Talos Energy Inc. (TALO)Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Houston, United States | NYSE
14.23 USD
+0.73
(5.407%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 5:23 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Talos Energy is currently broken by a severe multi-year structural decline. Despite the company generating positive free cash flow, the stock has lost nearly 73% of its value over the last seven years, with the last three consecutive years seeing negative annual returns. This persistent price erosion suggests the market views the current business fundamentals—characterized by negative earnings, shrinking revenue, and a negative operating margin—as insufficient to sustain the current valuation. The absence of any dividend policy further highlights the capital allocation challenges facing the firm. While the stock trades at a low price-to-book ratio, this appears to be a reflection of deteriorating asset quality rather than a margin of safety, especially given the high debt load relative to equity. The recent price action shows some resilience, trading above the 200-day moving average, but the overwhelming weight of the long-term trajectory and the lack of earnings power make this a weak hold for investors seeking growth or income. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.059589 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.059786 |
| AutoETS | 0.059796 |
| MSTL | 0.064559 |
| MSTL_79_115 | 0.065195 |
| MSTL_115 | 0.067278 |
| MSTL_79 | 0.072707 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 41% |
| H-stat | 0.47 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.339 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.92 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Energy |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 71.931 |
| Revenue per Share | 10.1 |
| Market Cap | 2,375,354,368 |
| Forward P/E | -39.83 |
| Beta | 0.34 |
| Profit Margins | -42.59% |
| Website | https://www.talosenergy.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 5:23 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume relative to calls, particularly in the October 2026 expiration where out-of-the-money puts show significant open interest compared to the thin call side. The strike distribution favors downside protection around the $12.50 level, while call activity is sparse and concentrated far out-of-the-money, suggesting a lack of immediate bullish conviction despite the stock trading above its 200-day average.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.5134529 |
| Address1 | 333 Clay Street |
| Address2 | Suite 3300 |
| All Time High | 37.64 |
| All Time Low | 5.0 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 300 |
| Audit Risk | 5 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.7 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,279,130 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,897,131 |
| Average Volume | 1,897,131 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,279,130 |
| Beta | 0.341 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 1,200 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | 11.298 |
| City | Houston |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 2 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 14.23 |
| Current Ratio | 1.199 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 14.405 |
| Day Low | 13.7 |
| Debt To Equity | 71.931 |
| Display Name | Talos Energy |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,785,938,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,785,938,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,873,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,873,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,873,600 |
| Ebitda | 962,958,016 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.55375 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 3.466 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.919 |
| Enterprise Value | 3,337,863,424 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.60241 |
| Eps Forward | -0.35729 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -4.29 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 713 351 4100 |
| Fifty Day Average | 14.7452 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.5152006 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.034940224 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 51.345287 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 17.05 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -2.8199997 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.16539589 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 7.67 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 6.5599995 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.8552802 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 7.67 - 17.05 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,525,959,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 124,837,142 |
| Forward Eps | -0.35729 |
| Forward P E | -39.82759 |
| Free Cashflow | 526,332,512 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 700 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.6849 |
| Gross Profits | 1,191,027,968 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.24896999 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.75786 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 166,925,818 |
| Industry | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Industry Disp | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Industry Key | oil-gas-e-p |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Talos Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in the United States and Mexico. The company operates through two segments: Upstream, and Carbon Capture and Sequestration. It also engages in the exploration and production of natural gas liquid. Talos Energy Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. |
| Long Name | Talos Energy Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 2,375,354,368 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_183786013 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -740,587,008 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,375,354,390 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 9 |
| Open | 13.86 |
| Operating Cashflow | 841,585,984 |
| Operating Margins | -0.31294 |
| Overall Risk | 2 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 713 328 3000 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.4300003 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 3.0217872 |
| Pre Market Price | 14.66 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,021,639 |
| Previous Close | 13.5 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 23.621784 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.2595149 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.3659517 |
| Profit Margins | -0.42588 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.029 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.7 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.73 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 5.4074 |
| Regular Market Day High | 14.405 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 13.7 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 13.7 - 14.405 |
| Regular Market Open | 13.86 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 13.5 |
| Regular Market Price | 14.23 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,803 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,346,001 |
| Return On Assets | -0.01889 |
| Return On Equity | -0.32194 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.079 |
| Revenue Per Share | 10.1 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Energy |
| Sector Disp | Energy |
| Sector Key | energy |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 2 |
| Shares Outstanding | 166,925,818 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0654 |
| Shares Short | 10,914,625 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 9,457,829 |
| Short Name | Talos Energy, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1027 |
| Short Ratio | 5.5 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | TX |
| Symbol | TALO |
| Target High Price | 22.0 |
| Target Low Price | 17.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 19.11111 |
| Target Median Price | 20.0 |
| Total Cash | 386,367,008 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.315 |
| Total Debt | 1,348,576,000 |
| Total Revenue | 1,738,973,952 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -4.29 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 12.659 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 1.5709991 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.124101356 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,346,001 |
| Website | https://www.talosenergy.com |
| Zip | 77,002 |