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Ternium S.A. (TX)

Basic Materials | Steel | Luxembourg, Luxembourg | NYSE
54.84 USD -0.99 (-1.773%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 54.84

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 6:02 a.m. EDT

Ternium presents a compelling value case with a forward P/E under 7.5x and robust free cash flow, yet the market remains skeptical due to recent operational headwinds. The stock has suffered two consecutive years of negative returns, capping the long-term rating despite the attractive valuation metrics. However, the recent 15% rally and expanding capacity plans linked to nearshoring demand suggest a potential inflection point. The short-term outlook is cautiously optimistic; while the statistical forecast model shows no directional bias, the technical setup above the 50-day average and the catalyst of earnings support a slight upside lean. Investors should view the current price as a recovery play rather than a momentum explosion, keeping an eye on the heavy put wall that could trigger volatility if earnings miss expectations.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.064402
AutoARIMA0.064403
MSTL0.066139
AutoTheta0.069501

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 2.56
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.395
Excess Kurtosis -0.99
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-13
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-13
Debt to Equity Ratio 18.225
Revenue per Share 81.523
Market Cap 10,765,512,704
Trailing P/E 15.49
Forward P/E 7.17
Beta 1.16
Profit Margins 4.37%
Website https://www.ternium.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 6:02 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume concentrated in the November 2026 expiration, creating a significant barrier at strikes well below the current price. This suggests a fear of a sharp correction or a 'capitulation' event. Conversely, call activity is sparse and heavily weighted toward deep in-the-money strikes, indicating limited speculative appetite for immediate upside despite the recent rally. Implied volatility is elevated, reflecting uncertainty around the upcoming earnings report.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.94% 2.94% 6.79% 6.84%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-14 1.30 2.943174
2025-05-09 1.80 6.313574
2024-11-18 0.90 2.626204
2024-05-02 2.20 5.430758
2023-11-10 1.10 3.069196
2023-05-04 1.80 4.730618
2022-11-14 0.90 2.760736
2022-05-05 1.80 4.411765
2021-11-12 0.80 1.935640
2021-05-05 2.10 5.595524
2019-05-08 1.20 4.773270
2018-05-04 1.10 2.763819
2017-05-05 1.00 4.233700
2016-05-06 0.90 4.904632
2015-05-08 0.90 4.453241
2014-05-09 0.75 2.611421
2013-05-03 0.65 2.795699
2012-05-03 0.75 3.232759
2011-06-02 0.75 2.488388
2010-06-03 0.50 1.483239
2008-06-05 0.50 1.111605
2007-06-07 0.50 1.898975
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.2
dividendYield 3.94
exDividendDate 2026-05-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.3
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.02328497
lastDividendValue 1.3
lastDividendDate 2026-05-14
dividendDate 2026-05-20

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.6775842
Address1 26 Boulevard Royal
Address2 4th Floor
All Time High 58.24
All Time Low 4.55
Ask 54.96
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 2.1 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 549,170
Average Daily Volume3 Month 602,240
Average Volume 602,240
Average Volume10Days 549,170
Beta 1.161
Bid 54.92
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 10
Book Value 62.132
City Luxembourg
Compensation Risk 5
Country Luxembourg
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 54.84
Current Ratio 2.583
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 56.3
Day Low 54.485
Debt To Equity 18.225
Display Name Ternium
Dividend Date 1,779,235,200
Dividend Rate 2.2
Dividend Yield 3.94
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,931,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,931,200
Earnings Growth 0.595
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.595
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,131,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,131,200
Ebitda 1,882,086,016
Ebitda Margins 0.1176
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.248
Enterprise To Revenue 0.97
Enterprise Value 15,524,228,096
Eps Current Year 6.90667
Eps Forward 7.65036
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.54
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,716,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 48.5568
Fifty Day Average Change 6.2831993
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.12939896
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 67.758415
Fifty Two Week High 58.24
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.4000015
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.058379147
Fifty Two Week Low 32.11
Fifty Two Week Low Change 22.73
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.7078791
Fifty Two Week Range 32.11 - 58.24
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,138,804,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 7.5
Float Shares 42,948,194
Forward Eps 7.65036
Forward P E 7.16829
Free Cashflow -884,949,120
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 33,253
Fullday Change -0.990002
Fullday Change Percent -1.77324
Fullday Price 54.84
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.17657
Gross Profits 2,825,725,952
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0
Held Percent Institutions 0.18924999
Implied Shares Outstanding 196,307,678
Industry Steel
Industry Disp Steel
Industry Key steel
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,716,800
Last Dividend Value 1.3
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Ternium S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes steel products in Mexico, Southern Region, Brazil, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Steel and Mining. The Steel segment offers slabs, heavy plates, hot and cold rolled products, coated products, stamped steel parts for the automotive industry, roll-formed and tubular products, billets, bars, and other products, including sales of energy. Its Mining segment sells iron ore and pellets. It also provides medical and social; scrap; and engineering and other services. In addition, the company engages in the exploration, exploitation, and pelletizing of iron ore. Ternium S.A. was founded in 1961 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Ternium S.A. is a subsidiary of Techint Holdings S.à r.l.
Long Name Ternium S.A.
Market us_market
Market Cap 10,765,512,704
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_23957317
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 699,499,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 10,959,857,640
Number Of Analyst Opinions 13
Open 55.97
Operating Cashflow 1,536,077,952
Operating Margins 0.12174
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.6111
Peg Ratio 0.13
Phone 352 26 68 31 52
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 54.84
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 55.83
Price Eps Current Year 7.9401507
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.88263696
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.6726932
Profit Margins 0.043709997
Quick Ratio 1.424
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.07692
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.990002
Regular Market Change Percent -1.77324
Regular Market Day High 56.3
Regular Market Day Low 54.485
Regular Market Day Range 54.485 - 56.3
Regular Market Open 55.97
Regular Market Previous Close 55.83
Regular Market Price 54.84
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,203
Regular Market Volume 242,173
Return On Assets 0.03075
Return On Equity 0.044320002
Revenue Growth 0.1
Revenue Per Share 81.523
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 196,307,678
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0022
Shares Short 433,877
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 613,626
Short Name Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0089
Short Ratio 0.6
Source Interval 15
Symbol TX
Target High Price 78.0
Target Low Price 40.0
Target Mean Price 58.0
Target Median Price 58.0
Total Cash 2,731,392,000
Total Cash Per Share 13.914
Total Debt 3,050,648,064
Total Revenue 16,003,600,384
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.3
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.02328497
Trailing Eps 3.54
Trailing P E 15.491526
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 43.4227
Two Hundred Day Average Change 11.417301
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.26293394
Type Disp Equity
Volume 242,173
Website https://www.ternium.com
Zip 2,449