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Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL)

Consumer Cyclical | Residential Construction | Fort Washington, United States | NYSE
146.22 USD +1.09 (0.751%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4:03 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 145.50 -0.72 (-0.720%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:48 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:51 a.m. EDT

Toll Brothers offers a compelling value proposition anchored by a robust balance sheet and a nearly fourfold price appreciation over the last nine years, yet the immediate investment case is clouded by deteriorating fundamentals. Revenue and earnings are both contracting, which prevents a top-tier long-term recommendation despite the attractive valuation and safe dividend. Technically, the stock is trading below its 50-day moving average, indicating short-term weakness, though options flow reveals a bullish bias among traders willing to pay a premium for upside exposure. For investors seeking capital preservation, the low payout ratio and strong cash position provide a margin of safety, but the lack of growth momentum warrants caution.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.068468
MSTL0.079186
AutoTheta0.082046
AutoARIMA0.325871

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 2.42
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.003
Excess Kurtosis 1.13
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-09
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-09
Debt to Equity Ratio 32.377
Revenue per Share 112.808
Market Cap 13,506,049,024
Trailing P/E 11.70
Forward P/E 10.39
Beta 1.34
Profit Margins 11.14%
Website https://www.tollbrothers.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:51 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for upside potential with call open interest concentrated above the current price at strikes of 160 and 165, while put open interest clusters lower at 125 and 130. Implied volatility is notably higher for calls than puts, suggesting traders are pricing in a greater likelihood of upward movement despite the defensive put walls at lower levels.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.17% 0.73% 0.81% 1.06%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-10 0.26 0.173925
2026-04-10 0.26 0.185555
2026-01-09 0.25 0.171963
2025-10-10 0.25 0.196448
2025-07-11 0.25 0.206988
2025-04-11 0.25 0.267037
2025-01-10 0.23 0.186175
2024-10-11 0.23 0.153477
2024-07-05 0.23 0.210700
2024-04-04 0.23 0.186992
2024-01-11 0.21 0.202624
2023-10-05 0.21 0.296778
2023-07-06 0.21 0.274833
2023-04-05 0.21 0.358668
2023-01-05 0.20 0.383583
2022-10-06 0.20 0.433934
2022-07-07 0.20 0.422386
2022-04-07 0.20 0.437541
2022-01-06 0.17 0.247922
2021-10-07 0.17 0.297828
2021-07-08 0.17 0.305316
2021-04-08 0.17 0.290301
2021-01-07 0.11 0.248756
2020-10-08 0.11 0.223441
2020-07-09 0.11 0.342786
2020-04-08 0.11 0.478886
2020-01-09 0.11 0.267901
2019-10-10 0.11 0.280041
2019-07-11 0.11 0.303114
2019-04-11 0.11 0.292242
2019-01-10 0.11 0.304372
2018-10-11 0.11 0.350877
2018-07-12 0.11 0.296097
2018-04-12 0.11 0.260293
2018-01-11 0.08 0.154410
2017-10-12 0.08 0.187529
2017-07-12 0.08 0.201461
2017-04-11 0.08 0.218699
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.04
dividendYield 0.71
exDividendDate 2026-07-10
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.02
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.007028181
lastDividendValue 0.26
lastDividendDate 2026-07-10
dividendDate 2026-07-24

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.057419777
Address1 1,140 Virginia Drive
All Time High 169.52
All Time Low 0.5625
Ask 147.0
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,008,950
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,007,403
Average Volume 1,007,403
Average Volume10Days 1,008,950
Beta 1.34
Bid 145.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 5
Book Value 92.356
City Fort Washington
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 146.22
Current Ratio 4.422
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 149.19
Day Low 144.465
Debt To Equity 32.377
Display Name Toll Brothers
Dividend Date 1,784,851,200
Dividend Rate 1.04
Dividend Yield 0.71
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,787,142,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,787,142,600
Earnings Growth -0.204
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.242
Earnings Timestamp 1,787,083,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,787,083,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,787,083,200
Ebitda 1,679,608,064
Ebitda Margins 0.15611
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.064
Enterprise To Revenue 1.415
Enterprise Value 15,224,407,040
Eps Current Year 12.91206
Eps Forward 14.07531
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 12.5
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,783,641,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 151.4628
Fifty Day Average Change -5.242798
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.034614425
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 5.7419777
Fifty Two Week High 168.36
Fifty Two Week High Change -22.14
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.13150391
Fifty Two Week Low 123.15
Fifty Two Week Low Change 23.07
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.18733251
Fifty Two Week Range 123.15 - 168.36
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 521,213,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.98
Float Shares 91,605,040
Forward Eps 14.07531
Forward P E 10.388404
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 4,900
Fullday Change 1.09
Fullday Change Percent 0.751048
Fullday Price 145.5
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.24827999
Gross Profits 2,671,234,048
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0074299998
Held Percent Institutions 0.96309996
Implied Shares Outstanding 92,368,000
Industry Residential Construction
Industry Disp Residential Construction
Industry Key residential-construction
Ir Website http://www.tollbrothers.com/homesearch/servlet/HomeSearch?app=IRhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,783,641,600
Last Dividend Value 0.26
Last Fiscal Year End 1,761,868,800
Last Split Date 1,121,040,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational amenities, such as golf courses, marinas, pool complexes, country clubs, and fitness and recreation centers; and develops, operates, rents apartments and student housing communities. In addition, it provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, the company owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and component manufacturing operations. It serves luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.
Long Name Toll Brothers, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 13,506,049,024
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_308806
Most Recent Quarter 1,785,456,000
Net Income To Common 1,198,382,976
Next Fiscal Year End 1,793,404,800
Non Diluted Market Cap 13,405,367,840
Number Of Analyst Opinions 15
Open 146.56
Operating Margins 0.1455
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.082200006
Peg Ratio 0.98
Phone 215 938 8000
Post Market Change -0.7200012
Post Market Change Percent -0.49240953
Post Market Price 145.5
Post Market Time 1,787,960,924
Previous Close 145.13
Price Eps Current Year 11.324297
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.5832214
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.2553215
Profit Margins 0.111379996
Quick Ratio 0.524
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.77778
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.09
Regular Market Change Percent 0.751048
Regular Market Day High 149.19
Regular Market Day Low 144.465
Regular Market Day Range 144.465 - 149.19
Regular Market Open 146.56
Regular Market Previous Close 145.13
Regular Market Price 146.22
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,393
Regular Market Volume 816,233
Return On Assets 0.06903
Return On Equity 0.14393
Revenue Growth -0.097
Revenue Per Share 112.808
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 92,368,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.039
Shares Short 3,599,525
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 4,730,628
Short Name Toll Brothers, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0495
Short Ratio 4.27
Source Interval 15
State PA
Symbol TOL
Target High Price 195.0
Target Low Price 122.0
Target Mean Price 171.86667
Target Median Price 175.0
Total Cash 1,057,889,024
Total Cash Per Share 11.453
Total Debt 2,765,476,096
Total Revenue 10,759,035,904
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.02
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.007028181
Trailing Eps 12.5
Trailing P E 11.6976
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.9767
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 144.2303
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.9897003
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.0137953
Type Disp Equity
Volume 816,233
Website https://www.tollbrothers.com
Zip 19,034