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TRX Gold Corporation (TRX)

Basic Materials | Gold | Oakville, Canada | NYSE American
1.15 USD -0.07 (-5.738%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 1.16 +0.01 (0.739%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:54 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:53 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fractured between a desperate long-term reality and aggressive short-term speculation. Fundamentally, the business is deteriorating; the price has lost nearly 62% of its value over the last nine years, and the company has endured three consecutive years of negative annual returns. With negative earnings, negative free cash flow, and no dividend history, the long-term outlook is weak, offering no safety margin for a buy-and-hold strategy. However, the short-term picture tells a different story driven entirely by sentiment. Options data reveals a heavy concentration of call buying at strikes significantly above the current price, indicating speculators are positioning for a sharp rebound, likely fueled by the broader gold rally mentioned in recent headlines. While the statistical forecast model offers no directional edge, the disconnect between the broken fundamentals and the aggressive options flow creates a volatile environment suitable only for tactical traders, not investors.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.155159
AutoETS0.158185
AutoARIMA0.158868
AutoTheta0.170315

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 0.85
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.096
Excess Kurtosis -0.71
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Debt to Equity Ratio 4.458
Revenue per Share 0.376
Market Cap 376,595,104
Forward P/E 6.76
Beta 0.89
Profit Margins -16.67%
Previous Name Tanzanian Gold Corporation
Website https://www.trxgold.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:53 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish on the upside, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes at $1.50 and $2.00) compared to negligible put volume. This 'call skew' suggests a bet on a commodity-driven rally or a turnaround story, despite the underlying stock trading near its 52-week lows.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 2.128205
Address1 277 Lakeshore Road East
Address2 Suite 403
All Time High 9.1
All Time Low 0.17
Ask 1.18
Ask Size 6,900
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,018,260
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,157,316
Average Volume 2,157,316
Average Volume10Days 3,018,260
Beta 0.893
Bid 1.16
Bid Size 7,700
Book Value 0.27
City Oakville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.15
Current Ratio 2.201
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 1.27
Day Low 1.14
Debt To Equity 4.458
Display Name TRX Gold
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,745,413,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,745,413,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,145,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,145,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,145,600
Ebitda 30,852,000
Ebitda Margins 0.26702
Enterprise To Ebitda 13.318
Enterprise To Revenue 3.556
Enterprise Value 410,894,304
Eps Current Year -0.03
Eps Forward 0.17
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.06
Esg Populated 0
Exchange ASE
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 0.9114
Fifty Day Average Change 0.23859996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.26179498
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 212.82051
Fifty Two Week High 2.8
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.65
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.58928573
Fifty Two Week Low 0.37
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.78
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 2.108108
Fifty Two Week Range 0.37 - 2.8
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,115,904,600,000
Float Shares 319,460,720
Forward Eps 0.17
Forward P E 6.7647057
Free Cashflow -24,592,124
Full Exchange Name NYSE American
Full Time Employees 336
Fullday Change -0.0700001
Fullday Change Percent -5.73771
Fullday Price 1.1585
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.63854
Gross Profits 73,778,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01011
Held Percent Institutions 0.06639
Implied Shares Outstanding 327,474,009
Industry Gold
Industry Disp Gold
Industry Key gold
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,756,598,400
Long Business Summary TRX Gold Corporation engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral property in Tanzania. Its flagship project is the Buckreef Gold Project in Tanzania. The company was formerly known as Tanzanian Gold Corporation and changed its name to TRX Gold Corporation in May 2022. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Oakville, Canada.
Long Name TRX Gold Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 376,595,104
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_877308
Most Recent Quarter 1,780,185,600
Name Change Date 2,026-08-28
Net Income To Common -19,260,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,788,134,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 403,550,034
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 1.23
Operating Cashflow 30,625,000
Operating Margins 0.47711
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.0
Phone 437 224 5241
Post Market Change 0.00849998
Post Market Change Percent 0.7391287
Post Market Price 1.1585
Post Market Time 1,787,961,291
Prev Name Tanzanian Gold Corporation
Previous Close 1.22
Price Eps Current Year -38.333332
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 4.259259
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.2594066
Profit Margins -0.16669
Quick Ratio 1.409
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0700001
Regular Market Change Percent -5.73771
Regular Market Day High 1.27
Regular Market Day Low 1.14
Regular Market Day Range 1.14 - 1.27
Regular Market Open 1.23
Regular Market Previous Close 1.22
Regular Market Price 1.15
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 3,446,579
Return On Assets 0.10982
Return On Equity -0.0067000003
Revenue Growth 1.633
Revenue Per Share 0.376
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Shares Outstanding 327,474,009
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0056
Shares Short 1,829,811
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 1,783,786
Short Name TRX Gold Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.0057
Short Ratio 0.79
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol TRX
Target High Price 2.5
Target Low Price 2.25
Target Mean Price 2.3625
Target Median Price 2.35
Total Cash 26,842,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.082
Total Debt 5,400,000
Total Revenue 115,541,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.06
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.14035
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.009649992
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.008462307
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,446,579
Website https://www.trxgold.com
Zip L6J 6J3