Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC)Consumer Cyclical | Residential Construction | Scottsdale, United States | NYSE
71.87 USD
+0.02
(0.028%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 71.87 |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:12 a.m. EDT
The immediate outlook is murky due to a disconnect between the company's recent catalyst and its operational reality. On one hand, the acquisition by Berkshire Hathaway provides a massive tailwind, offering capital efficiency and a potential exit strategy for existing shareholders, which explains the recent price surge. However, the underlying business is currently struggling, with revenue contracting by nearly 27% and earnings plummeting by over 50%. This fundamental deterioration is causing the options market to price in significant downside risk, evidenced by the heavy put volume. Consequently, while the long-term ceiling is lifted by the Berkshire deal, the short-term path is fraught with uncertainty as the market digests these poor quarterly results. The lack of a dividend further limits the appeal for income investors, leaving the stock reliant entirely on the execution of the Berkshire strategy to drive value. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.096950 |
| MSTL_126 | 0.099588 |
| MSTL_48_126 | 0.100985 |
| MSTL | 0.102861 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.104722 |
| AutoETS | 0.105058 |
| MSTL_48 | 0.107366 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 36% |
| H-stat | 18.60 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.029 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.64 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 38.645 |
| Revenue per Share | 77.865 |
| Market Cap | 6,612,036,608 |
| Trailing P/E | 10.71 |
| Forward P/E | 11.22 |
| Beta | 1.44 |
| Profit Margins | 8.77% |
| Website | https://www.taylormorrison.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume relative to calls, creating a skewed distribution that suggests fear of a downside move. While there is some call interest at the $75 strike, the overwhelming majority of open interest sits in deep OTM puts, indicating a market expectation of volatility or a drop rather than a steady grind higher.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.113435626 |
| Address1 | 4,900 North Scottsdale Road |
| Address2 | Suite 2000 |
| All Time High | 75.49 |
| All Time Low | 6.39 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 1,500 |
| Audit Risk | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 3.1 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,963,720 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,964,777 |
| Average Volume | 2,964,777 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,963,720 |
| Beta | 1.443 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 2,900 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | 66.037 |
| City | Scottsdale |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 3 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 71.87 |
| Current Ratio | 9.262 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 71.945 |
| Day Low | 71.86 |
| Debt To Equity | 38.645 |
| Display Name | Taylor Morrison Home |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,776,861,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,776,861,000 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.512 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.538 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,776,861,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,784,723,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,784,723,400 |
| Ebitda | 1,055,857,024 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.1387 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 8.036 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.115 |
| Enterprise Value | 8,484,689,408 |
| Eps Current Year | 5.27875 |
| Eps Forward | 6.40683 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 6.71 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 65.871 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 5.9990005 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.09107195 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 11.343563 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 72.5 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -0.62999725 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.008689618 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 54.15 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 17.720001 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.32723916 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 54.15 - 72.5 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,365,600,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 92,696,115 |
| Forward Eps | 6.40683 |
| Forward P E | 11.217717 |
| Free Cashflow | 503,800,736 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 2,800 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.22610001 |
| Gross Profits | 1,721,175,040 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.0075 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.04844 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 91,999,956 |
| Industry | Residential Construction |
| Industry Disp | Residential Construction |
| Industry Key | residential-construction |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Taylor Morrison Home Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a homebuilder and land developer in the United States. It designs, builds, and sells single, and multifamily detached and attached homes in markets for entry-level, move-up, and resort lifestyle buyers under the Taylor Morrison and Esplanade brand names; and develops lifestyle and master-planned communities with single, and multi-family detached and attached homes. The company is also involved in the Build-to-Rent homebuilding business under the Yardly brand name; and provision of financial services, title insurance, and closing settlement services. Taylor Morrison Home Corporation was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona. |
| Long Name | Taylor Morrison Home Corporation |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 6,612,036,608 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_224946128 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 667,659,008 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 6,610,196,838 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 4 |
| Open | 71.87 |
| Operating Cashflow | 729,683,008 |
| Operating Margins | 0.11143 |
| Overall Risk | 2 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.41 |
| Phone | 480 840 8100 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 71.87 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,981,120 |
| Previous Close | 71.85 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 13.614966 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.0883293 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.86857015 |
| Profit Margins | 0.08771 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.04 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 3.14286 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.0200043 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.0278417 |
| Regular Market Day High | 71.945 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 71.86 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 71.86 - 71.945 |
| Regular Market Open | 71.87 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 71.85 |
| Regular Market Price | 71.87 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,803 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,351,234 |
| Return On Assets | 0.06616 |
| Return On Equity | 0.111090004 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.268 |
| Revenue Per Share | 77.865 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 4 |
| Shares Outstanding | 91,999,956 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0342 |
| Shares Short | 3,146,928 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 5,436,171 |
| Short Name | Taylor Morrison Home Corporatio |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.040700004 |
| Short Ratio | 0.55 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | AZ |
| Symbol | TMHC |
| Target High Price | 72.5 |
| Target Low Price | 49.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 65.75 |
| Target Median Price | 70.75 |
| Total Cash | 652,932,992 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 6.989 |
| Total Debt | 2,414,603,008 |
| Total Revenue | 7,612,553,216 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 6.71 |
| Trailing P E | 10.710879 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 62.8101 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 9.059902 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.14424276 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,351,234 |
| Website | https://www.taylormorrison.com |
| Zip | 85,251 |