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Leverage Shares 2X Long TSM Daily ETF (TSMG)

Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
37.02 USD -1.45 (-3.768%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 37.30 +0.28 (0.745%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:57 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:09 a.m. EDT

This is a leveraged daily ETF (2x long TSM) trading at a massive premium to its theoretical value, creating a dangerous setup for long-term holders. The price has nearly doubled since August 2025, yet the underlying semiconductor index has been flat, meaning the fund has suffered severe decay from compounding volatility drag. While the 7.74% dividend yield looks attractive, it is likely a trap; the payout ratio is unsustainable given the fund's structure and the recent price surge, and the yield will vanish if the fund decays further. The short-term outlook is neutral to slightly negative due to the statistical forecast leaning down and the heavy concentration of put open interest just below current prices, which often acts as a magnet to pull prices down. For a leveraged product, holding through a flat market is a losing game; the recent run-up has exhausted the easy gains, and the risk of a mean-reversion collapse is high.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.102862
AutoARIMA0.106194
AutoETS0.106196
AutoTheta0.143268

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 8.24
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.788
Excess Kurtosis -0.16

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:09 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound or slightly bearish outcome in the near term. Call volume is heavily skewed toward deep out-of-the-money strikes (15.0 strike showing massive volume/IV spike relative to OI), suggesting a speculative bet on a sharp rally, while the bulk of open interest sits at moderate strikes (40.0). Put open interest is concentrated just below the current price (30.0 and 32.0 strikes), acting as a defensive wall against a drop. The lack of significant put volume at lower strikes suggests limited hedging for a major crash, while the call skew indicates fear of a gap-up or a 'long gamma' squeeze scenario.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-12-30 2.727 11.788864
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 7.74

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 51.24
All Time Low 6.02
Ask 47.42
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 49,900
Average Daily Volume3 Month 90,314
Average Volume 90,314
Average Volume10Days 49,900
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 27.72
Bid Size 2
Category Trading--Leveraged Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 39.0599
Day Low 36.9
Dividend Yield 7.74
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 39.34364
Fifty Day Average Change -2.3231392
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.05904739
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 143.5571
Fifty Two Week High 51.24
Fifty Two Week High Change -14.2195015
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2775078
Fifty Two Week Low 15.7
Fifty Two Week Low Change 21.3205
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.3579936
Fifty Two Week Range 15.7 - 51.24
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,736,865,000,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fullday Change -1.4495
Fullday Change Percent -3.76787
Fullday Price 37.2963
Fund Family Themes ETF Trust
Fund Inception Date 1,736,726,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-01-14
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed ETF. It invests at least 80% of its net assets (plus borrowings for investment purposes) in financial instruments with economic characteristics that, in combination, provide 200% daily leveraged exposure to the price of TSM, consistent with the fund’s investment objective. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Leverage Shares 2X Long TSM Daily ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1889224563
Nav Price 38.8155
Net Assets 31,370,368.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.76
Open 38.66
Post Market Change 0.2757988
Post Market Change Percent 0.7449894
Post Market Price 37.2963
Post Market Time 1,787,961,441
Previous Close 38.47
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.449501
Regular Market Change Percent -3.7678738
Regular Market Day High 39.0599
Regular Market Day Low 36.9
Regular Market Day Range 36.9 - 39.0599
Regular Market Open 38.66
Regular Market Previous Close 38.47
Regular Market Price 37.0205
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 45,061
Short Name Leverage Shares 2X Long TSM Dai
Source Interval 15
Symbol TSMG
Total Assets 31,370,368
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -4.87915
Trailing Three Month Returns -4.87915
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 33.16496
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.8555412
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.11625346
Type Disp ETF
Volume 45,061
Yield 0.0774
Ytd Return 48.55418