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Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL)

Consumer Cyclical | Residential Construction | Fort Washington, United States | NYSE
133.70 USD -0.24 (-0.179%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 133.70

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 3, 2026, 4:14 a.m. EDT

Toll Brothers offers a compelling value proposition anchored by a robust balance sheet and a low payout ratio, yet it faces a cyclical headwind with shrinking revenue and earnings. While the long-term price trajectory remains exceptionally strong, the current contraction in fundamentals warrants caution. Technically, the stock lags behind key moving averages, though options flow indicates speculation on a rebound toward the 150 level. This is a turnaround opportunity where the safety of the balance sheet outweighs the immediate growth concerns, but investors should wait for signs of stabilization in the housing sector before expecting a full recovery.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.077631
MSTL0.078074
AutoARIMA0.082280
AutoTheta0.100748

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 13.68
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.152
Excess Kurtosis -1.42
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-10-08
Last Dividend Date 2026-10-08
Debt to Equity Ratio 34.101
Revenue per Share 112.808
Market Cap 12,320,053,248
Trailing P/E 10.77
Forward P/E 9.74
Beta 1.30
Profit Margins 11.14%
Website https://www.tollbrothers.com

As of Oct. 3, 2026, 4:14 a.m. EDT: Call buyers are clustering around the 145 to 155 strike range for near-term expirations, suggesting a target for a rebound. Conversely, put writers are establishing significant downside protection at the 120 to 130 level, with elevated implied volatility on deep out-of-the-money strikes indicating fear of a sharp drop. The mix suggests a speculative bet on a recovery while hedging against a continued decline.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.20% 0.73% 0.78% 1.04%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-10-09 0.26 0.195298
2026-07-10 0.26 0.173925
2026-04-10 0.26 0.185555
2026-01-09 0.25 0.171963
2025-10-10 0.25 0.196448
2025-07-11 0.25 0.206988
2025-04-11 0.25 0.267037
2025-01-10 0.23 0.186175
2024-10-11 0.23 0.153477
2024-07-05 0.23 0.210700
2024-04-04 0.23 0.186992
2024-01-11 0.21 0.202624
2023-10-05 0.21 0.296778
2023-07-06 0.21 0.274833
2023-04-05 0.21 0.358668
2023-01-05 0.20 0.383583
2022-10-06 0.20 0.433934
2022-07-07 0.20 0.422386
2022-04-07 0.20 0.437541
2022-01-06 0.17 0.247922
2021-10-07 0.17 0.297828
2021-07-08 0.17 0.305316
2021-04-08 0.17 0.290301
2021-01-07 0.11 0.248756
2020-10-08 0.11 0.223441
2020-07-09 0.11 0.342786
2020-04-08 0.11 0.478886
2020-01-09 0.11 0.267901
2019-10-10 0.11 0.280041
2019-07-11 0.11 0.303114
2019-04-11 0.11 0.292242
2019-01-10 0.11 0.304372
2018-10-11 0.11 0.350877
2018-07-12 0.11 0.296097
2018-04-12 0.11 0.260293
2018-01-11 0.08 0.154410
2017-10-12 0.08 0.187529
2017-07-12 0.08 0.201461
2017-04-11 0.08 0.218699
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.04
dividendYield 0.78
exDividendDate 2026-10-09
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.02
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0076153497
lastDividendValue 0.26
lastDividendDate 2026-10-09
dividendDate 2026-10-23

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.014883578
Address1 1,140 Virginia Drive
All Time High 169.52
All Time Low 0.5625
Ask 136.0
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 987,240
Average Daily Volume3 Month 978,629
Average Volume 978,629
Average Volume10Days 987,240
Beta 1.301
Bid 132.37
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 5
Book Value 92.356
City Fort Washington
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 133.7
Current Ratio 4.502
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 136.9
Day Low 132.84
Debt To Equity 34.101
Display Name Toll Brothers
Dividend Date 1,792,713,600
Dividend Rate 1.04
Dividend Yield 0.78
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,787,142,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,787,142,600
Earnings Growth -0.204
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.242
Earnings Timestamp 1,787,083,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,787,083,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,787,083,200
Ebitda 1,682,222,976
Ebitda Margins 0.15635
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.433
Enterprise To Revenue 1.318
Enterprise Value 14,185,708,544
Eps Current Year 12.83179
Eps Forward 13.72527
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 12.41
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,791,504,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 139.7194
Fifty Day Average Change -6.019409
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.043082125
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -1.4883578
Fifty Two Week High 168.36
Fifty Two Week High Change -34.660004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2058684
Fifty Two Week Low 123.15
Fifty Two Week Low Change 10.549995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.08566785
Fifty Two Week Range 123.15 - 168.36
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 521,213,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.88
Float Shares 91,384,023
Forward Eps 13.72527
Forward P E 9.741156
Free Cashflow 557,737,472
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 4,900
Fullday Change -0.2400055
Fullday Change Percent -0.1791888
Fullday Price 133.7
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.24826999
Gross Profits 2,671,152,896
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0074199997
Held Percent Institutions 0.96384
Implied Shares Outstanding 92,147,000
Industry Residential Construction
Industry Disp Residential Construction
Industry Key residential-construction
Ir Website http://www.tollbrothers.com/homesearch/servlet/HomeSearch?app=IRhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,791,504,000
Last Dividend Value 0.26
Last Fiscal Year End 1,761,868,800
Last Split Date 1,121,040,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational amenities, such as golf courses, marinas, pool complexes, country clubs, and fitness and recreation centers; and develops, operates, rents apartments and student housing communities. In addition, it provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, the company owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and component manufacturing operations. It serves luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.
Long Name Toll Brothers, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 12,320,053,248
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_308806
Most Recent Quarter 1,785,456,000
Net Income To Common 1,198,382,976
Next Fiscal Year End 1,793,404,800
Non Diluted Market Cap 12,464,724,690
Number Of Analyst Opinions 18
Open 134.53
Operating Cashflow 1,192,089,984
Operating Margins 0.1456
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.082200006
Peg Ratio 0.86
Phone 215 938 8000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 133.7
Post Market Time 1,792,185,687
Previous Close 133.94
Price Eps Current Year 10.419435
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.447659
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.1450889
Profit Margins 0.111379996
Quick Ratio 0.413
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.71429
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.240005
Regular Market Change Percent -0.179189
Regular Market Day High 136.9
Regular Market Day Low 132.84
Regular Market Day Range 132.84 - 136.9
Regular Market Open 134.53
Regular Market Previous Close 133.94
Regular Market Price 133.7
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,802
Regular Market Volume 1,220,276
Return On Assets 0.06903
Return On Equity 0.14393
Revenue Growth -0.097
Revenue Per Share 112.808
Sand P52 Week Change 0.13723719
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 92,147,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0429
Shares Short 3,954,770
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 3,802,929
Short Name Toll Brothers, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0545
Short Ratio 3.59
Source Interval 15
State PA
Symbol TOL
Target High Price 195.0
Target Low Price 118.0
Target Mean Price 168.83333
Target Median Price 172.5
Total Cash 1,057,889,024
Total Cash Per Share 11.48
Total Debt 2,912,773,120
Total Revenue 10,759,035,904
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.02
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0076153497
Trailing Eps 12.41
Trailing P E 10.77357
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.8721
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 144.1199
Two Hundred Day Average Change -10.419907
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.07230026
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,220,276
Website https://www.tollbrothers.com
Zip 19,034