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Invesco Short Term Treasury ETF (TBLL)

Ultrashort Bond | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
105.78 USD +0.05 (0.047%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 3:59 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 105.79 +0.01 (0.009%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 6:08 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★★★⯪Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:08 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is driven by a powerful convergence of technical stability and precise statistical forecasting. The price has been remarkably flat, trading within a razor-thin range between 105.46 and 105.90, which suggests the asset is effectively hedged against interest rate volatility. This stability is reinforced by a 'VERY HIGH' confidence forecast model predicting a slight upward drift over the next 45 days, making it an ideal defensive vehicle for capital preservation in a volatile environment. However, looking further out, the investment case shifts entirely. While the recent annual performance shows a slight gain, the broader eight-year history reveals a stagnant trajectory with no significant capital appreciation. The price has barely moved since 2017, indicating that while the fund successfully navigates short-term rate fluctuations, it fails to generate meaningful long-term wealth growth. Consequently, this is a superior tool for tactical, short-duration positioning rather than a core holding for long-term portfolio construction.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.000768
AutoTheta0.001622
AutoETS0.001793
MSTL0.001857

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 87%
H-stat 5.16
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.808
Excess Kurtosis -0.48

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.30% 3.60% 4.35% 3.55%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-21 0.316 0.299583
2026-08-24 0.296 0.280356
2026-07-20 0.307 0.291050
2026-06-22 0.316 0.299583
2026-05-18 0.316 0.299611
2026-04-20 0.269 0.254976
2026-03-23 0.296 0.280649
2026-02-23 0.323 0.306132
2026-01-20 0.330 0.312796
2025-12-22 0.347 0.328739
2025-11-24 0.334 0.316423
2025-10-20 0.353 0.334534
2025-09-22 0.353 0.334407
2025-08-18 0.354 0.335800
2025-07-21 0.378 0.358634
2025-06-23 0.372 0.352774
2025-05-19 0.329 0.312144
2025-04-21 0.354 0.335736
2025-03-24 0.364 0.345187
2025-02-24 0.375 0.355652
2025-01-21 0.395 0.374869
2024-12-23 0.374 0.354570
2024-11-18 0.415 0.393850
2024-10-21 0.433 0.410699
2024-09-23 0.443 0.419647
2024-08-19 0.475 0.450750
2024-07-22 0.457 0.433710
2024-06-24 0.441 0.418485
2024-05-20 0.438 0.415856
2024-04-22 0.434 0.411960
2024-03-18 0.439 0.417023
2024-02-20 0.463 0.439529
2024-01-22 0.455 0.431546
2023-12-18 0.493 0.468320
2023-11-20 0.470 0.446005
2023-10-23 0.450 0.426949
2023-09-18 0.431 0.409346
2023-08-21 0.442 0.419665
2023-07-24 0.434 0.411921
2023-06-20 0.386 0.366519
2023-05-22 0.397 0.377161
2023-04-24 0.374 0.354788
2023-03-20 0.372 0.352857
2023-02-21 0.317 0.301159
2023-01-23 0.325 0.308701
2022-12-19 0.394 0.374418
2022-11-21 0.261 0.248028
2022-10-24 0.231 0.219502
2022-09-19 0.218 0.207071
2022-08-22 0.122 0.115673
2022-07-18 0.143 0.135648
2022-06-21 0.033 0.031268
2022-05-23 0.024 0.022734
2022-04-18 0.014 0.013266
2022-03-21 0.006 0.005685
2022-02-22 0.001 0.000948
2021-12-20 0.038 0.035975
2021-07-19 0.001 0.000946
2021-05-24 0.001 0.000946
2021-04-19 0.001 0.000946
2021-03-22 0.002 0.001892
2021-02-22 0.006 0.005678
2021-01-19 0.008 0.007570
2020-12-21 0.050 0.047308
2020-11-23 0.012 0.011349
2020-10-19 0.025 0.023643
2020-08-24 0.012 0.011345
2020-07-20 0.039 0.036865
2020-06-22 0.050 0.047255
2020-05-18 0.079 0.074634
2020-04-20 0.112 0.105700
2020-03-23 0.137 0.129233
2020-02-24 0.144 0.136428
2020-01-21 0.160 0.151643
2019-12-23 0.181 0.171515
2019-11-18 0.173 0.163927
2019-10-21 0.188 0.178051
2019-09-23 0.186 0.176228
2019-08-19 0.186 0.176220
2019-07-22 0.210 0.199005
2019-06-24 0.207 0.196097
2019-05-20 0.220 0.208640
2019-04-22 0.206 0.195344
2019-03-18 0.211 0.200190
2019-02-19 0.194 0.183991
2019-01-22 0.204 0.193512
2018-12-24 0.282 0.267522
2018-11-19 0.169 0.160235
2018-10-22 0.156 0.147951
2018-09-24 0.188 0.178064
2018-08-20 0.987 0.935722
2017-12-18 0.747 0.709503
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 3.6

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 109.669
All Time Low 104.81
Ask 105.79
Ask Size 31,800
Average Daily Volume10 Day 224,300
Average Daily Volume3 Month 320,331
Average Volume 320,331
Average Volume10Days 224,300
Beta3 Year 0.02
Bid 105.77
Bid Size 31,200
Category Ultrashort Bond
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 105.78
Day Low 105.76
Dividend Yield 3.6
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 105.6708
Fifty Day Average Change 0.109199524
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0010333935
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -0.12280345
Fifty Two Week High 105.9
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.12000275
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.0011331704
Fifty Two Week Low 105.46
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.3199997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.003034323
Fifty Two Week Range 105.46 - 105.9
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,485,181,800,000
Five Year Average Return 0.0362307
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change 0.05999756
Fullday Change Percent 0.05674601
Fullday Price 105.78
Fund Family Invesco
Fund Inception Date 1,484,179,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its total assets in the components of the index. The index is designed to measure the performance of U.S. Treasury Obligations with a maximum remaining maturity of less than or equal to 12 months. "U.S. Treasury Obligations" refer to securities issued or guaranteed by the U.S. Treasury where the payment of principal and interest is backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government. They include U.S. Treasury notes, bills and bonds.
Long Name Invesco Short Term Treasury ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_376363824
Nav Price 105.73
Net Assets 2,887,320,580.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.08
Open 105.76
Post Market Change 0.010002136
Post Market Change Percent 0.009455603
Post Market Price 105.79
Post Market Time 1,792,188,529
Previous Close 105.73
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0499954
Regular Market Change Percent 0.0472859
Regular Market Day High 105.78
Regular Market Day Low 105.76
Regular Market Day Range 105.76 - 105.78
Regular Market Open 105.76
Regular Market Previous Close 105.73
Regular Market Price 105.78
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,797
Regular Market Volume 159,948
Short Name Invesco Short Term Treasury ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol TBLL
Three Year Average Return 0.0444403
Total Assets 2,887,320,576
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 0.8743
Trailing Three Month Returns 0.8743
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 105.6409
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.13909912
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.0013167165
Type Disp ETF
Volume 159,948
Yield 0.036
Ytd Return 2.54969