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TXO Partners, L.P. (TXO)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Fort Worth, United States | NYSE
14.50 USD -0.14 (-0.956%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 14.96 +0.46 (3.172%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 6:02 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:27 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fundamentally broken despite the attractive headline yield. The business is generating negative free cash flow and posting losses, meaning the massive dividend payout is being funded by burning capital reserves rather than organic earnings. While the stock trades at a low multiple, the trajectory is clear: the price has halved over the last two years with two consecutive years of double-digit declines, signaling a permanent impairment in the company's value. The recent price action shows a fragile recovery attempt, but the options market is screaming caution with heavy put buying. This is a speculative play on a turnaround that hasn't happened yet, not a reliable income vehicle.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.047191
AutoARIMA0.047193
MSTL0.047286
AutoTheta0.059522

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 23.79
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.308
Excess Kurtosis -0.64
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-13
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-13
Debt to Equity Ratio 41.679
Revenue per Share 7.372
Market Cap 803,972,928
Forward P/E 12.72
Beta -0.01
Profit Margins -9.23%
Previous Name MorningStar Partners, L.P.
Website https://www.txopartners.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:27 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, evidenced by significant open interest in out-of-the-money puts at strikes like 10.0 and 12.5 across multiple expirations. Call activity is concentrated at the money and slightly out-of-the-money, suggesting a neutral-to-slightly-bearish bias rather than a bullish breakout expectation. Implied volatility is elevated relative to deep ITM strikes, indicating fear of further declines.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.90% 10.66% 12.00%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-14 0.40 2.896452
2026-05-15 0.36 2.754399
2026-03-10 0.30 2.431118
2025-11-14 0.35 2.581121
2025-08-15 0.45 3.209700
2025-05-16 0.61 4.013158
2025-03-14 0.61 3.121801
2024-11-15 0.58 3.167668
2024-08-20 0.57 2.884615
2024-05-17 0.65 2.873563
2024-03-14 0.58 3.211517
2023-11-16 0.52 2.869757
2023-08-17 0.48 2.307692
2023-05-19 0.50 2.199736
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.41
dividendYield 9.63
exDividendDate 2026-08-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.41
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.09631147
lastDividendValue 0.4
lastDividendDate 2026-08-14
dividendDate 2026-08-21

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.04496789
Address1 400 West 7th Street
All Time High 25.0
All Time Low 10.12
Ask 15.25
Ask Size 500
Average Analyst Rating 1.0 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 181,970
Average Daily Volume3 Month 169,514
Average Volume 169,514
Average Volume10Days 181,970
Beta -0.008
Bid 14.34
Bid Size 200
Book Value 12.627
City Fort Worth
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 14.5
Current Ratio 1.052
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 14.87
Day Low 14.475
Debt To Equity 41.679
Display Name TXO Partners, L.P
Dividend Date 1,787,270,400
Dividend Rate 1.41
Dividend Yield 9.63
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Ebitda 121,302,000
Ebitda Margins 0.29881
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.968
Enterprise To Revenue 2.381
Enterprise Value 966,594,880
Eps Current Year -0.16
Eps Forward 1.14
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.72
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.244
Fifty Day Average Change 1.2559996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.09483536
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 4.496789
Fifty Two Week High 14.87
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.3699999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.024882305
Fifty Two Week Low 10.12
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.38
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.43280634
Fifty Two Week Range 10.12 - 14.87
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,674,829,800,000
Float Shares 39,687,984
Forward Eps 1.14
Forward P E 12.719298
Free Cashflow -87,281,504
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 224
Fullday Change -0.14
Fullday Change Percent -0.956286
Fullday Price 14.96
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.53243
Gross Profits 216,142,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.30063
Held Percent Institutions 0.24988002
Implied Shares Outstanding 55,446,407
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Ipo Expected Date 2,023-01-27
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Last Dividend Value 0.4
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary TXO Partners, L.P., an oil and natural gas company, focuses on the acquisition, development, optimization, and exploitation of conventional oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquid reserves in North America. Its acreage positions are concentrated in the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico; the San Juan Basin of New Mexico and Colorado; and the Williston Basin of Montana and North Dakota. TXO Partners, L.P. was formerly known as TXO Energy Partners, L.P. and changed its name to TXO Partners, L.P. in May 2023. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Fort Worth, Texas.
Long Name TXO Partners, L.P.
Market us_market
Market Cap 803,972,928
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_214034447
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-08-29
Net Income To Common -37,465,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 808,750,302
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 14.75
Operating Cashflow 143,231,008
Operating Margins 0.38221002
Payout Ratio 5.625
Phone 817 334 7800
Post Market Change 0.46000004
Post Market Change Percent 3.172414
Post Market Price 14.96
Post Market Time 1,787,954,525
Prev Name MorningStar Partners, L.P.
Previous Close 14.64
Price Eps Current Year -90.625
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.148333
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.9804435
Profit Margins -0.09229
Quick Ratio 0.93
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.14
Regular Market Change Percent -0.956286
Regular Market Day High 14.87
Regular Market Day Low 14.475
Regular Market Day Range 14.475 - 14.87
Regular Market Open 14.75
Regular Market Previous Close 14.64
Regular Market Price 14.5
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 206,422
Return On Assets -0.02348
Return On Equity -0.05348
Revenue Growth 0.679
Revenue Per Share 7.372
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Shares Outstanding 55,446,407
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0147
Shares Short 813,078
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 821,955
Short Name TXO Partners, L.P.
Short Percent Of Float 0.019
Short Ratio 5.26
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol TXO
Target High Price 20.0
Target Low Price 19.0
Target Mean Price 19.66667
Target Median Price 20.0
Total Cash 107,478,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.938
Total Debt 270,100,000
Total Revenue 405,956,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.41
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.09631147
Trailing Eps -0.72
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.52825
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.9717503
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.15738434
Type Disp Equity
Volume 206,422
Website https://www.txopartners.com
Zip 76,102