| Indicators | Browse All

YieldMax TSLA Option Income Strategy ETF (TSLY)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
26.73 USD -0.69 (-2.516%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 26.80 +0.07 (0.271%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:55 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:01 a.m. EDT

The 33% yield is a dangerous mirage masking a collapsing principal. While the recent price action shows a slight bounce off the lows, the underlying reality is stark: the fund has lost 77% of its value over just two years, with two consecutive years of double-digit declines. This is not a value opportunity; it is a value trap where the business model of selling TSLA options has failed spectacularly, leaving the ETF with a massive liability wall. The options market confirms this dread, with traders piling into deep puts expecting further carnage rather than recovery. Buying here is akin to catching a falling knife that has already sliced through the handle.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.045299
AutoETS0.045394
AutoARIMA0.045394
MSTL0.045767

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 0.21
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.623
Excess Kurtosis -0.71

As of July 11, 2026, 6:01 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a severe crash, evidenced by massive open interest walls in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 8, 12, 20) expiring in 2027 and 2028. Call activity is negligible compared to put volume, with significant IV spikes at low strikes indicating fear of a multi-bagger drop. The skew is overwhelmingly bearish, suggesting a 'buy the dip' strategy where investors expect the price to fall far below current levels.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.01% 64.04% 70.39%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-09 0.278 1.013489
2026-07-02 0.281 1.047335
2026-06-25 0.267 1.020642
2026-06-18 0.279 1.001795
2026-06-11 0.268 0.964376
2026-06-04 0.351 1.198361
2026-05-28 0.388 1.256070
2026-05-21 0.286 0.955563
2026-05-14 0.517 1.631429
2026-05-07 0.338 1.111111
2026-04-30 0.300 1.022844
2026-04-23 0.296 1.022806
2026-04-16 0.267 0.889111
2026-04-09 0.258 0.929395
2026-04-02 0.259 0.892796
2026-03-26 0.263 0.880187
2026-03-19 0.274 0.898361
2026-03-12 0.285 0.899905
2026-03-05 0.296 0.912173
2026-02-26 0.315 0.960073
2026-02-19 0.321 0.968326
2026-02-12 0.331 0.986293
2026-02-05 0.330 1.011960
2026-01-29 0.324 0.947923
2026-01-22 0.287 0.783939
2026-01-15 0.350 0.970874
2026-01-08 0.318 0.884070
2026-01-02 0.366 1.006601
2025-12-26 0.629 1.597257
2025-12-18 0.420 1.042442
2025-12-11 0.424 1.103018
2025-12-04 0.935 2.387640
2025-11-28 0.480 1.245136
2025-11-20 0.445 1.217510
2025-11-13 0.480 1.281709
2025-11-06 0.735 1.783981
2025-10-30 0.565 1.371359
2025-10-23 0.825 1.954976
2025-10-16 0.970 2.362972
2025-10-02 4.010 9.479906
2025-09-04 1.965 5.191546
2025-08-07 1.505 3.950131
2025-07-10 1.935 5.065445
2025-06-12 2.015 4.926650
2025-05-15 3.800 8.397790
2025-04-17 3.300 8.918919
2025-03-20 2.320 5.979382
2025-02-20 2.895 5.030408
2025-01-23 3.585 5.330855
2024-12-27 6.430 8.494056
2024-11-29 6.105 8.455679
2024-10-31 2.995 5.016750
2024-10-03 5.475 8.916938
2024-09-06 4.095 6.729663
2024-08-07 4.830 7.759036
2024-07-05 5.020 5.926801
2024-06-06 3.225 4.349292
2024-05-06 3.470 4.483204
2024-04-04 3.420 4.535809
2024-03-06 4.055 5.071920
2024-02-07 4.050 4.671280
2024-01-05 5.570 5.082117
2023-12-07 6.040 5.340407
2023-11-08 5.850 4.978723
2023-10-06 5.770 4.166065
2023-09-08 5.850 4.163701
2023-08-04 8.300 5.327343
2023-07-07 10.660 6.237566
2023-06-07 8.030 5.160668
2023-05-05 4.400 3.288490
2023-04-06 8.290 5.578735
2023-03-08 9.020 5.849925
2023-02-08 9.030 5.477375
2023-01-10 9.990 7.368887
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 33.05

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 217.63
All Time Low 13.36
Ask 27.0
Ask Size 700
Average Daily Volume10 Day 506,650
Average Daily Volume3 Month 664,721
Average Volume 664,721
Average Volume10Days 506,650
Beta3 Year 1.43
Bid 26.55
Bid Size 600
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 27.29
Day Low 26.565
Dividend Yield 33.05
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 29.0576
Fifty Day Average Change -2.3276005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.08010299
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -29.602057
Fifty Two Week High 48.45
Fifty Two Week High Change -21.720001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.44829723
Fifty Two Week Low 25.76
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.9699993
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.037655253
Fifty Two Week Range 25.76 - 48.45
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,669,213,800,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,669,075,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund will employ its investment strategy as it relates to TSLA regardless of whether there are periods of adverse market, economic, or other conditions and will not take temporary defensive positions during such periods. In seeking to achieve its investment objective, the fund will implement a “synthetic covered call” strategy using the standardized exchange-traded and FLEX options. It is non-diversified.
Long Name YieldMax TSLA Option Income Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1799412302
Nav Price 27.4105
Net Assets 819,221,890.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.07
Open 27.255
Post Market Change 0.07250023
Post Market Change Percent 0.27123168
Post Market Price 26.8025
Post Market Time 1,783,986,913
Previous Close 27.42
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.690001
Regular Market Change Percent -2.51641
Regular Market Day High 27.29
Regular Market Day Low 26.565
Regular Market Day Range 26.565 - 27.29
Regular Market Open 27.255
Regular Market Previous Close 27.42
Regular Market Price 26.73
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 419,425
Short Name YieldMax TSLA Option Income Str
Source Interval 15
Symbol TSLY
Three Year Average Return 0.0789773
Total Assets 819,221,888
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 9.49597
Trailing Three Month Returns 9.49597
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 34.5956
Two Hundred Day Average Change -7.8656006
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.22735842
Type Disp ETF
Volume 419,425
Yield 0.3305
Ytd Return -1.42356