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The Oncology Institute, Inc. (TOI)

Healthcare | Medical Care Facilities | Cerritos, United States | NasdaqCM
3.49 USD -0.03 (-0.852%) ⇩ (April 21, 2026, 12:08 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:29 p.m. EDT

The Oncology Institute is currently sitting at a critical inflection point where a deep short-term bottom appears imminent. Despite deteriorating fundamentals (negative EPS, negative EBITDA, high debt load), the combination of successful Q4 earnings, a pending dividend announcement (yielding 20x+ based on current lows), and aggressive options positioning suggests a 'stop-loss squeeze' or sentiment reversal is the primary near-term catalyst. However, this is a 'buy the dip' scenario that relies heavily on the continued success of the multi-year turnaround strategy; without profitable growth, the debt load eventually demands remediation. The current setup favors a short-term speculative bounce but does not support a long-term accumulation of the shares.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.131548
AutoETS0.150024
AutoARIMA0.155148
AutoTheta0.206912

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.13
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.440
Excess Kurtosis -0.81
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Revenue per Share 5.441
Market Cap 344,948,608
Forward P/E -21.81
Beta 0.20
Profit Margins -12.06%
Website https://theoncologyinstitute.com

As of April 18, 2026, 11:29 p.m. EDT: Options flow shows a massive long skew in Call volume, particularly at out-of-the-money strikes (e.g., $7.00 calls posted a +97.7% volume change with high OI), significantly outweighing put activity. While ATM IV on near-term calls is historically low (2.03%), the 'New Flow' note on $1.00 calls combined with heavy long-dated call positioning suggests speculators are pricing in a substantial upside move, essentially betting on an immediate trend reversal following the recent 20% drop. Put activity is minimal and concentrated deeply in-the-money, indicating a lack of organized short-term hedging against further immediate declines.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.29889297
Address1 18,000 Studebaker Road
Address2 Suite 800
All Time High 12.66
All Time Low 0.125
Ask 4.45
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,490,050
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,931,432
Average Volume 1,931,432
Average Volume10Days 1,490,050
Beta 0.2
Bid 2.66
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 5
Book Value -0.159
City Cerritos
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 3.49
Current Ratio 1.589
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 3.699
Day Low 3.46
Display Name The Oncology Institute
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,773,349,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,773,349,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,773,345,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,529,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,529,600
Ebitda -29,139,000
Ebitda Margins -0.05796
Enterprise To Ebitda -14.348
Enterprise To Revenue 0.832
Enterprise Value 418,099,776
Eps Forward -0.16
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.54
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 2.9805
Fifty Day Average Change 0.5095
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.17094448
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 29.889297
Fifty Two Week High 4.88
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.3900001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.28483608
Fifty Two Week Low 2.015
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.4749999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.7320098
Fifty Two Week Range 2.015 - 4.88
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,591,277,400,000
Float Shares 64,830,571
Forward Eps -0.16
Forward P E -21.8125
Free Cashflow -11,004,375
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 641
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.15204
Gross Profits 76,435,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.20138
Held Percent Institutions 0.45016
Implied Shares Outstanding 98,839,144
Industry Medical Care Facilities
Industry Disp Medical Care Facilities
Industry Key medical-care-facilities
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary The Oncology Institute, Inc., an oncology company, provides various oncology services in the United States. It operates through three segments: Specialty pharmacy, Patient Services, and Clinical Trials & Other. The company offers physician services, in-house infusion, in-house specialty pharmacy, clinical trials, radiation therapy, and outpatient blood product transfusion services, as well as educational seminars, support groups, counseling services, and 24/7 patient assistance and support services. It also manages clinical trials and palliative care programs; operates combined community clinics and infusion suites; and operates a specialty pharmacy that includes both in-office and mail-order dispensing for complementary oral and self-injectable medications taken by patients concurrent with their in-office cancer therapies. It serves adult and senior cancer patients. The Oncology Institute, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Cerritos, California.
Long Name The Oncology Institute, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 344,948,608
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_661363343
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -50,305,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 347,913,786
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 3.57
Operating Cashflow -24,587,000
Operating Margins -0.048660003
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 562 735 3226
Previous Close 3.52
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -21.949686
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.6861522
Profit Margins -0.12055001
Quick Ratio 1.309
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.25
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.029999971
Regular Market Change Percent -0.8522719
Regular Market Day High 3.699
Regular Market Day Low 3.46
Regular Market Day Range 3.46 - 3.699
Regular Market Open 3.57
Regular Market Previous Close 3.52
Regular Market Price 3.49
Regular Market Time 1,776,787,682
Regular Market Volume 1,432,159
Return On Assets -0.13369
Revenue Growth 0.416
Revenue Per Share 5.441
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 98,839,144
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.083900005
Shares Short 8,297,259
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 9,083,959
Short Name The Oncology Institute, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1012
Short Ratio 3.36
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol TOI
Target High Price 8.0
Target Low Price 5.0
Target Mean Price 7.0
Target Median Price 7.5
Total Cash 33,565,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.34
Total Debt 103,751,000
Total Revenue 502,728,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.54
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 3.408625
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.08137512
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.0238733
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,432,159
Website https://theoncologyinstitute.com
Zip 90,703