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Toyota Motor Corporation (TM)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Toyota, Japan | NYSE
194.48 USD +2.48 (1.292%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 194.76 +0.28 (0.144%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:38 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case remains robust, driven by exceptional fundamentals: a 10% revenue growth rate, an 8.7x trailing P/E, and a massive cash pile relative to debt obligations. The multi-year price trajectory confirms this quality, showing a +67% cumulative gain over nine years with no recent consecutive declines, signaling sustained market validation of the business model. While the short-term outlook is neutral due to the stock trading near its 200-day moving average and a lack of immediate explosive momentum, the valuation appears deeply attractive relative to peers. The dividend yield of 3.26% is supported by a healthy payout ratio of roughly 26%, offering a steady income floor. However, the options market reveals a distinct tension; while insiders and analysts lean 'buy,' retail speculators are aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts, creating a psychological ceiling that may suppress near-term upside despite the strong underlying economics.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.039519
AutoETS0.039521
MSTL0.041325
AutoTheta0.041836

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 52%
H-stat 0.38
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.586
Excess Kurtosis -0.05
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-03-30
Last Dividend Date 2025-03-30
Debt to Equity Ratio 114.974
Revenue per Share 2530.0994
Market Cap 230,299,992,064
Trailing P/E 8.82
Forward P/E 12.32
Beta 0.34
Profit Margins 8.63%
Website https://global.toyota

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:38 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put open interest (OTM OI) acting as a significant floor around the $170-$190 range, suggesting a fear of a sharp downside gap. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money ($195-$200 strikes) with elevated volume, indicating a belief that the stock will consolidate or drift upward rather than crash. The implied volatility skew shows higher premiums for deep OTM puts compared to calls, reinforcing the asymmetric risk profile where downside protection is priced higher than upside speculation.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-03-31 3.457 1.958307
2024-09-30 2.601 1.456572
2024-03-27 2.861 1.134642
2023-09-28 2.003 1.098016
2023-03-30 2.496 1.787710
2022-09-29 1.762 1.317285
2022-03-30 2.203 1.219688
2021-09-29 2.098 1.131302
2021-03-30 2.450 1.592253
2020-09-29 2.015 1.500931
2020-03-30 2.225 1.776873
2019-09-27 1.830 1.342824
2018-09-27 1.758 1.410802
2018-03-28 2.189 1.692046
2017-09-28 1.797 1.502508
2017-03-29 1.967 1.784127
2016-09-28 1.772 1.506418
2016-03-29 2.015 1.859714
2015-09-28 1.628 1.412949
2015-03-27 2.012 1.412921
2014-09-25 1.263 1.071519
2014-03-26 1.956 1.769655
2013-09-25 1.178 0.907201
2013-03-26 1.263 1.219112
2012-09-25 0.679 0.843688
2012-03-27 0.700 0.817375
2011-09-27 0.512 0.744186
2011-03-28 0.747 0.927374
2010-09-27 0.596 0.823204
2010-03-26 0.701 0.868111
2009-09-25 0.576 0.710234
2009-03-26 0.726 1.082451
2008-09-25 1.257 1.389257
2008-03-26 1.449 1.390462
2007-09-26 1.197 1.041866
2007-03-28 1.052 0.816390
2006-09-27 0.860 0.791897
2006-03-28 0.943 0.877046
2005-09-27 0.725 0.820972
2005-03-28 0.480 0.637704
2004-09-27 0.450 0.607615
2004-03-26 0.375 0.513628
2003-09-25 0.328 0.542149
2003-03-26 0.250 0.517063
2002-09-25 0.218 0.426614
2002-03-26 0.212 0.377627
2001-09-25 0.178 0.352545
2001-03-27 0.191 0.253652
2000-09-26 0.168 0.218324
2000-03-28 0.208 0.209704
1999-09-27 0.180 0.281800
1999-03-26 0.171 0.307416
1998-09-25 0.128 0.301176
1998-03-26 0.205 0.383626
1997-09-25 0.147 0.240000
1997-03-25 0.062 0.123383
1996-09-25 0.180 0.356436
1996-03-26 0.190 0.425770
1995-09-26 0.125 0.344828
1995-03-24 0.180 0.486486
1994-12-22 0.180 0.435045
1994-06-22 0.137 0.317681
1993-12-23 0.136 0.428346
1993-06-23 0.149 0.534529
1992-12-23 0.119 0.488205
1992-06-23 0.131 0.572678
Additional Data
dividendRate 6.27
dividendYield 3.26
exDividendDate 2026-03-31
trailingAnnualDividendRate 95.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.49479166
lastDividendValue 3.457
lastDividendDate 2025-03-31
dividendDate 2026-06-08

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.008110762
Address1 1 Toyota-cho
All Time High 255.23
All Time Low 3.237711
Ask 194.82
Ask Size 400
Average Daily Volume10 Day 304,130
Average Daily Volume3 Month 474,780
Average Volume 474,780
Average Volume10Days 304,130
Beta 0.335
Bid 194.67
Bid Size 100
Book Value 12.371997
City Toyota
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Country Japan
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 194.48
Current Ratio 1.169
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 196.51
Day Low 192.55
Debt To Equity 114.974
Display Name Toyota Motor
Dividend Date 1,780,876,800
Dividend Rate 6.27
Dividend Yield 3.26
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,819,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,819,600
Earnings Growth 0.869
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.756
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,846,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda 5,600,540,884,992
Ebitda Margins 0.10779
Enterprise To Ebitda 6.278
Enterprise To Revenue 0.677
Enterprise Value 35,160,523,276,288
Eps Forward 15.78
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 22.06
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,774,915,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 181.8492
Fifty Day Average Change 12.630798
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.069457546
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -0.81107616
Fifty Two Week High 248.9
Fifty Two Week High Change -54.42
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21864203
Fifty Two Week Low 166.1
Fifty Two Week Low Change 28.37999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.17086086
Fifty Two Week Range 166.1 - 248.9
Financial Currency JPY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.78
Float Shares 17,473,241,341
Forward Eps 15.78
Forward P E 12.324461
Free Cashflow -3,599,962,472,448
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 367,990
Fullday Change 2.48
Fullday Change Percent 1.29166
Fullday Price 194.76
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.16767
Gross Profits 8,711,846,232,064
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.000040000003
Held Percent Institutions 0.02227
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,184,183,366
Industry Auto Manufacturers
Industry Disp Auto Manufacturers
Industry Key auto-manufacturers
Ir Website http://www.toyota-global.com/investors/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,743,379,200
Last Dividend Value 3.457
Last Fiscal Year End 1,774,915,200
Last Split Date 677,808,000
Last Split Factor 11:10
Long Business Summary Toyota Motor Corporation designs, manufactures, assembles, and sells passenger vehicles, minivans and commercial vehicles, and related parts and accessories in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, the Middle East, and internationally. The company operates through Automotive, Financial Services, and All Other segments. The company offers subcompact and compact cars; mini-vehicles; mid-size, luxury, sports, and specialty cars; recreational and sport-utility vehicles; pickup trucks; minivans; trucks; and buses. It also develops and sells battery and hybrid electric vehicles and batteries. In addition, the company provides financial services, such as retail financing and leasing, wholesale financing, insurance, and credit cards. Further, it operates GAZOO.com, a web portal for automobile information, as well as engages in telecommunications and other businesses. It offers vehicles under the Toyota and Lexus brand names. It has strategic manufacturing alliance with Joby Aviation, Inc. to establish a joint venture to realize air mobility. Toyota Motor Corporation was founded in 1933 and is headquartered in Toyota, Japan.
Long Name Toyota Motor Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 230,299,992,064
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_319676
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 4,483,796,959,232
Next Fiscal Year End 1,806,451,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 228,765,569,636
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 196.08
Operating Cashflow 4,132,990,091,264
Operating Margins 0.07863
Payout Ratio 0.2638
Peg Ratio 1.56
Phone 81 565 28 2121
Post Market Change 0.27999878
Post Market Change Percent 0.14397305
Post Market Price 194.76
Post Market Time 1,787,961,501
Previous Close 192.0
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 15.71937
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.004432509
Profit Margins 0.0863
Quick Ratio 0.953
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 2.48
Regular Market Change Percent 1.29166
Regular Market Day High 196.51
Regular Market Day Low 192.55
Regular Market Day Range 192.55 - 196.51
Regular Market Open 196.08
Regular Market Previous Close 192.0
Regular Market Price 194.48
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 427,783
Return On Assets 0.02339
Return On Equity 0.12404
Revenue Growth 0.104
Revenue Per Share 2,530.0994
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1966995
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 1,184,183,366
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0008
Shares Short 974,286
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 872,952
Short Name Toyota Motor Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.0008
Short Ratio 2.39
Source Interval 15
Symbol TM
Target High Price 239.31209
Target Low Price 220.0
Target Mean Price 231.57802
Target Median Price 233.5
Total Cash 13,350,560,858,112
Total Cash Per Share 704.629
Total Debt 43,953,168,580,608
Total Revenue 51,957,024,686,080
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 95.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.49479166
Trailing Eps 22.06
Trailing P E 8.815956
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 202.4418
Two Hundred Day Average Change -7.9618073
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.03932887
Type Disp Equity
Volume 427,783
Website https://global.toyota
Zip 471-8571