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TOYO Co., Ltd. (TOYO)

Technology | Solar | Tokyo, Japan | NasdaqCM
4.51 USD +0.01 (0.222%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 4.50 -0.01 (-0.011%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:57 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:12 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is defined by a stark disconnect between the company's explosive fundamental recovery and the market's lingering trauma. Fundamentally, TOYO is a turnaround story that has fully validated itself: revenue is up 35%, earnings growth is nearly 180%, and the stock trades at a bargain-basement forward P/E of roughly 1.2x. The balance sheet is healthy, and the Texas factory securing tax credits provides a tangible catalyst for the coming year. However, the price action tells a different story; the stock is still down nearly 50% from its 2022 highs, and the recent 28% drop on a share offering suggests the market remains deeply skeptical of the execution or fears hidden liabilities. While the long-term thesis is compelling given the superior growth metrics and valuation, the short-term outlook is murky. The options market is screaming 'downside protection,' with massive put volume at strikes far above the current price, which acts as a heavy ceiling on immediate upside. Until the price stabilizes and the options skew normalizes, the risk-reward leans slightly toward patience rather than aggressive entry.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.303881
AutoETS0.311863
MSTL0.327389
AutoTheta0.335719

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 4.34
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.368
Excess Kurtosis -0.81
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 54.627
Revenue per Share 17.138
Market Cap 192,662,464
Trailing P/E 2.00
Forward P/E 1.11
Beta 1.45
Profit Margins 14.93%
Previous Name TOYO Co., Ltd
Website https://www.toyo-solar.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bearish, positioning heavy protective puts at strikes significantly above the current price (10.0 and 15.0) while call interest is negligible. The implied volatility skew shows deep out-of-the-money puts trading at a massive premium relative to calls, indicating a strong fear of further downside rather than an expectation of a rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.22241378
Address1 Tennoz First Tower
Address2 16F 2-2-4 Higashi-shinagawa Shinagawa-ku
All Time High 17.43
All Time Low 1.36
Ask 5.72
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.0 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,332,110
Average Daily Volume3 Month 940,496
Average Volume 940,496
Average Volume10Days 1,332,110
Beta 1.454
Bid 4.48
Bid Size 1
Book Value 4.911
City Tokyo
Country Japan
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 4.51
Current Ratio 1.123
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 4.62
Day Low 4.46
Debt To Equity 54.627
Display Name TOYO
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,787,169,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,787,169,600
Earnings Growth 1.813
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.591
Earnings Timestamp 1,787,142,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,918,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,918,600
Ebitda 155,460,656
Ebitda Margins 0.28305
Enterprise To Ebitda 1.311
Enterprise To Revenue 0.371
Enterprise Value 203,795,360
Eps Forward 4.06
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.26
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 5.9906
Fifty Day Average Change -1.4805999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.24715385
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -22.241379
Fifty Two Week High 17.43
Fifty Two Week High Change -12.92
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.7412507
Fifty Two Week Low 4.26
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.25
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.058685444
Fifty Two Week Range 4.26 - 17.43
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,647,523,800,000
Float Shares 14,569,297
Forward Eps 4.06
Forward P E 1.1108375
Free Cashflow 58,337,412
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 2,552
Fullday Change 0.0100002
Fullday Change Percent 0.222227
Fullday Price 4.4995
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.28763
Gross Profits 157,978,672
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.76202005
Held Percent Institutions 0.11654
Implied Shares Outstanding 42,718,948
Industry Solar
Industry Disp Solar
Industry Key solar
Ipo Expected Date 2,024-07-02
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary TOYO Co., Ltd. engages in the upstream production of wafer and silicon, midstream production of solar cell, downstream production of photovoltaic (PV) modules, and other stages of the solar power supply chain in Asia and the United States. It designs, manufactures, and sells solar cells, modules, and related products. TOYO Co., Ltd. was founded in 2022 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Long Name TOYO Co., Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 192,662,464
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1853063244
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-08-29
Net Income To Common 77,349,984
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 192,235,266
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 4.52
Operating Cashflow 154,382,240
Operating Margins 0.19084999
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 81 3 6433 2789
Post Market Change -0.010500431
Post Market Change Percent -0.23282552
Post Market Price 4.4995
Post Market Time 1,787,961,452
Prev Name TOYO Co., Ltd
Previous Close 4.5
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.91834664
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.35078382
Profit Margins 0.14932
Quick Ratio 0.49
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0100002
Regular Market Change Percent 0.222227
Regular Market Day High 4.62
Regular Market Day Low 4.46
Regular Market Day Range 4.46 - 4.62
Regular Market Open 4.52
Regular Market Previous Close 4.5
Regular Market Price 4.51
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 704,620
Return On Assets 0.15174
Return On Equity 0.57474
Revenue Growth 0.35
Revenue Per Share 17.138
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Shares Outstanding 42,718,948
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0638
Shares Short 2,723,704
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 2,203,867
Short Name TOYO Co., Ltd
Short Percent Of Float 0.0642
Short Ratio 3.99
Source Interval 15
Symbol TOYO
Target High Price 18.0
Target Low Price 15.0
Target Mean Price 16.5
Target Median Price 16.5
Total Cash 103,467,024
Total Cash Per Share 2.422
Total Debt 114,599,928
Total Revenue 549,234,176
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 2.26
Trailing P E 1.9955753
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 8.41298
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.9029799
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.46392357
Type Disp Equity
Volume 704,620
Website https://www.toyo-solar.com
Zip 140-0002