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Talos Energy Inc. (TALO)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Houston, United States | NYSE
16.67 USD -0.06 (-0.359%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 16.67

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:51 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fundamentally broken. Despite a recent price bounce and a 56% revenue growth headline, the company is trapped in a multi-year structural decline, having lost nearly 70% of its value over the last seven years with three consecutive years of falling prices. The balance sheet is fragile, carrying significant debt against negative equity returns, and the market has rightly priced this as a deteriorating business rather than a value opportunity. There is no dividend to provide income, and the lack of payout suggests capital is being consumed by operations or debt service. While the stock trades at a low forward P/E, this is a reflection of the severe growth impairment and earnings destruction, not a margin of safety. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders stacking heavy put protection at levels far below the current price. Until the multi-year price trajectory turns positive and the balance sheet strengthens, this remains a speculative hold with high downside risk.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.045130
AutoARIMA0.045427
AutoETS0.045427
AutoTheta0.048910

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 0.80
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.335
Excess Kurtosis -1.08
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Debt to Equity Ratio 66.094
Revenue per Share 11.671
Market Cap 2,783,314,432
Forward P/E 11.56
Beta 0.35
Profit Margins -20.46%
Website https://www.talosenergy.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:51 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (especially the $10 and $12.50 strikes) compared to negligible call volume. While there is some recent buying of calls at the $15 strike, the overwhelming capital allocation is in put writing or hedging, suggesting a consensus expectation of continued volatility and potential further declines rather than a breakout rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.67635274
Address1 333 Clay Street
Address2 Suite 3300
All Time High 37.64
All Time Low 5.0
Ask 16.72
Ask Size 500
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,711,820
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,964,227
Average Volume 1,964,227
Average Volume10Days 1,711,820
Beta 0.345
Bid 16.72
Bid Size 400
Board Risk 3
Book Value 11.231
City Houston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 16.67
Current Ratio 1.613
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 16.99
Day Low 16.54
Debt To Equity 66.094
Display Name Talos Energy
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,938,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,938,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda 1,132,548,992
Ebitda Margins 0.57226
Enterprise To Ebitda 3.135
Enterprise To Revenue 1.794
Enterprise Value 3,550,049,280
Eps Current Year 0.96195
Eps Forward 1.44218
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -2.35
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 713 351 4100
Fifty Day Average 14.75
Fifty Day Average Change 1.9200001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.1301695
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 67.63528
Fifty Two Week High 18.44
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.7700005
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.09598701
Fifty Two Week Low 8.87
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.8
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.87936866
Fifty Two Week Range 8.87 - 18.44
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,525,959,000,000
Float Shares 125,532,987
Forward Eps 1.44218
Forward P E 11.558889
Free Cashflow 550,837,376
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 700
Fullday Change -0.0599995
Fullday Change Percent -0.358634
Fullday Price 16.67
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.71367997
Gross Profits 1,412,434,944
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.24891001
Held Percent Institutions 0.76498
Implied Shares Outstanding 166,965,468
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Talos Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in the United States and Mexico. The company operates through two segments: Upstream, and Carbon Capture and Sequestration. It also engages in the exploration and production of natural gas liquid. Talos Energy Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Long Name Talos Energy Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,783,314,432
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_183786013
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -404,983,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,793,332,279
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 16.82
Operating Cashflow 790,585,024
Operating Margins 0.34449002
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 713 328 3000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 16.67
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 16.73
Price Eps Current Year 17.329384
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.4842846
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.4063586
Profit Margins -0.20462999
Quick Ratio 1.336
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.7
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0599995
Regular Market Change Percent -0.358634
Regular Market Day High 16.99
Regular Market Day Low 16.54
Regular Market Day Range 16.54 - 16.99
Regular Market Open 16.82
Regular Market Previous Close 16.73
Regular Market Price 16.67
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 1,330,243
Return On Assets 0.0037099998
Return On Equity -0.17822
Revenue Growth 0.566
Revenue Per Share 11.671
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 166,965,468
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0551
Shares Short 9,203,855
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 9,101,471
Short Name Talos Energy, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0865
Short Ratio 4.66
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol TALO
Target High Price 24.0
Target Low Price 17.0
Target Mean Price 19.11111
Target Median Price 18.0
Total Cash 577,587,008
Total Cash Per Share 3.459
Total Debt 1,343,800,064
Total Revenue 1,979,092,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -2.35
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 13.6138
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.0562
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.22449279
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,330,243
Website https://www.talosenergy.com
Zip 77,002