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The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV)

Financial Services | Insurance - Property & Casualty | New York, United States | NYSE
341.51 USD +2.59 (0.764%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:07 a.m. EDT

Travelers offers a fortress-like business profile with a 25% return on equity and a valuation that trades at a discount to its earnings power. The long-term price path validates this quality, rising over 100% over the past decade without recent deterioration. Yet, the stock has rallied sharply in the last two weeks, outpacing the broader analyst price targets which imply a downside gap. Investors are using options to protect against this downside, placing heavy bets at lower price levels while maintaining exposure near current highs. The dividend is a reliable feature, though the yield is modest. This setup suggests a strong buy for the long horizon, but a cautious approach for the immediate term where momentum is outstripping the consensus view.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.025930
AutoTheta0.026676
MSTL_470.029742
MSTL0.029867
AutoETS0.030164
MSTL_47_630.034043
MSTL_630.035874

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 22.49
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.004
Excess Kurtosis 0.63
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-09
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-09
Debt to Equity Ratio 28.975
Revenue per Share 221.182
Market Cap 72,620,285,952
Trailing P/E 10.19
Forward P/E 11.88
Beta 0.47
Profit Margins 15.54%
Website https://www.travelers.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:07 a.m. EDT: Speculators are hedging downside risk with heavy put open interest at the 290 and 300 strikes, while call positioning clusters around the 340 to 350 range. Implied volatility is elevated in the near term, suggesting uncertainty around the current price level despite the recent rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.41% 1.57% 1.80% 1.95%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-10 1.2500 0.412052
2026-03-10 1.1000 0.363709
2025-12-10 1.1000 0.395186
2025-09-10 1.1000 0.403922
2025-06-10 1.1000 0.418251
2025-03-10 1.0500 0.409181
2024-12-10 1.0500 0.423985
2024-09-10 1.0500 0.439606
2024-06-10 1.0500 0.492958
2024-03-07 1.0000 0.455789
2023-12-07 1.0000 0.549722
2023-09-07 1.0000 0.622394
2023-06-08 1.0000 0.571723
2023-03-09 0.9300 0.534729
2022-12-08 0.9300 0.495419
2022-09-08 0.9300 0.565315
2022-06-09 0.9300 0.542179
2022-03-09 0.8800 0.513509
2021-12-09 0.8800 0.573327
2021-09-09 0.8800 0.557103
2021-06-09 0.8800 0.568696
2021-03-09 0.8500 0.552594
2020-12-09 0.8500 0.630050
2020-09-09 0.8500 0.748042
2020-06-09 0.8500 0.677723
2020-03-09 0.8200 0.705680
2019-12-09 0.8200 0.605389
2019-09-09 0.8200 0.549487
2019-06-07 0.8200 0.548385
2019-03-08 0.7700 0.587697
2018-12-07 0.7700 0.623179
2018-09-07 0.7700 0.591898
2018-06-07 0.7700 0.593357
2018-03-08 0.7200 0.515501
2017-12-08 0.7200 0.538318
2017-09-07 0.7200 0.625109
2017-06-07 0.7200 0.582996
2017-03-08 0.6700 0.552623
2016-12-07 0.6700 0.567845
2016-09-07 0.6700 0.564543
2016-06-08 0.6700 0.586587
2016-03-08 0.6100 0.550293
2015-12-08 0.6100 0.542850
2015-09-08 0.6100 0.612142
2015-06-08 0.6100 0.623977
2015-03-06 0.5500 0.519849
2014-12-08 0.5500 0.519652
2014-09-08 0.5500 0.589686
2014-06-06 0.5500 0.582874
2014-03-06 0.5000 0.592417
2013-12-06 0.5000 0.561735
2013-09-06 0.5000 0.621195
2013-06-06 0.5000 0.611696
2013-03-06 0.4600 0.567411
2012-12-06 0.4600 0.628845
2012-09-06 0.4600 0.704010
2012-06-06 0.4600 0.746269
2012-03-07 0.4100 0.720943
2011-12-07 0.4100 0.733453
2011-09-07 0.4100 0.816408
2011-06-08 0.4100 0.675564
2011-03-08 0.3600 0.609550
2010-12-08 0.3600 0.653832
2010-09-08 0.3600 0.722022
2010-06-08 0.3600 0.733347
2010-03-08 0.3300 0.613383
2009-12-08 0.3300 0.661058
2009-09-08 0.3000 0.612620
2009-06-08 0.3000 0.683060
2009-03-06 0.3000 0.871080
2008-12-08 0.3000 0.685401
2008-09-08 0.3000 0.671141
2008-06-06 0.3000 0.634921
2008-03-06 0.2900 0.623656
2007-12-06 0.2900 0.530844
2007-09-06 0.2900 0.572444
2007-06-06 0.2900 0.530747
2007-03-07 0.2600 0.510104
2006-12-06 0.2600 0.500096
2006-09-06 0.2600 0.586510
2006-06-07 0.2600 0.608472
2006-03-08 0.2300 0.540668
2005-12-07 0.2300 0.516738
2005-09-07 0.2300 0.535257
2005-06-08 0.2300 0.595084
2005-03-08 0.2200 0.577579
2004-12-08 0.2200 0.596529
2004-09-08 0.2200 0.646298
2004-06-08 0.2200 0.539216
2004-04-02 0.2100 0.498457
2004-03-29 0.2900 0.726089
2003-12-29 0.2900 0.743590
2003-09-26 0.2900 0.781671
2003-06-26 0.2900 0.785695
2003-03-27 0.2900 0.887121
2002-12-27 0.2900 0.869305
2002-09-26 0.2900 0.953947
2002-06-26 0.2900 0.746461
2002-03-26 0.2900 0.647321
2001-12-27 0.2800 0.637233
2001-09-26 0.2800 0.715198
2001-06-27 0.2800 0.538151
2001-03-28 0.2800 0.667461
2000-12-27 0.2700 0.484305
2000-09-27 0.2700 0.543396
2000-06-28 0.2700 0.758560
2000-03-29 0.2700 0.901879
1999-12-29 0.2600 0.783427
1999-09-28 0.2600 0.902386
1999-06-28 0.2600 0.790875
1999-03-29 0.2600 0.792381
1998-12-29 0.2500 0.711744
1998-09-28 0.2500 0.704225
1998-06-26 0.2500 0.602410
1998-03-27 0.2500 0.555170
1997-12-29 0.2350 0.576687
1997-09-26 0.2350 0.587500
1997-06-26 0.2350 0.616393
1997-03-26 0.2350 0.688645
1996-12-27 0.2200 0.737945
1996-09-26 0.2200 0.794582
1996-06-26 0.2200 0.826291
1996-03-27 0.2200 0.783964
1995-12-27 0.2000 0.712695
1995-09-27 0.2000 0.719101
1995-06-28 0.2000 0.810127
1995-03-27 0.2000 0.800000
1994-12-23 0.1875 0.831025
1994-09-26 0.1875 0.923077
1994-06-24 0.1875 0.967742
1994-03-25 0.1875 0.960000
1993-12-27 0.1750 0.779944
1993-09-24 0.1750 0.761905
1993-06-24 0.1750 0.891720
1993-03-25 0.1750 0.887480
1992-12-24 0.1700 0.874598
1992-09-24 0.1700 0.944444
1992-06-24 0.1700 0.909699
1992-03-25 0.1700 0.957746
1991-12-24 0.1625 0.933573
1991-09-24 0.1625 1.027668
1991-06-24 0.1625 1.046278
1991-03-22 0.1625 0.959410
1990-12-24 0.1500 0.967742
1990-09-24 0.1500 1.162228
1990-06-25 0.1500 1.038961
1990-03-26 0.1500 1.030043
1989-12-22 0.1375 0.944206
1989-09-25 0.1375 0.946237
1989-06-26 0.1375 1.062802
1989-03-27 0.1375 1.145833
1988-12-23 0.1250 1.156069
1988-09-26 0.1250 1.183432
1988-06-24 0.1250 1.173021
1988-03-25 0.1250 1.123596
1987-12-24 0.1100 0.977778
1987-08-24 0.0440 0.328972
Additional Data
dividendRate 5.0
dividendYield 1.48
exDividendDate 2026-06-10
trailingAnnualDividendRate 4.4
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.012982414
lastDividendValue 1.25
lastDividendDate 2026-06-10
dividendDate 2026-06-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.32665288
Address1 485 Lexington Avenue
All Time High 349.35
All Time Low 6.28125
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 40
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.7 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,669,880
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,687,267
Average Volume 1,687,267
Average Volume10Days 1,669,880
Beta 0.473
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 80
Board Risk 8
Book Value 150.452
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 341.51
Current Ratio 0.335
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 342.33
Day Low 333.5314
Debt To Equity 28.975
Display Name The Travelers Companies
Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Dividend Rate 5.0
Dividend Yield 1.48
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,318,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,318,400
Earnings Growth 3.576
Earnings Quarterly Growth 3.332
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,291,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,291,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,291,400
Ebitda 10,574,000,128
Ebitda Margins 0.21605
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.069
Enterprise To Revenue 1.527
Enterprise Value 74,747,289,600
Eps Current Year 28.53155
Eps Forward 28.749
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 33.52
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,781,049,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 309.1856
Fifty Day Average Change 32.3244
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.10454692
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 32.665287
Fifty Two Week High 349.35
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.8399963
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.022441667
Fifty Two Week Low 249.19
Fifty Two Week Low Change 92.32001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.3704804
Fifty Two Week Range 249.19 - 349.35
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 185,466,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.9
Float Shares 211,392,216
Forward Eps 28.749
Forward P E 11.879022
Free Cashflow 13,304,375,296
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 34,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.32878
Gross Profits 16,090,999,808
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0026699998
Held Percent Institutions 0.87886
Implied Shares Outstanding 212,644,693
Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty
Industry Disp Insurance - Property & Casualty
Industry Key insurance-property-casualty
Ir Website http://investor.travelers.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=177842&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,049,600
Last Dividend Value 1.25
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 894,931,200
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary The Travelers Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides a range of commercial and personal property, and casualty insurance products and services to businesses, government units, associations, and individuals in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Business Insurance, Bond & Specialty Insurance, and Personal Insurance. The Business Insurance segment offers workers' compensation, commercial automobile and property, general liability, commercial multi-peril, employers' liability, public and product liability, professional indemnity, marine, aviation, commercial property and automobile, onshore and offshore energy, construction, terrorism, personal accident, and kidnap and ransom insurance products. This segment operates through select accounts, which serve small businesses; middle accounts that serve mid-sized businesses; national accounts, which serve large companies; and national property and others that serve large and mid-sized customers, commercial trucking industry, and agricultural businesses, as well as markets and distributes its products through brokers, wholesale agents, and program managers. The Bond & Specialty Insurance segment provides surety, fidelity, management and professional liability, and other property and casualty coverages and related risk management services through independent agencies and brokers. The Personal Insurance segment offers property and casualty insurance covering personal risks, primarily automobile and homeowners' insurance to individuals. The Travelers Companies, Inc. was founded in 1853 and is based in New York, New York.
Long Name The Travelers Companies, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 72,620,285,952
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_392856
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 7,549,000,192
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 72,069,539,351
Number Of Analyst Opinions 24
Open 337.23
Operating Cashflow 11,443,999,744
Operating Margins 0.18744
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.1313
Peg Ratio 2.36
Phone (917) 778-6000
Previous Close 338.92
Price Eps Current Year 11.969557
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.2698934
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.483803
Profit Margins 0.15537
Quick Ratio 0.204
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.72414
Region US
Regular Market Change 2.59
Regular Market Change Percent 0.764191
Regular Market Day High 342.33
Regular Market Day Low 333.5314
Regular Market Day Range 333.5314 - 342.33
Regular Market Open 337.23
Regular Market Previous Close 338.92
Regular Market Price 341.51
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 1,378,716
Return On Assets 0.04442
Return On Equity 0.25272
Revenue Growth 0.01
Revenue Per Share 221.182
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 212,644,693
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0374
Shares Short 7,946,226
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 6,019,521
Short Name The Travelers Companies, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0419
Short Ratio 3.72
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol TRV
Target High Price 400.0
Target Low Price 252.0
Target Mean Price 328.625
Target Median Price 331.0
Total Cash 7,141,000,192
Total Cash Per Share 33.582
Total Debt 9,267,999,744
Total Revenue 48,941,998,080
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 4.4
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.012982414
Trailing Eps 33.52
Trailing P E 10.188246
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.3596
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 293.5351
Two Hundred Day Average Change 47.974915
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.16343842
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,378,716
Website https://www.travelers.com
Zip 10,017