positioning. The options chain reveals a heavy concentration of protective puts at strikes significantly below the current price, implying that while bulls see a rally to $55+, bears are pricing in a potential drop to the $40s over the next year. The statistical forecast offers only a modest 3.85% upside with moderate confidence, which aligns with the cautious sentiment. Investors should view this as a solid buy-and-hold candidate, but perhaps wait for a pullback toward the $47-$50 zone to enter, given the heavy put wall acting as a psychological and technical barrier.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.022240
AutoARIMA0.031188
MSTL0.070100
AutoETS0.075038

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 60%
H-stat 0.62
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.183
Excess Kurtosis 0.97
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-04-21
Last Dividend Date 2026-04-20
Revenue per Share 17.072
Market Cap 168,089,649,152
Trailing P/E 18.67
Forward P/E 13.47
Beta 0.83
Profit Margins 17.95%
Website https://www.ubs.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:33 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a moderate upside move with significant call volume at the $55 strike, suggesting a target near the 52-week high. However, there is a distinct defensive hedge layer: massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts ($35-$45 range) for late 2027, indicating a fear of a prolonged drawdown or a 'crash' scenario far into the future. The immediate term (Sept 2026) shows balanced activity with notable put volume at the $55 strike, creating a ceiling effect.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.55% 2.55% 2.76% 2.74%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-04-21 1.102 2.549156
2025-04-15 0.904 3.128028
2024-04-30 0.700 2.607076
2023-04-12 0.550 2.585802
2022-04-12 0.500 2.805836
2021-04-13 0.370 2.365729
2020-11-24 0.366 2.479675
2020-05-05 0.365 3.778468
2019-05-06 0.689 5.485669
2017-05-08 0.607 3.560117
2016-05-12 0.875 5.829447
2015-05-11 0.537 2.534214
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.1
dividendYield 2.02
exDividendDate 2026-04-22
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.1
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.020235468
lastDividendValue 1.102
lastDividendDate 2026-04-21
dividendDate 2026-04-23

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.37065053
Address1 Bahnhofstr. 45
Address2 P.O. Box
All Time High 66.26
All Time Low 7.04
Ask 54.98
Ask Size 500
Audit Risk 9
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,452,010
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,846,154
Average Volume 1,846,154
Average Volume10Days 1,452,010
Beta 0.831
Bid 54.96
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 3
Book Value 29.122
City Zurich
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country Switzerland
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 54.9
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 55.1
Day Low 54.49
Dividend Date 1,776,902,400
Dividend Rate 1.1
Dividend Yield 2.02
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,308,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,308,400
Earnings Growth 0.206
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.169
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,190,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,190,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,190,600
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 3.592
Enterprise Value 190,543,298,560
Eps Current Year 3.36583
Eps Forward 4.07513
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.94
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,776,816,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 41 44 239 91 11
Fifty Day Average 52.327
Fifty Day Average Change 2.5730019
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.049171593
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 37.065052
Fifty Two Week High 55.15
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.25
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.0045330916
Fifty Two Week Low 36.295
Fifty Two Week Low Change 18.605003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.51260513
Fifty Two Week Range 36.295 - 55.15
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 958,483,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.14
Float Shares 3,045,912,942
Forward Eps 4.07513
Forward P E 13.471963
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 99,085
Fullday Change 0.540001
Fullday Change Percent 0.993379
Fullday Price 54.9
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits 53,040,001,024
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00063
Held Percent Institutions 0.52371
Implied Shares Outstanding 3,061,742,149
Industry Banks - Diversified
Industry Disp Banks - Diversified
Industry Key banks-diversified
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,776,729,600
Last Dividend Value 1.102
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,152,489,600
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary UBS Group AG operates as a wealth manager and bank worldwide. It operates through five segments: Global Wealth Management, Personal & Corporate Banking, Asset Management, Investment Bank, and Non-Core and Legacy. The Global Wealth Management segment offers financial services, advice, and solutions; investment management, estate planning, and corporate advice services; and wealth management and banking products and services to private wealth and institutional customers. Its Personal & Corporate Banking segment provides banking, retirement, financing, investments, and strategic transactions to private, corporate, and institutional customers through its branch network and digital channels in Switzerland. The Asset Management segment offers diversified asset management services. Its Investment Bank segment provides equities, foreign exchange, precious metals, research, advisory, and capital markets services to institutional, corporate, financial sponsor, and Global Wealth Management customers, as well as focused rates and credit platform. The company also offers lending products, such as securities-based lending, mortgages, structured products, and tailored solutions; collateralized lending residential and commercial real estate, primarily against securities, residential and commercial real estate, other real assets (such as ships and aircraft), private market and hedge fund interest; and unsecured lending. The company was formerly known as UBS AG and changed its name to UBS Group AG in December 2014. UBS Group AG was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.
Long Name UBS Group AG
Market us_market
Market Cap 168,089,649,152
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_416620
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 9,520,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 166,555,682,118
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 54.76
Operating Cashflow 14,174,000,128
Operating Margins 0.30999002
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.3741
Peg Ratio 0.89
Phone 41 44 234 11 11
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 54.9
Post Market Time 1,787,960,392
Previous Close 54.36
Price Eps Current Year 16.310986
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.8851728
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.169111
Profit Margins 0.17949
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.540001
Regular Market Change Percent 0.993379
Regular Market Day High 55.1
Regular Market Day Low 54.49
Regular Market Day Range 54.49 - 55.1
Regular Market Open 54.76
Regular Market Previous Close 54.36
Regular Market Price 54.9
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,203
Regular Market Volume 1,734,499
Return On Assets 0.00566
Return On Equity 0.10672
Revenue Growth 0.146
Revenue Per Share 17.072
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1966995
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 3,061,742,149
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0018000001
Shares Short 5,363,226
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 6,218,001
Short Name UBS Group AG Registered
Short Percent Of Float 0.0018000001
Short Ratio 3.0
Source Interval 15
Symbol UBS
Target High Price 62.6
Target Low Price 50.0
Target Mean Price 55.03333
Target Median Price 52.5
Total Cash 575,371,018,240
Total Cash Per Share 187.923
Total Debt 599,213,015,040
Total Revenue 53,040,001,024
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.1
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.020235468
Trailing Eps 2.94
Trailing P E 18.67347
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.8933
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 45.46435
Two Hundred Day Average Change 9.43565
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.20753953
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,734,499
Website https://www.ubs.com
Zip 8,098