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Simplify Volt TSLA Revolution ETF (TESL)

Large Growth | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
14.36 USD +0.49 (3.569%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 14.36

Short-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:47 a.m. EDT

Deep Bearish. Despite a slight price rebound, the instrument is fundamentally a 'value trap' with a 31% dividend yield that is unsustainable and likely cannibalizing share price (NAV). Technicals are shattered (trading off 200-day moving average) and the statistical forecast models predict a 2.4% decline over the next 45 days. The options market confirms this with massive hedging plays (Put writers) and aggressive downside positioning (deep ITM Puts). Avoid accumulating.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.074567
AutoARIMA0.087980
AutoETS0.087983
AutoTheta0.122328

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 39.82
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.139
Excess Kurtosis -0.33
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 64.31

As of April 19, 2026, 12:47 a.m. EDT: Options flow shows a distinct bearish bias on the near-to-intermediate end. For the May 15 expiration, there is significant Out-of-the-Money (OTM) Put Open Interest struck at 12.0 (approx. 16% below current), while the corresponding ATM call strike has minimal interest. Conversely, the July 17 expiration shows heavy OTM Call Open Interest at 19.0 (approx. 33% upside), suggesting writers are capping upside rather than buyers betting on it. However, the most bearish signal appears in the October 16 expiration, where there is massive ITM Put volume at the 8.00 strike (a 44% drawdown) paired with virtually no call volume, indicating a deep-fear positioning for a significant decline by Q4 2026.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
36.42% 42.10% 14.73%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-12-23 6.720 36.422763
2025-09-25 1.000 4.800947
2025-06-25 0.150 0.875537
2025-03-26 0.150 1.268881
2024-12-23 0.148 0.834002
2022-03-28 0.050 0.491374
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 31.17

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 32.84
All Time Low 5.29
Ask 15.3
Ask Size 600
Average Daily Volume10 Day 69,470
Average Daily Volume3 Month 20,879
Average Volume 20,879
Average Volume10Days 69,470
Beta3 Year 1.95
Bid 13.56
Bid Size 100
Category Large Growth
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 14.68
Day Low 14.0474
Dividend Yield 31.17
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.22329465
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 14.30202
Fifty Day Average Change 0.057979584
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.004053944
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -7.9487205
Fifty Two Week High 32.84
Fifty Two Week High Change -18.48
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.56272835
Fifty Two Week Low 12.02
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.3399992
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.19467546
Fifty Two Week Range 12.02 - 32.84
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,609,252,200,000
Five Year Average Return 0.110602796
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family Simplify Asset Management
Fund Inception Date 1,609,113,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80% of its net assets (plus any borrowings for investment purposes) in Tesla-related instruments. The manager defines Tesla-related instruments as Tesla common stock, Tesla linked ETFs, Tesla linked swap contracts, and Tesla call options. The fund includes any leveraging effect of ETFs, swaps, and call options for the purposes of the 80% test. It is non-diversified.
Long Name Simplify Volt TSLA Revolution ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_693478427
Nav Price 14.3832
Net Assets 21,091,108.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.97
Open 13.96
Phone 614-469-3294
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 14.36
Post Market Time 1,776,466,348
Previous Close 13.8651
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.4949
Regular Market Change Percent 3.56939
Regular Market Day High 14.68
Regular Market Day Low 14.0474
Regular Market Day Range 14.0474 - 14.68
Regular Market Open 13.96
Regular Market Previous Close 13.8651
Regular Market Price 14.36
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,000
Regular Market Volume 38,382
Short Name Simplify Volt TSLA Revolution E
Source Interval 15
Symbol TESL
Three Year Average Return 0.4097839
Total Assets 21,091,108
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 64.30965
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -22.11113
Trailing Three Month Returns -22.11113
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 21.35642
Two Hundred Day Average Change -6.996421
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.32760268
Type Disp ETF
Volume 38,382
Yield 0.3117
Ytd Return -22.11113