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Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Austin, United States | NasdaqGS
394.76 USD -13.00 (-3.188%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 393.02 -1.74 (-1.736%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:32 a.m. EDT

Tesla presents a classic high-risk, high-reward profile where massive historical gains mask current valuation fragility. While the business generates strong cash and revenue growth, the 370x trailing P/E and sub-5% ROE prevent a top-tier long-term recommendation. Short-term, the stock is hovering near key moving averages with options flow hinting at a potential upside breakout above $420, but technicals remain slightly bearish. There is no dividend income to offset the capital risk.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_115 ✓0.090105
MSTL0.100101
AutoTheta0.100663
AutoARIMA0.105459
AutoETS0.105463

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_115

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 5.85
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.614
Excess Kurtosis -0.62
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 18.738
Revenue per Share 30.312
Market Cap 1,482,609,524,736
Trailing P/E 358.87
Forward P/E 153.15
Beta 1.80
Profit Margins 3.95%
Website https://www.tesla.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:32 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for volatility with heavy call volume concentrated at 420-500 strikes and significant put protection at 380-400. Implied volatility is elevated across the board, indicating expectations for a sharp move in either direction, though call positioning leans slightly bullish.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.28671503
Address1 1 Tesla Road
All Time High 498.83
All Time Low 0.998667
Ask 416.75
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 2.4 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 46,621,150
Average Daily Volume3 Month 53,148,093
Average Volume 53,148,093
Average Volume10Days 46,621,150
Beta 1.802
Bid 390.0
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 10
Book Value 21.897
City Austin
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 394.76
Current Ratio 2.043
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 405.4
Day Low 391.3701
Debt To Equity 18.738
Display Name Tesla
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,750,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,750,400
Earnings Growth 0.083
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.166
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,750,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,750,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,750,400
Ebitda 11,093,999,616
Ebitda Margins 0.11334
Enterprise To Ebitda 131.102
Enterprise To Revenue 14.86
Enterprise Value 1,454,442,545,152
Eps Current Year 2.13614
Eps Forward 2.57759
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.1
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 409.1964
Fifty Day Average Change -14.436401
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.03527988
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 28.671503
Fifty Two Week High 498.83
Fifty Two Week High Change -104.06998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.20862815
Fifty Two Week Low 297.82
Fifty Two Week Low Change 96.94
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.3254986
Fifty Two Week Range 297.82 - 498.83
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,277,818,200,000
Float Shares 2,625,401,215
Forward Eps 2.57759
Forward P E 153.15082
Free Cashflow 5,251,999,744
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 134,785
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.19065
Gross Profits 18,660,999,168
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.18737
Held Percent Institutions 0.4488
Implied Shares Outstanding 3,755,723,871
Industry Auto Manufacturers
Industry Disp Auto Manufacturers
Industry Key auto-manufacturers
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,661,385,600
Last Split Factor 3:1
Long Business Summary Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive; and Energy Generation and Storage. The company offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty maintenance services and collision, automotive insurance services, as well as part sales and retail merchandise sale. It also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. In addition, the company engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners. Further, it provides services and repairs to its energy product customers, including under warranty and extended service plans; and various financing options to its residential customers; lithium-ion battery energy storage products, such as Powerwall and Megapack; energy generation products, including solar panels and solar roof; self-driving development and artificial intelligence software, vehicle control and infotainment software, and battery and powertrain. The company was formerly known as Tesla Motors, Inc. and changed its name to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Tesla, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Long Name Tesla, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,482,609,524,736
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_27444752
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 3,862,000,128
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,531,433,965,638
Number Of Analyst Opinions 40
Open 404.61
Operating Cashflow 16,528,000,000
Operating Margins 0.04203
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 5.11
Phone 512 516 8177
Post Market Change -1.736023
Post Market Change Percent -0.43976668
Post Market Price 393.024
Post Market Time 1,783,987,196
Previous Close 407.76
Price Eps Current Year 184.80061
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 18.028042
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 15.147371
Profit Margins 0.03946
Quick Ratio 1.43
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.38298
Region US
Regular Market Change -13.0
Regular Market Change Percent -3.18815
Regular Market Day High 405.4
Regular Market Day Low 391.3701
Regular Market Day Range 391.3701 - 405.4
Regular Market Open 404.61
Regular Market Previous Close 407.76
Regular Market Price 394.76
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 32,685,743
Return On Assets 0.022330001
Return On Equity 0.04901
Revenue Growth 0.158
Revenue Per Share 30.312
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 9
Shares Outstanding 3,755,723,871
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0211
Shares Short 79,109,257
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 76,947,758
Short Name Tesla, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.023699999
Short Ratio 1.66
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol TSLA
Target High Price 600.0
Target Low Price 125.0
Target Mean Price 424.56
Target Median Price 455.0
Total Cash 44,743,000,064
Total Cash Per Share 11.913
Total Debt 15,889,999,872
Total Revenue 97,878,999,040
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.1
Trailing P E 358.87274
Trailing Peg Ratio 5.1098
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 418.1399
Two Hundred Day Average Change -23.379883
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.055914022
Type Disp Equity
Volume 32,685,743
Website https://www.tesla.com
Zip 78,725