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Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (TARS)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Irvine, United States | NasdaqGS
67.24 USD -0.48 (-0.709%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 68.00 +0.76 (1.130%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 6:44 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:56 a.m. EDT

TARS is displaying a distinct 'bullish put writer' setup with massive OTM call OI (Target >$100 by July) mixed with defensive OTM put positioning (Bear Put Spread at 65 strike for May). While the fundamental math (losses, negative cash flow) currently keeps it a 'hold/wait', the options market is aggressively betting on a successful TP-05 Lyme trial data readout to drive the price 20%+ higher in Q2. Traders are positioning for a beta play on clinical milestones rather than quarterly earnings, making this a high-risk/high-reward momentum vehicle pending the next catalyst.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.051023
AutoETS0.051239
AutoTheta0.051423
AutoARIMA0.177988

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.45
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.300
Excess Kurtosis -1.05
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 24.179
Revenue per Share 10.802
Market Cap 2,861,565,696
Forward P/E 23.28
Beta 0.63
Profit Margins -14.71%
Website https://tarsusrx.com

As of April 19, 2026, 12:56 a.m. EDT: Options flow shows significant bullish positioning in OTM Calls 285 miles (high vol/oi) at the 80-100 strike range for May/July 2026, with the 80-strike July totem listed as Top OI. This contrasts with the near-term (April) where OI is concentrated slightly OTM (~390 contracts) but limited volume. Puts show a massive buildup in OTM May 15s (3,000 contract OI at 65 strike), indicating a bullish put write (Bear Put Spread or holding put for insurance) rather than an immediate catastrophic crash. The heavy OI in OTM calls (2.5k at 85 strike for July) suggests speculators are pricing in a 20%+ upside target over the next 2-3 months. IV is elevated on deep strikes (0.85 on Dec call), reflecting anticipated volatility around trial data.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.386106
Address1 15,440 Laguna Canyon Road
Address2 Suite 160
All Time High 85.25
All Time Low 10.8
Ask 67.6
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 1.1 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 433,500
Average Daily Volume3 Month 556,364
Average Volume 556,364
Average Volume10Days 433,500
Beta 0.63
Bid 66.97
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 8
Book Value 8.07
City Irvine
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 67.24
Current Ratio 3.853
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 69.68
Day Low 66.6625
Debt To Equity 24.179
Display Name Tarsus Pharmaceuticals
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,771,882,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,771,882,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,771,880,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,579,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,579,200
Ebitda -69,153,000
Ebitda Margins -0.15321
Enterprise To Ebitda -36.547
Enterprise To Revenue 5.599
Enterprise Value 2,527,334,656
Eps Current Year -0.71
Eps Forward 2.888
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.59
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 69.1695
Fifty Day Average Change -1.9295044
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.027895305
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 38.610603
Fifty Two Week High 85.25
Fifty Two Week High Change -18.010002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21126102
Fifty Two Week Low 38.51
Fifty Two Week Low Change 28.73
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.74604
Fifty Two Week Range 38.51 - 85.25
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,602,855,000,000
Float Shares 32,259,430
Forward Eps 2.888
Forward P E 23.282547
Free Cashflow -164,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 370
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.78950995
Gross Profits 356,353,984
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03136
Held Percent Institutions 1.07636
Implied Shares Outstanding 42,557,492
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Ipo Expected Date 2,020-10-16
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutic candidates for eye care in the United States. The company offers XDEMVY, a lotilaner ophthalmic solution for the treatment of demodex blepharitis caused by the infestation of Demodex mites. It sells its products to specialty pharmacies and distributors, as well as clinics, hospitals, pharmacies, and federal healthcare programs. The company also develops TP-04, a sterile aqueous gel formulation of lotilaner in Phase 2 trial for the treatment of ocular rosacea; and TP-05, an oral tablet formulation of lotilaner in Phase 2 trial for the prevention of Lyme disease, as well as in pre-clinical studies for community malaria reduction. In addition, it is developing the lotilaner active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) to address diseases in human medicine, including eye care and infectious disease prevention. The company has a development and license agreement with Xi An Grand Chang An Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. for the development and commercialization of TP-03 in China for the treatment of Demodex blepharitis and meibomian gland disease. Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
Long Name Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,861,565,696
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_650383665
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -66,418,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,861,565,762
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 69.0
Operating Cashflow -12,451,000
Operating Margins -0.052589998
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 949 418 1801
Post Market Change 0.76000214
Post Market Change Percent 1.1302828
Post Market Price 68.0
Post Market Time 1,776,465,848
Previous Close 67.72
Price Eps Current Year -94.70422
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 8.332094
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.3398743
Profit Margins -0.14715
Quick Ratio 3.717
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.11111
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.480003
Regular Market Change Percent -0.708806
Regular Market Day High 69.68
Regular Market Day Low 66.6625
Regular Market Day Range 66.6625 - 69.68
Regular Market Open 69.0
Regular Market Previous Close 67.72
Regular Market Price 67.24
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,000
Regular Market Volume 826,998
Return On Assets -0.09446
Return On Equity -0.23388
Revenue Growth 1.284
Revenue Per Share 10.802
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 42,557,492
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1075
Shares Short 4,575,347
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 5,326,451
Short Name Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.111099996
Short Ratio 8.98
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol TARS
Target High Price 105.0
Target Low Price 88.0
Target Mean Price 95.11111
Target Median Price 95.0
Total Cash 417,268,000
Total Cash Per Share 9.805
Total Debt 83,037,000
Total Revenue 451,360,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.59
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 65.0058
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.2341995
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.034369234
Type Disp Equity
Volume 826,998
Website https://tarsusrx.com
Zip 92,618