Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA)Long Government | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
20.22 USD
-0.13
(-0.614%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 3:59 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:26 a.m. EDT
The Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF is currently trapped in a defensive posture, struggling to break free from a multi-year downtrend where the asset has lost over 4% of its value despite a recent pause in annual declines. While the price has stabilized near its 52-week lows, the technical structure remains bearish, trading well below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which suggests the broader market still views the underlying bond strategy as underperforming. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying cheap puts to protect against further drops while ignoring the modest call activity. Although the 3.33% dividend yield provides a cushion, it is insufficient to offset the capital losses incurred by the trailing price action. For now, the security offers no clear directional edge; the momentum is too weak to justify a bullish entry, and the fundamentals do not support a turnaround thesis yet. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.018850 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.019536 |
| AutoETS | 0.019766 |
| AutoTheta | 0.021248 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 70% |
| H-stat | 4.01 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.596 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.60 |
As of July 11, 2026, 6:26 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume at near-term expirations, creating a 'floor' around the $17-$18 strike range. Conversely, call interest is concentrated deep out-of-the-money ($25-$28 strikes), suggesting a speculative hope for a sharp rally rather than a measured uptrend. The implied volatility skew is inverted, with puts trading at significantly higher premiums than calls, indicating a fear of downside continuation.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.24% | 3.17% | 4.14% | — |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | 0.050 | 0.244141 |
| 2026-05-26 | 0.050 | 0.242601 |
| 2026-04-27 | 0.050 | 0.237192 |
| 2026-03-26 | 0.050 | 0.242014 |
| 2026-02-24 | 0.030 | 0.136986 |
| 2026-01-27 | 0.020 | 0.092166 |
| 2025-12-23 | 0.110 | 0.505282 |
| 2025-11-21 | 0.050 | 0.227169 |
| 2025-10-28 | 0.030 | 0.135685 |
| 2025-09-25 | 0.060 | 0.275482 |
| 2025-08-26 | 0.080 | 0.365297 |
| 2025-07-28 | 0.100 | 0.464900 |
| 2025-06-25 | 0.100 | 0.456204 |
| 2025-05-27 | 0.080 | 0.370028 |
| 2025-04-25 | 0.080 | 0.361174 |
| 2025-03-26 | 0.050 | 0.230627 |
| 2025-02-25 | 0.050 | 0.232019 |
| 2025-01-28 | 0.050 | 0.234192 |
| 2024-12-23 | 0.101 | 0.480266 |
| 2024-11-25 | 0.100 | 0.467946 |
| 2024-10-28 | 0.100 | 0.458926 |
| 2024-09-25 | 0.080 | 0.344976 |
| 2024-08-27 | 0.100 | 0.439947 |
| 2024-07-26 | 0.100 | 0.457457 |
| 2024-06-25 | 0.100 | 0.467071 |
| 2024-05-24 | 0.100 | 0.476190 |
| 2024-04-25 | 0.100 | 0.476872 |
| 2024-03-25 | 0.020 | 0.091199 |
| 2024-02-26 | 0.100 | 0.457038 |
| 2024-01-26 | 0.100 | 0.440335 |
| 2023-12-26 | 0.118 | 0.512375 |
| 2023-11-27 | 0.100 | 0.453104 |
| 2023-10-26 | 0.100 | 0.459770 |
| 2023-08-28 | 0.100 | 0.452694 |
| 2023-07-26 | 0.100 | 0.442674 |
| 2023-06-27 | 0.100 | 0.435161 |
| 2023-05-25 | 0.100 | 0.418585 |
| 2023-04-25 | 0.100 | 0.390869 |
| 2023-03-27 | 0.100 | 0.391083 |
| 2023-02-23 | 0.100 | 0.418760 |
| 2023-01-26 | 0.100 | 0.396983 |
| 2022-12-27 | 0.037 | 0.148207 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 26.64 |
| All Time Low | 20.265 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 5,200 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 231,420 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 314,898 |
| Average Volume | 314,898 |
| Average Volume10Days | 231,420 |
| Beta3 Year | 1.25 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 5,100 |
| Category | Long Government |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 20.3068 |
| Day Low | 20.2 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.33 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | PCX |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 20.57448 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.35448074 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.017229147 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -5.984288 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 22.305 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -2.085001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.09347684 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 20.2 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.01999855 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.0009900272 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 20.2 - 22.305 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,668,609,000,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSEArca |
| Fund Family | Simplify Asset Management |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,668,384,000 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | The fund invests primarily in futures contracts, call options, and put options on U.S. Treasury futures, U.S. government securities, such as bills, notes and bonds issued by the U.S. Treasury or fixed income ETFs that invest in U.S. Treasuries. The fund will hold cash and cash-like instruments or high-quality short term fixed income securities. |
| Long Name | Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1803863538 |
| Nav Price | 20.3363 |
| Net Assets | 751,044,800.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 0.25 |
| Open | 20.3 |
| Phone | 614-469-3294 |
| Previous Close | 20.345 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.125 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.614402 |
| Regular Market Day High | 20.3068 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 20.2 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 20.2 - 20.3068 |
| Regular Market Open | 20.3 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 20.345 |
| Regular Market Price | 20.22 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,798 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,721,443 |
| Short Name | Simplify Short Term Treasury Fu |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | TUA |
| Three Year Average Return | -0.0056048 |
| Total Assets | 751,044,800 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | -2.26507 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | -2.26507 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 21.437435 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.2174358 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.05679018 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 1,721,443 |
| Yield | 0.033299997 |
| Ytd Return | -5.56061 |