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Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp. (TNXP)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Berkeley Heights, United States | NasdaqGS
11.71 USD -0.83 (-6.584%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 11.45 -0.26 (-0.255%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★⯪☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:15 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fundamentally broken. The company has endured a catastrophic multi-year decline, losing nearly 100% of its value over the last nine years, with four consecutive years of negative annual returns ending recently. Despite a recent spike in revenue growth, the business is hemorrhaging cash with massive negative operating and free cash flows, and the balance sheet is effectively worthless given the debt load relative to the tiny market cap. The negative forward P/E confirms that analysts see no path to profitability soon. While insiders and directors have been buying shares recently, this likely reflects distress selling or mandatory conversions rather than a belief in a turnaround, especially given the overwhelming options positioning for further downside. The statistical forecast also leans negative, aligning with the bleak fundamental reality. This is a deep value trap where the market has correctly priced out any hope of recovery.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.075604
AutoARIMA0.076482
MSTL0.077886
AutoETS0.078156

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 0.43
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.655
Excess Kurtosis -0.36
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.568
Revenue per Share 1.679
Market Cap 186,587,072
Forward P/E -1.50
Beta 1.65
Website https://www.tonixpharma.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:15 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with out-of-the-money put open interest significantly dominating call open interest across all expirations. While there is some call volume at the $15 strike, the overwhelming concentration of option interest is in puts, particularly at strikes below the current price, indicating a strong speculative bias toward further declines rather than a rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.7071061
Address1 200 Connell Drive
Address2 Suite 3100
All Time High 19,200,000,000.0
All Time Low 6.76
Ask 14.28
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 1.0 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 544,720
Average Daily Volume3 Month 494,039
Average Volume 494,039
Average Volume10Days 544,720
Beta 1.653
Bid 9.0
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 15.989
City Berkeley Heights
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 11.705
Current Ratio 6.988
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 12.71
Day Low 11.04
Debt To Equity 0.568
Display Name Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding
Dividend Date 1,572,566,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,529,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,392,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,392,000
Ebitda -149,199,008
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -0.016
Enterprise To Revenue 0.137
Enterprise Value 2,407,075
Eps Current Year -10.1
Eps Forward -7.8
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -13.7
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 12.7082
Fifty Day Average Change -1.0032005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.078941196
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -70.71061
Fifty Two Week High 69.97
Fifty Two Week High Change -58.265
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.832714
Fifty Two Week Low 10.03
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.6750002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.16699903
Fifty Two Week Range 10.03 - 69.97
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,336,656,600,000
Float Shares 15,012,249
Forward Eps -7.8
Forward P E -1.500641
Free Cashflow -76,727,872
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 142
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.58561003
Gross Profits 10,281,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00137
Held Percent Institutions 0.45793998
Implied Shares Outstanding 15,940,801
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,738,713,600
Last Split Factor 1:100
Long Business Summary Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp., a fully integrated biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders, immunology and immuno-oncology, infectious diseases, and rare diseases in the United States. The company offers TONMYA, a cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablet for the treatment of fibromyalgia. It also markets Zembrace SymTouch and Tosymra for the treatment of acute migraine with or without aura in adults. In addition, the company develops TNX-102 SL, a cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablet for the treatment of major depressive disorder and acute stress reaction/acute stress disorder; TNX-1300, a double-mutant cocaine esterase for the treatment of cocaine intoxication; TNX-1500, an Fc-modified humanized monoclonal antibody to prevent kidney transplant rejection, as well as to treat autoimmune conditions; TNX-4800, a humanized monoclonal antibody for the seasonal prevention of Lyme disease; and TNX-2900, an intranasal oxytocin potentiated with magnesium for the treatment of Prader-Willi syndrome. Further, it is developing TNX-1900, an intranasal potentiated oxytocin for the treatment of binge eating disorder, adolescent obesity, and bone health in pediatric autism, and arginine-vasopressin deficiency; TNX-801, a live horsepox vaccine for the prevention of smallpox and mpox; TNX-4200, a small molecule broad-spectrum antiviral agent targeting CD45 for the treatment or prevention of viral disease; TNX-4900, a highly selective small-molecule Sigma-1 receptor antagonist for neuropathic pain; TNX-1700, a recombinant Trefoil Factor Family 2 fusion protein for the treatment of gastric and colorectal cancers; and TNX-1800 and TNX-1850, live modified horsepox vaccines for the prevention of COVID. Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp. was founded in 2007 and is based in Berkeley Heights, New Jersey.
Long Name Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 186,587,072
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_112008811
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -147,386,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 199,658,532
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 12.51
Operating Cashflow -125,583,000
Operating Margins -6.03911
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 862 799 8599
Post Market Change -0.2550001
Post Market Change Percent -2.1785572
Post Market Price 11.45
Post Market Time 1,783,986,964
Previous Close 12.53
Price Eps Current Year -1.1589109
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.7320658
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 10.628108
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 6.569
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.825
Regular Market Change Percent -6.5842
Regular Market Day High 12.71
Regular Market Day Low 11.04
Regular Market Day Range 11.04 - 12.71
Regular Market Open 12.51
Regular Market Previous Close 12.53
Regular Market Price 11.705
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 1,024,107
Return On Assets -0.41923
Return On Equity -0.72331
Revenue Growth 1.832
Revenue Per Share 1.679
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 15,940,801
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.22469999
Shares Short 3,582,293
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,867,066
Short Name Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding C
Short Percent Of Float 0.225
Short Ratio 5.9
Source Interval 15
State NJ
Symbol TNXP
Target High Price 65.0
Target Low Price 22.0
Target Mean Price 42.2
Target Median Price 34.0
Total Cash 185,470,000
Total Cash Per Share 11.635
Total Debt 1,290,000
Total Revenue 17,556,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -13.7
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 15.77285
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.06785
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.25790203
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,024,107
Website https://www.tonixpharma.com
Zip 7,928