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Graniteshares 2x Short TSLA Daily ETF (TSDD)

Trading--Inverse Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
7.63 USD +0.46 (6.416%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 7.70 +0.07 (0.917%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:54 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:26 a.m. EDT

This instrument is a leveraged inverse ETF designed to profit from a falling TSLA, but the underlying asset has suffered a catastrophic collapse, dropping roughly 88% in the last year. While the 9.3% dividend yield appears attractive on paper, it is likely a reflection of the fund's decay mechanics or a one-time distribution rather than sustainable income from a shrinking asset base. The price action confirms a brutal downtrend, with the stock trading near its 52-week low and failing to recover even minor losses. Options data screams caution, with traders buying deep out-of-the-money puts to hedge against further drops, while call volume is negligible. Statistically, the short-term forecast leans slightly negative, aligning with the prevailing trend. For a long-term holder, the business quality of the underlying has deteriorated significantly, making this a dangerous 'value trap' where the price has already priced in almost all bad news. The short-term outlook remains neutral-to-bearish as the market continues to reassess the bottom, offering no clear catalyst for a reversal yet.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.178465
AutoTheta0.228986
MSTL_1030.298220
MSTL0.324778
AutoETS0.347323

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 0.38
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.844
Excess Kurtosis -0.30

As of July 11, 2026, 3:26 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, evidenced by massive out-of-the-money put open interest relative to calls. The strike distribution shows significant concentration at lower strikes (e.g., 5.0, 7.0) for near-term expirations, while call activity is sparse and clustered near the money or slightly out-of-the-money. This structure indicates a market consensus expecting continued volatility and potential further declines rather than a rebound.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
8.81% 8.81%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-12-29 0.651 8.809202
2023-12-27 77.340 26.716871
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 9.29

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 768.8
All Time Low 6.57
Ask 7.89
Ask Size 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 22,951,090
Average Daily Volume3 Month 25,609,957
Average Volume 25,609,957
Average Volume10Days 22,951,090
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 7.44
Bid Size 1
Category Trading--Inverse Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 7.7501
Day Low 7.26
Dividend Yield 9.29
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 7.8577
Fifty Day Average Change -0.22769976
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.028977914
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -67.71724
Fifty Two Week High 24.2
Fifty Two Week High Change -16.57
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.6847107
Fifty Two Week Low 6.57
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.06
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.1613394
Fifty Two Week Range 6.57 - 24.2
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,693,229,400,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fund Family Graniteshares
Fund Inception Date 1,692,576,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,023-08-22
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund that attempts to replicate 2x the inverse (-200%) daily percentage change of the underlying stock by entering into financial instruments such as swaps and options on the underlying stock; at the end of each trading day, the notional exposure against the underlying stock obtained through the combination of these instruments will be approximately -200% of the fund’s net asset value. It is non-diversified.
Long Name Graniteshares 2x Short TSLA Daily ETF
Market us_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1847925828
Nav Price 7.17
Net Assets 39,021,092.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.95
Open 7.26
Post Market Change 0.069999695
Post Market Change Percent 0.9174272
Post Market Price 7.7
Post Market Time 1,783,986,884
Previous Close 7.17
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.46
Regular Market Change Percent 6.41562
Regular Market Day High 7.7501
Regular Market Day Low 7.26
Regular Market Day Range 7.26 - 7.7501
Regular Market Open 7.26
Regular Market Previous Close 7.17
Regular Market Price 7.63
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 20,009,791
Short Name GraniteShares 2x Short TSLA Dai
Source Interval 15
Symbol TSDD
Total Assets 39,021,092
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -32.79003
Trailing Three Month Returns -32.79003
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 8.949625
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.3196249
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.1474503
Type Disp ETF
Volume 20,009,791
Yield 0.0929
Ytd Return -9.19689