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Ternium S.A. (TX)

Basic Materials | Steel | Luxembourg, Luxembourg | NYSE
43.21 USD +0.44 (1.029%) ⇧ (April 22, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:57 a.m. EDT

A contrarian value setup: Technicals break above the 200-day MA, momentum is building (+13.8% vs 50-day average), and the recent analyst upgrade to 'Buy' on U.S. flat steel demand validates the long-term thesis. However, the dividend cut and currently depressed payout ratio (122%) signal severe near-term earnings pressure, while unseasonable volatility (H-Stat) dampens short-term predictive confidence. The strong implied support levels at lower strikes contrast with the overwhelmingly bullish open interest positioned for outcomes 3+ months out, labeling today's dip as a setup for a volatile, high-volatility rebound rather than a linear run.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.052522
AutoTheta0.094097
MSTL0.150864
AutoARIMA0.151001

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 22.68
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.141
Excess Kurtosis -1.35
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-13
Last Dividend Date 2025-05-08
Debt to Equity Ratio 16.139
Revenue per Share 79.513
Market Cap 8,482,454,528
Trailing P/E 19.64
Forward P/E 9.10
Beta 1.19
Profit Margins 2.72%
Website https://www.ternium.com

As of April 19, 2026, 12:57 a.m. EDT: Options activity indicates a bifurcated sentiment. In the immediate short term (April/early May), there is a notable defensive posture with heavy Open Interest (OI) placed on lower strikes (€35 and €40 puts), suggesting a 'floor' for the stock price. However, for expirations extending 2-3+ months out, speculative capital is aggressively positioning for upside, evidenced by massive volume of 300+ $3.00 calls (at the money for June) and high OI concentration on downside OTM calls (e.g., 1.2k OI at €45 for May). This structure suggests speculators view the immediate pullback as a buying opportunity or mean reversion at present levels, while expecting significant volatility and potential gains further out.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
6.31% 6.31% 8.08% 8.70%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-05-09 1.80 6.313574
2024-11-18 0.90 2.799614
2024-05-02 2.20 5.945871
2023-11-10 1.10 3.542804
2023-05-04 1.80 5.631924
2022-11-14 0.90 3.438346
2022-05-05 1.80 5.652654
2021-11-12 0.80 2.581740
2021-05-05 2.10 7.608249
2019-05-08 1.20 6.847488
2018-05-04 1.10 4.158082
2017-05-05 1.00 6.544198
2016-05-06 0.90 7.909905
2015-05-08 0.90 7.543232
2014-05-09 0.75 4.625299
2013-05-03 0.65 5.081089
2012-05-03 0.75 6.042419
2011-06-02 0.75 4.799791
2010-06-03 0.50 2.932989
2008-06-05 0.50 2.229776
2007-06-07 0.50 3.852729
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.2
dividendYield 5.09
exDividendDate 2026-05-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.7
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.06312836
lastDividendValue 1.8
lastDividendDate 2025-05-09
dividendDate 2026-05-20

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.4828415
Address1 26 Boulevard Royal
Address2 4th Floor
All Time High 56.86
All Time Low 4.55
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 2.4 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 206,670
Average Daily Volume3 Month 209,059
Average Volume 209,059
Average Volume10Days 206,670
Beta 1.191
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 9
Book Value 60.845
City Luxembourg
Compensation Risk 5
Country Luxembourg
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 43.21
Current Ratio 2.49
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 43.32
Day Low 42.75
Debt To Equity 16.139
Display Name Ternium
Dividend Date 1,779,235,200
Dividend Rate 2.2
Dividend Yield 5.09
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,068,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,068,800
Earnings Growth -0.566
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.566
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,011,200
Ebitda 1,401,122,944
Ebitda Margins 0.08976
Enterprise To Ebitda 63.165
Enterprise To Revenue 5.67
Enterprise Value 88,502,550,528
Eps Current Year 3.63788
Eps Forward 4.75052
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.2
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,716,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 41.1728
Fifty Day Average Change 2.037201
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.04947929
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 48.28415
Fifty Two Week High 45.57
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.3600006
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.05178847
Fifty Two Week Low 27.12
Fifty Two Week Low Change 16.089998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.593289
Fifty Two Week Range 27.12 - 45.57
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,138,804,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.82
Float Shares 429,599,720
Forward Eps 4.75052
Forward P E 9.095846
Free Cashflow -673,927,488
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 33,253
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.14996
Gross Profits 2,340,711,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0
Held Percent Institutions 0.1657
Implied Shares Outstanding 196,307,678
Industry Steel
Industry Disp Steel
Industry Key steel
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,746,748,800
Last Dividend Value 1.8
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Ternium S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes steel products in Mexico, Southern Region, Brazil, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Steel and Mining. The Steel segment offers slabs, heavy plates, hot and cold rolled products, coated products, stamped steel parts for the automotive industry, roll-formed and tubular products, billets, bars, and other products, including sales of energy. Its Mining segment sells iron ore and pellets. It also provides medical and social; scrap; and engineering and other services. In addition, the company engages in the exploration, exploitation, and pelletizing of iron ore. Ternium S.A. was founded in 1961 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Ternium S.A. is a subsidiary of Techint Holdings S.à r.l.
Long Name Ternium S.A.
Market us_market
Market Cap 8,482,454,528
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_23957317
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 425,232,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 8,482,454,749
Number Of Analyst Opinions 13
Open 42.97
Operating Cashflow 2,313,625,088
Operating Margins 0.04212
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 1.2273
Peg Ratio 0.13
Phone 352 26 68 31 52
Previous Close 42.77
Price Eps Current Year 11.877796
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.71016514
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.54343027
Profit Margins 0.02724
Quick Ratio 1.418
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.38462
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.439999
Regular Market Change Percent 1.02876
Regular Market Day High 43.32
Regular Market Day Low 42.75
Regular Market Day Range 42.75 - 43.32
Regular Market Open 42.97
Regular Market Previous Close 42.77
Regular Market Price 43.21
Regular Market Time 1,776,888,003
Regular Market Volume 190,517
Return On Assets 0.01935
Return On Equity 0.01878
Revenue Growth -0.026
Revenue Per Share 79.513
Sand P52 Week Change 0.30140376
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 196,307,678
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0032
Shares Short 620,160
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 709,187
Short Name Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0127
Short Ratio 3.82
Source Interval 15
Symbol TX
Target High Price 53.0
Target Low Price 33.0
Target Mean Price 42.26923
Target Median Price 42.0
Total Cash 3,131,000,064
Total Cash Per Share 1.595
Total Debt 2,606,000,128
Total Revenue 15,609,094,144
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.7
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.06312836
Trailing Eps 2.2
Trailing P E 19.64091
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 37.3867
Two Hundred Day Average Change 5.8232994
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.15575859
Type Disp Equity
Volume 190,517
Website https://www.ternium.com
Zip 2,449