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The Timken Company (TKR)

Industrials | Tools & Accessories | North Canton, United States | NYSE
112.32 USD -1.95 (-1.706%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 112.32
Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 3, 2026, 5:28 a.m. EDT

The Timken Company presents a classic value-versus-quality dilemma. While the balance sheet remains fortress-like with a robust 13-year dividend track record and a manageable payout ratio, the recent earnings contraction of nearly 63% casts a shadow over immediate growth prospects. The market appears to be pricing in a turnaround, evidenced by the compressed forward P/E of roughly 17 versus a trailing P/E of 32. Technically, the stock is hovering just below its 50-day average, suggesting a consolidation phase before the next leg. For investors, the dividend offers modest income, but capital appreciation relies on a successful earnings recovery rather than current momentum.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.127394
MSTL0.128288
AutoTheta0.146416
AutoARIMA0.203194

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 7.50
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.198
Excess Kurtosis -0.73
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-17
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-17
Debt to Equity Ratio 65.523
Revenue per Share 68.402
Market Cap 7,805,623,808
Trailing P/E 30.44
Forward P/E 15.43
Beta 1.18
Profit Margins 5.44%
Website https://www.timken.com

As of Oct. 3, 2026, 5:28 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound recovery with upside targets set at 160-180 via call walls, while heavy put volume at the 115 strike suggests defensive positioning near current levels. Implied volatility remains elevated on deep out-of-the-money strikes, indicating uncertainty around the earnings backdrop.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.28% 1.36% 1.61% 1.67%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-18 0.360000 0.278702
2026-05-19 0.360000 0.329188
2026-02-24 0.350000 0.319576
2025-11-25 0.350000 0.430928
2025-08-19 0.350000 0.455255
2025-05-13 0.350000 0.477490
2025-02-25 0.340000 0.427028
2024-11-19 0.340000 0.462585
2024-08-20 0.340000 0.415496
2024-05-13 0.340000 0.372113
2024-02-16 0.330000 0.403867
2023-11-13 0.330000 0.467820
2023-08-14 0.330000 0.422211
2023-05-15 0.330000 0.443072
2023-02-17 0.310000 0.357143
2022-11-18 0.310000 0.423903
2022-08-12 0.310000 0.454679
2022-05-13 0.310000 0.531915
2022-02-18 0.300000 0.440593
2021-11-19 0.300000 0.420050
2021-08-19 0.300000 0.408664
2021-05-20 0.300000 0.349203
2021-02-19 0.290000 0.386615
2020-11-23 0.290000 0.393594
2020-08-20 0.280000 0.523952
2020-05-21 0.280000 0.693069
2020-02-20 0.280000 0.535066
2019-11-21 0.280000 0.542320
2019-08-20 0.280000 0.700000
2019-05-21 0.280000 0.602539
2019-02-19 0.280000 0.648298
2018-11-19 0.280000 0.705823
2018-08-16 0.280000 0.591341
2018-05-17 0.280000 0.566229
2018-02-16 0.270000 0.600000
2017-11-16 0.270000 0.587595
2017-08-18 0.270000 0.630841
2017-05-17 0.270000 0.573248
2017-02-17 0.260000 0.584270
2016-11-18 0.260000 0.679739
2016-08-11 0.260000 0.767414
2016-05-18 0.260000 0.790274
2016-02-19 0.260000 0.862641
2015-11-19 0.260000 0.833066
2015-08-20 0.260000 0.812754
2015-05-14 0.260000 0.637724
2015-02-19 0.250000 0.592698
2014-11-20 0.250000 0.585617
2014-08-15 0.250000 0.547885
2014-05-21 0.178955 0.394509
2014-02-20 0.178955 0.421656
2013-11-21 0.164639 0.436765
2013-08-16 0.164639 0.390229
2013-05-15 0.164639 0.403227
2013-02-15 0.164639 0.408890
2012-11-21 0.164639 0.573568
2012-08-17 0.164639 0.548797
2012-05-16 0.164639 0.442735
2012-02-16 0.164639 0.434127
2011-11-17 0.143164 0.484849
2011-08-17 0.143164 0.535476
2011-05-18 0.143164 0.397457
2011-02-17 0.128848 0.343447
2010-11-18 0.128848 0.410118
2010-08-18 0.093057 0.373136
2010-05-19 0.093057 0.435513
2010-02-18 0.064424 0.344038
2009-11-18 0.064424 0.354193
2009-08-19 0.064424 0.444446
2009-05-20 0.064424 0.539570
2009-02-18 0.128848 1.411770
2008-11-19 0.128848 1.468195
2008-08-13 0.128848 0.540867
2008-05-14 0.121689 0.465752
2008-02-13 0.121689 0.543130
2007-11-14 0.121689 0.550873
2007-08-15 0.121689 0.530420
2007-05-16 0.114531 0.479760
2007-02-14 0.114531 0.547382
2006-11-15 0.114531 0.514966
2006-08-16 0.114531 0.473652
2006-05-17 0.107373 0.485752
2006-02-16 0.107373 0.535715
2005-11-16 0.107373 0.503694
2005-08-17 0.107373 0.539181
2005-05-18 0.107373 0.595711
2005-02-16 0.107373 0.535141
2004-11-17 0.093057 0.529966
2004-08-18 0.093057 0.543481
2004-05-19 0.093057 0.610332
2004-02-18 0.093057 0.586116
2003-11-19 0.093057 0.775198
2003-08-14 0.093057 0.818129
2003-05-14 0.093057 0.765160
2003-02-12 0.093057 0.849677
2002-11-13 0.093057 0.728295
2002-08-14 0.093057 0.739901
2002-05-15 0.093057 0.503878
2002-02-13 0.093057 0.798530
2001-11-14 0.093057 0.902156
2001-08-15 0.128848 1.152373
2001-05-16 0.128848 0.977733
2001-02-14 0.128848 1.143587
2000-11-15 0.128848 1.321106
2000-08-16 0.128848 1.032262
2000-05-17 0.128848 0.864868
2000-02-16 0.128848 1.225536
1999-11-17 0.128848 0.947372
1999-08-18 0.128848 1.017672
1999-05-19 0.128848 0.811271
1999-02-17 0.128848 0.972976
1998-11-18 0.128848 0.929036
1998-08-19 0.128848 0.804472
1998-05-13 0.128848 0.441043
1998-02-18 0.128848 0.555987
1997-11-19 0.118110 0.468084
1997-08-13 0.118110 0.451281
1997-05-14 0.118110 0.514619
1997-02-19 0.118110 0.615383
1996-11-13 0.083751 0.517128
1996-08-14 0.107373 0.805370
1996-05-15 0.107373 0.752351
1996-02-14 0.107373 0.640000
1995-11-15 0.107373 0.759494
1995-08-16 0.096636 0.608453
1995-05-15 0.096636 0.601673
1995-02-13 0.096636 0.802977
1994-11-15 0.089477 0.743491
1994-08-15 0.089477 0.684928
1994-05-16 0.089477 0.760452
1994-02-14 0.089477 0.689652
1993-11-15 0.089477 0.781246
1993-08-16 0.089477 0.751876
1993-05-14 0.089477 0.790510
1993-02-12 0.089477 0.840332
1992-11-16 0.089477 0.938962
1992-08-14 0.089477 0.913237
1992-05-14 0.089477 0.862065
1992-02-13 0.089477 0.980387
1991-08-14 0.089477 0.970869
1991-05-14 0.089477 1.020403
1991-02-13 0.089477 0.892853
1990-11-14 0.089477 1.025636
1990-08-14 0.089477 0.836816
1990-05-15 0.089477 0.799996
1990-02-13 0.082319 0.828826
1989-11-14 0.082319 0.814157
1989-08-15 0.082319 0.593547
1989-05-15 0.082319 0.623727
1989-02-13 0.082319 0.636676
1988-11-14 0.071582 0.698690
1988-08-15 0.071582 0.615385
1988-05-16 0.053686 0.388346
1988-02-12 0.053686 0.485826
1987-11-16 0.044739 0.448433
1987-08-14 0.044739 0.320515
1987-05-14 0.044739 0.411525
1987-02-13 0.044739 0.483095
1986-11-14 0.044739 0.591720
1986-08-14 0.044739 0.586514
1986-05-14 0.044739 0.520837
1986-02-13 0.044739 0.600604
1985-11-14 0.080530 1.081085
1985-08-14 0.080530 0.918371
Additional Data
dividendYield 1.26
exDividendDate 2026-08-18
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.41
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.012339197
lastDividendValue 0.36
lastDividendDate 2026-08-18
dividendDate 2026-08-28

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.5297189
Address1 4,500 Mount Pleasant Street NW
All Time High 146.37
All Time Low 4.317287
Ask 125.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 882,440
Average Daily Volume3 Month 923,009
Average Volume 923,009
Average Volume10Days 882,440
Beta 1.182
Bid 110.38
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 1
Book Value 46.032
City North Canton
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 112.32
Current Ratio 3.095
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 114.335
Day Low 110.99
Debt To Equity 65.523
Display Name Timken
Dividend Date 1,787,875,200
Dividend Yield 1.26
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,808,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,808,000
Earnings Growth -0.634
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.632
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,795,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,795,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,795,400
Ebitda 926,600,000
Ebitda Margins 0.19465
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.675
Enterprise To Revenue 2.078
Enterprise Value 9,891,649,536
Eps Current Year 6.26683
Eps Forward 7.27913
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.69
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,787,011,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 121.6908
Fifty Day Average Change -9.370804
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.07700503
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 52.971886
Fifty Two Week High 146.37
Fifty Two Week High Change -34.049995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.23262961
Fifty Two Week Low 72.71
Fifty Two Week Low Change 39.61
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5447669
Fifty Two Week Range 72.71 - 146.37
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 99,153,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.61
Float Shares 66,591,490
Forward Eps 7.27913
Forward P E 15.430415
Free Cashflow 408,962,496
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 19,000
Fullday Change -0.8800049
Fullday Change Percent -0.7642248
Fullday Price 112.32
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.32674
Gross Profits 1,555,399,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0794
Held Percent Institutions 0.96022004
Implied Shares Outstanding 69,494,510
Industry Tools & Accessories
Industry Disp Tools & Accessories
Industry Key tools-accessories
Ir Website http://www.timken.com/EN-US/investors/Pages/default.aspx
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,787,011,200
Last Dividend Value 0.36
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,404,172,800
Last Split Factor 1,397:1000
Long Business Summary The Timken Company designs, manufactures, and sells engineered bearings and industrial motion products, and related services in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Engineered Bearings and Industrial Motion. The Engineered Bearings segment provides various bearing products, including tapered, spherical, and cylindrical roller bearings; plain bearings, metal-polymer bearings, and rod end bearings; radial, angular, and precision ball bearings; thrust and specialty ball bearings; journal bearings; and housed or mounted bearings. This segment serves wind energy, agriculture, construction, food and beverage, metals and mining, automotive and truck, aerospace, rail, and other industries under the Timken, GGB, and Fafnir brands. The Industrial Motion segment offers a portfolio of engineered products, such as industrial drives, automatic lubrication systems, linear motion products and systems, chains, belts, couplings, filtration systems, seals, and industrial clutches and brakes, as well as industrial drivetrain and bearing repairing services. This segment serves a range of industries comprising solar energy, automation, construction, agriculture and turf, passenger rail, marine, aerospace, packaging and logistics, medical, and others under the Philadelphia Gear, Cone Drive, Rollon, Nadella, Groeneveld, BEKA, Diamond, Drives, Timken Belts, Spinea, Des-Case, Lagersmit, Lovejoy, CGI, and PT Tech brands. The Timken Company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in North Canton, Ohio.
Long Name The Timken Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,805,623,808
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_308582
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 258,700,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 8,152,080,139
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 113.2
Operating Cashflow 530,800,000
Operating Margins 0.20501
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.3821
Peg Ratio 1.27
Phone 234 262 3000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 112.32
Post Market Time 1,792,009,283
Previous Close 114.27
Price Eps Current Year 17.922937
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.4400415
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.6397336
Profit Margins 0.05435
Quick Ratio 1.52
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.95
Regular Market Change Percent -1.70648
Regular Market Day High 114.335
Regular Market Day Low 110.99
Regular Market Day Range 110.99 - 114.335
Regular Market Open 113.2
Regular Market Previous Close 114.27
Regular Market Price 112.32
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,002
Regular Market Volume 603,211
Return On Assets 0.06325
Return On Equity 0.08538
Revenue Growth 0.075
Revenue Per Share 68.402
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 69,494,510
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0706
Shares Short 4,892,629
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 4,173,517
Short Name Timken Company (The)
Short Percent Of Float 0.0726
Short Ratio 5.14
Source Interval 15
State OH
Symbol TKR
Target High Price 160.0
Target Low Price 130.0
Target Mean Price 144.20091
Target Median Price 140.0
Total Cash 399,100,000
Total Cash Per Share 5.759
Total Debt 2,203,599,872
Total Revenue 4,760,300,032
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.41
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.012339197
Trailing Eps 3.69
Trailing P E 30.439024
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.2815
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 115.694
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.3740005
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.029163143
Type Disp Equity
Volume 603,211
Website https://www.timken.com
Zip 44,720-5450