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trivago N.V. (TRVG)

Communication Services | Internet Content & Information | Düsseldorf, Germany | NasdaqGS
2.78 USD

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 6:35 p.m. EDT

TRVG is exhibiting a classic 'value trap with upside potential' dynamic. Fundamentally, the massive forward P/E (26x) coupled with a disappointing forward earnings decline indicates growth concerns that keep valuation low, despite the 2.8% price-to-book discount. However, the options market is aggressively betting on a reversal, with heavy call setups at $5 suggesting a belief in a significant re-rating triggered by the upcoming AI strategy announcements and 2026 growth outlook. Until earnings prove the long-term sustainability of this revenue growth without eroding margins, the stock remains a sentiment play rather than a fundamental value entry.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.035600
AutoETS0.035879
AutoARIMA0.035880
MSTL0.036796

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.64
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.286
Excess Kurtosis -0.76
Attribute Value
Sector Communication Services
Ex Dividend Date 2023-11-13
Last Dividend Date 2023-11-13
Debt to Equity Ratio 17.038
Revenue per Share 7.79
Market Cap 196,322,688
Trailing P/E 15.44
Forward P/E 26.01
Beta 0.44
Profit Margins 2.04%
Website https://www.trivago.de

As of April 19, 2026, 6:35 p.m. EDT: Call activity is heavily concentrated on $5.00 strikes extending 50% above the current price, with significant Open Interest (1.2k in July, 120 in May) and extremely low implied volatility (0.59-1.25). This 'long gamma' positioning suggests a distinct speculative bet on a late-cycle acceleration or earnings-based rattrail. Conversely, put activity on the $2.50 strike is minimal (low OI) and eventually vanishes in October months, indicating the lack of a strong downside hedge by the broader options flow, despite the stock trading near its one-year low.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2023-11-14 2.825 88.557992
Additional Data
exDividendDate 2023-11-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 2.825
lastDividendDate 2023-11-14
dividendDate 2023-11-13

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.2011494
Address1 Kesselstrasse 5 - 7
All Time High 121.35
All Time Low 1.6
Ask 5.5
Ask Size 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 23,660
Average Daily Volume3 Month 47,500
Average Volume 47,500
Average Volume10Days 23,660
Beta 0.435
Bid 2.7
Bid Size 1
Book Value 3.4951668
City Düsseldorf
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Germany
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 2.78
Current Ratio 2.218
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 2.78
Day Low 2.75
Debt To Equity 17.038
Display Name trivago
Dividend Date 1,699,833,600
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,069,700
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,069,700
Earnings Growth 3.051
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.864
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,011,200
Ebitda 2,513,000
Ebitda Margins 0.00458
Enterprise To Ebitda 348.247
Enterprise To Revenue 1.594
Enterprise Value 875,143,488
Eps Current Year 0.05952
Eps Forward 0.10689514
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.18
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,699,920,000
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 2.8518
Fifty Day Average Change -0.07179999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.025177078
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -20.11494
Fifty Two Week High 5.83
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.05
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5231561
Fifty Two Week Low 2.59
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.19000006
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.073359095
Fifty Two Week Range 2.59 - 5.83
Financial Currency EUR
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,481,898,600,000
Float Shares 49,670,348
Forward Eps 0.10689514
Forward P E 26.006794
Free Cashflow 42,372,624
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 893
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.9725
Gross Profits 533,816,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.39516997
Held Percent Institutions 0.3061
Implied Shares Outstanding 70,619,674
Industry Internet Content & Information
Industry Disp Internet Content & Information
Industry Key internet-content-information
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,699,920,000
Last Dividend Value 2.825
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,700,179,200
Last Split Factor 1:5
Long Business Summary trivago N.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates a hotel and accommodation search platform in the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, Canada, Japan, and internationally. The company offers online metasearch for hotels and accommodation through online travel agencies, hotel chains, and independent hotels. It also provides travel search for different types of accommodations, such as hotels, vacation rentals, and apartments; and enable advertiser access through website and apps. In addition, it offers access to its search platform through various localized websites and apps in different languages on operating devices. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Düsseldorf, Germany. trivago N.V. operates as a subsidiary of Expedia Group, Inc.
Long Name trivago N.V.
Market us_market
Market Cap 196,322,688
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_38248333
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 11,220,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 196,322,693
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 2.78
Open Interest 0
Operating Cashflow 7,731,000
Operating Margins 0.0581
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 5.98
Phone 49 211 3876840000
Previous Close 2.78
Price Eps Current Year 46.70699
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.79538405
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.35765785
Profit Margins 0.02044
Quick Ratio 2.151
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0
Regular Market Change Percent 0.0
Regular Market Day High 2.78
Regular Market Day Low 2.75
Regular Market Day Range 2.75 - 2.78
Regular Market Open 2.78
Regular Market Previous Close 2.78
Regular Market Price 2.78
Regular Market Time 1,776,715,200
Regular Market Volume 18,159
Return On Assets 0.0029
Return On Equity 0.05461
Revenue Growth 0.266
Revenue Per Share 7.79
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Communication Services
Sector Disp Communication Services
Sector Key communication-services
Shares Outstanding 23,124,295
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0004
Shares Short 30,951
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 24,735
Short Name trivago N.V.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0026
Short Ratio 1.07
Source Interval 15
Symbol TRVG
Target High Price 5.976227
Target Low Price 3.0446038
Target Mean Price 3.9575734
Target Median Price 3.404731
Total Cash 142,812,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.404
Total Debt 36,342,000
Total Revenue 548,912,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.18
Trailing P E 15.444444
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 3.122705
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.342705
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.1097462
Type Disp Equity
Volume 18,159
Website https://www.trivago.de
Zip 40,221