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Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN)

Financial Services | Banks - Regional | Dallas, United States | NYSE
62.42 USD -0.73 (-1.156%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:08 a.m. EDT

Triumph Financial presents a classic value trap scenario where deteriorating fundamentals clash with a temporarily depressed valuation. While the company boasts impressive top-line growth and a massive earnings beat, the underlying business quality is eroding, evidenced by a collapse in Return on Equity to just 4% and a sharp contraction in Return on Assets. The market has rightly punished this stock with a 38% drop over the last year, yet the trailing P/E remains elevated at 42x, suggesting the discount hasn't fully priced in the structural weakness in profitability. Crucially, the company has suspended its dividend entirely, removing a key income floor for investors. On the short end, options data screams caution; the sheer volume of deep out-of-the-money puts suggests traders are bracing for further declines despite the recent earnings pop. With a beta of 1.53 amplifying sector volatility and no reliable cash return to shareholders, the risk-reward profile remains skewed toward the downside until the balance sheet efficiency metrics show a sustained recovery.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.084970
MSTL0.085228
AutoARIMA0.086497
AutoETS0.086497

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 16.04
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.127
Excess Kurtosis -1.43
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Revenue per Share 19.104
Market Cap 1,491,496,832
Trailing P/E 42.18
Forward P/E 19.04
Beta 1.53
Profit Margins 8.50%
Previous Name Triumph Bancorp, Inc.
Website https://triumph.io

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:08 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection with deep out-of-the-money puts dominating open interest across multiple expirations, particularly at strikes significantly below the current price. Call activity is sparse and concentrated near the money, while put volume far exceeds call volume in terms of both contracts traded and open interest, indicating a bearish sentiment focused on limiting losses rather than capturing upside.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.30637157
Address1 12,700 Park Central Drive
Address2 Suite 1700
All Time High 136.015
All Time Low 11.93
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 2.4 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 245,430
Average Daily Volume3 Month 233,687
Average Volume 233,687
Average Volume10Days 245,430
Beta 1.527
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 2
Book Value 38.43
City Dallas
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 62.42
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 64.0
Day Low 61.93
Display Name Triumph Financial
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,792,699,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,792,699,200
Earnings Growth 1.933
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.572
Earnings Timestamp 1,792,612,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,612,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,612,800
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 1.752
Enterprise Value 796,572,992
Eps Current Year 2.022
Eps Forward 3.278
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.48
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 68.7166
Fifty Day Average Change -6.2966003
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.091631435
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 30.637157
Fifty Two Week High 83.52
Fifty Two Week High Change -21.099998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.25263408
Fifty Two Week Low 46.65
Fifty Two Week Low Change 15.769997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.33804923
Fifty Two Week Range 46.65 - 83.52
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,415,370,600,000
Float Shares 21,287,643
Forward Eps 3.278
Forward P E 19.042097
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,441
Fullday Change -0.73000336
Fullday Change Percent -1.1559831
Fullday Price 63.007
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits 454,558,016
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.053340003
Held Percent Institutions 0.99652
Implied Shares Outstanding 23,894,537
Industry Banks - Regional
Industry Disp Banks - Regional
Industry Key banks-regional
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Triumph Financial, Inc., a financial holding company, provides banking, factoring, payments, and intelligence services in the United States. It offers deposit products, including checking, savings, money market, and certificates of deposit; and loan products, such as commercial real estate, commercial construction, land, and land development, residential real estate, agriculture, and consumer loans, as well as commercial and industrial loans, equipment loans, asset-based loans, business loans for working capital and operational purposes, and liquid credit loans. The company also provides electronic banking services, debit cards, insurance brokerage services, mortgage warehouse facilities, and transportation factoring services; payment, audit, and other banking services for the over the road trucking industry; and LoadPay product, a digital bank account developed for Carriers, as well as provides service and performance scoring and benchmarking to the over-the-road trucking industry. The company was formerly known as Triumph Bancorp, Inc. and changed its name to Triumph Financial, Inc. in December 2022. Triumph Financial, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
Long Name Triumph Financial, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,491,496,832
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_40313147
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-10-14
Net Income To Common 35,441,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,505,355,831
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 63.84
Operating Cashflow 112,105,000
Operating Margins 0.21277
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.62
Phone 214 365 6900
Pre Market Change 0.5870018
Pre Market Change Percent 0.9404066
Pre Market Price 63.007
Pre Market Time 1,791,967,201
Prev Name Triumph Bancorp, Inc.
Previous Close 63.15
Price Eps Current Year 30.870422
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.6242518
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.2812023
Profit Margins 0.08502
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.4
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.730003
Regular Market Change Percent -1.15598
Regular Market Day High 64.0
Regular Market Day Low 61.93
Regular Market Day Range 61.93 - 64.0
Regular Market Open 63.84
Regular Market Previous Close 63.15
Regular Market Price 62.42
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,603
Regular Market Volume 265,340
Return On Assets 0.00556
Return On Equity 0.04121
Revenue Growth 0.119
Revenue Per Share 19.104
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 23,894,537
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0946
Shares Short 2,259,315
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 2,297,060
Short Name Triumph Financial, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1167
Short Ratio 10.08
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol TFIN
Target High Price 84.0
Target Low Price 67.0
Target Mean Price 75.0
Target Median Price 75.0
Total Cash 896,811,008
Total Cash Per Share 37.532
Total Debt 156,887,008
Total Revenue 454,558,016
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.48
Trailing P E 42.175674
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 67.47505
Two Hundred Day Average Change -5.0550537
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.074917376
Type Disp Equity
Volume 265,340
Website https://triumph.io
Zip 75,251