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Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN)

Industrials | Railroads | Dallas, United States | NYSE
25.22 USD -0.25 (-0.982%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 25.22

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:28 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is bearish due to a perfect storm of deteriorating fundamentals and aggressive short-term selling pressure. Although the company trades at a low P/E of roughly 6, the business is actively shrinking with revenue down 4.2% and free cash flow turning deeply negative. This is exacerbated by a severe debt burden where debt-to-equity exceeds 468%, indicating significant leverage risk. The price action confirms this distress, with the stock trading well below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reflecting a clear downtrend. The options market reinforces this pessimism, as traders have piled into deep out-of-the-money puts, creating a heavy wall of resistance against any rally. While the 4.89% dividend yield is attractive, it is not enough to offset the risk of capital erosion given the negative cash flow and shrinking top line. The stock appears to be a value trap where the low price reflects genuine operational decay rather than a bargain opportunity.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.261187
AutoETS0.262829
AutoARIMA0.266439
AutoTheta0.293587

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 2.06
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 3.65
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-10-14
Last Dividend Date 2026-10-14
Debt to Equity Ratio 468.386
Revenue per Share 25.546
Market Cap 2,009,264,384
Trailing P/E 5.92
Forward P/E 11.33
Beta 1.36
Profit Margins 16.62%
Website https://www.trin.net

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:28 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 20 and 23) compared to negligible call volume. While there is some speculative volume in far-dated calls at strikes 30 and 50, the overwhelming capital allocation is defensive, suggesting a fear of further decline rather than a bullish breakout.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.22% 4.13% 4.06% 3.99%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-10-15 0.310000 1.217118
2026-07-15 0.310000 0.859678
2026-04-15 0.310000 0.925649
2026-01-15 0.310000 1.128093
2025-10-15 0.300000 1.064585
2025-07-15 0.300000 1.115656
2025-04-15 0.300000 1.186240
2025-01-15 0.300000 0.796601
2024-10-15 0.280000 0.795229
2024-07-15 0.280000 0.931780
2024-04-12 0.280000 1.042442
2024-01-11 0.280000 1.123145
2023-10-12 0.260000 1.181818
2023-07-13 0.260000 1.010494
2023-04-13 0.260000 1.080183
2023-01-12 0.260000 0.926916
2022-10-13 0.230000 1.008772
2022-07-14 0.230000 1.062847
2022-04-13 0.230000 0.725781
2022-01-13 0.230000 0.750653
2021-10-14 0.210000 0.726895
2021-07-14 0.210000 0.786812
2021-04-14 0.210000 0.731198
2021-01-14 0.210000 0.747597
2020-10-14 0.190000 0.925475
2020-07-14 0.190000 0.895382
2020-04-14 0.190000 1.109165
2020-01-14 0.190000 0.903042
2019-10-11 0.170000 0.987224
2019-07-12 0.170000 0.855131
2019-04-12 0.170000 0.728988
2019-01-14 0.130000 0.599078
2018-10-12 0.093593 0.361515
2018-07-12 0.093593 0.375507
2018-04-12 0.093593 0.405492
2018-01-11 0.093593 0.353071
2017-10-12 0.093593 0.380230
2017-07-12 0.093593 0.473246
2017-04-11 0.079194 0.401315
2017-01-11 0.079194 0.390349
2016-10-12 0.079194 0.472511
2016-07-13 0.079194 0.535022
2016-04-13 0.079194 0.553601
2016-01-13 0.079194 0.551105
2015-10-13 0.079194 0.406206
2015-07-13 0.079194 0.426028
2015-04-13 0.071994 0.279719
2015-01-13 0.071994 0.391235
2014-10-10 0.071994 0.284332
2014-07-11 0.071994 0.225529
2014-04-11 0.053996 0.221764
2014-01-13 0.053996 0.270809
2013-10-10 0.053996 0.337156
2013-07-11 0.046796 0.356945
2013-04-11 0.039597 0.257371
2013-01-11 0.039597 0.300548
2012-10-11 0.039597 0.356797
2012-07-11 0.039597 0.503435
2012-04-11 0.032397 0.294018
2012-01-11 0.032397 0.285168
2011-10-12 0.032397 0.351010
2011-07-13 0.032397 0.258766
2011-04-13 0.028798 0.225354
2011-01-12 0.028798 0.290279
2010-10-13 0.028798 0.329357
2010-07-13 0.028798 0.421945
2010-04-13 0.028798 0.354143
2010-01-13 0.028798 0.444202
2009-10-13 0.028798 0.437402
2009-07-13 0.028798 0.594802
2009-04-13 0.028798 0.688475
2009-01-13 0.028798 0.560623
2008-10-10 0.028798 0.414083
2008-07-11 0.028798 0.255349
2008-04-11 0.025198 0.277888
2008-01-11 0.025198 0.283286
2007-10-11 0.025198 0.184794
2007-07-11 0.021598 0.130348
2007-04-11 0.021598 0.139566
2007-01-10 0.021598 0.175129
2006-10-11 0.021598 0.183036
2006-07-12 0.021598 0.165927
2006-04-11 0.016799 0.125608
2006-01-11 0.016799 0.153883
2005-10-12 0.016799 0.197187
2005-07-13 0.014399 0.174016
2005-04-13 0.014399 0.233921
2005-01-12 0.014399 0.196659
2004-10-13 0.014399 0.205905
2004-07-13 0.014399 0.198743
2004-04-13 0.014399 0.220509
2004-01-13 0.014399 0.183938
2003-10-10 0.014399 0.231395
2003-07-11 0.014399 0.276119
2003-04-11 0.014399 0.387101
2003-01-13 0.014399 0.317464
2002-10-10 0.014399 0.396044
2002-07-11 0.014399 0.297033
2002-04-11 0.014399 0.244302
2002-01-11 0.043197 0.722319
2001-10-11 0.043197 0.750947
2001-07-11 0.043197 0.869574
2001-04-10 0.043197 0.961035
2001-01-10 0.043197 0.795588
2000-10-11 0.043197 0.774202
2000-07-12 0.043197 0.953652
2000-04-12 0.043197 0.782617
2000-01-12 0.043197 0.677654
1999-10-13 0.043197 0.623383
1999-07-13 0.040797 0.536493
1999-04-13 0.040797 0.561987
1999-01-13 0.040797 0.451081
1998-10-13 0.040797 0.564319
1998-09-11 0.040797 0.538617
1998-07-13 0.040797 0.399415
1998-04-13 0.040797 0.323812
1998-01-13 0.040797 0.376213
1997-10-10 0.040797 0.330500
1997-07-11 0.040797 0.519087
1997-04-11 0.040797 0.683422
1997-01-13 0.033376 0.478876
1996-10-10 0.033376 0.511281
1996-07-11 0.033376 0.517113
1996-04-11 0.033376 0.513210
1996-01-10 0.033376 0.537553
1995-10-11 0.033376 0.571432
1995-07-12 0.033376 0.475527
1995-04-07 0.033376 0.451830
1995-01-09 0.033376 0.515154
1994-10-07 0.033376 0.531253
1994-07-11 0.033376 0.496353
1994-04-11 0.033376 0.440132
1994-01-10 0.033376 0.386366
1993-10-08 0.033376 0.472225
1993-07-09 0.026177 0.397021
1993-04-08 0.026177 0.444443
1993-01-11 0.026177 0.528051
1992-10-08 0.026177 0.645159
1992-07-09 0.026177 0.669453
1992-04-09 0.026177 0.730591
1992-01-09 0.026177 0.754714
1991-10-08 0.026177 0.769228
1991-07-09 0.026177 0.761902
1991-04-09 0.026177 0.776696
1991-01-09 0.026177 1.059599
1990-10-09 0.026177 1.006285
1990-07-09 0.026177 0.711108
1990-04-06 0.026177 0.720718
1990-01-08 0.026177 0.620153
1989-10-06 0.026177 0.536911
1989-07-10 0.016361 0.318477
1989-04-10 0.016361 0.352119
1989-01-09 0.016361 0.364970
1988-10-07 0.016361 0.418418
1988-07-11 0.016361 0.359719
1988-04-11 0.016361 0.366307
1988-01-11 0.016361 0.458724
1987-10-08 0.016361 0.409844
1987-07-09 0.016361 0.418418
1987-04-09 0.016361 0.483101
1987-01-09 0.016361 0.680285
1986-10-08 0.016361 0.763373
1986-07-09 0.016361 0.694457
1986-04-09 0.016361 0.666679
1986-01-09 0.016361 0.840352
1985-10-08 0.016361 0.970892
1985-07-09 0.016361 0.854717
1985-04-09 0.016361 0.952399
1985-01-09 0.016361 0.757590
1984-10-09 0.016361 0.675689
1984-07-10 0.016361 0.704239
1984-04-10 0.016361 0.595249
1984-01-10 0.016361 0.520843
1983-10-07 0.016361 0.591727
1983-07-11 0.016361 0.757590
1983-04-11 0.016361 0.694457
1983-01-10 0.016361 0.826462
1982-10-08 0.016361 1.041687
1982-07-09 0.016361 1.282075
1982-04-08 0.016361 1.111132
1982-01-11 0.016361 0.840352
1981-10-08 0.016361 0.781265
1981-07-09 0.013089 0.418862
1981-04-09 0.013089 0.427822
1981-01-09 0.013089 0.444460
1980-10-08 0.013089 0.501585
1980-07-09 0.009816 0.560724
1980-04-09 0.009816 0.624974
1980-01-09 0.009816 0.624974
1979-10-10 0.009816 0.821883
1979-07-10 0.008180 0.826411
1979-04-09 0.008180 1.136316
1979-01-09 0.008180 1.226942
1978-10-10 0.008180 1.041623
1978-07-10 0.008180 1.249947
1978-04-10 0.008180 1.183382
1978-01-10 0.008180 1.162741
1977-10-07 0.006544 0.874280
1977-07-11 0.006544 0.846525
1977-04-11 0.006544 0.855579
1977-01-10 0.006544 0.987613
1976-10-08 0.004581 0.704404
1976-07-09 0.004581 0.761906
1976-01-09 0.004090 0.921620
1975-10-08 0.004090 0.787368
1975-07-09 0.004090 1.030884
1975-04-09 0.003272 1.322261
1975-01-09 0.003272 1.951138
1974-10-08 0.003272 1.777701
1974-07-09 0.003272 1.481421
1974-04-08 0.002454 0.749968
1974-01-09 0.002454 0.624973
1973-10-09 0.002454 0.662955
1973-07-10 0.002290 0.794154
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.24
dividendYield 4.87
exDividendDate 2026-10-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.23
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.04829211
lastDividendValue 0.31
lastDividendDate 2026-10-15
dividendDate 2026-10-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.08742386
Address1 14,221 North Dallas Parkway
Address2 Suite 1100
All Time High 39.83
All Time Low 0.143156
Ask 25.97
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 5
Average Daily Volume10 Day 772,910
Average Daily Volume3 Month 708,364
Average Volume 708,364
Average Volume10Days 772,910
Beta 1.355
Bid 25.0
Bid Size 800
Board Risk 1
Book Value 14.343
City Dallas
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 25.22
Current Ratio 2.168
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 25.82
Day Low 25.06
Debt To Equity 468.386
Display Name Trinity Industries
Dividend Date 1,793,318,400
Dividend Rate 1.24
Dividend Yield 4.87
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,304,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,304,000
Earnings Growth 6.195
Earnings Quarterly Growth 5.972
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,277,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,277,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,277,000
Ebitda 618,200,000
Ebitda Margins 0.30268
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.662
Enterprise To Revenue 3.53
Enterprise Value 7,209,164,288
Eps Current Year 2.225
Eps Forward 2.225
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.26
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,792,022,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 28.031
Fifty Day Average Change -2.8110008
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.10028186
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -8.742386
Fifty Two Week High 38.31
Fifty Two Week High Change -13.090002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.34168628
Fifty Two Week Low 24.76
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.45999908
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.018578315
Fifty Two Week Range 24.76 - 38.31
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 105,283,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.67
Float Shares 78,435,406
Forward Eps 2.225
Forward P E 11.334831
Free Cashflow -335,049,984
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 6,110
Fullday Change -0.25
Fullday Change Percent -0.98154694
Fullday Price 25.22
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.26239002
Gross Profits 535,900,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01234
Held Percent Institutions 0.98202
Implied Shares Outstanding 79,669,486
Industry Railroads
Industry Disp Railroads
Industry Key railroads
Ir Website http://www.trin.net/invsrela/default.asp
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,792,022,400
Last Dividend Value 0.31
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,541,030,400
Last Split Factor 1,389:1000
Long Business Summary Trinity Industries, Inc. provides railcar products and services under the TrinityRail trade name in North America. The company operates in two segments, Railcar Leasing and Services Group, and Rail Products Group. The Railcar Leasing and Services Group segment leases freight and tank railcars; originates and manages railcar leases for third-party investors; and provides fleet leasing, management, and administrative services, as well as railcar maintenance and modification services, and other railcar logistics products and services. As of December 31, 2025, it had a fleet of 101,485 railcars. This segment serves industrial shipper and railroad companies operating in refined products and chemicals, energy, agriculture, construction and metals, and consumer products. The Rail Products Group segment manufactures freight and tank railcars for transporting various liquids, gases, and dry cargo; and manufactures and sells railcars and related parts and components. This segment serves railroads, leasing companies, and industrial shippers of products in the refined products and chemicals, energy, agriculture, construction and metals, and consumer products markets. It sells or leases products and services through its own sales personnel and independent sales representatives. The company was incorporated in 1933 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
Long Name Trinity Industries, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,009,264,384
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_309456
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 348,500,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,216,405,100
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 25.56
Operating Cashflow 388,300,000
Operating Margins 0.12121
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.2864
Peg Ratio 0.69
Phone 214 631 4420
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 25.22
Post Market Time 1,792,180,858
Previous Close 25.47
Price Eps Current Year 11.334831
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.758349
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.98377615
Profit Margins 0.16618
Quick Ratio 0.957
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.25
Regular Market Change Percent -0.981547
Regular Market Day High 25.82
Regular Market Day Low 25.06
Regular Market Day Range 25.06 - 25.82
Regular Market Open 25.56
Regular Market Previous Close 25.47
Regular Market Price 25.22
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,802
Regular Market Volume 711,705
Return On Assets 0.023359999
Return On Equity 0.30156
Revenue Growth -0.042
Revenue Per Share 25.546
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 79,669,486
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0558
Shares Short 4,444,632
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 4,162,445
Short Name Trinity Industries, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0935
Short Ratio 6.51
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol TRN
Target High Price 34.0
Target Low Price 32.0
Target Mean Price 33.0
Target Median Price 33.0
Total Cash 169,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.121
Total Debt 5,366,300,160
Total Revenue 2,042,400,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.23
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.04829211
Trailing Eps 4.26
Trailing P E 5.9201875
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 31.51495
Two Hundred Day Average Change -6.2949505
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.1997449
Type Disp Equity
Volume 711,705
Website https://www.trin.net
Zip 75,254-2957