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Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Dallas, United States | NYSE
408.92 USD +11.10 (2.790%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:54 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case is exceptionally strong, driven by a dominant competitive position in the West Texas shale landscape, robust revenue growth of 20.8%, and superior profitability metrics including a 36.5% return on equity and 60% profit margins. The multi-year price trajectory confirms this quality, showing a cumulative gain of nearly 1,750% over nine years with no recent consecutive declines, signaling sustained market validation of the business model. While the short-term outlook shows a slight upside lean supported by strong momentum and bullish options flow, the statistical forecast model offers a weak bearish signal due to recent price noise, creating a tension that favors holding rather than aggressive entry. The dividend yield of 0.61% is modest and reflects the company's focus on reinvestment rather than income distribution, which is appropriate for a high-growth energy play.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.050103
AutoETS0.074032
AutoARIMA0.081319
MSTL0.084573

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 6.35
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.349
Excess Kurtosis -1.01
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-31
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-31
Debt to Equity Ratio 1.156
Revenue per Share 12.168
Market Cap 28,205,025,280
Trailing P/E 54.67
Forward P/E 5.59
Beta 0.59
Profit Margins 60.02%
Previous Name Texas Pacific Land Trust
Website https://www.texaspacific.com

As of July 11, 2026, 2:54 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant upside volatility with heavy call open interest walls at strikes significantly above the current price (450, 470, 500, 550), while put activity remains concentrated near-the-money or lower, indicating a bullish bias despite elevated implied volatility on far-dated strikes.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.16% 0.63% 1.10% 1.20%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-01 0.600000 0.162942
2026-03-02 0.600000 0.112975
2025-12-01 0.533333 0.187411
2025-09-02 0.533333 0.169794
2025-06-02 0.533333 0.144126
2025-03-03 0.533333 0.117961
2024-12-02 0.533333 0.106642
2024-09-03 0.390000 0.143551
2024-07-01 3.333333 1.379577
2024-06-03 0.390000 0.196378
2024-02-29 0.388889 0.222163
2023-11-30 0.361111 0.194384
2023-08-31 0.361111 0.172437
2023-06-07 0.361111 0.227596
2023-03-07 0.361111 0.182747
2022-12-07 0.333333 0.123061
2022-09-07 0.333333 0.163533
2022-06-07 2.555556 1.317123
2022-03-07 0.333333 0.233142
2021-12-07 0.305556 0.207598
2021-09-07 0.305556 0.225636
2021-06-07 0.305556 0.182482
2021-03-05 0.305556 0.229167
2020-12-10 1.111111 1.442960
2020-03-06 1.777778 2.572347
2019-03-07 0.666667 0.835678
2018-03-08 0.450000 0.773093
2017-03-07 0.150000 0.453370
2016-03-07 0.034444 0.205704
2015-03-05 0.032222 0.201080
2014-03-04 0.030000 0.198136
2012-12-12 0.027778 0.444448
2012-03-02 0.025556 0.516399
2011-03-02 0.023333 0.444438
2010-03-10 0.022222 0.706707
2009-03-10 0.021111 1.042805
2008-03-05 0.020000 0.514874
2007-03-05 0.017778 0.337885
2006-03-03 0.014444 0.447491
2004-10-06 0.038889 1.808791
2004-03-03 0.011111 0.822902
2003-08-22 0.007778 0.696399
2003-03-05 0.008889 0.891873
2002-03-06 0.008889 1.078181
2001-03-07 0.008889 1.066680
2000-03-06 0.008889 1.114997
1999-03-04 0.008889 0.799011
1998-03-05 0.008889 0.893866
1997-03-05 0.008889 1.409708
1996-03-07 0.008889 1.311491
1995-03-06 0.008889 2.302188
1994-03-07 0.008889 2.038243
1993-03-05 0.008889 2.162190
1992-03-06 0.008889 1.818204
1991-03-06 0.008889 1.538480
1990-03-06 0.008889 1.198516
1989-02-28 0.008889 1.280017
1988-03-01 0.008889 1.454564
1987-02-26 0.008889 1.495347
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.4
dividendYield 0.6
exDividendDate 2026-06-01
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.2
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0055301394
lastDividendValue 0.6
lastDividendDate 2026-06-01
dividendDate 2026-06-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.15015662
Address1 2,699 Howell Street
Address2 Suite 800
All Time High 589.7133
All Time Low 0.372222
Ask 442.0
Ask Size 80
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 3.0 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 437,990
Average Daily Volume3 Month 418,636
Average Volume 418,636
Average Volume10Days 437,990
Beta 0.594
Bid 410.01
Bid Size 40
Board Risk 5
Book Value 22.558
City Dallas
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 408.92
Current Ratio 4.227
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 416.8499
Day Low 402.4049
Debt To Equity 1.156
Display Name Texas Pacific Land
Dividend Date 1,781,481,600
Dividend Rate 2.4
Dividend Yield 0.6
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,164,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,164,200
Earnings Growth 0.183
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.184
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,960,000
Ebitda 690,252,032
Ebitda Margins 0.82268
Enterprise To Ebitda 40.529
Enterprise To Revenue 33.343
Enterprise Value 27,975,440,384
Eps Forward 73.12
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 7.48
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,780,272,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 395.5388
Fifty Day Average Change 13.381226
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.033830374
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 15.015661
Fifty Two Week High 547.2
Fifty Two Week High Change -138.28
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.25270468
Fifty Two Week Low 269.23334
Fifty Two Week Low Change 139.68668
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.51883125
Fifty Two Week Range 269.23334 - 547.2
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.64
Float Shares 58,557,221
Forward Eps 73.12
Forward P E 5.5924506
Free Cashflow -56,057,624
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 114
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.93242997
Gross Profits 782,336,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0016500001
Held Percent Institutions 0.74939
Implied Shares Outstanding 68,974,429
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,272,000
Last Dividend Value 0.6
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,766,448,000
Last Split Factor 3:1
Long Business Summary Texas Pacific Land Corporation engages in the land and resource management, and water services and operations businesses. The Land and Resource Management segment manages surface acres of land, and oil and gas royalty interest in Permian Basin. This segment also engages in easements, such as transporting oil, gas and related hydrocarbons, power line and utility, and subsurface wellbore easements. In addition, this segment leases its land for processing, storage, and compression facilities and roads; and is involved in sale of materials, such as caliche, sand, and other material, as well as sells land. The Water Services and Operations segment provides full-service water offerings, including water sourcing, produced-water treatment, infrastructure development, and disposal solutions to operators in the Permian Basin. This segment also holds produced water royalties. The company owns a 1/128th nonparticipating perpetual oil and gas royalty interest (NPRI) under approximately 85,000 acres of land; a 1/16th NPRI under approximately 371,000 acres of land; and approximately 33,000 additional net royalty acres, total of approximately 224,000 NRA located in the Permian Basin. The company was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
Long Name Texas Pacific Land Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 28,205,025,280
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_308037
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common 503,625,984
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 27,439,407,344
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 405.0
Operating Cashflow 551,192,000
Operating Margins 0.77222
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.3018
Peg Ratio 7.33
Phone 214 969 5530
Pre Market Change 3.5499878
Pre Market Change Percent 0.86807376
Pre Market Price 412.5
Pre Market Time 1,784,017,033
Prev Name Texas Pacific Land Trust
Previous Close 397.82
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 18.127493
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 33.61643
Profit Margins 0.60025
Quick Ratio 4.164
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 11.1
Regular Market Change Percent 2.79021
Regular Market Day High 416.8499
Regular Market Day Low 402.4049
Regular Market Day Range 402.4049 - 416.8499
Regular Market Open 405.0
Regular Market Previous Close 397.82
Regular Market Price 408.92
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 224,391
Return On Assets 0.25188
Return On Equity 0.36466
Revenue Growth 0.208
Revenue Per Share 12.168
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 68,974,429
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0585
Shares Short 4,036,552
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,495,255
Short Name Texas Pacific Land Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.0853
Short Ratio 8.68
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol TPL
Target High Price 639.0
Target Low Price 248.0
Target Mean Price 443.5
Target Median Price 443.5
Total Cash 247,571,008
Total Cash Per Share 3.589
Total Debt 17,987,000
Total Revenue 839,025,024
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.2
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0055301394
Trailing Eps 7.48
Trailing P E 54.66845
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 377.87866
Two Hundred Day Average Change 31.041351
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.08214635
Type Disp Equity
Volume 224,391
Website https://www.texaspacific.com
Zip 75,204