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Tractor Supply Company (TSCO)

Consumer Cyclical | Specialty Retail | Brentwood, United States | NasdaqGS
30.24 USD -0.19 (-0.624%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:25 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is defensive; the stock has found a temporary floor around $28-$30, but the path of least resistance is capped by a dense wall of call options at $45. While the recent price action shows a modest rebound from the lows, the lack of aggressive buying above the $32 resistance suggests momentum is stalled. Fundamentally, the company remains a solid compounder with a fortress-like balance sheet and a 204% gain over the last nine years, yet the market is currently pricing in stagnation, evidenced by the downgrade to 'Hold' and the disconnect between the low valuation and the strong historical trajectory. The dividend yield of roughly 3.2% provides a necessary cushion, offering a return that exceeds inflation even if the share price remains flat. This is a classic value trap scenario where the business is excellent, but the stock is stuck in a consolidation phase waiting for a catalyst to break the $45 resistance.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.332985
AutoETS0.333041
MSTL0.335867
MSTL_1260.336940
MSTL_90_1260.337642
AutoTheta0.337669
MSTL_900.345954

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 2.50
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 1.92
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-26
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-26
Debt to Equity Ratio 254.949
Revenue per Share 29.605
Market Cap 15,859,355,648
Trailing P/E 14.90
Forward P/E 13.24
Beta 0.46
Profit Margins 6.91%
Website https://www.tractorsupply.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:25 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound recovery rather than a breakout. Call open interest is heavily concentrated at the $45 strike, creating a massive wall that suggests a ceiling for near-term upside, while significant volume is being placed at lower strikes ($30-$32). Put activity shows a distinct 'floor' at the $28-$30 level, with heavy open interest acting as a magnet for buyers if prices dip further. The implied volatility skew is elevated at deep out-of-the-money strikes, indicating fear of a sharp drop, but the overall positioning favors a bounce off the lows rather than a sustained rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.78% 2.04% 1.85% 1.76%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-27 0.240 0.782524
2026-02-24 0.240 0.450535
2025-11-24 0.230 0.433717
2025-08-25 0.230 0.373862
2025-05-28 0.230 0.468814
2025-02-26 0.230 0.417120
2024-11-25 0.220 0.384629
2024-08-26 0.220 0.403196
2024-05-24 0.220 0.390071
2024-02-23 0.220 0.452545
2023-11-24 0.206 0.519703
2023-08-25 0.206 0.482345
2023-05-26 0.206 0.486998
2023-02-24 0.206 0.446777
2022-11-18 0.184 0.418448
2022-08-19 0.184 0.452555
2022-05-24 0.184 0.539495
2022-02-17 0.184 0.430954
2021-11-19 0.104 0.225538
2021-08-20 0.104 0.262480
2021-05-21 0.104 0.283626
2021-02-19 0.104 0.303490
2020-11-20 0.080 0.308404
2020-08-21 0.080 0.260960
2020-05-22 0.070 0.312919
2020-02-21 0.070 0.350772
2019-11-22 0.070 0.360045
2019-08-23 0.070 0.361346
2019-05-24 0.070 0.346055
2019-02-22 0.062 0.322782
2018-11-23 0.062 0.347144
2018-08-24 0.062 0.349966
2018-05-25 0.062 0.422689
2018-02-23 0.054 0.409961
2017-11-17 0.054 0.418605
2017-08-17 0.054 0.491624
2017-05-18 0.054 0.465758
2017-02-23 0.048 0.338028
2016-11-09 0.048 0.358262
2016-08-11 0.048 0.278325
2016-05-12 0.048 0.256492
2016-02-18 0.040 0.236630
2015-11-12 0.040 0.222792
2015-08-13 0.040 0.214592
2015-05-14 0.040 0.228154
2015-02-19 0.032 0.186981
2014-11-13 0.032 0.216362
2014-08-14 0.032 0.257940
2014-05-15 0.032 0.253325
2014-02-20 0.026 0.197659
2013-11-14 0.026 0.177232
2013-08-15 0.026 0.222603
2013-05-16 0.026 0.230231
2013-02-21 0.020 0.198236
2012-11-15 0.020 0.230707
2012-08-16 0.020 0.216732
2012-05-17 0.020 0.210040
2012-02-23 0.012 0.141393
2011-11-09 0.012 0.167973
2011-08-11 0.012 0.207182
2011-05-12 0.012 0.190749
2011-02-17 0.007 0.132275
2010-11-10 0.007 0.168229
2010-08-12 0.007 0.203164
2010-05-13 0.007 0.201323
2010-03-11 0.007 0.241504
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.96
dividendYield 3.17
exDividendDate 2026-05-27
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.93
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.030561944
lastDividendValue 0.24
lastDividendDate 2026-05-27
dividendDate 2026-06-09

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.4757064
Address1 5,401 Virginia Way
All Time High 63.99
All Time Low 0.08125
Ask 31.53
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.1 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 11,223,900
Average Daily Volume3 Month 12,915,126
Average Volume 12,915,126
Average Volume10Days 11,223,900
Beta 0.456
Bid 28.65
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 2
Book Value 4.783
City Brentwood
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 30.24
Current Ratio 1.38
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 30.875
Day Low 29.98
Debt To Equity 254.949
Dividend Date 1,780,963,200
Dividend Rate 0.96
Dividend Yield 3.17
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,836,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,836,800
Earnings Growth -0.081
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.083
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,809,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,809,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,809,800
Ebitda 1,952,216,064
Ebitda Margins 0.12475
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.292
Enterprise To Revenue 1.409
Enterprise Value 22,043,865,088
Eps Current Year 2.10149
Eps Forward 2.28469
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.03
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,840,000
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 31.0046
Fifty Day Average Change -0.76460075
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.02466088
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -47.57064
Fifty Two Week High 63.99
Fifty Two Week High Change -33.75
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5274261
Fifty Two Week Low 28.36
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.8799992
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.06629052
Fifty Two Week Range 28.36 - 63.99
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 761,495,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.6
Float Shares 522,661,243
Forward Eps 2.28469
Forward P E 13.235931
Free Cashflow 350,726,016
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 52,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.36425
Gross Profits 5,700,271,104
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00248
Held Percent Institutions 0.95294
Implied Shares Outstanding 524,449,616
Industry Specialty Retail
Industry Disp Specialty Retail
Industry Key specialty-retail
Ir Website http://www.tractorsupply.com/InvestorRelationView?storeId=10551&catalogId=10001
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,840,000
Last Dividend Value 0.24
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,793,600
Last Split Date 1,734,652,800
Last Split Factor 5:1
Long Business Summary Tractor Supply Company operates as a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. The company provides various merchandise, including livestock and equine feed and equipment, poultry, fencing, and sprayers and chemicals; companion animal products, such as food, treats, and equipment for dogs, cats, and other small animals, as well as dog wellness products; seasonal and recreation products comprising tractors and riders, lawn and garden, bird feeding, power equipment, and other recreational products; truck, tool, and hardware products, such as truck accessories, trailers, generators, lubricants, batteries, and hardware and tools; and clothing, gift, and décor products consist of clothing, footwear, toys, snacks, and decorative merchandise. It offers its products under the 4health, Paws & Claws, American Farmworks, Producer's Pride, Bit & Bridle, Red Shed, Blue Mountain, Redstone, C.E. Schmidt, Retriever, Country Lane, Ridgecut, Countyline, Royal Wing, Country Tuff, Strive, Dumor, Traveller, Farm Table, Treeline, Groundwork, TSC Tractor Supply Co, Huskee, Untamed, JobSmart, and Impeckable brand names. The company operates its retail stores under the Tractor Supply Company, Petsense by Tractor Supply, and Orscheln Farm and Home names; and operates websites under the TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com names. It sells its products to recreational farmers, ranchers, and others. Tractor Supply Company was founded in 1938 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.
Long Name Tractor Supply Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 15,859,355,648
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_329501
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,656,000
Net Income To Common 1,081,241,984
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,329,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 15,959,001,814
Number Of Analyst Opinions 27
Open 30.6
Operating Cashflow 1,509,603,968
Operating Margins 0.06499
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.45810002
Peg Ratio 1.35
Phone 615 440 4000
Pre Market Change 0.13000107
Pre Market Change Percent 0.42989773
Pre Market Price 30.37
Pre Market Time 1,784,026,810
Previous Close 30.43
Price Eps Current Year 14.38979
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 6.322392
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.0134331
Profit Margins 0.06909
Quick Ratio 0.08
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.10345
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.190001
Regular Market Change Percent -0.624386
Regular Market Day High 30.875
Regular Market Day Low 29.98
Regular Market Day Range 29.98 - 30.875
Regular Market Open 30.6
Regular Market Previous Close 30.43
Regular Market Price 30.24
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 6,868,018
Return On Assets 0.08229999
Return On Equity 0.45504
Revenue Growth 0.036
Revenue Per Share 29.605
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 524,449,616
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0552
Shares Short 28,934,211
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 23,791,015
Short Name Tractor Supply Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.063
Short Ratio 2.01
Source Interval 15
State TN
Symbol TSCO
Target High Price 60.0
Target Low Price 32.0
Target Mean Price 43.59259
Target Median Price 44.0
Total Cash 224,268,992
Total Cash Per Share 0.428
Total Debt 6,408,778,240
Total Revenue 15,649,139,712
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.93
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.030561944
Trailing Eps 2.03
Trailing P E 14.896552
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.348
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 46.2807
Two Hundred Day Average Change -16.0407
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.34659588
Type Disp Equity
Volume 6,868,018
Website https://www.tractorsupply.com
Zip 37,027