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Tuya Inc. (TUYA)

Technology | Software - Infrastructure | Hangzhou, China | NYSE
1.80 USD -0.01 (-0.552%) ⇩ (July 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 7:05 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is defined by a stark disconnect between the company's deteriorating fundamentals and the market's aggressive pricing for a rebound. While the business shows signs of distress—trailing a brutal 89% drop over the last two years, posting a payout ratio above 100% which indicates the dividend is eating into earnings, and suffering from a massive cumulative loss of value over the four-year window—the options market is screaming 'buy.' Speculators have piled into deep out-of-the-money calls, creating a heavy skew that suggests they are positioning for a significant bounce rather than a continuation of the decline. However, this optimism feels fragile; the statistical forecast model offers almost no directional guidance, and the recent price action remains trapped below key moving averages. The high yield is a trap, funded by unsustainable payouts, making it unsuitable for income-focused investors despite the attractive percentage. For traders, the options skew offers a speculative vehicle for a reversal, but for long-term holders, the structural damage to the balance sheet and the lack of sustained growth momentum keep the outlook neutral.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.103401
AutoARIMA0.121216
AutoETS0.121222
AutoTheta0.130867

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 10.07
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.400
Excess Kurtosis -0.97
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Ex Dividend Date 2026-03-17
Last Dividend Date 2026-03-17
Debt to Equity Ratio 1.0
Revenue per Share 0.534
Market Cap 1,103,599,104
Trailing P/E 18.00
Forward P/E 13.58
Beta 0.44
Profit Margins 19.10%
Website https://www.tuya.com

As of July 11, 2026, 7:05 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish on the near-to-intermediate term, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (especially the August 2.0 strike) compared to virtually zero put activity. This creates a skewed IV environment where call premiums are cheap relative to the implied probability of a rally, while put buyers are scarce. The flow suggests a consensus bet on a recovery or continued uptrend, ignoring the recent price weakness.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.68% 2.68%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-03-18 0.061 2.675439
2025-03-13 0.061 1.552163
2024-09-11 0.059 4.469697
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.11
dividendYield 6.36
exDividendDate 2026-03-18
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.115
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.063535914
lastDividendValue 0.061
lastDividendDate 2026-03-18
dividendDate 2026-04-21

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.3321033
Address1 Building A, Huace Center
Address2 10/F Xihu District
All Time High 26.65
All Time Low 0.77
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 3,000
Average Daily Volume10 Day 781,170
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,063,363
Average Volume 1,063,363
Average Volume10Days 781,170
Beta 0.442
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 3,000
Book Value 1.634
City Hangzhou
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Country China
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.8
Current Ratio 6.944
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 1.825
Day Low 1.79
Debt To Equity 1.0
Display Name Tuya
Dividend Date 1,776,729,600
Dividend Rate 0.11
Dividend Yield 6.36
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,545,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,545,800
Earnings Growth 0.411
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.432
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,529,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,529,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,529,600
Ebitda 21,525,250
Ebitda Margins 0.065630004
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.751
Enterprise To Revenue 0.509
Enterprise Value 166,845,584
Eps Current Year 0.1175
Eps Forward 0.1325
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.1
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,773,792,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 2.0434
Fifty Day Average Change -0.2434001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.11911525
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -33.21033
Fifty Two Week High 2.88
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.0800002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.37500003
Fifty Two Week Low 1.72
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.07999992
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.046511583
Fifty Two Week Range 1.72 - 2.88
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,616,160,600,000
Float Shares 287,510,840
Forward Eps 0.1325
Forward P E 13.584906
Free Cashflow 21,208,876
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,441
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.47772998
Gross Profits 156,688,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.17985001
Held Percent Institutions 0.27735
Implied Shares Outstanding 613,110,679
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Industry Disp Software - Infrastructure
Industry Key software-infrastructure
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-03-18
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,773,792,000
Last Dividend Value 0.061
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Tuya Inc. provides artificial intelligence (AI) cloud platform services in the People's Republic of China. Its AI cloud developer platform delivers a suite of offerings, including platform-as-a-service (PaaS), software-as-a-service (SaaS), and smart solutions to developers of smart device, commercial applications, and industries. The company's PaaS offering enables original equipment manufacturers and brands, and developers to develop, launch, manage, and monetize software-enabled smart devices and services. Its SaaS offering enables businesses to deploy, connect, and manage smart devices in various vertical scenarios for spatial intelligence and cloud-based software value-added services to build their own autonomous and controllable smart business platforms. Its solutions include cube private cloud, smart hospitality, smart residential, commercial lighting, and smart house and real estate. The company also offers a range of other cloud-based value-added services to enhance their ability to develop and manage IoT experiences for businesses, developers, and end users. In addition, it provides smart solutions for smart devices integrated with AI and intelligent software capabilities. The company serves brands, original equipment manufacturers, industry operators, and system integrators across a range of industry verticals, such as smart home and business, renewable energy, education, agriculture, outdoors and sport, and entertainment. Tuya Inc. was founded in 2014 and is based in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Long Name Tuya Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,103,599,104
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_542359809
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 62,649,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,090,749,489
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 1.81
Operating Cashflow 78,087,000
Operating Margins 0.09238
Payout Ratio 1.145
Phone 844-672-5646
Pre Market Change 0.00999999
Pre Market Change Percent 0.55555505
Pre Market Price 1.81
Pre Market Time 1,784,102,634
Previous Close 1.81
Price Eps Current Year 15.319149
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 1.1015912
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.3647752
Profit Margins 0.19101
Quick Ratio 6.522
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.00999999
Regular Market Change Percent -0.552486
Regular Market Day High 1.825
Regular Market Day Low 1.79
Regular Market Day Range 1.79 - 1.825
Regular Market Open 1.81
Regular Market Previous Close 1.81
Regular Market Price 1.8
Regular Market Time 1,784,059,203
Regular Market Volume 647,073
Return On Assets 0.01118
Return On Equity 0.06278
Revenue Growth 0.083
Revenue Per Share 0.534
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Shares Outstanding 542,948,046
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0053
Shares Short 3,239,965
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 3,809,852
Short Name Tuya Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0104
Short Ratio 2.25
Source Interval 15
Symbol TUYA
Target High Price 3.87
Target Low Price 3.1
Target Mean Price 3.4175
Target Median Price 3.35
Total Cash 951,152,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.545
Total Debt 10,056,000
Total Revenue 327,985,984
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.115
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.063535914
Trailing Eps 0.1
Trailing P E 18.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 2.238
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.43799996
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.19571045
Type Disp Equity
Volume 647,073
Website https://www.tuya.com
Zip 310,012