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TXO Partners, L.P. (TXO)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Fort Worth, United States | NYSE
14.22 USD +0.03 (0.211%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 13.02 -1.20 (-1.199%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 6:11 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 10:52 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fundamentally broken despite the attractive headline yield. The business is generating negative free cash flow and posting losses, meaning the current dividend is being funded by debt issuance or asset sales rather than operational earnings—a classic sign of a payout that cannot sustain itself. While the stock trades at a low multiple, the trajectory is clear: the company has suffered two consecutive years of double-digit declines, dropping nearly 34% over the last two years. This is not a temporary dip; it is a structural deterioration where the market has correctly priced out the business quality. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders buying deep out-of-the-money puts for long-dated expirations, betting on further capitulation. The recent news of a dividend increase is a red flag, likely an attempt to prop up the share price or attract income seekers unaware of the cash burn, rather than a sign of strength. Avoid this security until the balance sheet is repaired and operations turn profitable again.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.085475
AutoARIMA0.089049
AutoETS0.089050
AutoTheta0.102837

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 18.09
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.326
Excess Kurtosis -1.07
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-13
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-13
Debt to Equity Ratio 41.679
Revenue per Share 7.372
Market Cap 788,447,936
Forward P/E 10.88
Beta 0.03
Profit Margins -9.23%
Previous Name MorningStar Partners, L.P.
Website https://www.txopartners.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 10:52 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection with significant open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in February 2027, while call activity remains sparse and concentrated near the money. Implied volatility is elevated on puts relative to calls, suggesting a market expectation of continued weakness or a 'crash' scenario rather than a rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.90% 10.66% 12.00% —
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-14 0.40 2.896452
2026-05-15 0.36 2.754399
2026-03-10 0.30 2.431118
2025-11-14 0.35 2.581121
2025-08-15 0.45 3.209700
2025-05-16 0.61 4.013158
2025-03-14 0.61 3.121801
2024-11-15 0.58 3.167668
2024-08-20 0.57 2.884615
2024-05-17 0.65 2.873563
2024-03-14 0.58 3.211517
2023-11-16 0.52 2.869757
2023-08-17 0.48 2.307692
2023-05-19 0.50 2.199736
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.41
dividendYield 9.94
exDividendDate 2026-08-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.41
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.09936575
lastDividendValue 0.4
lastDividendDate 2026-08-14
dividendDate 2026-08-21

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.1085937
Address1 400 West 7th Street
All Time High 25.0
All Time Low 10.12
Ask 14.99
Ask Size 200
Average Analyst Rating 1.0 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 105,650
Average Daily Volume3 Month 161,300
Average Volume 161,300
Average Volume10Days 105,650
Beta 0.026
Bid 13.0
Bid Size 200
Book Value 11.688
City Fort Worth
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 14.22
Current Ratio 1.052
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 14.58
Day Low 13.8001
Debt To Equity 41.679
Display Name TXO Partners
Dividend Date 1,787,270,400
Dividend Rate 1.41
Dividend Yield 9.94
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Ebitda 121,302,000
Ebitda Margins 0.29881
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.841
Enterprise To Revenue 2.343
Enterprise Value 951,069,888
Eps Current Year 0.64667
Eps Forward 1.30667
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.74
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 14.366
Fifty Day Average Change -0.14599991
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.010162878
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 10.85937
Fifty Two Week High 15.579
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.3590002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.08723282
Fifty Two Week Low 10.12
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.1000004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.40513837
Fifty Two Week Range 10.12 - 15.579
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,674,829,800,000
Float Shares 39,687,984
Forward Eps 1.30667
Forward P E 10.882626
Free Cashflow -87,281,504
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 224
Fullday Change -1.1692
Fullday Change Percent -8.239606
Fullday Price 13.0208
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.53243
Gross Profits 216,142,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.30063
Held Percent Institutions 0.256
Implied Shares Outstanding 55,446,407
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Ipo Expected Date 2,023-01-27
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Last Dividend Value 0.4
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary TXO Partners, L.P., an oil and natural gas company, focuses on the acquisition, development, optimization, and exploitation of conventional oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquid reserves in North America. Its acreage positions are concentrated in the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico; the San Juan Basin of New Mexico and Colorado; and the Williston Basin of Montana and North Dakota. TXO Partners, L.P. was formerly known as TXO Energy Partners, L.P. and changed its name to TXO Partners, L.P. in May 2023. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Fort Worth, Texas.
Long Name TXO Partners, L.P.
Market us_market
Market Cap 788,447,936
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_214034447
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-10-16
Net Income To Common -37,465,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 787,338,979
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 14.18
Operating Cashflow 143,231,008
Operating Margins 0.38221002
Payout Ratio 5.625
Phone 817 334 7800
Post Market Change -1.1992006
Post Market Change Percent -8.433197
Post Market Price 13.0208
Post Market Time 1,792,188,677
Prev Name MorningStar Partners, L.P.
Previous Close 14.19
Price Eps Current Year 21.989578
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.2166325
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.9422004
Profit Margins -0.09229
Quick Ratio 0.93
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0300007
Regular Market Change Percent 0.211421
Regular Market Day High 14.58
Regular Market Day Low 13.8001
Regular Market Day Range 13.8001 - 14.58
Regular Market Open 14.18
Regular Market Previous Close 14.19
Regular Market Price 14.22
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,802
Regular Market Volume 55,283
Return On Assets -0.02348
Return On Equity -0.05348
Revenue Growth 0.679
Revenue Per Share 7.372
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Shares Outstanding 55,446,407
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0136
Shares Short 754,887
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 821,630
Short Name TXO Partners, L.P.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0176
Short Ratio 4.16
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol TXO
Target High Price 22.0
Target Low Price 17.0
Target Mean Price 19.75
Target Median Price 20.0
Total Cash 107,478,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.938
Total Debt 270,100,000
Total Revenue 405,956,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.41
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.09936575
Trailing Eps -0.74
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.93015
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.2898502
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.09975524
Type Disp Equity
Volume 55,283
Website https://www.txopartners.com
Zip 76,102