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TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC)

Basic Materials | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Vancouver, Canada | NasdaqGS
4.81 USD -0.28 (-5.501%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 4.85 +0.04 (0.832%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:44 a.m. EDT

The immediate catalyst here is the disconnect between the company's precarious financial reality and the explosive speculative interest driven by seabed mining rights. Fundamentally, this is a distressed asset: the balance sheet is negative, free cash flow is burning through reserves, and the forward P/E is meaningless due to losses. There is no dividend to speak of, and the business model relies entirely on regulatory milestones and future commodity prices that are not yet realized. However, the short-term outlook is driven by momentum and event risk rather than earnings. The stock has rallied nearly 465% over the last three years, fueled by recent legal victories regarding seabed rights. The options market confirms this sentiment, with traders buying deep out-of-the-money calls betting on a continuation of this rally toward the $7.00-$9.00 range. This creates a high-risk, high-reward scenario suitable for a tactical entry, but it is not a buy-and-hold investment. The statistical forecast model offers no guidance, reflecting the noise inherent in such a volatile, event-driven trade. Investors should view this as a speculative play on regulatory approval and market hype, not a fundamental value proposition.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.317920
AutoETS0.318723
AutoARIMA0.318982
AutoTheta0.441383

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 10.73
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.199
Excess Kurtosis -0.50
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Market Cap 2,721,675,520
Forward P/E -20.04
Beta 2.07
Previous Name Sustainable Opportunities Acquisition Corp.
Website https://metals.co

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:44 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a significant upside breakout, evidenced by massive call volume and open interest at strikes ranging from $5.00 to $9.00, particularly expiring in November 2026 and January 2027. While put volume exists, it is heavily concentrated at lower strikes ($3.00-$4.00) acting as a floor, whereas the call side shows 'new flow' exceeding open interest at key resistance levels like $6.00 and $7.00, indicating a bullish bias rather than hedging.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.115808845
Address1 1,111 West Hastings Street
Address2 15th Floor
All Time High 15.39
All Time Low 0.511
Ask 6.19
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 9,124,350
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,693,236
Average Volume 5,693,236
Average Volume10Days 9,124,350
Beta 2.066
Bid 4.79
Bid Size 1
Book Value -0.063
City Vancouver
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 4.81
Current Ratio 1.927
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 5.3799
Day Low 4.75
Display Name TMC the metals company
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,653,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,653,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,651,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,513,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,513,600
Ebitda -205,548,992
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -9.843
Enterprise Value 2,023,206,656
Eps Current Year -0.43333
Eps Forward -0.24
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.71
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 4.2043
Fifty Day Average Change 0.6057
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.1440668
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -11.580885
Fifty Two Week High 11.35
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.5400004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.57621145
Fifty Two Week Low 3.4
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.4099998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4147058
Fifty Two Week Range 3.4 - 11.35
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,631,280,600,000
Float Shares 250,009,123
Forward Eps -0.24
Forward P E -20.041666
Free Cashflow 20,783,724
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 48
Fullday Change -0.28
Fullday Change Percent -5.50099
Fullday Price 4.85
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.46209
Held Percent Institutions 0.13826
Implied Shares Outstanding 565,836,927
Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Disp Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Key other-industrial-metals-mining
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-09-10
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary TMC the metals company Inc., a deep-sea minerals exploration company, focuses on the collection, processing, and refining of polymetallic nodules found on the seafloor in California. It primarily explores for nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese products. The company holds exploration and commercial rights in two polymetallic nodule contract areas in the Clarion Clipperton Zone of the Pacific Ocean. Its products are used in electric vehicles (EV) and energy storage markets; manganese alloy production required for steel production; and other applications. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
Long Name TMC the metals company Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,721,675,520
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_111318879
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-08-29
Net Income To Common -305,636,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,245,379,603
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 5.182
Operating Cashflow -43,557,000
Operating Margins 0.0
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 888 458 3420
Post Market Change 0.03999996
Post Market Change Percent 0.83160007
Post Market Price 4.85
Post Market Time 1,787,961,589
Prev Name Sustainable Opportunities Acquisition Corp.
Previous Close 5.09
Price Eps Current Year -11.100085
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -76.349205
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 1.927
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.28
Regular Market Change Percent -5.50099
Regular Market Day High 5.3799
Regular Market Day Low 4.75
Regular Market Day Range 4.75 - 5.3799
Regular Market Open 5.182
Regular Market Previous Close 5.09
Regular Market Price 4.81
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 8,514,758
Return On Assets -0.72543
Return On Equity -11.231911
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Shares Outstanding 441,135,482
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0614
Shares Short 27,081,796
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 29,005,417
Short Name TMC the metals company Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.096
Short Ratio 6.08
Source Interval 15
State BC
Symbol TMC
Target High Price 12.25
Target Low Price 10.0
Target Mean Price 10.66667
Target Median Price 10.0
Total Cash 98,655,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.224
Total Debt 0
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.71
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 5.58665
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.77664995
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.13901891
Type Disp Equity
Volume 8,514,758
Website https://metals.co
Zip V6E 2J3