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YieldMax TSM Option Income Strategy ETF (TSMY)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
14.67 USD -0.46 (-3.040%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 14.52 -0.15 (-0.150%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:23 a.m. EDT

The headline 25.99% yield is a deceptive trap for income seekers. While the distribution frequency is high, the underlying asset has suffered a brutal 21.42% decline over the trailing twelve months, erasing nearly half the value of the dividends paid during that same period. This is a classic value trap where the price collapse has decimated the denominator, inflating the yield metric artificially. The recent price action shows weakness, trading below both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming a downtrend rather than a bottoming pattern. Options data reinforces this bearish sentiment, with significant open interest in protective puts at lower strikes and virtually no speculative call buying to suggest a rebound. For a long-term investor, the business quality of the underlying semiconductor exposure is currently overshadowed by the structural decline of this specific option strategy, making it a poor candidate for capital preservation despite the tempting payout.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.016943
AutoETS0.020593
MSTL0.020981
AutoTheta0.021971

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 54%
H-stat 0.94
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.285
Excess Kurtosis 0.45

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:23 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest concentrated at strikes below the current price (12.0, 13.0, 14.0), while call activity remains sparse and capped at lower strikes. The implied volatility skew is steep, with deep out-of-the-money puts carrying significantly higher IV than calls, indicating a market expectation of downside risk or a 'crush' event for this option income strategy.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.83% 47.67% — —
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-10-08 0.128 0.829553
2026-10-01 0.128 0.812183
2026-09-24 0.092 0.590501
2026-09-17 0.086 0.569160
2026-09-10 0.104 0.684211
2026-09-03 0.087 0.580387
2026-08-27 0.096 0.629508
2026-08-20 0.146 0.964970
2026-08-13 0.120 0.767263
2026-08-06 0.145 0.945858
2026-07-30 0.134 0.889184
2026-07-23 0.142 0.913771
2026-07-16 0.142 0.916129
2026-07-09 0.152 0.927395
2026-07-02 0.156 0.949483
2026-06-25 0.209 1.250000
2026-06-18 0.147 0.833333
2026-06-11 0.113 0.687348
2026-06-04 0.149 0.857801
2026-05-28 0.131 0.775607
2026-05-21 0.166 1.009118
2026-05-14 0.179 1.060364
2026-05-07 0.191 1.126844
2026-04-30 0.275 1.659626
2026-04-23 0.168 1.028781
2026-04-16 0.186 1.169076
2026-04-09 0.125 0.779788
2026-04-02 0.133 0.876730
2026-03-26 0.134 0.906018
2026-03-19 0.135 0.883508
2026-03-12 0.125 0.821288
2026-03-05 0.236 1.470405
2026-02-26 0.171 0.992455
2026-02-19 0.143 0.853731
2026-02-12 0.134 0.781341
2026-02-05 0.105 0.661209
2026-01-29 0.127 0.780578
2026-01-22 0.189 1.189427
2026-01-15 0.139 0.830843
2026-01-08 0.110 0.691824
2026-01-02 0.091 0.569462
2025-12-26 0.104 0.673575
2025-12-18 0.062 0.418071
2025-12-11 0.106 0.667086
2025-12-04 0.249 1.606452
2025-11-28 0.108 0.692752
2025-11-20 0.109 0.719472
2025-11-13 0.140 0.911458
2025-11-06 0.173 1.091483
2025-10-30 0.157 0.942943
2025-10-23 0.338 2.080000
2025-10-16 0.229 1.351032
2025-10-02 1.001 6.041038
2025-09-04 0.381 2.524851
2025-08-07 0.954 6.076433
2025-07-10 0.638 3.997494
2025-06-12 0.896 5.685279
2025-05-15 0.788 5.180802
2025-04-17 0.564 4.272727
2025-03-20 0.577 3.741894
2025-02-20 0.602 3.440000
2025-01-23 0.645 3.241206
2024-12-27 0.807 4.166236
2024-11-29 0.538 2.863225
2024-10-31 0.890 4.501770
2024-10-03 0.371 1.885450
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 25.99

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 22.31
All Time Low 12.1
Ask 14.64
Ask Size 200
Average Daily Volume10 Day 170,010
Average Daily Volume3 Month 142,030
Average Volume 142,030
Average Volume10Days 170,010
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 14.5
Bid Size 1,000
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 14.98
Day Low 14.6
Display Name TSM Option Income Strategy ETF
Dividend Yield 25.99
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 15.3708
Fifty Day Average Change -0.70079994
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.045592938
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -15.202313
Fifty Two Week High 18.02
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.3500004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.18590456
Fifty Two Week Low 14.18
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.48999977
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.034555696
Fifty Two Week Range 14.18 - 18.02
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,724,247,000,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change 0.03999996
Fullday Change Percent 0.26437515
Fullday Price 14.67
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,724,112,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary Under normal circumstances, the Fund will invest at least 80% of its net assets, plus borrowings for investment purposes, in securities and financial instruments that provide indirect exposure to TSM. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name YieldMax TSM Option Income Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1884571942
Nav Price 15.0887
Net Assets 111,951,264.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.01
Open 14.98
Post Market Change -0.14999962
Post Market Change Percent -1.0224923
Post Market Price 14.52
Post Market Time 1,792,022,368
Previous Close 15.13
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.46
Regular Market Change Percent -3.04032
Regular Market Day High 14.98
Regular Market Day Low 14.6
Regular Market Day Range 14.6 - 14.98
Regular Market Open 14.98
Regular Market Previous Close 15.13
Regular Market Price 14.67
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,000
Regular Market Volume 217,753
Short Name YieldMax TSM Option Income Stra
Source Interval 15
Symbol TSMY
Total Assets 111,951,264
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -2.54935
Trailing Three Month Returns -2.54935
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 16.040255
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.3702545
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.08542598
Type Disp ETF
Volume 217,753
Yield 0.2599
Ytd Return 43.53317