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First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc. (TRAX)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | San Diego, United States | NasdaqGS
41.86 USD -2.88 (-6.437%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 42.59 +0.73 (1.749%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:47 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:11 a.m. EDT

First Tracks Biotherapeutics presents a classic 'spin-off gamble' scenario where the market is pricing in significant uncertainty. While the company boasts a fortress balance sheet with massive cash reserves relative to debt and a strong current ratio, the lack of any dividend history and negative earnings confirm its status as a pure growth play with no income floor. The recent price action shows resilience, trading well above its moving averages, yet the options market is screaming caution; the heavy concentration of put open interest at strikes far below the current price indicates traders are betting on a sharp correction or a failure to sustain the post-spin-off momentum. With analysts offering a wide range of targets but the statistical forecasting model showing virtually zero confidence in the next 45 days, the risk/reward profile is skewed toward patience. Investors should view this as a speculative entry point rather than a core holding, waiting for clearer clinical data or a stabilization in the stock's volatility before committing significant capital.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.514702
AutoETS0.540384
AutoARIMA0.540390
AutoTheta0.661144

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 24%
H-stat 101.59
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.050
Excess Kurtosis -1.78
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 2.567
Market Cap 1,495,693,184
Forward P/E -11.42
Website https://www.firsttracksbio.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:11 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, with significant open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 25 and 30) expiring in October and January, while call activity remains concentrated near the money or slightly out-of-the-money. This distribution suggests a market expectation of volatility or a drop rather than a breakout, despite the recent price rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.3547368
Address1 10,770 Wateridge Circle
Address2 Suite 210
All Time High 49.91
All Time Low 14.72
Ask 55.34
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 555,340
Average Daily Volume3 Month 769,901
Average Volume 769,901
Average Volume10Days 555,340
Bid 42.45
Bid Size 1
Book Value 4.77
City San Diego
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 41.86
Current Ratio 14.28
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 44.6136
Day Low 41.69
Debt To Equity 2.567
Display Name First Tracks Biotherapeutics
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda -169,075,008
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -7.878
Enterprise Value 1,332,008,064
Eps Current Year -4.06114
Eps Forward -3.66483
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -4.41
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 35.207
Fifty Day Average Change 6.653
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.18896809
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 135.47368
Fifty Two Week High 49.91
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.049999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.1612903
Fifty Two Week Low 14.72
Fifty Two Week Low Change 27.14
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.8437499
Fifty Two Week Range 14.72 - 49.91
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,775,482,200,000
Float Shares 26,151,761
Forward Eps -3.66483
Forward P E -11.422086
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 104
Fullday Change -2.88
Fullday Change Percent -6.4372
Fullday Price 42.592
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.08744001
Held Percent Institutions 0.99222
Implied Shares Outstanding 35,730,843
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc. operates a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on delivering immunology therapeutics for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases in United States. Its products includes ANB033, a novel anti-CD122 antagonist that targets the shared beta subunit of the IL-15 and IL-2 receptors; Rosnilimab, a antibody engineered to selectively deplete pathogenic T cells in both the periphery and inflamed tissues; and ANB101, a BDCA2-modulating antibody designed to specifically target plasmacytoid dendritic cells (pDCs). First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc. was formerly known as Biopharma Co., Inc. and changed its name to First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc. in February 2026. First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc. was founded in 2019 and is based in San Diego, California.
Long Name First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,495,693,184
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1964321808
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -160,304,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,595,024,831
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 44.36
Operating Cashflow -123,762,000
Operating Margins 0.0
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 858 362 6295
Post Market Change 0.73199844
Post Market Change Percent 1.7486824
Post Market Price 42.592
Post Market Time 1,787,960,873
Previous Close 44.74
Price Eps Current Year -10.30745
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 8.7756815
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 13.906
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.88
Regular Market Change Percent -6.4372
Regular Market Day High 44.6136
Regular Market Day Low 41.69
Regular Market Day Range 41.69 - 44.6136
Regular Market Open 44.36
Regular Market Previous Close 44.74
Regular Market Price 41.86
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 409,886
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 35,730,843
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1089
Shares Short 3,957,023
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 4,771,705
Short Name First Tracks Biotherapeutics, I
Short Ratio 5.33
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol TRAX
Target High Price 95.0
Target Low Price 55.0
Target Mean Price 69.44444
Target Median Price 65.0
Total Cash 168,018,000
Total Cash Per Share 4.702
Total Debt 4,333,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -4.41
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 27.029802
Two Hundred Day Average Change 14.830198
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.548661
Type Disp Equity
Volume 409,886
Website https://www.firsttracksbio.com
Zip 92,121