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Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM)

Basic Materials | Other Precious Metals & Mining | Toronto, Canada | NYSE
36.36 USD +0.98 (2.770%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 34.10 -2.26 (-2.260%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 7:46 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★★ | Long-term: ★★★★☆ | Dividends: ★★★★★
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 10:13 p.m. EDT

TFPM is exhibiting a classic 'engineer shot' setup: exceptional balance sheet health, a triple-digit dividend yield (without driving growth), and massive analyst support. The recent price action has stabilized near resistance, and the options chain is crowded with $40-$45 call OI, signaling a high-conviction near-term move higher as the stock consolidates its record Q3 cash flow and gold supercycle narrative.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.146862
AutoETS0.247234
AutoARIMA0.248208
MSTL0.250483

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 5.44
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.300
Excess Kurtosis -1.12
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-03-01
Last Dividend Date 2026-03-01
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.072
Revenue per Share 1.909
Market Cap 7,512,118,272
Trailing P/E 30.81
Forward P/E 23.36
Beta 0.34
Profit Margins 61.75%
Website https://www.tripleflagpm.com

As of April 18, 2026, 10:13 p.m. EDT: Options flow displays a pronounced bullish skew with heavy Call Open Interest (OI) concentrated above the current price ($35.38), peaking at $40 and $45 strikes across the April-May-July expirations. Out-of-the-money call OI significantly exceeds put OI across all maturities, suggesting speculators are pricing in upside momentum rather than downside risk. Implied Volatility is relatively low (0.45-0.86 range) for the near-to-term, indicating a 'long thin side' where upside moves are potentially unpriced relative to credit spreads. Conversely, Put OI shows modest hedging activity strictly in the $25-$30 zone, far below current levels, suggesting weak bearish positioning.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.14% 0.39% 1.10%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-03-02 0.058 0.141016
2025-05-30 0.055 0.251379
2025-03-03 0.055 0.329457
2024-11-29 0.055 0.331151
2024-08-30 0.055 0.339975
2024-05-31 0.053 0.325538
2024-03-01 0.053 0.417023
2023-11-29 0.053 0.405008
2023-08-30 0.053 0.392804
2023-05-30 0.050 0.377442
2023-03-02 0.050 0.376337
2022-11-29 0.050 0.432878
2022-08-30 0.050 0.456866
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.23
dividendYield 0.63
exDividendDate 2026-03-02
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.225
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.006359525
lastDividendValue 0.058
lastDividendDate 2026-03-02
dividendDate 2026-03-16

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.6334232
Address1 TD Canada Trust Tower
Address2 Suite 4535 161 Bay Street
All Time High 41.7
All Time Low 10.7
Ask 36.88
Ask Size 600
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 442,460
Average Daily Volume3 Month 671,900
Average Volume 671,900
Average Volume10Days 442,460
Beta 0.343
Bid 33.81
Bid Size 1,800
Board Risk 3
Book Value 9.903
City Toronto
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 36.36
Current Ratio 3.923
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 36.8
Day Low 35.5
Debt To Equity 0.072
Display Name Triple Flag Precious Metals
Dividend Date 1,773,619,200
Dividend Rate 0.23
Dividend Yield 0.63
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,072,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,072,400
Earnings Growth 0.814
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.861
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,011,200
Ebitda 295,566,016
Ebitda Margins 0.76039004
Enterprise To Ebitda 25.117
Enterprise To Revenue 19.099
Enterprise Value 7,423,665,664
Eps Current Year 1.393
Eps Forward 1.55667
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.18
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,772,409,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 36.076
Fifty Day Average Change 0.2840004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.007872281
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 63.34232
Fifty Two Week High 41.7
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.34
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.12805755
Fifty Two Week Low 19.36
Fifty Two Week Low Change 17.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.87809914
Fifty Two Week Range 19.36 - 41.7
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,661,866,200,000
Float Shares 69,570,918
Forward Eps 1.55667
Forward P E 23.357553
Free Cashflow -4,177,125
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.88029
Gross Profits 342,172,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.014730001
Held Percent Institutions 0.89164
Implied Shares Outstanding 206,603,912
Industry Other Precious Metals & Mining
Industry Disp Other Precious Metals & Mining
Industry Key other-precious-metals-mining
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,772,409,600
Last Dividend Value 0.058
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., a precious metals streaming and royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing precious metals, streams, royalties, and other mineral interests in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the United States. The company has a portfolio of streams and royalties providing exposure to copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead, lithium, and zinc. The company was founded in 2016 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
Long Name Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,512,118,272
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_432652682
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 240,004,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,522,805,074
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 35.5
Operating Cashflow 312,832,000
Operating Margins 0.54745996
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.1907
Phone 416 304 9741
Post Market Change -2.2600021
Post Market Change Percent -6.215627
Post Market Price 34.1
Post Market Time 1,776,469,617
Previous Close 35.38
Price Eps Current Year 26.101938
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.671615
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 19.326063
Profit Margins 0.61745
Quick Ratio 2.848
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.98
Regular Market Change Percent 2.76993
Regular Market Day High 36.8
Regular Market Day Low 35.5
Regular Market Day Range 35.5 - 36.8
Regular Market Open 35.5
Regular Market Previous Close 35.38
Regular Market Price 36.36
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,002
Regular Market Volume 363,825
Return On Assets 0.069520004
Return On Equity 0.12696
Revenue Growth 0.602
Revenue Per Share 1.909
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 206,603,912
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0097
Shares Short 1,658,455
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,891,216
Short Name Triple Flag Precious Metals Cor
Short Ratio 2.72
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol TFPM
Target High Price 49.0
Target Low Price 43.0
Target Mean Price 45.0
Target Median Price 44.0
Total Cash 88,705,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.429
Total Debt 1,463,000
Total Revenue 388,704,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.225
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.006359525
Trailing Eps 1.18
Trailing P E 30.81356
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 31.3471
Two Hundred Day Average Change 5.0129013
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.15991595
Type Disp Equity
Volume 363,825
Website https://www.tripleflagpm.com
Zip M5J 2S1