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Tenaya Therapeutics, Inc. (TNYA)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | South San Francisco, United States | NasdaqCM
0.69 USD -0.01 (-0.734%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 0.70 +0.01 (0.797%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:31 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:05 a.m. EDT

Tenaya Therapeutics presents a classic biotech value trap where aggressive analyst targets and recent clinical data headlines mask a fundamentally broken business model. The company is hemorrhaging cash, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both deeply negative, and the balance sheet is barely holding on despite a massive cash burn rate. Fundamentally, the stock is a disaster: it has lost over 95% of its value over the last four years, with the trailing twelve months showing a catastrophic -58% decline. The negative earnings per share and return on equity confirm that the core business is not generating value. While the analyst consensus is 'strong buy' with a $3.20 target, this ignores the reality that the company is burning through its limited war chest without a proven path to profitability. The options market reflects this fragility; there is almost no insurance being bought, suggesting speculators are chasing a binary event rather than investing in a turnaround. For a long-term investor, the combination of deteriorating fundamentals, a multi-year price collapse, and no dividend safety net makes this a dangerous hold. The short-term outlook remains bearish due to the high beta and lack of institutional support, though the speculative call flow hints at a potential volatility spike if a major trial result is released.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.048231
MSTL0.076358
AutoTheta0.080501
AutoETS0.080674

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 6.55
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.689
Excess Kurtosis -0.18
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 5.689
Revenue per Share 0.007
Market Cap 154,741,136
Forward P/E -1.76
Beta 2.79
Website https://www.tenayatherapeutics.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:05 a.m. EDT: Options activity shows a distinct lack of protective put writing, with zero open interest in OTM puts for the nearest expiration and negligible volume overall. Call positioning is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes ($1.00, $1.50, $2.00), indicating speculative bets on a significant upside move rather than hedging against downside risk. This asymmetry suggests traders are positioning for a catalyst-driven rally while ignoring the immediate downside tail risk.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.3564815
Address1 171 Oyster Point Boulevard
Address2 Suite 500
All Time High 32.0
All Time Low 0.36
Ask 0.8988
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,063,020
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,460,125
Average Volume 2,460,125
Average Volume10Days 2,063,020
Beta 2.791
Bid 0.66
Bid Size 1
Book Value 0.489
City South San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 0.6901
Current Ratio 4.522
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 0.7036
Day Low 0.6869
Debt To Equity 5.689
Display Name Tenaya Therapeutics
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,427,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,427,200
Ebitda -75,524,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -1.067
Enterprise To Revenue 60.378
Enterprise Value 80,605,128
Eps Current Year -0.46
Eps Forward -0.392
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.5
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 0.7608
Fifty Day Average Change -0.07069999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.092928484
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -35.648148
Fifty Two Week High 2.35
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.6599
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.70634043
Fifty Two Week Low 0.532
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.15810001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.29718047
Fifty Two Week Range 0.532 - 2.35
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,627,651,800,000
Float Shares 211,682,101
Forward Eps -0.392
Forward P E -1.7604593
Free Cashflow -32,600,500
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 70
Fullday Change -0.00510001
Fullday Change Percent -0.733604
Fullday Price 0.6956
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 1,335,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00438
Held Percent Institutions 0.48851
Implied Shares Outstanding 224,230,012
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-07-30
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Tenaya Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, discovers, develops, and delivers therapies for heart disease in the United States. Its lead product candidate includes TN-201, a gene therapy for myosin binding protein C3-associated hypertrophic cardiomyopathy that is in Phase 1b/2 clinical trial; TN-401, a gene therapy for plakophilin 2-associated arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy, which is in Phase 1b/2 clinical trial; and TN-301, a small molecule histone deacetylase-6 for heart failure with preserved ejection fraction that is in phase 1 clinical trial. The company develops its products through gene addition, gene editing, gene silencing, and cellular regeneration. It has a research collaboration agreement with Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to identify and validate novel gene targets for the potential treatment of cardiovascular disease. Tenaya Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
Long Name Tenaya Therapeutics, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 154,741,136
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_409125654
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -103,115,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 156,972,219
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 0.7008
Operating Cashflow -52,325,000
Operating Margins -18.82793
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 650 825 6990
Post Market Change 0.005499959
Post Market Change Percent 0.79697996
Post Market Price 0.6956
Post Market Time 1,787,959,872
Previous Close 0.6952
Price Eps Current Year -1.5002174
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 1.4112475
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 115.910965
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 4.125
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.28571
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.00510001
Regular Market Change Percent -0.733604
Regular Market Day High 0.7036
Regular Market Day Low 0.6869
Regular Market Day Range 0.6869 - 0.7036
Regular Market Open 0.7008
Regular Market Previous Close 0.6952
Regular Market Price 0.6901
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 1,095,765
Return On Assets -0.47912997
Return On Equity -1.21859
Revenue Per Share 0.007
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 224,230,012
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0941
Shares Short 21,100,721
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 24,919,430
Short Name Tenaya Therapeutics, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.121199995
Short Ratio 11.33
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol TNYA
Target High Price 5.0
Target Low Price 2.0
Target Mean Price 3.2
Target Median Price 3.0
Total Cash 78,085,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.348
Total Debt 3,949,000
Total Revenue 1,335,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.5
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 0.818865
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.12876499
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.15724812
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,095,765
Website https://www.tenayatherapeutics.com
Zip 94,080