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Tractor Supply Company (TSCO)

Consumer Cyclical | Specialty Retail | Brentwood, United States | NasdaqGS
33.82 USD +0.44 (1.334%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 9:45 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:40 a.m. EDT

The immediate pressure on Tractor Supply is a classic case of earnings disappointment meeting a crowded trade. Despite a massive 296% gain over the last decade, the company recently missed sales expectations and cut guidance, triggering a sharp re-rating by the market. The price has since drifted lower, testing the psychological support around $31-$32, which aligns perfectly with the heavy put open interest seen in the options chain. This suggests that while the long-term thesis regarding rural retail remains intact, the short-term narrative has shifted from 'growth at all costs' to 'valuation reset.' The 2.95% dividend provides a necessary cushion, offering a return that exceeds the cost of capital even as the stock trades at a modest discount to its forward earnings. However, the lack of a clear catalyst to reverse the guidance cut means the stock is likely to remain range-bound, oscillating between the put support at $25 and the call resistance at $35-$40 until management can demonstrate renewed top-line momentum.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.064827
MSTL0.066907
AutoTheta0.081920
AutoARIMA0.096563

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 50%
H-stat 0.19
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.251
Excess Kurtosis -0.79
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-23
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-23
Debt to Equity Ratio 248.71
Revenue per Share 29.889
Market Cap 17,618,970,624
Trailing P/E 17.61
Forward P/E 16.54
Beta 0.51
Profit Margins 6.42%
Website https://www.tractorsupply.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:40 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound recovery rather than a breakout. Call open interest builds significantly at the $35 and $40 strikes, creating a wall of resistance that suggests traders expect the price to test these levels but struggle to break through immediately. Conversely, put open interest is heavily concentrated at the $25-$32 range, indicating a strong floor where sellers believe the stock will find support. The imbalance in volume versus open interest at the $33 strike suggests active buying of calls, yet the overall structure implies a 'strangle' strategy where traders profit from volatility within the $25-$40 corridor rather than a directional bet on immediate momentum.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.67% 2.33% 1.91% 1.85%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-24 0.240 0.668151
2026-05-27 0.240 0.782524
2026-02-24 0.240 0.450535
2025-11-24 0.230 0.433717
2025-08-25 0.230 0.373862
2025-05-28 0.230 0.468814
2025-02-26 0.230 0.417120
2024-11-25 0.220 0.384629
2024-08-26 0.220 0.403196
2024-05-24 0.220 0.390071
2024-02-23 0.220 0.452545
2023-11-24 0.206 0.519703
2023-08-25 0.206 0.482345
2023-05-26 0.206 0.486998
2023-02-24 0.206 0.446777
2022-11-18 0.184 0.418448
2022-08-19 0.184 0.452555
2022-05-24 0.184 0.539495
2022-02-17 0.184 0.430954
2021-11-19 0.104 0.225538
2021-08-20 0.104 0.262480
2021-05-21 0.104 0.283626
2021-02-19 0.104 0.303490
2020-11-20 0.080 0.308404
2020-08-21 0.080 0.260960
2020-05-22 0.070 0.312919
2020-02-21 0.070 0.350772
2019-11-22 0.070 0.360045
2019-08-23 0.070 0.361346
2019-05-24 0.070 0.346055
2019-02-22 0.062 0.322782
2018-11-23 0.062 0.347144
2018-08-24 0.062 0.349966
2018-05-25 0.062 0.422689
2018-02-23 0.054 0.409961
2017-11-17 0.054 0.418605
2017-08-17 0.054 0.491624
2017-05-18 0.054 0.465758
2017-02-23 0.048 0.338028
2016-11-09 0.048 0.358262
2016-08-11 0.048 0.278325
2016-05-12 0.048 0.256492
2016-02-18 0.040 0.236630
2015-11-12 0.040 0.222792
2015-08-13 0.040 0.214592
2015-05-14 0.040 0.228154
2015-02-19 0.032 0.186981
2014-11-13 0.032 0.216362
2014-08-14 0.032 0.257940
2014-05-15 0.032 0.253325
2014-02-20 0.026 0.197659
2013-11-14 0.026 0.177232
2013-08-15 0.026 0.222603
2013-05-16 0.026 0.230231
2013-02-21 0.020 0.198236
2012-11-15 0.020 0.230707
2012-08-16 0.020 0.216732
2012-05-17 0.020 0.210040
2012-02-23 0.012 0.141393
2011-11-09 0.012 0.167973
2011-08-11 0.012 0.207182
2011-05-12 0.012 0.190749
2011-02-17 0.007 0.132275
2010-11-10 0.007 0.168229
2010-08-12 0.007 0.203164
2010-05-13 0.007 0.201323
2010-03-11 0.007 0.241504
Additional Data
dividendYield 2.88
exDividendDate 2026-08-24
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.94
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.028169015
lastDividendValue 0.24
lastDividendDate 2026-08-24
dividendDate 2026-09-08

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.39547104
Address1 5,401 Virginia Way
All Time High 63.99
All Time Low 0.08125
Ask 35.34
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.1 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 12,739,150
Average Daily Volume3 Month 10,792,901
Average Volume 10,792,901
Average Volume10Days 12,739,150
Beta 0.514
Bid 32.14
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 2
Book Value 5.043
City Brentwood
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 33.815
Current Ratio 1.334
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 33.99
Day Low 33.49
Debt To Equity 248.71
Display Name Tractor Supply
Dividend Date 1,788,825,600
Dividend Yield 2.88
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,792,699,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,792,699,200
Earnings Growth -0.15
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.161
Earnings Timestamp 1,792,672,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,672,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,672,200
Ebitda 1,931,484,032
Ebitda Margins 0.12262999
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.271
Enterprise To Revenue 1.505
Enterprise Value 23,700,498,432
Eps Current Year 1.93252
Eps Forward 2.04483
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.92
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,787,529,600
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 33.7534
Fifty Day Average Change 0.06159973
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0018249934
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -39.547104
Fifty Two Week High 58.21
Fifty Two Week High Change -24.395
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.41908607
Fifty Two Week Low 28.36
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.454998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.1923483
Fifty Two Week Range 28.36 - 58.21
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 761,495,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.61
Float Shares 519,414,492
Forward Eps 2.04483
Forward P E 16.536825
Free Cashflow 103,175,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 54,000
Fullday Change 0.4449997
Fullday Change Percent 1.3335322
Fullday Price 33.815
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.36499
Gross Profits 5,748,831,232
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00347
Held Percent Institutions 0.96915
Implied Shares Outstanding 521,040,137
Industry Specialty Retail
Industry Disp Specialty Retail
Industry Key specialty-retail
Ir Website http://www.tractorsupply.com/InvestorRelationView?storeId=10551&catalogId=10001
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,787,529,600
Last Dividend Value 0.24
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,793,600
Last Split Date 1,734,652,800
Last Split Factor 5:1
Long Business Summary Tractor Supply Company operates as a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. The company provides various merchandise, including livestock and equine feed and equipment, poultry, fencing, and sprayers and chemicals; companion animal products, such as food, treats, and equipment for dogs, cats, and other small animals, as well as dog wellness products; seasonal and recreation products comprising tractors and riders, lawn and garden, bird feeding, power equipment, and other recreational products; truck, tool, and hardware products, such as truck accessories, trailers, generators, lubricants, batteries, and hardware and tools; and clothing, gift, and décor products consist of clothing, footwear, toys, snacks, and decorative merchandise. It offers its products under the 4health, Paws & Claws, American Farmworks, Producer's Pride, Bit & Bridle, Red Shed, Blue Mountain, Redstone, C.E. Schmidt, Retriever, Country Lane, Ridgecut, Countyline, Royal Wing, Country Tuff, Strive, Dumor, Traveller, Farm Table, Treeline, Groundwork, TSC Tractor Supply Co, Huskee, Untamed, JobSmart, and Impeckable brand names. The company operates its retail stores under the Tractor Supply Company, Petsense by Tractor Supply, and Orscheln Farm and Home names; and operates websites under the TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com names. It sells its products to recreational farmers, ranchers, and others. Tractor Supply Company was founded in 1938 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.
Long Name Tractor Supply Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 17,618,970,624
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_329501
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,518,400
Net Income To Common 1,011,913,984
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,329,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 16,824,386,023
Number Of Analyst Opinions 27
Open 33.629
Operating Cashflow 1,285,820,032
Operating Margins 0.120740004
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.4896
Peg Ratio 2.06
Phone 615 440 4000
Previous Close 33.37
Price Eps Current Year 17.497877
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 6.7053337
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.1186134
Profit Margins 0.06425
Quick Ratio 0.137
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.1
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.4449997
Regular Market Change Percent 1.3335322
Regular Market Day High 33.99
Regular Market Day Low 33.49
Regular Market Day Range 33.49 - 33.99
Regular Market Open 33.629
Regular Market Previous Close 33.37
Regular Market Price 33.815
Regular Market Time 1,792,158,326
Regular Market Volume 745,503
Return On Assets 0.07824
Return On Equity 0.39513
Revenue Growth 0.023
Revenue Per Share 29.889
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 521,040,137
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.083000004
Shares Short 43,233,684
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 43,402,123
Short Name Tractor Supply Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.094799995
Short Ratio 4.67
Source Interval 15
State TN
Symbol TSCO
Target High Price 42.0
Target Low Price 28.0
Target Mean Price 35.7037
Target Median Price 35.0
Total Cash 231,588,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.444
Total Debt 6,544,977,920
Total Revenue 15,750,723,584
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.94
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.028169015
Trailing Eps 1.92
Trailing P E 17.611979
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.0348
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 39.06035
Two Hundred Day Average Change -5.24535
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.13428836
Type Disp Equity
Volume 745,503
Website https://www.tractorsupply.com
Zip 37,027