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Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS)

Consumer Cyclical | Apparel Retail | Irvine, United States | NYSE
4.68 USD +0.14 (3.084%) ⇧ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:27 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case is severely compromised by a brutal nine-year price trajectory that has erased nearly 84% of value, driven by five consecutive years of negative annual returns ending with a massive 63.8% drop last year. While recent headlines celebrate a 63% quarterly surge and a recovery from support, the underlying business shows deteriorating fundamentals: a staggering debt-to-equity ratio of 195%, negligible return on equity of 2.3%, and a forward P/E of 32x that implies high growth expectations not currently met by the balance sheet. The company has also suspended its dividend, leaving investors with zero income. Short-term momentum is mixed; while the stock recently broke out, the statistical forecast model offers almost no directional guidance, and options flow remains heavily skewed toward downside protection. This is a high-risk turnaround play where the market is pricing in a potential recovery, but the structural damage to the balance sheet and the multi-year decline suggest caution is warranted.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.064830
AutoARIMA0.065411
MSTL0.065782
AutoTheta0.132173

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 1.39
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.472
Excess Kurtosis -0.87
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2021-12-05
Last Dividend Date 2021-12-05
Debt to Equity Ratio 194.902
Revenue per Share 19.334
Market Cap 143,148,384
Trailing P/E 78.00
Forward P/E 33.43
Beta 0.04
Profit Margins 0.34%
Website https://www.tillys.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:27 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at the $2.50 strike across multiple expirations, creating a significant floor. Call interest is concentrated at out-of-the-money strikes ($7.50), suggesting a speculative hope for a rebound to previous highs, but the overwhelming open interest in puts indicates the market expects further downside or a prolonged struggle to recover.

Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2021-12-06 1.0 6.410256
2021-06-24 1.0 6.329114
2020-02-11 1.0 12.658228
2019-02-14 1.0 8.467400
2018-02-08 1.0 7.468260
2017-02-13 0.7 5.747126
Additional Data
dividendYield 0.0
exDividendDate 2021-12-06
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 1.0
lastDividendDate 2021-12-06
dividendDate 2021-12-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.8375001
Address1 10 Whatney
All Time High 25.46
All Time Low 0.57
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 600
Average Daily Volume10 Day 171,490
Average Daily Volume3 Month 564,493
Average Volume 564,493
Average Volume10Days 171,490
Beta 0.041
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 700
Book Value 2.842
City Irvine
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 4.68
Current Ratio 1.159
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 4.72
Day Low 4.505
Debt To Equity 194.902
Display Name Tilly's
Dividend Date 1,639,526,400
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,749,069,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,749,069,000
Earnings Growth 1.7
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.648
Earnings Timestamp 1,788,379,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,796,241,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,796,241,600
Ebitda 11,308,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0194
Enterprise To Ebitda 22.14
Enterprise To Revenue 0.429
Enterprise Value 250,364,400
Eps Current Year 0.22
Eps Forward 0.14
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.06
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,638,748,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 4.205
Fifty Day Average Change 0.4749999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.11296074
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 183.75002
Fifty Two Week High 6.25
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.5700002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.25120002
Fifty Two Week Low 1.14
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.54
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 3.1052632
Fifty Two Week Range 1.14 - 6.25
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,336,138,200,000
Float Shares 14,280,582
Forward Eps 0.14
Forward P E 33.42857
Free Cashflow 14,042,125
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,314
Fullday Change 0.07000017
Fullday Change Percent 1.541854
Fullday Price 4.61
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.45882
Gross Profits 267,467,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03994
Held Percent Institutions 0.87047994
Implied Shares Outstanding 30,587,265
Industry Apparel Retail
Industry Disp Apparel Retail
Industry Key apparel-retail
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,638,748,800
Last Dividend Value 1.0
Last Fiscal Year End 1,769,817,600
Long Business Summary Tilly's, Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women, boys, and girls in the United States. Its apparel merchandise comprising branded, fashion, and styles for tops, outerwear, bottoms, swim and dresses; and accessories merchandise consist of backpacks, hydration bottles, hats, sunglasses, handbags, watches, jewelry, and others. The company also provides third-party merchandise assortment across its various product categories. It sells its merchandise through its stores and e-commerce website, www.tillys.com. Tilly's, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
Long Name Tilly's, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 143,148,384
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_4307505
Most Recent Quarter 1,785,542,400
Net Income To Common 1,963,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,801,353,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 126,325,404
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 4.53
Operating Cashflow 16,740,000
Operating Margins 0.049990002
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.88
Phone 949 609 5599
Pre Market Change -0.069999695
Pre Market Change Percent -1.49572
Pre Market Price 4.61
Pre Market Time 1,791,965,752
Previous Close 4.54
Price Eps Current Year 21.272726
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 1.6467276
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.24556112
Profit Margins 0.00337
Quick Ratio 0.535
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.14
Regular Market Change Percent 3.0837
Regular Market Day High 4.72
Regular Market Day Low 4.505
Regular Market Day Range 4.505 - 4.72
Regular Market Open 4.53
Regular Market Previous Close 4.54
Regular Market Price 4.68
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,603
Regular Market Volume 150,801
Return On Assets 0.00343
Return On Equity 0.02317
Revenue Growth 0.081
Revenue Per Share 19.334
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 23,281,157
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.018
Shares Short 551,203
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 598,979
Short Name Tilly's, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.045300003
Short Ratio 0.4
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol TLYS
Target High Price 5.5
Target Low Price 5.5
Target Mean Price 5.5
Target Median Price 5.5
Total Cash 62,197,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.033
Total Debt 169,412,992
Total Revenue 582,944,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.06
Trailing P E 78.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 3.55665
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.1233499
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.31584495
Type Disp Equity
Volume 150,801
Website https://www.tillys.com
Zip 92,618