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Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM)

Basic Materials | Other Precious Metals & Mining | Toronto, Canada | NYSE
34.00 USD -1.02 (-2.913%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 34.50 +0.50 (1.471%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:53 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:21 a.m. EDT

The investment thesis here is built on a rare convergence of explosive multi-year growth and a flawless dividend track record. Over the last three years, the business has delivered a staggering 131% cumulative return, driven by three consecutive years of double-digit annual gains, including a massive 61% surge last year. This is not a value trap; the market is pricing in a company that has successfully scaled revenue up 37% while maintaining healthy margins. The balance sheet supports this, with a robust current ratio of 3.67 and a payout ratio of just 11.5%, indicating the dividend is safe and sustainable despite the heavy capital needs typical of mining. While the statistical forecast model is currently neutral due to recent price consolidation, the options market is screaming bullishness, with traders buying calls at levels significantly above the current price. The recent price action shows a steady climb off the lows, testing resistance near the 50-day average. This looks like a high-conviction long-term hold with a near-term catalyst as the stock attempts to break out of its consolidation range.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.043632
AutoETS0.043634
MSTL0.051303
AutoTheta0.061985

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 0.87
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.421
Excess Kurtosis -0.41
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-31
Debt to Equity Ratio 10.351
Revenue per Share 2.367
Market Cap 7,004,102,656
Trailing P/E 17.53
Forward P/E 21.97
Beta 0.30
Profit Margins 84.32%
Website https://www.tripleflagpm.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:21 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for upside, evidenced by massive new call volume at $35 and $40 strikes compared to negligible put activity. The open interest structure shows significant barriers at $30 and $35, suggesting a bullish bias where traders expect a breakout above the $30 support level rather than a collapse.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.19% 0.33% 1.03%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-01 0.058 0.190789
2026-03-02 0.058 0.141016
2025-05-30 0.055 0.251027
2025-03-03 0.055 0.328162
2024-11-29 0.055 0.328751
2024-08-30 0.055 0.336391
2024-05-31 0.053 0.321018
2024-03-01 0.053 0.409899
2023-11-29 0.053 0.396410
2023-08-30 0.053 0.382948
2023-05-30 0.050 0.366569
2023-03-02 0.050 0.364166
2022-11-29 0.050 0.417362
2022-08-30 0.050 0.438597
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.24
dividendYield 0.69
exDividendDate 2026-08-31
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.23
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0065676756
lastDividendValue 0.058
lastDividendDate 2026-06-01
dividendDate 2026-09-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.26425993
Address1 TD Canada Trust Tower
Address2 Suite 4535 161 Bay Street
All Time High 41.7
All Time Low 10.7
Ask 34.07
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 603,500
Average Daily Volume3 Month 645,780
Average Volume 645,780
Average Volume10Days 603,500
Beta 0.304
Bid 34.03
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 7
Book Value 11.076
City Toronto
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 34.0
Current Ratio 3.675
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 35.34
Day Low 33.6
Debt To Equity 10.351
Display Name Triple Flag Precious Metals
Dividend Date 1,789,430,400
Dividend Rate 0.24
Dividend Yield 0.69
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,021,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,021,200
Earnings Growth 1.722
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.804
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Ebitda 376,836,000
Ebitda Margins 0.77129
Enterprise To Ebitda 19.12
Enterprise To Revenue 14.747
Enterprise Value 7,205,203,968
Eps Current Year 1.39568
Eps Forward 1.54768
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.94
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,134,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 30.2498
Fifty Day Average Change 3.7502003
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.12397438
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 26.425993
Fifty Two Week High 41.7
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.700001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.1846523
Fifty Two Week Low 26.61
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.3899994
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.27771512
Fifty Two Week Range 26.61 - 41.7
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,661,866,200,000
Float Shares 69,058,396
Forward Eps 1.54768
Forward P E 21.968365
Free Cashflow -395,379,360
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Fullday Change -1.02
Fullday Change Percent -2.91262
Fullday Price 34.5
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.85818
Gross Profits 419,286,016
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01472
Held Percent Institutions 0.8828
Implied Shares Outstanding 206,003,031
Industry Other Precious Metals & Mining
Industry Disp Other Precious Metals & Mining
Industry Key other-precious-metals-mining
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,272,000
Last Dividend Value 0.058
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., a precious metals streaming and royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing precious metals, streams, royalties, and other mineral interests in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the United States. The company has a portfolio of streams and royalties providing exposure to copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead, lithium, and zinc. The company was founded in 2016 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
Long Name Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,004,102,656
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_432652682
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 411,976,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,210,512,854
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 35.34
Operating Cashflow 395,441,984
Operating Margins 0.65097
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.115
Phone 416 304 9741
Post Market Change 0.5
Post Market Change Percent 1.4705882
Post Market Price 34.5
Post Market Time 1,787,961,215
Previous Close 35.02
Price Eps Current Year 24.360886
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.0697002
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 14.335749
Profit Margins 0.84322
Quick Ratio 1.889
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.81818
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.02
Regular Market Change Percent -2.91262
Regular Market Day High 35.34
Regular Market Day Low 33.6
Regular Market Day Range 33.6 - 35.34
Regular Market Open 35.34
Regular Market Previous Close 35.02
Regular Market Price 34.0
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 476,438
Return On Assets 0.08542
Return On Equity 0.20148
Revenue Growth 0.373
Revenue Per Share 2.367
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 206,003,031
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.007900001
Shares Short 1,792,358
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 1,715,100
Short Name Triple Flag Precious Metals Cor
Short Ratio 3.24
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol TFPM
Target High Price 41.0
Target Low Price 37.0
Target Mean Price 39.25
Target Median Price 39.5
Total Cash 35,089,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.17
Total Debt 236,190,000
Total Revenue 488,576,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.23
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0065676756
Trailing Eps 1.94
Trailing P E 17.525772
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 33.126
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.87400055
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.026384126
Type Disp Equity
Volume 476,438
Website https://www.tripleflagpm.com
Zip M5J 2S1