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Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA)

Long Government | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
21.27 USD -0.05 (-0.235%) ⇩ (April 20, 2026, 3:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ★★★☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:52 a.m. EDT

TUA is currently showing 'short-term neutral, long-term stable' characteristics typical of a Treasury Hedging ETF. The technicals show the price hovering flatly under its 50-day moving average, with options speculation pointing to a potential downside bias (ironically fueling the bullish call bets via volatility crush fears) while investors insure against a drop down to 18.00. With a recent dividend yield of ~3.75% and a history of consistent payouts, the instrument serves well as a defensive yield vehicle rather than a growth engine, but it lacks the categorical factors or earnings growth to warrant a 'buy' rating on the fundamentals despite the low volatility environment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.013335
AutoARIMA0.013345
MSTL0.013472
AutoTheta0.013617

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 10.31
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.152
Excess Kurtosis -0.96

As of April 19, 2026, 12:52 a.m. EDT: Options activity shows an asymmetry in positioning. Calls exhibit significant out-of-the-money (OTM) Open Interest clustered at strikes 24.0 and 25.0 for the May and June expirations, suggesting speculative positioning for upside momentum. Conversely, Put activity is predominantly characterized by high Open Interest pegged deep out-of-the-money (OTM) at the 18.0 strike for the May expiration, indicating a hedge against a sudden drop rather than a bearish bet on a significant decline. Near-term (April) ATM Implied Volatility (IV) is elevated for Puts (1.18) compared to Calls (0.57), suggesting traders are pricing in a higher probability of near-term downside moves


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.24% 3.69% 4.60%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-03-26 0.050 0.242014
2026-02-24 0.030 0.137314
2026-01-27 0.020 0.092512
2025-12-23 0.110 0.507651
2025-11-21 0.050 0.229383
2025-10-28 0.030 0.137320
2025-09-25 0.060 0.279179
2025-08-26 0.080 0.371215
2025-07-28 0.100 0.474166
2025-06-25 0.100 0.467458
2025-05-27 0.080 0.380888
2025-04-25 0.080 0.373150
2025-03-26 0.050 0.239137
2025-02-25 0.050 0.241133
2025-01-28 0.050 0.243961
2024-12-23 0.101 0.501470
2024-11-25 0.100 0.490946
2024-10-28 0.100 0.483762
2024-09-25 0.080 0.365310
2024-08-27 0.100 0.467479
2024-07-26 0.100 0.488229
2024-06-25 0.100 0.500785
2024-05-24 0.100 0.512950
2024-04-25 0.100 0.516128
2024-03-25 0.020 0.099174
2024-02-26 0.100 0.497457
2024-01-26 0.100 0.481462
2023-12-26 0.118 0.562689
2023-11-27 0.100 0.500138
2023-10-26 0.100 0.509813
2023-08-28 0.100 0.504295
2023-07-26 0.100 0.495373
2023-06-27 0.100 0.489129
2023-05-25 0.100 0.472527
2023-04-25 0.100 0.443062
2023-03-27 0.100 0.445072
2023-02-23 0.100 0.478397
2023-01-26 0.100 0.455415
2022-12-27 0.037 0.170694
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 3.75

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 26.64
All Time Low 20.66
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 3,100
Average Daily Volume10 Day 185,240
Average Daily Volume3 Month 544,831
Average Volume 544,831
Average Volume10Days 185,240
Beta3 Year 1.32
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 3,300
Category Long Government
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 21.2901
Day Low 21.245
Dividend Yield 3.75
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 21.4443
Fifty Day Average Change -0.17429924
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.008127999
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -3.9295375
Fifty Two Week High 22.56
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.289999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.057180807
Fifty Two Week Low 20.66
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.6100006
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.029525682
Fifty Two Week Range 20.66 - 22.56
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,668,609,000,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family Simplify Asset Management
Fund Inception Date 1,668,384,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund invests primarily in futures contracts, call options, and put options on U.S. Treasury futures, U.S. government securities, such as bills, notes and bonds issued by the U.S. Treasury or fixed income ETFs that invest in U.S. Treasuries. The fund will hold cash and cash-like instruments or high-quality short term fixed income securities.
Long Name Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1803863538
Nav Price 21.2863
Net Assets 817,761,540.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.25
Open 21.29
Phone 614-469-3294
Previous Close 21.32
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0499992
Regular Market Change Percent -0.234518
Regular Market Day High 21.2901
Regular Market Day Low 21.245
Regular Market Day Range 21.245 - 21.2901
Regular Market Open 21.29
Regular Market Previous Close 21.32
Regular Market Price 21.27
Regular Market Time 1,776,715,194
Regular Market Volume 141,158
Short Name Simplify Short Term Treasury Fu
Source Interval 15
Symbol TUA
Three Year Average Return -0.0122998
Total Assets 817,761,536
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -3.37192
Trailing Three Month Returns -3.37192
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 21.781115
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.5111141
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.02346593
Type Disp ETF
Volume 141,158
Yield 0.0375
Ytd Return -3.37192