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Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (TERN)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Foster City, United States | NasdaqGS
52.65 USD -0.04 (-0.076%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 52.61 -0.04 (-0.040%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 7:37 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 10:29 p.m. EDT

Terns Pharmaceuticals (TERN) is trading at its 52-week high following a massive catalyst: a $6.7 billion acquisition by Merck. This deep-value arb opportunity, originally priced for failure, has flipped to a massive winner as the company's leukemia pipeline is validated. The technicals are flawless near term, and the options market is aggressively betting on further upside, though the primary move is likely priced in.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.030219
AutoARIMA0.241763
AutoETS0.241764
MSTL0.262579

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 51%
H-stat 3.71
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.535
Excess Kurtosis -0.33
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.091
Market Cap 6,076,515,328
Forward P/E -35.78
Beta -0.38
Website https://www.ternspharma.com

As of April 18, 2026, 10:29 p.m. EDT: Options flow shows overwhelmingly bullish positioning in calls for the near term. May expiration shows massive Open Interest (OI) walls at strikes 50.0, 55.0, and 60.0, with 99% positioning in Out-of-the-Money calls. Long strangles are concentrated far OTM on the upside. While distant expirations (Jan 2027+) show some OTM put selling, the volume and OI in near-term calls (May/June) are significantly higher than puts, indicating a high-conviction floor offer and potential upside trade by speculators.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 18.428043
Address1 1,065 East Hillsdale Boulevard
Address2 Suite 100
All Time High 53.19
All Time Low 1.45
Ask 67.49
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.8 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 9,228,200
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,481,458
Average Volume 5,481,458
Average Volume10Days 9,228,200
Beta -0.376
Bid 37.96
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 4
Book Value 8.961
City Foster City
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 52.65
Current Ratio 62.409
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 52.72
Day Low 52.62
Debt To Equity 0.091
Display Name Terns Pharmaceuticals
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,184,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,184,000
Ebitda -110,034,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -45.972
Enterprise Value 5,058,451,968
Eps Current Year -1.06143
Eps Forward -1.47143
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.03
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 650 275 4254
Fifty Day Average 45.9978
Fifty Day Average Change 6.6522026
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.14462002
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 1,842.8043
Fifty Two Week High 53.19
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.5399971
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.01015223
Fifty Two Week Low 2.37
Fifty Two Week Low Change 50.280003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 21.215193
Fifty Two Week Range 2.37 - 53.19
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,612,535,400,000
Float Shares 115,123,704
Forward Eps -1.47143
Forward P E -35.78152
Free Cashflow -55,480,500
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 59
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00529
Held Percent Institutions 1.09459
Implied Shares Outstanding 115,413,392
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-02-05
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops small-molecule product candidates for the treatment of oncology and obesity. The company develops TERN-701, an allosteric BCR-ABL tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) that is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial for chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), a form of cancer that starts in bone marrow. It also develops TERN-501, a thyroid hormone receptor beta agonist with enhanced metabolic stability and liver distribution that is in Phase IIa clinical trial for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH); and TERN-801 series of small-molecule glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide receptor (GIPR) modulators for obesity. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Foster City, California.
Long Name Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,076,515,328
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_558294166
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -96,207,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,076,515,088
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 52.72
Operating Cashflow -82,176,000
Operating Margins 0.0
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 650 525 5535
Post Market Change -0.040000916
Post Market Change Percent -0.07597514
Post Market Price 52.61
Post Market Time 1,776,469,036
Previous Close 52.69
Price Eps Current Year -49.602898
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.87546
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 62.091
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.8
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0399971
Regular Market Change Percent -0.0759102
Regular Market Day High 52.72
Regular Market Day Low 52.62
Regular Market Day Range 52.62 - 52.72
Regular Market Open 52.72
Regular Market Previous Close 52.69
Regular Market Price 52.65
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,000
Regular Market Volume 6,348,187
Return On Assets -0.0991
Return On Equity -0.14228
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 115,413,392
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.117
Shares Short 13,505,870
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 16,616,789
Short Name Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1171
Short Ratio 1.72
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol TERN
Target High Price 58.0
Target Low Price 53.0
Target Mean Price 53.625
Target Median Price 53.0
Total Cash 1,018,982,016
Total Cash Per Share 8.829
Total Debt 919,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.03
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 25.1071
Two Hundred Day Average Change 27.542902
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 1.0970165
Type Disp Equity
Volume 6,348,187
Website https://www.ternspharma.com
Zip 94,404