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GraniteShares 1.25x Long Tsla Daily ETF (TSL)

Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
15.37 USD -0.64 (-3.967%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 15.30 -0.07 (-0.075%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:11 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:16 a.m. EDT

This leveraged daily ETF is currently trapped in a structural downtrend that outweighs any recent technical relief. Although the underlying asset posted a strong +23% gain last year, the security itself has lost nearly 40% over the trailing two-year window, reflecting the brutal reality of holding a 1.25x leveraged product during a prolonged bear market. The recent price action shows a fragile recovery, bouncing off lows but struggling to reclaim key moving averages, which aligns with the weak statistical forecast and the mixed, low-volume options flow. The single dividend paid in 2023 is irrelevant for a leveraged vehicle designed for short-term trading, not income. With the underlying asset still volatile and the compounding drag of leverage intact, the risk-reward profile remains skewed toward the downside for any position held beyond a few days.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.090972
MSTL0.092644
AutoETS0.101447
AutoARIMA0.101708

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 0.25
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.532
Excess Kurtosis -0.82

As of July 11, 2026, 3:16 a.m. EDT: Speculator positioning is extremely thin and fragmented across expirations, offering no clear directional bias. In the near term (July), there is a heavy concentration of open interest in out-of-the-money calls at $17, suggesting a speculative bet on a bounce toward the $17-$18 range, while put activity is negligible. However, this is contradicted by the September data where out-of-the-money puts at $28 dominate open interest, implying a hedge against a massive gap-up event or a contrarian bet on a crash if Tesla rallies. The December expiration shows virtually no activity, indicating a lack of conviction in any specific end-of-year target. Overall, the options flow is too sparse and contradictory to serve as a reliable sentiment indicator.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2023-12-27 6.657 56.607142
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 0.0

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 27.41
All Time Low 5.13
Ask 19.66
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 798,530
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,031,700
Average Volume 1,031,700
Average Volume10Days 798,530
Beta3 Year 2.06
Bid 11.43
Bid Size 2
Category Trading--Leveraged Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 15.87
Day Low 15.22
Dividend Yield 0.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 16.22792
Fifty Day Average Change -0.85302067
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.052565
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 28.229164
Fifty Two Week High 21.31
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.9350996
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.27851242
Fifty Two Week Low 11.5
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.8748999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.33694783
Fifty Two Week Range 11.5 - 21.31
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,660,051,800,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fund Family Graniteshares
Fund Inception Date 1,659,916,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund isan actively managed exchange traded fund that attempts to replicate 1.25 times (125%) the daily percentage change of the underlying stock by entering into financial instruments such as swaps and options on the underlying stock as well as directly purchasing the underlying stock. The fund will aim to primarily obtain its notional exposure against the underlying stock through swap agreements. It is non-diversified.
Long Name GraniteShares 1.25x Long Tsla Daily ETF
Market us_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1780713209
Nav Price 15.96
Net Assets 12,357,719.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.15
Open 15.87
Post Market Change -0.07489967
Post Market Change Percent -0.48715553
Post Market Price 15.3
Post Market Time 1,783,984,307
Previous Close 16.01
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.63510036
Regular Market Change Percent -3.9668977
Regular Market Day High 15.87
Regular Market Day Low 15.22
Regular Market Day Range 15.22 - 15.87
Regular Market Open 15.87
Regular Market Previous Close 16.01
Regular Market Price 15.3749
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 502,839
Short Name GraniteShares 1.25x Long TSLA D
Source Interval 15
Symbol TSL
Three Year Average Return 0.0633226
Total Assets 12,357,719
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 14.85557
Trailing Three Month Returns 14.85557
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 16.99031
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.6154108
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.09507836
Type Disp ETF
Volume 502,839
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return -10.69519