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Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM)

Basic Materials | Other Precious Metals & Mining | Toronto, Canada | NYSE
27.59 USD -0.51 (-1.815%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 27.65 +0.06 (0.217%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 6:48 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:07 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is driven by a powerful divergence between a deteriorating short-term trend and exceptional long-term fundamentals. While the stock has drifted lower recently, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the underlying business story is one of aggressive expansion. The company has secured a massive $440 million gold stream and posted double-digit revenue growth alongside expanding margins, resulting in a cumulative price gain of nearly 77% over the last two years. This fundamental strength is being aggressively priced by the options market, which shows a overwhelming bias toward calls at higher strikes, indicating that smart money expects a significant recovery and breakout soon. The low beta suggests the recent volatility was likely a sector-wide rotation rather than a specific failure of this asset. For investors willing to ride out the short-term noise, the combination of a fortress balance sheet, high profitability, and a major royalty acquisition makes this a compelling buy-and-hold opportunity at current levels.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_121 ✓0.120461
MSTL_74_1210.124310
MSTL_740.128066
AutoETS0.137748
MSTL0.137758
AutoTheta0.155414
AutoARIMA0.174908

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_121

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 4.40
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.664
Excess Kurtosis -0.22
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-31
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-31
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.064
Revenue per Share 2.212
Market Cap 5,700,201,984
Trailing P/E 18.27
Forward P/E 19.29
Beta 0.30
Profit Margins 68.68%
Website https://www.tripleflagpm.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:07 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily skewed toward bullish exposure, with out-of-the-money call open interest vastly dominating put open interest across all expirations. The heavy concentration of call volume and open interest at strikes significantly above the current price (e.g., $35 and $45) suggests a strong expectation of a substantial upside move, while put activity remains relatively thin and defensive.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.19% 0.33% 1.03%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-01 0.058 0.190789
2026-03-02 0.058 0.141016
2025-05-30 0.055 0.251027
2025-03-03 0.055 0.328162
2024-11-29 0.055 0.328751
2024-08-30 0.055 0.336391
2024-05-31 0.053 0.321018
2024-03-01 0.053 0.409899
2023-11-29 0.053 0.396410
2023-08-30 0.053 0.382948
2023-05-30 0.050 0.366569
2023-03-02 0.050 0.364166
2022-11-29 0.050 0.417362
2022-08-30 0.050 0.438597
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.23
dividendYield 0.82
exDividendDate 2026-06-01
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.228
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.008113879
lastDividendValue 0.058
lastDividendDate 2026-06-01
dividendDate 2026-06-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.18866324
Address1 TD Canada Trust Tower
Address2 Suite 4535 161 Bay Street
All Time High 41.7
All Time Low 10.7
Ask 28.1
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 961,860
Average Daily Volume3 Month 664,040
Average Volume 664,040
Average Volume10Days 961,860
Beta 0.303
Bid 27.25
Bid Size 400
Board Risk 7
Book Value 10.403
City Toronto
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 27.59
Current Ratio 6.311
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 27.86
Day Low 27.29
Debt To Equity 0.064
Display Name Triple Flag Precious Metals
Dividend Date 1,781,481,600
Dividend Rate 0.23
Dividend Yield 0.82
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Earnings Growth 1.472
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.569
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,960,000
Ebitda 349,089,984
Ebitda Margins 0.76985
Enterprise To Ebitda 15.86
Enterprise To Revenue 12.21
Enterprise Value 5,536,715,776
Eps Current Year 1.34996
Eps Forward 1.43
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.51
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,780,272,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 30.6566
Fifty Day Average Change -3.0666008
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.10003068
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 18.866325
Fifty Two Week High 41.7
Fifty Two Week High Change -14.110001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3383693
Fifty Two Week Low 22.6
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.99
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.22079645
Fifty Two Week Range 22.6 - 41.7
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,661,866,200,000
Float Shares 69,613,122
Forward Eps 1.43
Forward P E 19.293707
Free Cashflow 49,729,752
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.87709
Gross Profits 397,718,016
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.014680001
Held Percent Institutions 0.88061994
Implied Shares Outstanding 206,603,912
Industry Other Precious Metals & Mining
Industry Disp Other Precious Metals & Mining
Industry Key other-precious-metals-mining
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,272,000
Last Dividend Value 0.058
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., a precious metals streaming and royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing precious metals, streams, royalties, and other mineral interests in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the United States. The company has a portfolio of streams and royalties providing exposure to copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead, lithium, and zinc. The company was founded in 2016 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
Long Name Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,700,201,984
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_432652682
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 311,412,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,790,497,751
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 27.7
Operating Cashflow 360,308,992
Operating Margins 0.6692
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.1507
Phone 416 304 9741
Post Market Change 0.059999466
Post Market Change Percent 0.21746816
Post Market Price 27.65
Post Market Time 1,783,982,921
Previous Close 28.1
Price Eps Current Year 20.437643
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.6521196
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 12.570684
Profit Margins 0.68676
Quick Ratio 5.006
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.81818
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.51
Regular Market Change Percent -1.81495
Regular Market Day High 27.86
Regular Market Day Low 27.29
Regular Market Day Range 27.29 - 27.86
Regular Market Open 27.7
Regular Market Previous Close 28.1
Regular Market Price 27.59
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 458,612
Return On Assets 0.08409
Return On Equity 0.15925
Revenue Growth 0.787
Revenue Per Share 2.212
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 206,603,912
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0082
Shares Short 1,349,934
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,349,415
Short Name Triple Flag Precious Metals Cor
Short Ratio 2.18
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol TFPM
Target High Price 43.0
Target Low Price 37.0
Target Mean Price 40.0
Target Median Price 40.0
Total Cash 164,871,008
Total Cash Per Share 0.798
Total Debt 1,385,000
Total Revenue 453,452,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.228
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.008113879
Trailing Eps 1.51
Trailing P E 18.271523
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 32.9048
Two Hundred Day Average Change -5.3148003
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.16152051
Type Disp Equity
Volume 458,612
Website https://www.tripleflagpm.com
Zip M5J 2S1