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UBS Group AG (UBS)

Financial Services | Banks - Diversified | Zurich, Switzerland | NYSE
46.92 USD -0.93 (-1.944%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 2:56 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 8:37 a.m. EDT

UBS presents a compelling case for a medium-term swing trade driven by a confluence of undervaluation and improving momentum. Fundamentally, the stock trades at a forward P/E of roughly 11.8x, which is a significant discount to its historical norms and peers, while maintaining a healthy payout ratio of just 37%. This suggests the market is pricing in lingering risks that may be overstated given the company's robust balance sheet and double-digit earnings growth. The price action confirms this shift in sentiment; after a long consolidation, the stock has broken out above its 200-day moving average, signaling institutional accumulation. While the statistical forecasting model offers only a weak lean upward due to recent volatility noise, this technical hesitation is likely a lagging indicator compared to the fundamental inflection point. The options market reinforces this view, with traders placing significant bets on upside moves to the $55 and $60 range. The dividend yield of 2.34% provides a solid safety margin, though it is not yet a high-enough yield to justify holding solely for income without capital appreciation potential. The primary risk remains the cyclical nature of banking, but the current setup favors the bulls.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.025200
MSTL0.034661
AutoETS0.035722
AutoARIMA0.037816

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 40.07
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 3.84
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-04-21
Last Dividend Date 2026-04-20
Revenue per Share 17.072
Market Cap 143,656,927,232
Trailing P/E 15.96
Forward P/E 11.49
Beta 0.86
Profit Margins 17.95%
Website https://www.ubs.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 8:37 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a moderate upside move, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at strikes like $55 and $60 across various expirations. While there is a notable wall of put open interest at lower strikes ($35-$40) suggesting a floor or hedging demand, the volume and open interest skew significantly toward calls, indicating a bullish bias for the near-to-intermediate term.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.55% 2.55% 2.76% 2.74%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-04-21 1.102 2.549156
2025-04-15 0.904 3.128028
2024-04-30 0.700 2.607076
2023-04-12 0.550 2.585802
2022-04-12 0.500 2.805836
2021-04-13 0.370 2.365729
2020-11-24 0.366 2.479675
2020-05-05 0.365 3.778468
2019-05-06 0.689 5.485669
2017-05-08 0.607 3.560117
2016-05-12 0.875 5.829447
2015-05-11 0.537 2.534214
Additional Data
dividendYield 2.3
exDividendDate 2026-04-22
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.1
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.022988508
lastDividendValue 1.102
lastDividendDate 2026-04-21
dividendDate 2026-04-23

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.22441149
Address1 Bahnhofstr. 45
Address2 P.O. Box
All Time High 66.26
All Time Low 7.04
Ask 46.9
Ask Size 900
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,985,820
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,906,471
Average Volume 1,906,471
Average Volume10Days 1,985,820
Beta 0.855
Bid 46.89
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 3
Book Value 29.122
City Zurich
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country Switzerland
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 46.92
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 47.41
Day Low 46.8
Display Name UBS
Dividend Date 1,776,902,400
Dividend Yield 2.3
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,308,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,308,400
Earnings Growth 0.206
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.169
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,190,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,190,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,190,600
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 3.217
Enterprise Value 170,611,359,744
Eps Current Year 3.40583
Eps Forward 4.0818
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.94
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,776,816,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 41 44 239 91 11
Fifty Day Average 51.8542
Fifty Day Average Change -4.9342003
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.09515527
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 22.441149
Fifty Two Week High 55.985
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.065002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.16191842
Fifty Two Week Low 36.295
Fifty Two Week Low Change 10.625
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.29274005
Fifty Two Week Range 36.295 - 55.985
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 958,483,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.92
Float Shares 3,045,912,942
Forward Eps 4.0818
Forward P E 11.494928
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 99,085
Fullday Change -0.51110077
Fullday Change Percent -1.0688013
Fullday Price 46.92
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits 53,040,001,024
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00063
Held Percent Institutions 0.51083
Implied Shares Outstanding 3,061,742,149
Industry Banks - Diversified
Industry Disp Banks - Diversified
Industry Key banks-diversified
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,776,729,600
Last Dividend Value 1.102
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,152,489,600
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary UBS Group AG operates as a wealth manager and bank worldwide. It operates through five segments: Global Wealth Management, Personal & Corporate Banking, Asset Management, Investment Bank, and Non-Core and Legacy. The Global Wealth Management segment offers financial services, advice, and solutions; investment management, estate planning, and corporate advice services; and wealth management and banking products and services to private wealth and institutional customers. Its Personal & Corporate Banking segment provides banking, retirement, financing, investments, and strategic transactions to private, corporate, and institutional customers through its branch network and digital channels in Switzerland. The Asset Management segment offers diversified asset management services. Its Investment Bank segment provides equities, foreign exchange, precious metals, research, advisory, and capital markets services to institutional, corporate, financial sponsor, and Global Wealth Management customers, as well as focused rates and credit platform. The company also offers lending products, such as securities-based lending, mortgages, structured products, and tailored solutions; collateralized lending residential and commercial real estate, primarily against securities, residential and commercial real estate, other real assets (such as ships and aircraft), private market and hedge fund interest; and unsecured lending. The company was formerly known as UBS AG and changed its name to UBS Group AG in December 2014. UBS Group AG was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.
Long Name UBS Group AG
Market us_market
Market Cap 143,656,927,232
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_416620
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 9,520,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 150,402,755,761
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 47.24
Operating Cashflow 14,174,000,128
Operating Margins 0.30999002
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.3742
Peg Ratio 0.65
Phone 41 44 234 11 11
Previous Close 47.85
Price Eps Current Year 13.776378
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.611153
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.708464
Profit Margins 0.17949
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.9300003
Regular Market Change Percent -1.9435743
Regular Market Day High 47.41
Regular Market Day Low 46.8
Regular Market Day Range 46.8 - 47.41
Regular Market Open 47.24
Regular Market Previous Close 47.85
Regular Market Price 46.92
Regular Market Time 1,792,004,171
Regular Market Volume 1,119,459
Return On Assets 0.00566
Return On Equity 0.10672
Revenue Growth 0.146
Revenue Per Share 17.072
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 3,061,742,149
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0019
Shares Short 5,831,692
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 5,698,196
Short Name UBS Group AG Registered
Short Percent Of Float 0.0019
Short Ratio 2.63
Source Interval 15
Symbol UBS
Target High Price 62.6
Target Low Price 50.0
Target Mean Price 55.03333
Target Median Price 52.5
Total Cash 575,371,018,240
Total Cash Per Share 187.923
Total Debt 599,213,015,040
Total Revenue 53,040,001,024
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.1
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.022988508
Trailing Eps 2.94
Trailing P E 15.959183
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.6849
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 47.0763
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.1563034
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.003320214
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,119,459
Website https://www.ubs.com
Zip 8,098