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Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC)

Consumer Cyclical | Residential Construction | Scottsdale, United States | NYSE
60.64 USD +3.25 (5.663%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 60.61 -0.03 (-0.031%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 6:15 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:47 a.m. EDT

Taylor Morrison is a strong short-term momentum play triggered by positive Q4 earnings despite a main reported price pullback. The options flow confirms a tactical buy scenario, with traders positioning for a recovery and continued appreciation as fundamentals improve from a low base. Long-term holdings should exercise caution due to negative earnings growth and a stagnant dividend program, making this a trade rather than a long turnaround bet.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.046896
AutoETS0.047131
MSTL0.049018
AutoTheta0.056904

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.34
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.164
Excess Kurtosis -1.25
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 37.447
Revenue per Share 81.978
Market Cap 5,841,673,216
Trailing P/E 7.80
Forward P/E 9.45
Beta 1.58
Profit Margins 9.63%
Website https://www.taylormorrison.com

As of April 19, 2026, 12:47 a.m. EDT: Call speculators are significantly bullish, targeting ~$65 ($17 upside) and $70 ($15 upside) strikes with high OI for the April 17 expiration. This indicates a strong expectation of a short-term rally. Conversely, put positioning is heavily skewed toward deep OTM strikes ($50), suggesting a 'crash protection' strategy or a bullish view that volatility will drop, rather than an immediate expectation of a deep correction. The skewed Call/Put positioning (60% calls vs 24% puts in OTM volume) strongly signals a directional bias toward upside momentum over the next two weeks.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.09084368
Address1 4,900 North Scottsdale Road
Address2 Suite 2000
All Time High 75.49
All Time Low 6.39
Ask 62.83
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 2.2 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,755,990
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,225,601
Average Volume 1,225,601
Average Volume10Days 1,755,990
Beta 1.581
Bid 60.56
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 3
Book Value 65.191
City Scottsdale
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 60.64
Current Ratio 6.76
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 61.03
Day Low 58.325
Debt To Equity 37.447
Display Name Taylor Morrison Home
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,776,861,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,776,861,000
Earnings Growth -0.234
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.282
Earnings Timestamp 1,776,861,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,776,861,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,776,861,000
Ebitda 1,204,220,032
Ebitda Margins 0.14828
Enterprise To Ebitda 6.12
Enterprise To Revenue 0.907
Enterprise Value 7,370,235,392
Eps Current Year 5.05838
Eps Forward 6.41422
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 7.77
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 61.6934
Fifty Day Average Change -1.053402
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.017074792
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 9.084368
Fifty Two Week High 72.5
Fifty Two Week High Change -11.860001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.16358621
Fifty Two Week Low 54.58
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.0599976
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.11102963
Fifty Two Week Range 54.58 - 72.5
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,365,600,600,000
Float Shares 95,615,019
Forward Eps 6.41422
Forward P E 9.453995
Free Cashflow 737,667,904
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 3,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.23382999
Gross Profits 1,899,028,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00717
Held Percent Institutions 1.04144
Implied Shares Outstanding 96,333,668
Industry Residential Construction
Industry Disp Residential Construction
Industry Key residential-construction
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Taylor Morrison Home Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a homebuilder and land developer in the United States. It designs, builds, and sells single, and multifamily detached and attached homes in markets for entry-level, move-up, and resort lifestyle buyers under the Taylor Morrison and Esplanade brand names; and develops lifestyle and master-planned communities with single, and multi-family detached and attached homes. The company is also involved in the Build-to-Rent homebuilding business under the Yardly brand name; and provision of financial services, title insurance, and closing settlement services. Taylor Morrison Home Corporation was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.
Long Name Taylor Morrison Home Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,841,673,216
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_224946128
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 782,499,968
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,745,336,072
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 58.88
Operating Cashflow 817,345,024
Operating Margins 0.12304
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.41
Phone 480 840 8100
Post Market Change -0.031208038
Post Market Change Percent -0.051464442
Post Market Price 60.60879
Post Market Time 1,776,464,101
Previous Close 57.39
Price Eps Current Year 11.988028
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.9301897
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.71928674
Profit Margins 0.09635
Quick Ratio 0.912
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.22222
Region US
Regular Market Change 3.25
Regular Market Change Percent 5.66301
Regular Market Day High 61.03
Regular Market Day Low 58.325
Regular Market Day Range 58.325 - 61.03
Regular Market Open 58.88
Regular Market Previous Close 57.39
Regular Market Price 60.64
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,003
Regular Market Volume 1,247,304
Return On Assets 0.07604
Return On Equity 0.12985
Revenue Growth -0.109
Revenue Per Share 81.978
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 94,744,988
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0542
Shares Short 5,220,251
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 5,353,880
Short Name Taylor Morrison Home Corporatio
Short Percent Of Float 0.0763
Short Ratio 4.7
Source Interval 15
State AZ
Symbol TMHC
Target High Price 95.0
Target Low Price 49.0
Target Mean Price 70.66667
Target Median Price 70.0
Total Cash 850,036,992
Total Cash Per Share 8.824
Total Debt 2,362,631,936
Total Revenue 8,121,480,192
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 7.77
Trailing P E 7.8043756
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 62.8909
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.2509003
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.035790555
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,247,304
Website https://www.taylormorrison.com
Zip 85,251