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Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP)

Consumer Defensive | Beverages - Brewers | Golden, United States | NYSE
38.86 USD -1.02 (-2.558%) ⇩ (July 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:18 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook is severely compromised by a decade-long structural decline where the stock has lost over half its value, compounded by two consecutive years of negative performance and negative earnings. Despite the company's defensive consumer staple status, the market has priced in a deteriorating business quality, evidenced by the massive discount to book value and negative return on equity. The short-term rating remains weak because the statistical forecast predicts a slight decline, and options flow confirms a defensive bias with buyers hedging against further drops rather than betting on a recovery. While the dividend yield is attractive at nearly 5%, it is insufficient to offset the fundamental rot and the high probability of continued underperformance relative to peers.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_84_115 ✓0.037491
MSTL_840.042658
MSTL_1150.059211
MSTL0.062929
AutoARIMA0.063749
AutoETS0.064643
AutoTheta0.065194

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_84_115

Forecast Reliability
Score 50%
H-stat 4.78
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.567
Excess Kurtosis -0.45
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-28
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-28
Debt to Equity Ratio 62.567
Revenue per Share 57.205
Market Cap 7,288,245,760
Forward P/E 7.80
Beta 0.42
Profit Margins -18.85%
Website https://www.molsoncoors.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:18 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at strikes significantly below the current price (32.5 and 35.0), indicating a fear of further downside. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money, suggesting a limited bullish case focused on mean reversion rather than a major rally. The skew in implied volatility favors downside protection.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.21% 4.22% 3.43% 3.21%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-29 0.4800 1.214268
2026-03-06 0.4800 1.029160
2025-12-05 0.4700 1.041436
2025-09-05 0.4700 0.932725
2025-06-06 0.4700 0.903846
2025-02-27 0.4700 0.763731
2024-12-06 0.4400 0.719778
2024-08-30 0.4400 0.815268
2024-06-07 0.4400 0.847131
2024-02-29 0.4400 0.704902
2023-11-30 0.4100 0.666233
2023-08-31 0.4100 0.645771
2023-06-01 0.4100 0.657789
2023-03-02 0.4100 0.769520
2022-12-01 0.3800 0.691286
2022-09-01 0.3800 0.739731
2022-06-02 0.3800 0.703964
2022-03-04 0.3800 0.747002
2021-12-02 0.3400 0.749229
2021-08-27 0.3400 0.715639
2020-03-06 0.5700 1.186511
2019-11-29 0.5700 1.129160
2019-08-29 0.5700 1.116552
2019-05-31 0.4100 0.745726
2019-03-01 0.4100 0.667644
2018-11-29 0.4100 0.637537
2018-08-30 0.4100 0.612580
2018-06-01 0.4100 0.665476
2018-03-02 0.4100 0.523360
2017-11-29 0.4100 0.535808
2017-08-29 0.4100 0.458664
2017-05-26 0.4100 0.428064
2017-02-24 0.4100 0.405860
2016-11-28 0.4100 0.410698
2016-08-29 0.4100 0.396787
2016-06-02 0.4100 0.402197
2016-03-03 0.4100 0.463068
2015-11-25 0.4100 0.443243
2015-07-29 0.4100 0.585380
2015-05-27 0.4100 0.561875
2015-02-25 0.4100 0.541755
2014-11-24 0.3700 0.483976
2014-08-27 0.3700 0.502376
2014-05-28 0.3700 0.575428
2014-02-26 0.3700 0.652788
2013-11-26 0.3200 0.601843
2013-08-28 0.3200 0.660611
2013-05-29 0.3200 0.627082
2013-02-28 0.3200 0.723818
2012-11-28 0.3200 0.793061
2012-08-29 0.3200 0.725953
2012-05-30 0.3200 0.820934
2012-03-01 0.3200 0.731930
2011-11-28 0.3200 0.826020
2011-08-29 0.3200 0.739030
2011-06-02 0.3200 0.721371
2011-02-24 0.2800 0.626959
2010-11-26 0.2800 0.575185
2010-08-27 0.2800 0.639123
2010-05-26 0.2800 0.697385
2010-02-24 0.2400 0.585652
2009-11-25 0.2400 0.526085
2009-08-27 0.2400 0.516351
2009-05-27 0.2400 0.542005
2009-02-25 0.2000 0.562746
2008-11-25 0.2000 0.460299
2008-08-27 0.2000 0.412541
2008-05-28 0.2000 0.349284
2008-02-27 0.1600 0.299625
2007-11-28 0.1600 0.291705
2007-08-29 0.1600 0.362606
2007-05-29 0.1600 0.356824
2007-02-26 0.1600 0.369472
2006-11-28 0.1600 0.455840
2006-08-29 0.1600 0.457928
2006-05-26 0.1600 0.500156
2006-02-24 0.1600 0.506570
2005-11-28 0.1600 0.481131
2005-08-29 0.1600 0.503541
2005-05-26 0.1600 0.550869
2005-02-24 0.1600 0.467700
2004-11-26 0.1025 0.284564
2004-08-27 0.1025 0.302360
2004-05-26 0.1025 0.317583
2004-02-25 0.1025 0.309902
2003-11-25 0.1025 0.372863
2003-08-27 0.1025 0.376769
2003-05-28 0.1025 0.379559
2003-02-26 0.1025 0.423816
2002-11-26 0.1025 0.315094
2002-08-28 0.1025 0.341155
2002-05-29 0.1025 0.305150
2002-02-26 0.1025 0.352476
2001-11-28 0.1025 0.363153
2001-08-29 0.1025 0.445072
2001-05-29 0.1025 0.401567
2001-02-26 0.0925 0.272741
2000-11-28 0.0925 0.246667
2000-08-29 0.0925 0.301733
2000-05-26 0.0925 0.315565
2000-02-25 0.0825 0.393443
1999-11-26 0.0825 0.323133
1999-08-27 0.0825 0.291713
1999-05-26 0.0825 0.348745
1999-02-24 0.0750 0.267857
1998-11-25 0.0750 0.292683
1998-08-27 0.0750 0.374707
1998-05-27 0.0750 0.393443
1998-02-25 0.0750 0.472441
1997-11-25 0.0750 0.406780
1997-08-27 0.0750 0.394737
1997-05-28 0.0625 0.490196
1997-02-26 0.0625 0.589971
1996-11-26 0.0625 0.630915
1996-08-28 0.0625 0.613497
1996-05-29 0.0625 0.709220
1996-02-27 0.0625 0.625000
1995-11-28 0.0625 0.600601
1995-08-29 0.0625 0.743494
1995-05-24 0.0625 0.740741
1995-02-22 0.0625 0.763359
1994-11-23 0.0625 0.757576
1994-08-25 0.0625 0.621118
1994-05-24 0.0625 0.671141
1994-02-23 0.0315 0.365217
1993-11-23 0.0625 0.719424
1993-08-25 0.0625 0.598802
1993-05-24 0.0625 0.719424
1993-02-22 0.0625 0.781250
1992-11-23 0.0625 0.588235
1992-08-25 0.0625 0.653595
1992-05-22 0.0625 0.628931
1992-02-24 0.0625 0.689655
1991-11-22 0.0625 0.653595
1991-08-26 0.0625 0.641026
1991-05-24 0.0625 0.543478
1991-02-22 0.0625 0.613497
1990-11-26 0.0625 0.719424
1990-08-27 0.0625 0.507614
1990-05-24 0.0625 0.512821
1990-02-22 0.0625 0.649351
1989-11-24 0.0625 0.625000
1989-08-25 0.0625 0.628931
1989-05-24 0.0625 0.666667
1988-10-25 0.0625 0.621118
1988-08-01 0.0625 0.653595
1988-04-25 0.0600 0.603774
1988-01-26 0.0600 0.653061
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.92
dividendYield 4.94
exDividendDate 2026-05-29
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.89
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.047392175
lastDividendValue 0.48
lastDividendDate 2026-05-29
dividendDate 2026-06-12

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.21779388
Address1 PO Box 4030
Address2 BC555
All Time High 112.19
All Time Low 4.75
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 1,100
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.8 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,296,510
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,376,445
Average Volume 3,376,445
Average Volume10Days 3,296,510
Beta 0.419
Bid 38.87
Bid Size 400
Board Risk 10
Book Value 53.545
City Golden
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 38.86
Current Ratio 0.535
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 39.75
Day Low 38.45
Debt To Equity 62.567
Dividend Date 1,781,222,400
Dividend Rate 1.92
Dividend Yield 4.94
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Earnings Growth 0.356
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.25
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Ebitda 2,444,699,904
Ebitda Margins 0.21851
Enterprise To Ebitda 5.569
Enterprise To Revenue 1.217
Enterprise Value 13,613,545,472
Eps Current Year 4.74748
Eps Forward 4.98195
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -10.55
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,780,012,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 40.4882
Fifty Day Average Change -1.6282005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0402142
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -21.779388
Fifty Two Week High 54.82
Fifty Two Week High Change -15.959999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2911346
Fifty Two Week Low 38.04
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.8199997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.021556249
Fifty Two Week Range 38.04 - 54.82
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 171,811,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.65
Float Shares 168,312,341
Forward Eps 4.98195
Forward P E 7.800159
Free Cashflow 774,062,528
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 16,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.38622
Gross Profits 4,320,900,096
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.127
Held Percent Institutions 1.00327
Implied Shares Outstanding 187,551,360
Industry Beverages - Brewers
Industry Disp Beverages - Brewers
Industry Key beverages-brewers
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=101929&p=irol-IRHome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,012,800
Last Dividend Value 0.48
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,191,456,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Molson Coors Beverage Company manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells beer and other malt beverage products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers flavored malt beverages including hard seltzers, craft, spirits, and ready to drink beverages. The company also provides non-alcoholic beverages including premium mixers and energy drinks. It offers its products under Arnold Palmer Spiked, Aspall Cider, Blue Moon, Beck's, Blue Run Spirits, Cobra, Corona Extra, Coors Original, Fever-Tree, Heineken, Hidra, Leinenkugel's, Madri, Miller Genuine Draft, Molson Ultra, Peroni Nastro Azurro, Pilsner Urquell, Redd's, Rekorderlig, Sharp's, Simply Spiked, Staropramen, Stella Artois, Topo Chico Hard Seltzer, ZOA Energy, and Vizzy Hard Seltzer above premium brands; Bergenbier, Borsodi, Burgasko, Carling, Coors Banquet, Coors Light, Jelen, Miller Lite, Molson Canadian brands, Niksicko, and Ožujsko under the premium brands; and Branik, Icehouse, Keystone, Lowenbrau, Miller High Life, Milwaukee's Best, and Steel Reserve under the economy brands. The company was formerly known as Molson Coors Brewing Company and changed its name to Molson Coors Beverage Company in January 2020. Molson Coors Beverage Company was founded in 1774 and is based in Golden, Colorado.
Long Name Molson Coors Beverage Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,288,245,760
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_263765
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -2,109,299,968
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,480,650,339
Number Of Analyst Opinions 21
Open 39.61
Operating Cashflow 1,877,600,000
Operating Margins 0.124239996
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.35900003
Peg Ratio 3.92
Phone 303 279 6565
Pre Market Change 0.08000183
Pre Market Change Percent 0.20581897
Pre Market Price 38.95
Pre Market Time 1,784,116,334
Previous Close 39.88
Price Eps Current Year 8.185395
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.7257447
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.6514458
Profit Margins -0.18854
Quick Ratio 0.281
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.7619
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.02
Regular Market Change Percent -2.55767
Regular Market Day High 39.75
Regular Market Day Low 38.45
Regular Market Day Range 38.45 - 39.75
Regular Market Open 39.61
Regular Market Previous Close 39.88
Regular Market Price 38.86
Regular Market Time 1,784,059,202
Regular Market Volume 3,224,070
Return On Assets 0.04492
Return On Equity -0.18080999
Revenue Growth 0.02
Revenue Per Share 57.205
Sand P52 Week Change 0.2043345
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 175,215,417
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1476
Shares Short 27,684,269
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 25,171,655
Short Name Molson Coors Beverage Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.2534
Short Ratio 8.03
Source Interval 15
State CO
Symbol TAP
Target High Price 61.0
Target Low Price 35.0
Target Mean Price 45.80952
Target Median Price 45.0
Total Cash 469,500,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.503
Total Debt 6,485,300,224
Total Revenue 11,187,800,064
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.89
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.047392175
Trailing Eps -10.55
Trailing Peg Ratio 3.9244
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 44.8583
Two Hundred Day Average Change -5.9982986
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.13371658
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,224,070
Website https://www.molsoncoors.com
Zip 80,401