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Tractor Supply Company (TSCO)

Consumer Cyclical | Specialty Retail | Brentwood, United States | NasdaqGS
34.72 USD +0.02 (0.058%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 35.10 +0.38 (1.094%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:45 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is defensive; the stock has found a temporary bottom around $33-$35, but the path of least resistance remains downward against the 200-day average. While the company boasts exceptional long-term fundamentals—nearly doubling in value over nine years with robust profitability—the recent earnings miss and guidance cut have shattered the momentum, leaving the stock trading at a discount to its historical trajectory. The options market confirms this hesitation, with traders building significant downside protection at $28 while waiting for a catalyst to push prices higher. For investors, the current level offers a reasonable entry point given the strong balance sheet and consistent dividend growth, but the near-term chart suggests a grind lower before any meaningful rebound.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.039914
AutoETS0.042126
AutoTheta0.110385
AutoARIMA0.153832

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 0.56
Ljung-Box p 0.001
Jarque-Bera p 0.122
Excess Kurtosis 0.35
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-23
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-23
Debt to Equity Ratio 248.71
Revenue per Share 29.889
Market Cap 18,090,514,432
Trailing P/E 18.08
Forward P/E 16.93
Beta 0.45
Profit Margins 6.42%
Website https://www.tractorsupply.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound recovery with a distinct floor at $28-$30, evidenced by heavy open interest walls in out-of-the-money puts. Call activity is concentrated near the money ($35 strike) and slightly out-of-the-money ($40), suggesting a bias toward testing resistance rather than a breakout. The imbalance in open interest (OTM > ITM) indicates a hedging strategy or a bet on volatility containment rather than a directional rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.67% 2.33% 1.91% 1.85%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-24 0.240 0.668151
2026-05-27 0.240 0.782524
2026-02-24 0.240 0.450535
2025-11-24 0.230 0.433717
2025-08-25 0.230 0.373862
2025-05-28 0.230 0.468814
2025-02-26 0.230 0.417120
2024-11-25 0.220 0.384629
2024-08-26 0.220 0.403196
2024-05-24 0.220 0.390071
2024-02-23 0.220 0.452545
2023-11-24 0.206 0.519703
2023-08-25 0.206 0.482345
2023-05-26 0.206 0.486998
2023-02-24 0.206 0.446777
2022-11-18 0.184 0.418448
2022-08-19 0.184 0.452555
2022-05-24 0.184 0.539495
2022-02-17 0.184 0.430954
2021-11-19 0.104 0.225538
2021-08-20 0.104 0.262480
2021-05-21 0.104 0.283626
2021-02-19 0.104 0.303490
2020-11-20 0.080 0.308404
2020-08-21 0.080 0.260960
2020-05-22 0.070 0.312919
2020-02-21 0.070 0.350772
2019-11-22 0.070 0.360045
2019-08-23 0.070 0.361346
2019-05-24 0.070 0.346055
2019-02-22 0.062 0.322782
2018-11-23 0.062 0.347144
2018-08-24 0.062 0.349966
2018-05-25 0.062 0.422689
2018-02-23 0.054 0.409961
2017-11-17 0.054 0.418605
2017-08-17 0.054 0.491624
2017-05-18 0.054 0.465758
2017-02-23 0.048 0.338028
2016-11-09 0.048 0.358262
2016-08-11 0.048 0.278325
2016-05-12 0.048 0.256492
2016-02-18 0.040 0.236630
2015-11-12 0.040 0.222792
2015-08-13 0.040 0.214592
2015-05-14 0.040 0.228154
2015-02-19 0.032 0.186981
2014-11-13 0.032 0.216362
2014-08-14 0.032 0.257940
2014-05-15 0.032 0.253325
2014-02-20 0.026 0.197659
2013-11-14 0.026 0.177232
2013-08-15 0.026 0.222603
2013-05-16 0.026 0.230231
2013-02-21 0.020 0.198236
2012-11-15 0.020 0.230707
2012-08-16 0.020 0.216732
2012-05-17 0.020 0.210040
2012-02-23 0.012 0.141393
2011-11-09 0.012 0.167973
2011-08-11 0.012 0.207182
2011-05-12 0.012 0.190749
2011-02-17 0.007 0.132275
2010-11-10 0.007 0.168229
2010-08-12 0.007 0.203164
2010-05-13 0.007 0.201323
2010-03-11 0.007 0.241504
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.96
dividendYield 2.77
exDividendDate 2026-08-24
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.94
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.027089337
lastDividendValue 0.24
lastDividendDate 2026-08-24
dividendDate 2026-09-08

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.43595576
Address1 5,401 Virginia Way
All Time High 63.99
All Time Low 0.08125
Ask 36.65
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 3
Average Daily Volume10 Day 8,039,030
Average Daily Volume3 Month 11,829,850
Average Volume 11,829,850
Average Volume10Days 8,039,030
Beta 0.452
Bid 32.66
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 2
Book Value 5.025
City Brentwood
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 34.72
Current Ratio 1.334
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 35.005
Day Low 34.585
Debt To Equity 248.71
Dividend Date 1,788,825,600
Dividend Rate 0.96
Dividend Yield 2.77
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,815,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,815,200
Earnings Growth -0.15
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.161
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,809,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,672,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,672,200
Ebitda 1,931,484,032
Ebitda Margins 0.12262999
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.635
Enterprise To Revenue 1.549
Enterprise Value 24,403,904,512
Eps Current Year 1.93254
Eps Forward 2.05136
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.92
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,787,529,600
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 32.1796
Fifty Day Average Change 2.5404015
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.07894447
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -43.595577
Fifty Two Week High 62.26
Fifty Two Week High Change -27.539997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.44233856
Fifty Two Week Low 28.36
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.3600006
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.22425954
Fifty Two Week Range 28.36 - 62.26
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 761,495,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.6
Float Shares 519,414,492
Forward Eps 2.05136
Forward P E 16.925358
Free Cashflow 103,175,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 54,000
Fullday Change 0.0200005
Fullday Change Percent 0.0576382
Fullday Price 35.1
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.36499
Gross Profits 5,748,831,232
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00347
Held Percent Institutions 0.96549004
Implied Shares Outstanding 521,040,137
Industry Specialty Retail
Industry Disp Specialty Retail
Industry Key specialty-retail
Ir Website http://www.tractorsupply.com/InvestorRelationView?storeId=10551&catalogId=10001
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,787,529,600
Last Dividend Value 0.24
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,793,600
Last Split Date 1,734,652,800
Last Split Factor 5:1
Long Business Summary Tractor Supply Company operates as a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. The company provides various merchandise, including livestock and equine feed and equipment, poultry, fencing, and sprayers and chemicals; companion animal products, such as food, treats, and equipment for dogs, cats, and other small animals, as well as dog wellness products; seasonal and recreation products comprising tractors and riders, lawn and garden, bird feeding, power equipment, and other recreational products; truck, tool, and hardware products, such as truck accessories, trailers, generators, lubricants, batteries, and hardware and tools; and clothing, gift, and décor products consist of clothing, footwear, toys, snacks, and decorative merchandise. It offers its products under the 4health, Paws & Claws, American Farmworks, Producer's Pride, Bit & Bridle, Red Shed, Blue Mountain, Redstone, C.E. Schmidt, Retriever, Country Lane, Ridgecut, Countyline, Royal Wing, Country Tuff, Strive, Dumor, Traveller, Farm Table, Treeline, Groundwork, TSC Tractor Supply Co, Huskee, Untamed, JobSmart, and Impeckable brand names. The company operates its retail stores under the Tractor Supply Company, Petsense by Tractor Supply, and Orscheln Farm and Home names; and operates websites under the TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com names. It sells its products to recreational farmers, ranchers, and others. Tractor Supply Company was founded in 1938 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.
Long Name Tractor Supply Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 18,090,514,432
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_329501
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,518,400
Net Income To Common 1,011,913,984
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,329,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 18,080,092,753
Number Of Analyst Opinions 27
Open 34.765
Operating Cashflow 1,285,820,032
Operating Margins 0.120740004
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.4896
Peg Ratio 1.91
Phone 615 440 4000
Post Market Change 0.37999725
Post Market Change Percent 1.0944622
Post Market Price 35.1
Post Market Time 1,787,960,708
Previous Close 34.7
Price Eps Current Year 17.965994
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 6.909453
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.1485513
Profit Margins 0.06425
Quick Ratio 0.137
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0200005
Regular Market Change Percent 0.0576382
Regular Market Day High 35.005
Regular Market Day Low 34.585
Regular Market Day Range 34.585 - 35.005
Regular Market Open 34.765
Regular Market Previous Close 34.7
Regular Market Price 34.72
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 8,331,754
Return On Assets 0.07824
Return On Equity 0.39513
Revenue Growth 0.023
Revenue Per Share 29.889
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 521,040,137
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0678
Shares Short 35,309,283
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 30,016,883
Short Name Tractor Supply Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.0775
Short Ratio 2.84
Source Interval 15
State TN
Symbol TSCO
Target High Price 46.0
Target Low Price 28.0
Target Mean Price 35.51852
Target Median Price 35.0
Total Cash 231,588,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.444
Total Debt 6,544,977,920
Total Revenue 15,750,723,584
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.94
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.027089337
Trailing Eps 1.92
Trailing P E 18.083334
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.9077
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 42.498
Two Hundred Day Average Change -7.778
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.18302037
Type Disp Equity
Volume 8,331,754
Website https://www.tractorsupply.com
Zip 37,027