Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (TMF)Trading--Leveraged Debt | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
32.81 USD
-0.62
(-1.855%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 32.90 +0.09 (0.274%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:32 a.m. EDT
This instrument is a catastrophic long-term failure disguised as a high-yield trade. The underlying asset, the 20+ year Treasury bull ETF, has suffered a brutal 88% collapse over the last nine years, with five consecutive years of negative returns. This is not a value opportunity; it is a structural implosion where the market has correctly priced the bond market's refusal to yield. The recent price action confirms this death spiral, dropping nearly 10% in the last two weeks as yields likely rose again. The 'dividend' of 4% is a cruel illusion; it represents a massive percentage of the remaining equity value and is being paid out of a shrinking principal that will likely never recover. Options data screams 'sell,' with traders buying deep out-of-the-money puts to protect against further ruin, while call buyers are scarce. For a leveraged product, the compounding decay is absolute. Avoid this at all costs. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.031263 |
| AutoETS | 0.032455 |
| AutoTheta | 0.033930 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.057844 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 54% |
| H-stat | 0.14 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.120 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.77 |
As of July 11, 2026, 4:32 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for further downside, evidenced by massive open interest walls in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 44, 45, 47) and significant volume spikes in deep OTM puts. While there is some call activity near the money, the overwhelming capital deployment is in protection against a drop to the $20-$30 range, suggesting a consensus expectation of continued weakness rather than a bounce.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.03% | 3.88% | 3.55% | 2.58% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | 0.3650 | 1.032240 |
| 2026-03-24 | 0.2230 | 0.631013 |
| 2025-12-23 | 0.4590 | 1.213323 |
| 2025-09-23 | 0.4050 | 1.006962 |
| 2025-06-24 | 0.3620 | 0.947396 |
| 2025-03-25 | 0.2880 | 0.679245 |
| 2024-12-23 | 0.5240 | 1.299281 |
| 2024-09-24 | 0.4350 | 0.738289 |
| 2024-06-25 | 0.4350 | 0.819827 |
| 2024-03-19 | 0.3200 | 0.616333 |
| 2023-12-21 | 0.4970 | 0.766502 |
| 2023-09-19 | 0.5000 | 0.894454 |
| 2023-06-21 | 0.4800 | 0.598504 |
| 2023-03-21 | 0.3500 | 0.406977 |
| 2022-12-20 | 0.4700 | 0.547786 |
| 2022-09-20 | 0.3600 | 0.371134 |
| 2022-06-22 | 0.2600 | 0.217028 |
| 2022-03-22 | 0.1500 | 0.082919 |
| 2021-12-21 | 0.0200 | 0.006940 |
| 2021-09-21 | 0.0500 | 0.016578 |
| 2021-06-22 | 0.1400 | 0.053660 |
| 2021-03-23 | 0.1500 | 0.065303 |
| 2020-12-10 | 13.7200 | 3.873518 |
| 2020-03-24 | 0.9900 | 0.242826 |
| 2019-12-23 | 0.5000 | 0.189251 |
| 2019-09-24 | 0.5900 | 0.189955 |
| 2019-06-25 | 0.6700 | 0.267679 |
| 2019-03-19 | 0.6800 | 0.353430 |
| 2018-12-27 | 0.9700 | 0.520107 |
| 2018-09-25 | 0.5700 | 0.333139 |
| 2018-06-19 | 1.0400 | 0.545932 |
| 2018-03-20 | 0.3000 | 0.165107 |
| 2017-12-19 | 0.7200 | 0.336921 |
| 2017-06-20 | 0.1800 | 0.081448 |
| 2013-09-17 | 0.1950 | 0.173333 |
| 2013-06-18 | 0.2950 | 0.201125 |
| 2013-03-19 | 0.1350 | 0.082468 |
| 2012-12-18 | 0.1850 | 0.105039 |
| 2012-03-21 | 0.1175 | 0.084229 |
| 2011-12-13 | 1.2475 | 0.737838 |
| 2010-12-22 | 0.7300 | 0.879518 |
| 2010-12-14 | 2.4675 | 3.038793 |
| 2010-09-22 | 0.2700 | 0.222177 |
| 2010-06-22 | 0.5500 | 0.535280 |
| 2010-03-23 | 0.3900 | 0.485528 |
| 2009-12-22 | 0.7050 | 0.890433 |
| 2009-11-20 | 10.4925 | 11.227930 |
| 2009-09-22 | 0.7925 | 0.732440 |
| 2009-06-23 | 0.1625 | 0.161051 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 583.0 |
| All Time Low | 31.58 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 3,000 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,829,390 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 3,436,645 |
| Average Volume | 3,436,645 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,829,390 |
| Beta3 Year | 7.22 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 2,700 |
| Category | Trading--Leveraged Debt |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 33.155 |
| Day Low | 32.755 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.09 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | PCX |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 34.7134 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.9034004 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.054831862 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -7.3191047 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 44.24 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -11.43 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.25836346 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 31.58 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.2300014 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.03894875 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 31.58 - 44.24 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,239,888,600,000 |
| Five Year Average Return | -0.3281841 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSEArca |
| Fund Family | Direxion Funds |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,239,840,000 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | The fund, under normal circumstances, invests at least 80% of its net assets in financial instruments, such as swap agreements, securities of the index, and ETFs that track the index, that, in combination, provide 3X daily leveraged exposure to the index, consistent with the fund's investment objective. The index is a market value weighted index that includes publicly issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity of greater than 20 years. The fund is non-diversified. |
| Long Name | Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_54908379 |
| Nav Price | 33.44 |
| Net Assets | 2,262,768,130.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 0.9 |
| Open | 33.04 |
| Phone | 866-476-7523 |
| Post Market Change | 0.09000015 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.27430707 |
| Post Market Price | 32.9 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,987,172 |
| Previous Close | 33.43 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.619999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.85462 |
| Regular Market Day High | 33.155 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 32.755 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 32.755 - 33.155 |
| Regular Market Open | 33.04 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 33.43 |
| Regular Market Price | 32.81 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,597,671 |
| Short Name | Direxion Daily 20-Yr Treasury B |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | TMF |
| Three Year Average Return | -0.1905425 |
| Total Assets | 2,262,768,128 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | -0.52203 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | -0.52203 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 37.8944 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -5.0844 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.13417286 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 2,597,671 |
| Yield | 0.040900003 |
| Ytd Return | -3.20907 |