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Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (TMCI)

Healthcare | Medical Devices | Ponte Vedra, United States | NasdaqGS
4.65 USD +0.05 (1.087%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 4.65

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:39 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Treace Medical Concepts is currently broken by a severe deterioration in business fundamentals. The company is generating negative free cash flow, posting significant operating losses, and suffering a crushing 60% revenue decline year-over-year. This operational collapse is reflected in the stock's brutal 68% drop over the last four years, which has erased nearly all prior gains despite a recent, fragile recovery in the latest annual report. The balance sheet is strained with debt exceeding cash reserves, and the return on equity is deeply negative. While the CEO's recent purchase provides a glimmer of insider confidence, it cannot offset the reality that the core business is shrinking rapidly. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying put protection rather than betting on a rally. Until the company demonstrates a sustained path to profitability and stabilizes its revenue stream, this remains a high-risk speculative vehicle with no margin of safety.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.289505
AutoETS0.420670
AutoARIMA0.420791
MSTL0.420834

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 27%
H-stat 38.94
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.124
Excess Kurtosis -1.30
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 107.844
Revenue per Share 3.195
Market Cap 302,410,688
Forward P/E -5.47
Beta 1.40
Profit Margins -28.99%
Website https://www.treace.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:39 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection rather than upside participation. Put open interest is significantly higher than call open interest across all expirations, with deep out-of-the-money puts holding the vast majority of volume and open interest. While there is some call activity at strikes above the current price, the dominant theme is hedging against further declines, suggesting a bearish sentiment among retail traders.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.35843796
Address1 100 Palmetto Park Place
All Time High 37.17
All Time Low 1.17
Ask 5.88
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 5
Average Daily Volume10 Day 299,930
Average Daily Volume3 Month 684,350
Average Volume 684,350
Average Volume10Days 299,930
Beta 1.402
Bid 3.43
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 8
Book Value 1.042
City Ponte Vedra
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 4.65
Current Ratio 2.903
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 4.78
Day Low 4.55
Debt To Equity 107.844
Display Name Treace Medical Concepts
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,104,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,104,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,105,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda -46,350,000
Ebitda Margins -0.22576
Enterprise To Ebitda -7.116
Enterprise To Revenue 1.607
Enterprise Value 329,841,664
Eps Forward -0.85
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.93
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 4.3944
Fifty Day Average Change 0.25559998
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.05816493
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -35.843796
Fifty Two Week High 7.63
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.98
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.39056355
Fifty Two Week Low 1.17
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.48
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 2.974359
Fifty Two Week Range 1.17 - 7.63
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,619,184,600,000
Float Shares 47,838,116
Forward Eps -0.85
Forward P E -5.470588
Free Cashflow -6,252,375
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 450
Fullday Change 0.0500002
Fullday Change Percent 1.08696
Fullday Price 4.65
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.79452
Gross Profits 163,120,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.25275
Held Percent Institutions 0.49668
Implied Shares Outstanding 65,034,552
Industry Medical Devices
Industry Disp Medical Devices
Industry Key medical-devices
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-04-23
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Treace Medical Concepts, Inc., a medical technology company, designs, manufactures, and markets medical devices in the United States. The company offers Lapiplasty System, enables surgeons to correct all three dimensions of the bunion deformity, stabilize the first TMT joint, and allow return to weight-bearing in a walking boot; minimally invasive products for four bunion classes; Nanoplasty 3D Minimally Invasive Bunion Correction System delivers a reproducible 3D correction of the bunion deformity through a cosmetically appealing; and Percuplasty Percutaneous 3D Bunion Correction System that provides 3D correction of the bunion deformity through percutaneous incisions. It also provides Adductoplasty System, a system designed for the correction of metatarsus adductus deformities and osteoarthritis of the midfoot; SpeedMTP Rapid Compression Implant; SpeedPlate Implant Fixation Platform to address the fusion of larger bones of the midfoot and rearfoot; SpeedPlate Micro-Quad implant, an implant designed for stability and fit in small incision surgical approaches; and SpeedAkin Anatomic Compression Implant. In addition, the company offers The IntelliGuide patient specific instrumentation provides patient-specific, 3D-printed cut guides, and a pre-operative plan for a complete picture of the deformity and correction. Further, it provides FastGrafter Autografter Harvesting System; SpeedRelease Guided Release Instrument; TriTome Triple-Edge Release Instrument; RazorTome 7mm Precision Osteotome; LapiTome Hooked Bone Removal Osteotome; GreatRelease Rapid MTP Release Instrument; CornerChisel Release Tool; NanoRasp MIS Bone Contouring Tool; FeatherRasp Rapid Bone Contouring Instrument; and Akinator Single-cut Akin Wedge Osteotomy tool. Additionally, the company offers biologics and wedges, such as Treace Allograft Wedges; and CortiFuse Flowable Cortical Fibers. Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Ponte Vedra, Florida.
Long Name Treace Medical Concepts, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 302,410,688
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_282593338
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -59,516,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 300,134,457
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 4.64
Operating Cashflow -14,576,000
Operating Margins -0.32965
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 904 373 5940
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 4.65
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 4.6
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 4.4625716
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.4729682
Profit Margins -0.28989
Quick Ratio 1.799
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0500002
Regular Market Change Percent 1.08696
Regular Market Day High 4.78
Regular Market Day Low 4.55
Regular Market Day Range 4.55 - 4.78
Regular Market Open 4.64
Regular Market Previous Close 4.6
Regular Market Price 4.65
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 237,097
Return On Assets -0.1733
Return On Equity -0.71987
Revenue Growth -0.042
Revenue Per Share 3.195
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 65,034,552
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.024500001
Shares Short 1,596,168
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 1,844,752
Short Name Treace Medical Concepts, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0308
Short Ratio 3.76
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol TMCI
Target High Price 7.0
Target Low Price 4.5
Target Mean Price 5.5
Target Median Price 5.0
Total Cash 45,619,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.701
Total Debt 73,050,000
Total Revenue 205,307,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.93
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 2.86945
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.78055
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.6205196
Type Disp Equity
Volume 237,097
Website https://www.treace.com
Zip 32,081