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GraniteShares 2x Long TSM Daily ETF (TSMU)

Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
66.58 USD -3.40 (-4.859%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 66.65 +0.08 (0.120%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:22 a.m. EDT

This is a leveraged daily ETF tracking TSM, meaning it suffers from severe compounding drag during any sideways or down market. The price has been crushed, trading near its 52-week low despite the underlying semiconductor leader likely being in a recovery phase. The technicals confirm this pain: the price is trading significantly below its 50-day moving average, indicating a persistent downtrend that leveraged products amplify. The options market reflects this fear, with massive put open interest acting as a floor, preventing a freefall but also capping upside momentum. For a leveraged product, this 'floor' is dangerous; it keeps the price depressed, increasing the daily decay on the remaining capital base. There is no dividend to offset the losses, and the lack of a multi-year price history makes it impossible to assess long-term business quality through the lens of this specific instrument's performance. It is currently a high-risk speculative vehicle for traders willing to accept the volatility of a leveraged bet on a recovering chip giant, but fundamentally, the structure of the ETF is working against the investor.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.105717
AutoETS0.110550
AutoTheta0.142740
AutoARIMA0.165986

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 9.50
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.741
Excess Kurtosis -0.17

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:22 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money puts (OTM) across all expirations, creating significant resistance walls at strikes like $66 and $70. While there is some call volume at distant strikes ($85, $110), the dominant sentiment is hedging against a drop below current levels rather than betting on a rally. Implied volatility remains elevated relative to historical norms, suggesting fear of a sharp move down.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 93.29
All Time Low 10.3
Ask 85.41
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 33,450
Average Daily Volume3 Month 76,241
Average Volume 76,241
Average Volume10Days 33,450
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 49.94
Bid Size 2
Category Trading--Leveraged Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 70.1691
Day Low 66.545
Dividend Yield 0.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 70.92398
Fifty Day Average Change -4.348778
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.061316043
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 159.79321
Fifty Two Week High 93.29
Fifty Two Week High Change -26.714798
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.28636292
Fifty Two Week Low 26.44
Fifty Two Week Low Change 40.1352
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.5179727
Fifty Two Week Range 26.44 - 93.29
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,731,421,800,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fullday Change -3.4002
Fullday Change Percent -4.85914
Fullday Price 66.6549
Fund Family Graniteshares
Fund Inception Date 1,731,283,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,024-11-12
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund that attempts to replicate 2 times (200%) daily percentage change of the underlying stock by entering into financial instruments such as swaps and options on the underlying stock as well as as directly purchasing the underlying stock. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name GraniteShares 2x Long TSM Daily ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1899243077
Nav Price 69.82
Net Assets 58,387,808.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.5
Open 69.4684
Post Market Change 0.079696655
Post Market Change Percent 0.119709216
Post Market Price 66.6549
Post Market Time 1,787,961,526
Previous Close 69.9754
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -3.4002
Regular Market Change Percent -4.8591356
Regular Market Day High 70.1691
Regular Market Day Low 66.545
Regular Market Day Range 66.545 - 70.1691
Regular Market Open 69.4684
Regular Market Previous Close 69.9754
Regular Market Price 66.5752
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 26,298
Short Name GraniteShares 2x Long TSM Daily
Source Interval 15
Symbol TSMU
Total Assets 58,387,808
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -5.8457
Trailing Three Month Returns -5.8457
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 59.64638
Two Hundred Day Average Change 6.9288216
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.116165
Type Disp ETF
Volume 26,298
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return 44.81972