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The Timken Company (TKR)

Industrials | Tools & Accessories | North Canton, United States | NYSE
108.75 USD +0.30 (0.277%) ⇧ (April 21, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | April 18, 2026, 10:53 p.m. EDT

TKR presents a divergent trading vehicle: a reasonable long-term value play accumulating a 3.5% margin (yield) but exhibiting technical divergence from rising prices. While fundamentals are stagnant with negative earnings growth, the options market is pricing aggressive downside fear (high IVOTM) that contradicts the bullish technicals. Until earnings clarity arrives, the instrument is a sell-on-the-dip play due to valuation risks, not a momentum hold.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.048871
MSTL0.085521
AutoETS0.091573
AutoARIMA0.091642

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.12
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.161
Excess Kurtosis -1.18
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-02-23
Last Dividend Date 2026-02-23
Debt to Equity Ratio 61.449
Revenue per Share 65.673
Market Cap 7,588,362,752
Trailing P/E 26.46
Forward P/E 16.45
Beta 1.19
Profit Margins 6.29%
Website https://www.timken.com

As of April 18, 2026, 10:53 p.m. EDT: Options positioning shows mixed signals with an imbalance favoring calls (OTM OI 88% vs Put OTM 22%). Significant call OI exists at the 120 strike extension, suggesting speculative upside hopes, while near-term (Jun) puts show speculative buying at 95 (New Flow). However, the implied volatility gap is pronounced: deep OTM puts carry 58% IV significantly higher than ATM options, indicating fear of a sharp drop, whereas call IV is compressed. The high Ljung-Box p-value in forecast stats suggests low serial correlation, implying any detected short-term momentum may be noise, despite the model predicting a positive drift.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.32% 1.69% 1.74% 1.77%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-02-24 0.350000 0.319576
2025-11-25 0.350000 0.432332
2025-08-19 0.350000 0.458747
2025-05-13 0.350000 0.483358
2025-02-25 0.340000 0.434365
2024-11-19 0.340000 0.472538
2024-08-20 0.340000 0.426374
2024-05-13 0.340000 0.383413
2024-02-16 0.330000 0.417679
2023-11-13 0.330000 0.485787
2023-08-14 0.330000 0.440453
2023-05-15 0.330000 0.464195
2023-02-17 0.310000 0.375872
2022-11-18 0.310000 0.447734
2022-08-12 0.310000 0.482299
2022-05-13 0.310000 0.566812
2022-02-18 0.300000 0.472023
2021-11-19 0.300000 0.452001
2021-08-19 0.300000 0.441541
2021-05-20 0.300000 0.378809
2021-02-19 0.290000 0.420851
2020-11-23 0.290000 0.430161
2020-08-20 0.280000 0.574948
2020-05-21 0.280000 0.764489
2020-02-20 0.280000 0.594201
2019-11-21 0.280000 0.605497
2019-08-20 0.280000 0.785782
2019-05-21 0.280000 0.681086
2019-02-19 0.280000 0.737312
2018-11-19 0.280000 0.807949
2018-08-16 0.280000 0.681570
2018-05-17 0.280000 0.656533
2018-02-16 0.270000 0.699680
2017-11-16 0.270000 0.689318
2017-08-18 0.270000 0.744533
2017-05-17 0.270000 0.680806
2017-02-17 0.260000 0.697720
2016-11-18 0.260000 0.816492
2016-08-11 0.260000 0.928058
2016-05-18 0.260000 0.963127
2016-02-19 0.260000 1.059534
2015-11-19 0.260000 1.031917
2015-08-20 0.260000 1.015194
2015-05-14 0.260000 0.802936
2015-02-19 0.250000 0.751069
2014-11-20 0.250000 0.746510
2014-08-15 0.250000 0.702549
2014-05-21 0.178955 0.508635
2014-02-20 0.178955 0.545833
2013-11-21 0.164639 0.567811
2013-08-16 0.164639 0.509552
2013-05-15 0.164639 0.528579
2013-02-15 0.164639 0.538162
2012-11-21 0.164639 0.757984
2012-08-17 0.164639 0.729485
2012-05-16 0.164639 0.591764
2012-02-16 0.164639 0.582796
2011-11-17 0.143164 0.653779
2011-08-17 0.143164 0.725439
2011-05-18 0.143164 0.541286
2011-02-17 0.128848 0.469634
2010-11-18 0.128848 0.562773
2010-08-18 0.093057 0.514194
2010-05-19 0.093057 0.602392
2010-02-18 0.064424 0.477839
2009-11-18 0.064424 0.493641
2009-08-19 0.064424 0.621640
2009-05-20 0.064424 0.758125
2009-02-18 0.128848 1.994193
2008-11-19 0.128848 2.101839
2008-08-13 0.128848 0.784688
2008-05-14 0.121689 0.679395
2008-02-13 0.121689 0.795988
2007-11-14 0.121689 0.811797
2007-08-15 0.121689 0.785956
2007-05-16 0.114531 0.714456
2007-02-14 0.114531 0.819035
2006-11-15 0.114531 0.774775
2006-08-16 0.114531 0.716414
2006-05-17 0.107373 0.738267
2006-02-16 0.107373 0.818031
2005-11-16 0.107373 0.773335
2005-08-17 0.107373 0.831987
2005-05-18 0.107373 0.924169
2005-02-16 0.107373 0.835404
2004-11-17 0.093057 0.831838
2004-08-18 0.093057 0.857630
2004-05-19 0.093057 0.968397
2004-02-18 0.093057 0.935738
2003-11-19 0.093057 1.244814
2003-08-14 0.093057 1.324023
2003-05-14 0.093057 1.248927
2003-02-12 0.093057 1.397260
2002-11-13 0.093057 1.207821
2002-08-14 0.093057 1.236015
2002-05-15 0.093057 0.847415
2002-02-13 0.093057 1.349613
2001-11-14 0.093057 1.537135
2001-08-15 0.128848 1.981607
2001-05-16 0.128848 1.700950
2001-02-14 0.128848 2.009972
2000-11-15 0.128848 2.348398
2000-08-16 0.128848 1.859629
2000-05-17 0.128848 1.574994
2000-02-16 0.128848 2.251036
1999-11-17 0.128848 1.761069
1999-08-18 0.128848 1.909664
1999-05-19 0.128848 1.537259
1999-02-17 0.128848 1.859191
1998-11-18 0.128848 1.792096
1998-08-19 0.128848 1.566320
1998-05-13 0.128848 0.865328
1998-02-18 0.128848 1.095710
1997-11-19 0.118110 0.927613
1997-08-13 0.118110 0.898559
1997-05-14 0.118110 1.029365
1997-02-19 0.118110 1.237375
1996-11-13 0.083751 1.046217
1996-08-14 0.107373 1.637886
1996-05-15 0.107373 1.542443
1996-02-14 0.107373 1.321928
1995-11-15 0.107373 1.578714
1995-08-16 0.096636 1.274464
1995-05-15 0.096636 1.267978
1995-02-13 0.096636 1.702840
1994-11-15 0.089477 1.589453
1994-08-15 0.089477 1.475062
1994-05-16 0.089477 1.649044
1994-02-14 0.089477 1.506929
1993-11-15 0.089477 1.718642
1993-08-16 0.089477 1.667004
1993-05-14 0.089477 1.765501
1993-02-12 0.089477 1.891786
1992-11-16 0.089477 2.131740
1992-08-14 0.089477 2.092803
1992-05-14 0.089477 1.993827
1992-02-13 0.089477 2.286704
1991-08-14 0.089477 2.286174
1991-05-14 0.089477 2.425808
1991-02-13 0.089477 2.144131
1990-11-14 0.089477 2.485598
1990-08-14 0.089477 2.049572
1990-05-15 0.089477 1.975858
1990-02-13 0.082319 2.063440
1989-11-14 0.082319 2.044014
1989-08-15 0.082319 1.502064
1989-05-15 0.082319 1.587990
1989-02-13 0.082319 1.631237
1988-11-14 0.071582 1.801516
1988-08-15 0.071582 1.597739
1988-05-16 0.053686 1.014432
1988-02-12 0.053686 1.273920
1987-11-16 0.044739 1.181779
1987-08-14 0.044739 0.848543
1987-05-14 0.044739 1.093014
1987-02-13 0.044739 1.288438
1986-11-14 0.044739 1.585826
1986-08-14 0.044739 1.581176
1986-05-14 0.044739 1.412500
1986-02-13 0.044739 1.637357
1985-11-14 0.080530 2.964937
1985-08-14 0.080530 2.546042
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.4
dividendYield 1.29
exDividendDate 2026-02-24
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.39
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0128169665
lastDividendValue 0.35
lastDividendDate 2026-02-24
dividendDate 2026-03-06

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.7377757
Address1 4,500 Mount Pleasant Street NW
All Time High 111.39
All Time Low 4.317287
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 677,520
Average Daily Volume3 Month 816,850
Average Volume 816,850
Average Volume10Days 677,520
Beta 1.185
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 1
Book Value 45.798
City North Canton
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 108.75
Current Ratio 2.821
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 111.01
Day Low 108.27
Debt To Equity 61.449
Dividend Date 1,772,755,200
Dividend Rate 1.4
Dividend Yield 1.29
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,079,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,079,600
Earnings Growth -0.118
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.125
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,070,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,070,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,070,600
Ebitda 791,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.17264
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.877
Enterprise To Revenue 2.05
Enterprise Value 9,394,442,240
Eps Current Year 5.87815
Eps Forward 6.611
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.11
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,771,891,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 103.8014
Fifty Day Average Change 4.948601
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.04767374
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 73.777565
Fifty Two Week High 111.39
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.6399994
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.023700505
Fifty Two Week Low 62.11
Fifty Two Week Low Change 46.64
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.7509258
Fifty Two Week Range 62.11 - 111.39
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 99,153,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.69
Float Shares 66,875,189
Forward Eps 6.611
Forward P E 16.449856
Free Cashflow 378,924,992
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 19,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.30409
Gross Profits 1,393,299,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0794
Held Percent Institutions 0.95678
Implied Shares Outstanding 69,778,049
Industry Tools & Accessories
Industry Disp Tools & Accessories
Industry Key tools-accessories
Ir Website http://www.timken.com/EN-US/investors/Pages/default.aspx
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,771,891,200
Last Dividend Value 0.35
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,404,172,800
Last Split Factor 1,397:1000
Long Business Summary The Timken Company designs, manufactures, and sells engineered bearings and industrial motion products, and related services in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Engineered Bearings and Industrial Motion. The Engineered Bearings segment provides various bearing products, including tapered, spherical, and cylindrical roller bearings; plain bearings, metal-polymer bearings, and rod end bearings; radial, angular, and precision ball bearings; thrust and specialty ball bearings; journal bearings; and housed or mounted bearings. This segment serves wind energy, agriculture, construction, food and beverage, metals and mining, automotive and truck, aerospace, rail, and other industries under the Timken, GGB, and Fafnir brands. The Industrial Motion segment offers a portfolio of engineered products, such as industrial drives, automatic lubrication systems, linear motion products and systems, chains, belts, couplings, filtration systems, seals, and industrial clutches and brakes, as well as industrial drivetrain and bearing repairing services. This segment serves a range of industries comprising solar energy, automation, construction, agriculture and turf, passenger rail, marine, aerospace, packaging and logistics, medical, and others under the Philadelphia Gear, Cone Drive, Rollon, Nadella, Groeneveld, BEKA, Diamond, Drives, Timken Belts, Spinea, Des-Case, Lagersmit, Lovejoy, CGI, and PT Tech brands. The Timken Company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in North Canton, Ohio.
Long Name The Timken Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,588,362,752
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_308582
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 288,400,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,567,429,414
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 108.57
Operating Cashflow 554,300,032
Operating Margins 0.107650004
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.3382
Peg Ratio 1.54
Phone 234 262 3000
Previous Close 108.45
Price Eps Current Year 18.50072
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.3745577
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.6561968
Profit Margins 0.06294
Quick Ratio 1.315
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.300003
Regular Market Change Percent 0.276628
Regular Market Day High 111.01
Regular Market Day Low 108.27
Regular Market Day Range 108.27 - 111.01
Regular Market Open 108.57
Regular Market Previous Close 108.45
Regular Market Price 108.75
Regular Market Time 1,776,801,602
Regular Market Volume 547,875
Return On Assets 0.05357
Return On Equity 0.10026
Revenue Growth 0.035
Revenue Per Share 65.673
Sand P52 Week Change 0.3140242
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 69,778,049
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.030299999
Shares Short 2,116,165
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,921,014
Short Name Timken Company (The)
Short Percent Of Float 0.0312
Short Ratio 2.7
Source Interval 15
State OH
Symbol TKR
Target High Price 130.0
Target Low Price 100.0
Target Mean Price 113.63636
Target Median Price 112.0
Total Cash 385,500,000
Total Cash Per Share 5.543
Total Debt 2,055,900,032
Total Revenue 4,581,799,936
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.39
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0128169665
Trailing Eps 4.11
Trailing P E 26.459852
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.5449
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 86.6279
Two Hundred Day Average Change 22.1221
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.25536925
Type Disp Equity
Volume 547,875
Website https://www.timken.com
Zip 44,720-5450